UK Electric Car Inquiries Soar During Fuel Supply Crisis (theguardian.com) 210
Electric car inquiries are soaring as petrol stations in parts of the UK have started running out of fuel on Friday. The Guardian reports: While scenes of chaos play out at petrol stations across the country amid shortages, for many electric vehicle (EV) dealers the fuel crisis has led to an unexpected surge in inquiries and sales. EVA England, a non-profit representing new and prospective EV drivers, reports a rise in electric car inquiries and in interest at EV dealers, particularly in the last week. Along with existing factors such as the expansion of London's ultra-low emission zone, the fuel crisis has proved to be another trigger point, he said. "People were using it as 'this is the moment where I'm not going to put this off any longer,'" [said Martin Miller, owner of an electric car dealership in Guildford, Surrey].
The EV market is no longer the preserve of innovators and early adopters, he said, with the most popular models the Nissan Leaf, Volkswagen ID 3 and Jaguar I-Pace. Ben Strzalko, the owner of Electric Cars UK in Leyland, Lancashire, said that as a small business it would take a few months to feel the knock-on effect of the fuel crisis on sales. But every time there are problems with petrol or diesel, he said they acted as "one more tick for people making that transition to electric cars." Matt Cleevely, the owner of Cleevely Electric Vehicles in Cheltenham, Gloucestershire, which specialises in used EVs, had a surge of inquiries over the weekend and on Monday morning from customers citing the fuel crisis as a reason for switching to electric. He expects enthusiasm to continue rising, with petrol shortages adding "fuel to the fire." Further reading: Europe's Energy Crisis Is About To Go Global As Gas Prices Soar (Bloomberg)
The EV market is no longer the preserve of innovators and early adopters, he said, with the most popular models the Nissan Leaf, Volkswagen ID 3 and Jaguar I-Pace. Ben Strzalko, the owner of Electric Cars UK in Leyland, Lancashire, said that as a small business it would take a few months to feel the knock-on effect of the fuel crisis on sales. But every time there are problems with petrol or diesel, he said they acted as "one more tick for people making that transition to electric cars." Matt Cleevely, the owner of Cleevely Electric Vehicles in Cheltenham, Gloucestershire, which specialises in used EVs, had a surge of inquiries over the weekend and on Monday morning from customers citing the fuel crisis as a reason for switching to electric. He expects enthusiasm to continue rising, with petrol shortages adding "fuel to the fire." Further reading: Europe's Energy Crisis Is About To Go Global As Gas Prices Soar (Bloomberg)
Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity price? (Score:2)
I thought that the there was a huge increase in the electricity price in UK also recently, would such things not reduce the wish to have EVs?
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No, gas prices surge.
And even if electricty prices surge then:
1) even doubling would make home-charging still massively cheaper to run an EV *per mile*
2) a tripling of the electricity price in the UK (starting to approach fue prices in the UK) and the whole country would have to turn their lights off, not just driving about.
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Well, september 28 last year the UK electricity spot price was 43.87/mwh and september 28 this year is 160.02/mwh.
That is more than a tripling.(*3.65)
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9 orders of magnitude on spot prices last year compared to this year?
Those are official Nordpol spot prices, that is what the electricity suppliers in UK pay for their electricity for things that are not on fixed price contract.
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No, they're not. </pedantry>
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What's causing a fuel shortage over there?
First I've heard of this.
Re:Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity pri (Score:5, Informative)
A combination of many complex things, but the clif notes version is: ,so they cannot easily go back
- Traditionally a fairly large part of UK low wage jobs have been taken by workers from eastern Europe
-The pandemic hit
-Many of the workers went back home
-UK left the free movement area
-Thus there is a serious lack of truck drivers
-This has hit many sectors like food delivery to supermarkets and petrol delivery to petrol station
-Then some stations ran out
-This was widely published
-Thus people started panic buying
-And many many more stations ran out
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This story says the trucker shortage is a combination of Brexit and Covid chasing away the drivers many of whom were foreigners.
https://www.bbc.com/news/expla... [bbc.com]
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More basically....
What's causing a fuel shortage over there?
First I've heard of this.
The press.
1. One oil company (BP) announced they had temporary trouble delivering to 5 of their gas stations, due to lack of tanker drivers.
2. Fox News-level journalism turned that into "MASSIVE FUEL SHORTAGE!"
3. Panic buying
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The earlier comment wrote mwh, in context clearly meaning megawatt-hour, not milliwatt-Henry. If you are going to be pedantic, at least be consistently so!
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Ignoring the... issue... in your post, it's not temporary spot prices that matter, but average end-consumer costs. which are quite stable [statista.com].
In developed countries the world over, average electricity costs for end consumers are usually pretty stable, at least for residential and small commercial buyers (if you're some big alumium smelter or whatnot and are buying in bulk, you might negotiate a rate plan that charges you dirt-cheap prices when power is in abundance but gouges when it's not, so you can just curt
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Electricity prices are far more stable than petrol prices pretty much the world over, regardless of government policy. And yes, consumers generally are protected from fluctuations, from having to pay spot prices, but they still have to pay their overall bills. Utilities pay for a mix of really cheap power (solar, wind, some types of baseload) and really expensive power (peaking, various grid services). Consumers pay averages
Re: Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity pr (Score:2)
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Even if the internal wiring is antiquated, the power has to enter the house and the car will usually be outside of the house too so you'd only need to update a small amount of the wiring, and then hang the rest of the antiquated house wiring off the back.
People are drilling holes in gas tanks to steal the gas, if that kind of thing is happening i'd much rather park an EV since it won't have any gas they have no reason to target it.
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Arent a lot of homes in the UK outfit with antiquated wiring?
Not particularly. My house is over 100 years old. Probably when built it didn't have much if any electrical wiring. It has however been steadily upgraded over the years. We moved in 25 years ago, at which point we had it completely rewired. 10 years ago we had the consumer unit replaced to bring it up to modern specs. The oldest thing is probably the connection coming in from the road, but that's still rated at 100A.
To have a 7kW car charger installed simply involved putting another breaker put in the
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No, gas prices surge.
And even if electricty prices surge then:
1) even doubling would make home-charging still massively cheaper to run an EV *per mile*
2) a tripling of the electricity price in the UK (starting to approach fue prices in the UK) and the whole country would have to turn their lights off, not just driving about.
The electricity price surged because gas-fired power stations.
Re:Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity pri (Score:5, Insightful)
So this works well, presuming there's no electricity supply issues
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Re: Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity pr (Score:2)
Re: Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity pr (Score:4, Insightful)
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Interesting. Back in the middle of 1980s when I worked on a petrol station we had both hand pumping gear and a petrol powered generator.
So you are saying that that is no longer the case and petrol stations would have to totally close in such case?
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In the UK hand pumping would present all sorts of problems with laws around the quantity delivered. Further the cash registers don't work either so even if you can hand pump and somehow meet the accuracy required by law about the amount of fuel pumped then there is no means to actually pay even with hard cash so you are back to square one.
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You do not need a cash register to pay with 'hard cash' a hand written recipe, preferred on a pre printed paper with tax id etc. is usually enough.
Re: Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity p (Score:2)
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Petrol can be hand pumped
This reminded me of something which I read in the regulations about storing fuel in the UK the other day. There have been reports of people filling all sorts of containers with petrol at filling stations so I was checking up how much you are allowed. The answer is up to 30L in suitable containers (metal or plastic) but although you are allowed to store it you are not allowed to "dispense it into a vehicle".
Makes me wonder what you are allowed to do with it. Throw it over a bonfire perhaps? (My grandmoth
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Think of things like lawn mowers, chainsaws, strimmers, outboard motors on a boat, generators etc. You can also use petrol/gasoline as a cleaning solvent.
Also the dispensing refers to having a large tank and pumping either manually or electrically into a vehicle. Emptying a Jerry can into your car is not dispensing and is allowed.
The main issue with all this is you must used approved containers to store fuel, you cannot carry more than 30 litres in two containers in your vehicle at anyone time (excluding th
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If indeed there's a huge increase in wholesale electricity prices, then it'll lead to a "surge" in home PV systems. We only get to sell electricity back to the grid at the wholesale rate here, which for most of the time makes so little sense that you're better off using any excess you have to heat your hot water tank. However, if the wholesale prices were (say) double what they normally are, then you can pay back your PV investment (at least a small amount) with it (assuming the cost of PV systems doesn't a
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If by "huge increase" you mean exactly the same price as it was in 2015 with only a brief dip by a couple of pence per kWh in between then sure yeah the price went up recently. But unlike electricity prices which are still steady, petrol prices did actually increase over this time.
Mind you electricity will need to go up a shitton more if you wanted to use the narrative that it would be more expensive than petrol. Right now electric cars have a cheaper TCO over 5 years despite the premium price of the vehicl
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I do not know the consumer prices in UK, but the wholesale prices of electricity went up a LOT between 2015 and 2021.
The last full month: August
2015: 40,62/mwh
2021: 106,83/mwh
So that is a 2.63 times the value.
Of course it would need to go even more up to be more expensive than petrol. But a more than 2.5 times is a big raise.
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The wholesale electricity price fluctuates with all sorts of market conditions. Specifically the price is the same as it was now at the end of 2019, but it was around 50/mWh in April of this year. It's really all over the shop, and quite irrelevant to the cost of an electric car for a consumer.
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That is most likely a (accidentally) cherry picked day ahead or even an hour ahead price. And not by any means a 'whole sales price'.
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Yes, as I said they are the current and year ago spot prices, and yes, day ahead ones. But even the month end prices are conserably higher, though looking at other months, much less so.
But each month end of month price has been higher this year than any other year since 2013, when one month was higher and all others much lower. Some months much more, others only marginally more than the highest ever (since the avaiable starstics starting in 2013) previous price for that months end.
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Yes, as I said they are the current and year ago spot prices, and yes, day ahead ones.
Ah, I must have overseen that.
But even the month end prices are conserably higher, though looking at other months, much less so. Nevertheless for ordinary customers (households), and that includes also businesses: the spot market is irrelevant.
Re:Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity pri (Score:5, Informative)
UK electricity prices went up because there was a fault affecting one of the interconnects that brings power here, and also because the UK left various Europe wide groups when it committed brexicide. That means that the UK can no longer buy energy with other countries to smooth out demand and spikes in price, so gets hit with high prices.
Multiple electricity suppliers have gone bust because of this.
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when it committed brexicide
Isn't that the opposite of what the UK did? This would be the killing of Brexit, which didn't happen.
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Hmm, interesting point. I was adapting the word suicide, but of course it's the first part of that word that means "self" so yeah you are probably right.
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omg, someone reasonably accepted a correction on Slashdot? I think I may need to go faint...
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As long as people are nice about it I'm happy to accept corrections.
Re: Did not UK also have a surge in Electricity pr (Score:2)
That means that the UK can no longer buy energy with other countries
Actually they could do that, it would just require that they negotiate a deal since they're not part of the existing EU deal anymore.
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Well the current government who have a long history of being a bunch of liars said there was no shortage. The problem is no rational person would believe a word out of de Pfeffel's adulterers mouth. Consequently it would be entirely rational to believe the government where lying and act appropriately. They have been saying there are no shortages in the shops for weeks now, but anyone shopping in a store knows that to be a steaming pile of brontosaurus droppings.
I really wish de Pfeffel would piss off back t
What a crisis ... (Score:2)
Imagine a crisis where you want to go fill your tank with high premium expensive gasoline, probably $100 for a full tank.
And then you come home with a $100k EV, and a loan over $75k for -0.75% interest.
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The year 2008 called. They want their pricing figures on entry-level EVs back.
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Well,
I never really looked at prices.
A friend of mine bought a EUR 110,000 Telsa half a year ago, with handing in a Prius and 3 or 4 years specific tax breaks (don't know the details) and a -0.75% loan (note the minus), the purchase price went town to 55k
So if he pays 10years, it is roughly EURO 500,- per month. However: he saves EUR 300,- per month in fuel. (He lives in France so his charging is relatively cheap).
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So they bought something like a Model X Performance, one of the most expensive EVs on the market. You're using this as your price-comparison EV why?
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Or you can drive a plug-in hybrid which costs less than $30k and you fill up maybe seven or eight times a year. I was amazed at how "electric" a PHEV turns out to be for day to day driving. I get 30 miles per charge, which isn't enough for an EV, but plenty to do all my daily driving on electricity over 90% of the time. When I do have to drop back to gas I get around 55 miles per gallon.
Forget being green, if you're a cheapskate nothing beats a PHEV; currently many places even let you charge for free alt
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The only practical drawback is there isn't a lot of cargo or passenger space
It depends on what it is. If it's a Prius then you're probably in good shape, their ICEs are monstrously reliable. Otherwise, you've got two power systems to fail.
EVs are freedom (Score:3, Funny)
This is one thing I've never understood. Freedom-loving people having so much hate for the EV.
No car is less reliant on government and big business than a low budget EV. No gasoline infrastructure needed, government cannot detect which outlet you used to charge the battery, so special 'fuel' taxes are impossible.
It may take a while, but with just a solar panel in the backyard you will eventually store enough power to drive your car.
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special 'fuel' taxes are impossible.
The future will tell, but "Impossible" sounds a bit too strong in my opinion.
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Except that several governements are planning "distance driven" based taxes..
As example here in Finland they have planned that for quite a while, it has so far been defeated, but it is only a question of time i think..
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First, they are marginally better than an ICE running on gasoline. If you ignore ethanol sources that aren't based on corn, and look at other sources (Brazil and sugar cane or search for "Boeing Ethanol"), the advantage goes away completely if you properly dispose of the leftover biomass. In this scenario, the ICE becomes a far superior engine as far as overall carbon footprint is concerned; the fuel makes the car carbon negative.
Freedom people also like to travel a lot, which makes for a 5
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No car is less reliant on government and big business than a low budget EV. No gasoline infrastructure needed, government cannot detect which outlet you used to charge the battery, so special 'fuel' taxes are impossible.
Is there an EV that does _not_ have Internet connectivity? EVs are basically cellphones with wheels in my experience - lots of telemetry going back to the mothership.
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A few of the cheap older ones apparently. An aquintance has a tiny electric Skoda that apparently did not even have wireless reading of the engine data, the entertainlemt system was an old style removable radio and so on..
But all that is changing, almost all newer cars have those systems regardless of the propulsive technology and soon all due to government mandated "Sos systems"
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government cannot detect which outlet you used to charge the battery, so special 'fuel' taxes are impossible.
They can easily tax you per mile based on your odometer reading, especially now that most if not all vehicles store a true odometer reading in the PCM which is irrespective of cluster swaps etc.
"Unexpected"? (Score:4, Insightful)
> fuel crisis has led to an unexpected surge in inquiries and sales
Unexpected by whom, exactly? If EV sales dropped during a liquid fuel supply crunch, *that* would be unexpected.
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It means the EV manufacturers did not expect there to be a fuel shortage in 2021.
And to be fair there isn't really a fuel shortage as such, it's just that the government said that there was no shortage and the government lies about everything so people panicked and created a shortage.
How come there is a gasoline shortage? (Score:2)
How come there is a gasoline shortage? Why not just raise the price of gasoline until demand drops?
Re:How come there is a gasoline shortage? (Score:5, Informative)
How come there is a gasoline shortage? Why not just raise the price of gasoline until demand drops?
Multiple news sources say there is no shortage of petrol. There is a shortage of truck drivers to deliver it to the stations.
As for your suggestion, sure, just price all the lower income people out of driving.
We should reserve driving for the affluent, the way God intended it,
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Multiple news sources say there is no shortage of petrol. There is a shortage of truck drivers to deliver it to the stations.
If the stations don't have it then there are local shortages.
The effect to the consumer out of fuel and trying to get to work is broadly the same as a national shortage.
There isn't one (Score:2)
Unfortunately however the mouth breathers read the headlines of a story about a few stations in northern scotland running out and immediately headed off to drain their local one. As a UK citizen the sheer number of knuckle dragging moronic sheep in this country depresses me.
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(Cue the anecdotes about somebody filling up a garbage can with gasoline, but I can't imagine that type of thing amounts to much)
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Because Europe has consumer protection laws to prevent gouging.
Easy to inquire (Score:2)
But hard to buy with the chip shortages. EVs are just as dependent on chips that are in short supply as ICE vehicles nowadays.
The hilarious part is (Score:2)
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The point is that work visas are only issued when there are no locals willing/able to fulfil the roles.
Under the EU, workers from Europe were directly competing for the same roles as locals and then any other foreigners could get visas issued for any roles that could not be fulfilled by local or EU citizens.
Brexit just moves "EU citizens" into the "any other foreigners" category so they no longer directly compete against locals, and now have to compete against visa applicants from asia and the americas etc.
tea is in short supply, get it while you can (Score:2)
Re:So finally a Brexit benefit! (Score:4, Insightful)
"Making plebs switch to electric cars!"
More like e-bikes, their demand soared as well.
Re:So finally a Brexit benefit! (Score:5, Informative)
There were long waiting lists before the fuel crisis started, partly due to brexit but mostly due to global component shortages. Also there is a battery shortage because LG has to replace thousands of packs in GM and Hyundai vehicles.
As people started to go back to the office after the lockdowns prices soared. Right now used cars are selling for more than new ones simply because you can buy one today, rather than joining a waiting list for delivery some time in mid 2022.
Re: So finally a Brexit benefit! (Score:3)
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It's not a Brexit thing, it's the IR35 legislation that has caused it. After Brexit there was not driver shortage, then the IR35 rules changed and a lot of drivers left.
Re:So finally a Brexit benefit! (Score:4, Insightful)
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Why are they appealing to EU drivers to come back on a 3 month visa?
The UK government wishes to be seen to be doing something (but not actually do anything).
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Is this what you're talking about? https://www.gov.uk/guidance/un... [www.gov.uk]
So it was making firms pay drivers as employees that made them leave? Where did the drivers leave to? Obviously, these are UK citizens you are talking about, right? Because all the EU citizens left the country when Brexit happened, not after.
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I think the petrol shortage is only partly the fault of Brexit. I suspect it's also pandemic related. The UK is experiencing the same post-lockdown effect of low-wage workers realizing their jobs suck and looking for something better. There's enough petrol in the UK, the shortage is drivers to get it to filling stations.
But Brexit has clearly made the labor market less resilient. Pre-Brexit companies would just hire drivers from lower wage countries, and those drivers could just show up and get to work wi
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(a) would only poach workers from other industries. Then shortages will happen elsewhere.
Re:So finally a Brexit benefit! (Score:5, Interesting)
Efficient allocation of scarce resources is what a market economy is supposed to do. It doesn't get rid of economic pain; economic pain is the driving force to allocate resources differently. Companies going out of business, people losing their jobs, consumers having to tighten their belts -- those things are just as much a part of a market economy as incredibly cheap flat screen TVs.
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Funny how bankers never have to tighten their belts in a market economy. Rain or shine, boom or bust, those who control the banks always make money. Why is that? Shouldn't the market effects you list apply to everyone?
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Every capitalist society has been, when push comes to shove, a hybrid society with exceptions carved out for the politically influential. In the heyday of classical economics, British landlords used the theories of Smith, Ricardo and Malthus to justify making the poor pay market rates for bread, but at the same time engineered the Corn Laws to protect their market from foreign competition.
When Gandhi was asked what he thought of Western Civilization, he quipped that he thought it would be a very good idea.
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"Pretending it would work *politically* will only result in the emergence of a hereditary aristocracy who will use their economic power to stifle social mobility."
That's just capitalism in general though. Or any meritocracy with inheritance, really. If you get rewarded for merit with power, you then have more power to determine what counts as "merit." You can ensure that whatever you are your heirs do is considered meritorious and deserving of reward. It's an unchecked positive feedback loop of wealth and p
It's supposed to do that by raising wages (Score:2)
The market economy is supposed to allocate resource efficiently by raising prices on in-demand goods and services, thus attracting people interested in providing those goods and services. In this case, an efficient market economy should in theory be raising the wages of truck drivers, and the prices of everything which depends on truck drivers.
Economic reality rarely works that way for many different reasons, but that's the theory.
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That's because managers are far less effective economic actors than they are in economic models.
You see that in IT all the time; managers ask, how can I get by with cheaper labor? They seldom consider the benefits of paying a little more and getting better people. I actually only once saw an IT company that tried that. They were an early ISP that ran a huge frame relay network for corporate clients that they managed with a tiny, tiny staff. Their equipment room as incredibly compact and neat, and they ch
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Lots of options, the price of which can rise until it's high enough for you to decide to get your own damn tacos at 3 am.
Re:So finally a Brexit benefit! (Score:5, Funny)
Meanwhile in the north, the Scots are revolting.
I actually find them quite agreeable, except for all the drinking (but that's not enough to make them revolting IMO).
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Meanwhile in the north, the Scots are revolting.
If anything will hasten IndyRef2 and Scottish independence, it is that the fuel shortage is leading to breakdown of shipments of Irn-Bru.
Barr's have indeed announced delivery "challenges" for Irn-Bru.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-... [bbc.co.uk]
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Re:Odd list of "most popular vehicles" (Score:4, Insightful)
"not being most popular"
You're clearly not following actual sales trends. Here's Europe [eu-evs.com], one of their weaker markets (they have to pay import tariffs and transoceanic shipping that local competitors don't, which raises local prices), in the countries that report realtime. In them, Tesla has nearly doubled its market share this quarter, from 10,49% in Q2 to 18,58% thusfar in Q3 (will probably end the quarter close to 19%, most of Tesla's deliveries happen at quarter-end). Tesla's percentage of the global market has been rising [twimg.com], and is over a quarter at this point.
I know you have a "theory" about how Tesla is supposed to be losing. People have had this theory for the past decade. It's always been contradicted by reality. When reality contradicts your theory, you need to reevaluate your theory.
TL/DR: Tesla is highly production constrained. It has automotive high margins - usually on the order of ~25% w/credits, ~20% wo/credits. And rising recently. With these sort of margins, it can cut prices at will in order to stay production constrained. In reality, the opposite has been happening - margins have been growing, prices have been rising, and wait times dramatically increasing. The "competition" generally faces low (often even negative on the low end) margins, and even more limited production (although supply shortages have been helping their margins this year)
Next year the supply situation should start to improve, with the opening of Giga Austin and Giga Berlin late this year. But it will take time for them to ramp, and meanwhile, global EV demand continues to skyrocket. Also, do note: with the opening of Giga Berlin, the import tariffs and transoceanic shipping costs disappear (as do the inefficiencies of the quarterly delivery wave)
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Lithium is abundant and easy to get. Cost-effective refining is the harder challenge. The main thing that has held lithium clays back is that you can refine spodumene and salar lithium more cheaply***.
Nickel is the material that battery makers really would like more of, but is not expected to scale fast enough to meet their needs. So they're having to turn to iron instead for shorter-range vehicles and stationary storage..
Cobalt is on its way out as far as EV batteries go.
Magnetic rare earth (for motors) pr
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Tesla isn't so popular in Europe for a few reasons.
Firstly there are a lot of really good and more affordable EVs on the market. Europe also gets Tesla vehicles later than the US, and in the UK and Ireland they have to have the wheel on the right so it takes even longer to get to those countries.
Europe also has some really good non-Tesla charging networks. In fact the UK's first national charging network was paid for partly by Nissan and Renault, and favoured CHAdeMO which only the Leaf had. Remember that i
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Europe hits Tesla with 10% import tariffs (atop the cost of overseas shipping), so it's an artificially created advantage for local players that encourages Tesla to bias more of its supply to other markets. Also, at least in the realtime-reporting countries, Tesla has nearly doubled its market share this quarter. It's all about how much supply can arrive (this quarter, Model Ys from Shanghai just started arriving); pricing adjusts to ensure that it's all consumed. Of late, price adjustments have been upwa
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The EU has a trade deal that reduces tariffs on Japanese vehicles to 0%. Japan's standards are close enough to EU ones to make it happen. US standards are quite different so even without tariffs (which are matched by the US, it's not just the EU trying to keep US manufacturers out) there would be additional cost and delay.
Japan drives on the left too so cars developed there are designed for RHD, which means sometimes the UK and Ireland gets them before the rest of Europe.
Re: Odd list of "most popular vehicles" (Score:2)
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Not in all parts of Europe. In the more densily propulated parts, sure, but that is not all of Europe.
Over here Teslas have become a common replacement for the BMWs and Audis that are a huge market segment, and they are definitely not small cars either.
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and are driven just as badly as the Audi's and Beemers. Most Model 3's I see go past me as if I'm standing still yet I'm doing the speed limit. As for turn signals... They are a thing of the past for these drivers.