Europe Vs. North America in WiFi growth. 214
r.future writes " InfoSync World and netstumbler.com have posted an interesting story that speculates about the financial growth of WiFi networks In Europe anD North America from 2003-2008. The story states: 'Insight Research's analysis of the WiFi industry, WiFi in North America and Europe: Telecommunications' Future 2003-2008, suggests that wireless LAN technology - increasingly popping up in public spaces such as airports and cafes, in private residences, and in businesses - will grow faster in Europe than North America. Worldwide WiFi revenues are expected to grow from $7 billion USD in 2003 to over $44 billion USD by 2008, at a compounded annual rate of 44 percent.'"
Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:5, Insightful)
There is a greater tendency to gather in concentrated areas (witness the Cafe culture prevalent through the continent) and an overall higher density that is much more conducive to the increased usage of WiFi hotspots.
I wouldn't be surprised if, just based on the tighter physical plant of your average European city, a resident or visitor is much more likely to be within range of an 802.11b/g hub, different attitudes towards technological adoption notwithstanding.
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:3, Insightful)
What was more on my mind was the idea that a critical mass of people by a hub is necessary for successful WiFi, and that the physical/social layout of European cities especially is more conducive to the formation of such a mass.
Once again, my utopian vision has been nixed by technology. Drat.
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:3, Informative)
Satellete communication too.. (Score:3, Interesting)
In general, European cities are older / more historical etc. It is not as ease to get planning permission to dig up roads for fiber optics.
This makes wireless feasible.
But, the US generally has taller buildings, so why are you not using this advantage?
Also, satellite broadband is becomming increaingly popular with very high bandwidth:
Germany and the Netherlands have excellent satellite services in place. France and the UK are not far behind.
Related story:
http://www.computerweekly.com/Arti
Re:Satellete communication too.. (Score:2)
Re:Satellete communication too.. (Score:2)
Some other factors: we probably aren't counting private internal corporate office wireless networks in the figur
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:2)
It depends what you mean by Europe, of course, but after the next round of expansion in 2004, when Eastern European cou
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:2, Informative)
Europe already has a much higher population that the US. According the CIA World Fact Book, the US has a population of 290,342,554.
The combined population of the UK, France, Germany, Spain, Italy, Austria, Portugal, Finland, Greece, Belgium, Demark, Ireland, Luxembourg, Sweden & The Netherlands is 380,116,637.
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:2)
It looks like you are the one who should explain what you mean by Europe . In the same comment you use Europe ("Eastern European countries") as a continent and as a political thing ("Europe is actually going to have a population
The population of the continent of Europe will not increase b
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:5, Informative)
You've got odd ideas about the amount of open space in the USA. I found some stats here [eurolegal.org]:
Europe's overall population density is 115 people per square km (and that number is pulled *right* down by sparsely populated areas such as Iceland), compared the USA's density of 29 people per square km.
Europe just doesn't do wide open spaces like the US does. As a Briton who's travelled a fair amount in mainland Europe, and whos driven across the USA twice (take the hi-line across Montana then tell me the USA is densely populated), those figures tally pretty well with my expectations.
At this early stage, however, nobody expects WiFi in the back of beyond. Hotspots in towns is where it's going to happen. Perhaps this article is using the wrong measurement. Rather than raw investment figures, or investment per square km, they should be measuring investment per unit of population.
The danger of this, of course, is the same thing as what's happening with broadband. British Telecom brags that 90% of the population has a DSL enabled exchange. Unfortunately those 90% of the population live on 10% of the land: i.e. reaching the remaining 10% of the population is going to be a hell of a job. (stats in last paragraph dredged from memory, approximate, illustrative only).
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:2)
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:2)
I think
The post I responded to is (at time of writing) rated -1, with one "overrated" moderation. Pretty harsh, when someone thinks a score of 0 is overrated
The post I responded to seemed to suggest (by
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:2)
I spent a lot of time in NYC trying to find a place like the 100m sqaure on which my office in London is situated. The nearest other such square is onl
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:2)
I was going to say "Nobody mentioned the EU until you did", but that stat was for the EU, so well caught! As another poster pointed out, though, there are big empty places in Europe: Norway, Scotland, Finland...
You've plucked that 10% figure out of thin air
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:4, Insightful)
Since when have France and Germany been second/third world countries? I'm not sure how anybody could think they don't have nationwide telecommunications networks (never heard of Deutsche Telekom, France Telecom?)
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:2, Informative)
Huh? You do not seriously believe yourself what you just wrote, right? As far as I know, most western European countries have a very good land line network, and I can speak here from first hand experience in Germany.
Actually, when digital wireless phone networks were introduced in Germany 1991/92
Re:Perhaps an odd perspective... (Score:5, Informative)
From the CIA World Factbook (http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geo
general assessment: Germany has one of the world's most technologically advanced telecommunications systems; as a result of intensive capital expenditures since reunification, the formerly backward system of the eastern part of the country, dating back to World War II, has been modernized and integrated with that of the western part domestic: Germany is served by an extensive system of automatic telephone exchanges connected by modern networks of fiber-optic cable, coaxial cable, microwave radio relay, and a domestic satellite system; cellular telephone service is widely available, expanding rapidly, and includes roaming service to many foreign countries international: Germany's international service is excellent worldwide, consisting of extensive land and undersea cable facilities as well as earth stations in the INMARSAT, INTELSAT, EUTELSAT, and INTERSPUTNIK satellite systems (2001)
wifi@SFO (Score:2, Insightful)
I had the sweet surprise to see some Wifi logo in SFO.
I then open my iBook and check for a network, which I find.
I try to browse and find a web page which asks me to pay 25$.
Bullshit!
How do they believe they will sell such access, especially to people who need at most one hour accesses ???
If you want such networks to develop, you will have to give the access for FREE (as in Beer).
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:1)
Same deal, same ripoff.
(And, yes, wifi 'wants' to be free)
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:2)
Because everybody knows that developing such networks costs them nothing.
Ok so $25 is a bit on the high side, but I don't see why they couldn't charge a small fee dor the service they provide.
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:2, Insightful)
Remember the wireless telephone boom only started when they began giving away phones with subscriptions.
Here, it's the same deal : let people depend on these accesses and insert a decently sized ad in the pages they'll be browsing (this could BTW be an ad for one of the airport shops)...
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:4, Interesting)
Here (Finland) they NEVER gave away phones with subscriprions (in fact, tying the device with the service is illegal. You buy the service and the phone separately), and the usage of mobile-phones spread like wildfire.
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:2)
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:5, Insightful)
Hmmm, here are some facts [cia.gov](paid for by the American taxpayers, should I add)
USA Exports : $687 billion f.o.b. (2002 est.)
USA Imports : $1.165 trillion f.o.b. (2002 est.)
USA balance : - $487 billion
France Exports : $307.8 billion f.o.b. (2002)
France Imports : $303.7 billion f.o.b. (2002 est.)
France balance : $4.1 billion
Germany Exports : $608 billion f.o.b. (2002 est.)
Germany Imports : $487.3 billion f.o.b. (2002 est.)
Germany balance : $120.7 billion
Belgium Exports : $162 billion f.o.b. (2002 est.)
Belgium Imports : $152 billion f.o.b. (2001)
Belgium balance : $10 billion
Finland Exports : $40.1 billion f.o.b. (2002)
Finland Imports : $31.8 billion f.o.b. (2002 est.)
Finland balance : $8.3 billion
Come on now, who hasn't figured your statement yet ? The USA is widely known for having a hugely negative trade balance. These few figures are just examples.
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:2)
The EU sure has some import bans and quotas, but so does the US. The so-called free-market is mostly for domestic products.
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:2)
Uh, no. There was no trade-barrier protecting Nokia back then (and there isn't one today). Most of the Nokia-phones that are sold here (except for some hi-end model) are made in Germany or Hungary. Hi-end models (such as the Communicator) are still made in Finland.
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:2)
I know people who have had 8210's, and I haven't seen any problems with that phone. And it was made elsewhere besides Finland to my knowledge.
mirko's wifi business plan (Score:1)
How could this fail? Surely companies will be queuing up to invest money with no hope of every recouping it! It could herald a who new era of a financial planning ... mirkonomics.
Re:mirko's wifi business plan (Score:2)
As for poorer passengers (who are stuck out in the main terminal anyway) - I'm pretty sure that the duty free shops would rather have people browsing out of boredom rather than glued to their laptops. After all, that's how the shops make sales.
Airlines have demonstrated on many occasions that they don't give a s*** about non-premium class passengers - why are they go
Frisco :-( (Score:2, Funny)
Re:wifi@SFO (Score:2)
The Denver airport (passed through it each way between LAS and PHF recently) has big banners hanging in its gate areas touting wireless access. No mentio
Europe (Score:1, Troll)
Re:Europe (Score:2)
Re:Europe (Score:2)
Re:Europe (Score:2)
Because outside University is the real world. If someone goes to the trouble and expense of providing a service for you, they usually expect something in return.
Granted, University life doesn't always equate to "real life" but in the case of paying for services, University students pay for them. If you don't believe me, I have a $15,000+ (USD) tuition bill for this semester and a huge pile of student loans I can show you.
University students DO pay for their access even though the charges for it might n
Re:Europe (Score:2)
Re:Europe (Score:5, Informative)
ok it might not be legal to use those, but you can get wireless internet access virtually everywhere in town.
Re:Europe (Score:1)
Of course, his connection sucks - I checked his router (also VERY open), and it would seem that he has another visitor on his WLAN as well, using all the bandwidth (the rat!). So I've kept my wirefull ADSL.
Re:Europe (Score:2)
[Rumoured, so take it with a pinch of salt. ;-) ]
At home, perhaps... (Score:5, Informative)
But for public access? Way too expensive, for one, and secondly there are really few people who trot around with their laptops, with the exception of air travellers, where wifi is a definite niche product with a future.
There have been projects to create free acess wifi networks around European cities but these need a level of collaboration which Europeans don't seem able to give.
Finally, Europe is _so_ wired. Why go wireless? For instance, in Brussels, there must be several hundred cybershops which offer internet at 1 Euro per hour.
Re:At home, perhaps... (Score:4, Insightful)
What about PDA's?
Re:At home, perhaps... (Score:2)
PDAs with wifi. (Score:2)
I'm in the UK and I recently purchased a palm tungesten T3.
PDAs with WiFi are not common, period.
They are physically bigger, much more expensive, have even worse battery life and there's not many models to choose from. I'm sure that my next PDA will have wifi not bluetooth but that's in a year or two.
Re:At home, perhaps... (Score:2, Funny)
How exactly is that ironic?
Re:At home, perhaps... (Score:1)
Re:At home, perhaps... (Score:2, Funny)
Should we be suprised by this? (Score:4, Interesting)
The USA has been behind in the uptake of a lot of technologies recently - mobile, WiFi and broadband to make just three.
Why is this? Many Americans that it is because of the USAs more disperse population, but personally I find that a very poor excuse considering, for instance, the places with the strongest usage of these technologies (Norway, Finland) are actually harsh environments with disperse populations.
Personally I think the route cause may be fairly simple. It has become common in the USA to believe that a completely free market always comes up with the most efficient solution, and that which is best for the people. Perhaps this just isn't true in these situations.
So for instance, the competing standards for the mobile phone networks in the USA, where as in Europe they agreed on a standard beforehand. Perhaps government regulation of this sort in Europe is actually a good, positive thing?
It has also become worryingly popular in the USA of late to dismiss outright views that don't fit the neo-Con agenda, so I expect I am going to be mocked by some for even proposing that government regulation might be senisble in some situations, and that the European system might be better in this regard. It is interesting to note that the World Economics Forum recently identified Finland as being the most competitive country in the world from a business perspective, despite it being a fully paid up member of the EU and the Euro currency.
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:1, Funny)
Dont worry, Finland can soon expect to be 'liberated' from their cruel and oppressive competitive overlords.
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
No kidding. There isn't going to be a wifi network that spans the country because of a single company. You really just need the government for large-scale, for-the-public-good type of projects. Corps don't care about the public good, just the short term buck, so they lack a certain grandness of
It's not just a matter of progress (Score:2, Interesting)
In this case, the proper calculus is not limited to, "Which system or combination of systems produces the greatest benefit to the greatest number of people?" There are lots of other considerations as well, including, "Is it fair to confiscate someone's income to benefit someone else?" and "Is it right to command decisions that can be left to individual choice?"
This last one IMO outweighs all other consid
Regulation != socialism (Score:5, Insightful)
Yes, it would be better if everybody drove on the side of the road he wishes and the voltage in the plug was different in each town.
It's not about state ownership. It's about regulation.
Good lord, do I really need to point out... (Score:2, Insightful)
Driving on your own side of the road = clear and present danger to life.
Using different wireless technologies on different bands = no such danger.
Come on, you (the moderators) can do better than this.
Re:Regulation != socialism (Score:2, Informative)
Voltage one is good though, however is it a government ma
Re:Regulation != socialism (Score:2, Informative)
I don't know, but until 15 years ago countries in the EU (then EC) still had slightly different voltages (e.g. Germany 220V, UK 240V), in the last 15 years the EU was gradually moving to a common standarf of 230V. And I would be quite suprised if this wouldn't have happened in compliance with some EU law
Re:Regulation != socialism (Score:2)
Nice try, but agreeing on the side of the road we drive on is a safety issue. Wireless phone protocols are not. As for the voltage thing, please show me the government regulation that sets the voltage. Can't find it? That's because the market decided upon a standard, but only after the early providers fought it out with incompatible systems. Don't you know the whole Tesla's
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:2, Informative)
I have no problem with the neo-Cons. What I do have a real big problem with is the aggressive way they to try to completely distort, dismiss or destroy any person/organisation that doesn't agree with them. That is extremely unhealthy from my point of view.
Do you know, for instance, that Ashcroft is currently trying to use ancient and irrelevant laws to destroy Greenpeace in the USA [alternet.org]? Now, that kind of thing I really object to, and I will continue to "pick on" the neo-Con
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:2)
Maybe you should tell that to Ohio [guardian.co.uk], or is that just more left wing media invective?
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:2)
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:3, Insightful)
Interesting view - of course individuals would have the opportunity to use any technology they wished even though they may be unsupported by a network carrier. I can use a CDMA phone in the UK if I want, provided I want to use it as a paperweight. I don't not have the choice because of evil government interference but because
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:2)
I don't remember the US Federal government mandating the use of HTML, do you? In fact, the evolution of HTML through competition by Microsoft and Netscape is a perfect example of how the free market works.
Competition drives innovation.
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:5, Informative)
I feel I should reply to this as there are a few inaccuracies here:
GSM wasn't "mandated". In summary most of Western Europe agreed that there should be a single, interoperable standard to replace the early analogue phone networks (i.e. "2G" replacing "1G"). The hardware and software vendors built their own common reference and then it was put out into a single standard. This is no different to everyone agreeing to Internet Protocol rather than a soup of protocols and interconnects. Remember that wasn't a free market choice either. Every vendor licences from the GSM group so it isn't "open" in the more modern sense but if you are a telco the licences are freely available for low fees.
Remember in Europe there is a much greater sense that we, the voters, own the commons (such as radio spectrum or fishing rights) so that corporations have to be good citizens or we'll withdraw their franchise (i.e. the citizens will regulate them out of existence). We are often much more bemused by the adherence to free market principles that don't make sense - such as the Californian Electricity Regulation (it is not de-regulation, just a different regime) that is based almost exactly on the UK's original privatisation model. Note that the UK changed the model rapidly once we realised the problems inherent in the risks and rewards of such a setup - but California ignored the issues until recently. Your politicians really don't act in your interests!
You are right, CDMA is better - but that's simply due to the relative ages of the designs. So much more is known now that CDMA looks poor compared to the much-later 3G designs - and I'm sure that future schemes will produce even better connectivity.
Which needless restrictions are you mentioning? Such as the interoperability requirements, transparent interconnection and billing? Number portability (you've finally caught up with that only 20 years later...:-)
There are several, competing reasons why the US falls behind at technologies it should be leading the world in... (especially when you consider the discrepancies in R&D spends).
The US regulatory regime hinders mobile uptake. Mobiles aren't easily identifiable as such - most GSM-using countries push their phones onto a separate area code for ease-of-identification (e.g. UK has 01... for all landline area codes and 07... for all cellular). "Caller-Pays" isn't evenly implemented in the US - so not only do you not know if you are calling a mobile, you aren't sure if you'll pay to receive calls too! This principle makes phone service in many countries much more transparent - and hence more likely to be used. I know if I call a landline I'll pay 3-7 cents and a mobile will cost 20-50 U.S. cents per minute, but to receive I'll pay nothing - ever. As a mobile user that makes me much more likely to leave the phone on compared to my American friends. In every GSM country all providers must interoperate with each other. This is true for voice in the US, but not for all the extras such as SMS texting. Please note that this is responsible for up to 50% of the profits of GSM providers! Also, one number finds me anywhere in the world. No other system offers that.
The proliferation of wireless technologies has stopped you buying one phone and using it with any provider - increasing your costs.
It has also stopped you from having an open market in more modern phones - only "approved" phones are available from your telco - so they maximise profits by providing you with older-generation phones with crappy features for high prices - hence the US/rest-of-world split when it comes to deciding that Bluetooth is dead. We see the benefits with our newer generation handsets, but you struggle to get a limited range. Try Nokia.co.uk and see the number of phones you can buy!
Vendor lock-in has really reduced your choice and increased your prices. It's only a free market for the Telco - certainly not you.
Finally, you are comparing apples to oranges.
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:4, Interesting)
I don't want "caller pays." I want people to be able to call me without them stopping to think whether the call is going to cost them a fortune or not. If it's a choice, that's fine, but in Europe (AFAIK) there is not even a choice for receiver-pays.
Besides which, if receiving calls costing a lot is really a problem, make the first 30 seconds free, so the receiver has the right to hang up if he doesn't want to pay for the call. Me, I don't care: I have 300 minutes/month during the day, and 3000 minutes/month nights and weekends, neither of which I even come close to using up.
One-size-fits-all SUCKS.
Huh, ever heard of 1-800 numbers? (Score:2)
Sigh, I more and more get the impression that you're either a troll or some sort of a free market fanatic of the take no prisoner sort.
Anyway, here's the plan to follow if you want to pay for incoming phone calls in Europe, doesn't matter if from a cell phone or a land line (with the ex
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:2, Insightful)
I feel I have to respond to this.
It works like this. Caller pays is a simple way to reduce complexity in a bill for someone who is unsure about whether they need a mobile or not.
Market making is about moving the wavering mass to change their habits and get onto the "new" whatever it is.
Caller pays is a market making move that then gives every person the ability to say "I want a mobile, but I want to retain "control" of my spend. (remember this is a reduction in percieved complexity - having free minute
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:2)
You sound like a Qualcomm shill (Score:3, Interesting)
Well, even though CDMA is apparently so much better (I hear this line a lot, but frankly I care about usability and n
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:2)
Please explain to me how any economy, even the US economy, can grow during a recession? The definition of a recession is an economic contraction (usually for 2 successive quarters). Anyway let's examine the truth of this statement by looking at the last US recession, in 2
Re:It's not just a matter of progress (Score:3, Informative)
Why are you dragging in Communism?
The above poster mentioned Finaland and Norway, they are social-democratic countries with a market economy but also with some governmental regulations. Finland is a EU and Euro member, Norway is a EEC member. Both have massive amounts of their incomes from trade with other countries.
When you lump socialism together with communism you are degrading the difference betwe
Re:Communism/socialism (Score:2)
How would you like to work in a school filled with trash and messy tables?
The janitor's job is just as difficult as the teachers, perhaps even more so. It is a thankless job as well. Yet he does it. Why should he not be compensated equally?
Re:Communism/socialism (Score:2)
As for your second paragraph, this is toal bullshit since a true socialist doesn't believe in government control over the economy AT ALL. Thats just a twisted Soviet-Stalinist view of what socialism / communism means. It's not wh
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
Why "despite" it being a member of the EU and Euro? One of the reasons for the EU and the Euro is to create a single European trade block, and as everyone knows, the larger the block and the less barriers to free trade exist, the more competition there is within the block.
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:3, Interesting)
Not by me - here's [philippelegrain.com] is an interesting article that compares the economies of the EU and the USA, and dispells the myths that the American economic model is better:
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
And if your per capita GDP goes from $1 per year up to $2 a year, you'll have a 100% increase in your standard of living, making those Europeans look like a gang of lazy bums - of course, the elephant in the living room in such a case is that your absolute standard of living is still abysmal by comparison. And then the follow-up question is
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
Except that it isn't. The numbers for 2001 are the easiest to lay my hands on at the moment, so in Sweden, for example, the average number of hours worked per person in 2001 was 1,603, and the per capita GDP was about $24,700 (purchasing-power parity adjusted). That works out to about $15.40 per hour per worker. Contrast with the US, which h
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
LOL - I almost missed this one.
Yes, yes - we all know that European politicians would dearly love for the euro to become the world's de facto reserve currency. And then they'll discover that 35 hour work weeks are still too long, and wouldn't it be nice to have 27 hour work week, and just think of how many jobs that'll create, and spending 28% of GDP on welfare really isn't enough, so let's boost it to 3
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
Re:Should we be suprised by this? (Score:2)
It's sad that there are so many in the USA that believe this these days.
This is the 21st century. We should be getting more civilised, not less. Many in the USA seem to believe that the only model that works is one of selfish individualism - like animals - and want to drag the rest of the world down to their level.
Sweet... All good news (Score:2)
Dial up access sucks in UK since one has to pay per-minute phone rates, even local calls. Worse, it looks like my poor ole trusty ISP that I've had an account on since 1982* (no lie) that I kept around for worldwide access (compuserve classic) is dropping local numbers. In England they now only have a national number (and it ain't toll free of course).
Any hi
Re:Sweet... All good news (Score:2)
Re:Sweet... All good news (Score:2)
Re:Sweet... All good news (Score:2)
I remember hearing that there's a pub in St Albans which offers WiFi access. Ok just found the info:
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/59/28381.h
Anyway, if you can swallow your pride then use AOL, they have a long trial period in their latest pack, free calls included.
Re:Sweet... All good news (Score:2, Informative)
O/T Free ISP in Japan? (Score:2)
Free access in London (Score:2)
Edgware Road is the same. Ditto goes for the Kings Cross area.
The biggest problem you will encounter is how to use your laptop without getting soaked.
Helpful info (Score:2)
$44 billion in 2008??? (Score:2, Insightful)
The "problem" is that most people who need net daily already have connection at home and at work. Thus they would use Wifi only if it's cheap.
Makes sense... (Score:2, Interesting)
Ergo, Europe is likely to have more WiFi access than the US - basically because the scale of WiFi fits the geographical scale more closely...
reasons for the faster grow in europe... (Score:3, Informative)
so, to sum it up: Europe's average small country size is the main reason for the faster spreading of WiFi technology
Wifi profits (Score:2, Insightful)
I see WiFi hardware being sold to places that want easy access available for their own purposes - homes, workplaces as well as cafes etc, but whether commercial/subscription access will be as big is less convincing.
I'd have hoped the /. crowd would know better (Score:3, Informative)
Last time I checked, 2008 was in the future. And AFAIK, nobody knows the future. It's not like we never experienced that. The Internet bubble is not so old that we forgot its lessons. Do you remember the 2004 projections for internet advertising or 3G mobile data consumption back in 2000?
No, the US are not lagging behind because of the neo-cons, population density or consumer culture or whatever. The US ARE not lagging behind, period. The ONLY fact we can comment is that some (unknown) guy pretends that they WILL in 5 years.
Yeah, and 1-Billion Bluetooth by 2005 (Score:2)
At the time, there were approximately 0Bil Bluetooth devices in existance. Frankly, that number was pulled straight out of someone's ass and is just another reason I consider such forcasts to be irresponsibly bogus.
--Richard
Re:I'd have hoped the /. crowd would know better (Score:2)
What most ppl are bringing up are points to consider, usually referred to as a discussion.
Note that the paper references previous trends and then uses these trends to model future behaviour. Just in case you are wondering yes the US is lagging behind, cell phone use has been taken up in other count
Jobs growth is more important that network growth. (Score:2, Insightful)
Thanks, Captain Obvious (Score:2, Funny)
No Duh!
err this is news... (Score:2)
Why would WIFI be around in 4 years? (Score:2)
These projections look like those of an economist, not someone in the biz. I'm sincerely hoping that in 4 years WIFI will be near dead and we'll be up to one of the other standards being developed with 10 mile ranges and faster speed. Longer ranges would better fit the footprint of the existing cell towers and allow us to reuse infrastructure. And the faster speed would keep me from needing to plug into the wall during meetings because the speed of the office WIFI network sucks.
Perhaps though, I'm speak
Re:Well sheesh.... (Score:2)
In surface area [enchantedlearning.com] (which is what matters in telecom), the continent of Europe is est. 3,837,000 Sq. Miles (9,938,000 Sq. Km) vs North America at 9,365,000 Sq. Miles (24,256,000 Sq. Km). The United States alone [census.gov] comes out to 3,537,438 Sq. Miles.