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Intel Hardware Technology

Intel Executives Say a Manufacturing Spinoff Is Possible (yahoo.com) 30

Intel's interim co-CEOs acknowledged that the company may be forced to sell its manufacturing operations if a new chipmaking technology slated for next year does not succeed. Reuters reports: Speaking at a Barclays investment banking conference in San Francisco on Thursday, Michelle Johnston Holthaus and David Zinsner - who were tapped as co-CEOs after the ouster of former CEO Pat Gelsinger last week - were asked if the company's continued combination of manufacturing and design was tied to the success of a new chipmaking technology called 18A due next year. Intel plans to use that technology to bring manufacturing of a flagship PC chip back in-house after being forced to outsource its biggest product to rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. "Pragmatically, do I think it makes sense that they're completely separated and there's no tie?" Holthaus said of the company's product and manufacturing divisions. "I don't think so. But someone will decide that."

Zinsner, also chief financial officer, outlined how Intel is already separating the finances and operations of this manufacturing division into a standalone subsidiary. Zinsner said Intel Foundry, as the division is known, is already run separately from Intel's other businesses and is setting up a separate operational board and business process software system. "That's going to happen," Zinsner said. "Does it ever fully separate? That's an open question for another day."

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Intel Executives Say a Manufacturing Spinoff Is Possible

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  • No one buys Intel because of their designs. Although it is cool how much they formally verify their chips.
    • Re:Won't help (Score:4, Insightful)

      by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Thursday December 12, 2024 @11:12PM (#65009683) Homepage Journal

      What would happen if they had another defective batch for two years, like the 13 and 14th gen chips?

      At least at the moment intel is definitely responsible and can be easily forced to replace your CPU with a fixed one.

      • True point, it would be worse for the world if Intel went out of businesses. I'd rather see them turn it around and stay competitive but I don't know what it will take for them to do that.
  • by awwshit ( 6214476 ) on Thursday December 12, 2024 @11:29PM (#65009703)

    How many prayers does it take to succeed in the chip business?

    Is there a Moore's Law equivalent? I'm just assuming that the number of prayers required is a direct ratio to the number of transistors.

  • by DrMrLordX ( 559371 ) on Friday December 13, 2024 @12:26AM (#65009757)

    There are allegations circulating that the board pushed him out over his refusal to consider spinning off the fabs. Also Intel may lose their CHIPS money if they follow through.

    • CHIPS money is nice, but it won't be a deciding factor for Intel. They've gotten $8B off CHIPS. That buys about a quarter for a major semiconductor player.
      • I can see them pocketing the existing CHIPS money and forcing the government to "buy ownership" in the new spin-off, which will be used as a debt instrument.
        • CHIPS money is reimbursement for attaining pre-defined milestones in the projects.

          $0.00 upfront.

          Money is allocated based on a project plan, but not paid until the milestones are reached. It is not some cost+ boondoggle.

  • by Anonymous Coward

    Letting them put out crap GPUs for over 3 decades made Intel completely miss out on AI.
    That division is the root of all evil within Intel.

  • Sell to who? (Score:4, Insightful)

    by fuzzyfuzzyfungus ( 1223518 ) on Friday December 13, 2024 @02:20AM (#65009893) Journal
    I'm sure a CFO has some sort of elaborate M&A plan in mind; or at least an idea of who to call in to cook one up; but I'm having trouble seeing the endgame here:

    If Intel's 18A process is unsuccessful then they'll be trying to sell a bunch of 10nm and older fabs that have "INTEL HAD TO GO TO TSMC TO STAY COMPETITIVE" spraypainted on them. Certainly not worthless; it's not like 10 and 14nm logic silicon is super old and busted(and there's still an awful lot done on considerably larger processes); but who is the buyer who would value them more than Intel does; and what customers are they going to be fabbing for that Intel's 'foundry services' attempts wouldn't be able to reach?

    Is the hypothesis that the fabs are internally mismanaged in some way that would be decisively improved by whatever private equity outfit is feeling flush on a given day? Is it purely a matter of a finance guy seeing an opportunity to increase the amount of finance Intel does in the future, even if that's unrelated to how long that future is?
    • but who is the buyer who would value them more than Intel does

      Intel is underusing them because they won't just fab anything for anyone. They are potentially capable of producing a lot more profit in someone else's hands. They won't work for producing modern, competitive processors, so their value to intel is very low. There is zero demand for less competitive parts which cost more because the dies are larger and use more power because the features are larger.

      • No disagreement on Intel's apparent underuse; but(at least in theory) they've been open for business since they started talking up "Intel Foundry Services"(and possibly by less public special arrangement prior to that; but that was the branding for their big "we want to be a credible merchant foundry that also does a lot of work for Intel" push).

        They do apparently have some foundry or advanced packaging customers, and they did some internal P&L rearrangement to allow for better accounting of the Intel
        • it's definitely not a case where spinning off would be required to do 3rd party work.

          Not all of it, no, just the stuff that competes with them that they would not do or would give an unfavorable deal on. Intel has a long and storied history of anticompetitive activity, so that is not a stretch in any way.

    • I understand that there are some customers who are concerned about handing over chip designs to Intel fabs, even if Intel promises that the info will be firewalled from it's own designers.

      So, there is a chance that there will be more potential customers if Intel is no longer in control of those fabs.

  • The death of Intel? (Score:2, Interesting)

    by bradley13 ( 1118935 )
    A chip company that doesn't make chips? Long-term, that has got to be the death of Intel. The fabs are their big asset. It's hugely expensive to create and run fabs. Literally anyone can design chips.
    • I'm not sure about that. Xilinx and Altera seemed to be doing fine fabless for quite some time. It's not clear what the long-term impact will f integrating into intel and and fab processes will be, or how it impacts cost, or quality. Full disclosure, I worked at Xilinx for the last three years of the 90s. Seeing test results, pricing, and binning from multiple fabs was useful.
    • AMD made the same move years ago (they spun off their foundry in 2009 and sold it off in 2012) and has been doing significantly better since then.

      I'm not saying it will work out the same for Intel, but its not an automatic assured death sentence.

      I'd really hate to see Intel go under as competition is good for the consumer and we need multiple players in the industry.

  • by Ecuador ( 740021 ) on Friday December 13, 2024 @03:30AM (#65009945) Homepage

    These co-CEOs know nothing about the history of Intel? Sure they were lucky with IBM starring the whole x86 PC, but the biggest reason they kept growing through the 90s and 00s was their fabs. Even through the period when they had complete dogshit designs (netburst) vs the competition, their fabs were the only reason (apart from various anti-competitive schemes) they were keeping up and were able to pull ahead again the moment they got a competitive design again.

  • I guess Intel will now either start to make good CPUs or die. My money is on the latter.

  • by Laxator2 ( 973549 ) on Friday December 13, 2024 @07:48AM (#65010235)

    Looks like Intel tried to use the political connections of their CEO to force Apple and Nvidia to use their foundries:

    https://www.tomshardware.com/t... [tomshardware.com]

    Another thing was to get subsidies from the government under the CHIPS act:

    https://www.tomshardware.com/t... [tomshardware.com]

    Now that these have no chance of materializing, and their attempt to corner the market for EUV litography machines proved too expensive, the CEO was kicked out and they have to follow in the steps of AMD.

    • Maybe if the US gov promises to buy XXX number of nvidia / Apple products fabed at Intel US fabs, they will agree.

      Otherwise why would they want to create products that will be beaten by the competition using TSMC fabs?

  • The whole "CHIPS act" money requires that Intel keep its fabs. So, Intel can not spin off the fabs without losing that $8 billion+.

  • How many transistors does Intel actually build, especially compared to AMD, Apple, and non-Apple ARM chips?

    I only found an Intel site claiming 300 quadrillion transistors in 2024. Which is just 11 million M1 chips, and a number on Wikipedia is about 22 quintillion total in 2024 (all manufacturers), which is about 70 times more.

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