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World's Biggest Banks Pledge Support For Nuclear Power 81

Fourteen of the world's biggest banks and financial institutions are pledging to increase their support for nuclear energy [non-paywalled link], a move that governments and the industry hope will unlock finance for a new wave of nuclear power plants. FT: At an event on Monday in New York with White House climate policy adviser John Podesta, institutions including Bank of America, Barclays, BNP Paribas, Citi, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs will say they support a goal first set out at the COP28 climate negotiations last year to triple the world's nuclear energy capacity by 2050.

They will not spell out exactly what they would do, but nuclear experts said the public show of support was a long-awaited recognition that the sector had a critical role to play in the transition to low-carbon energy. The difficulty and high cost of financing nuclear projects has been an obstacle to new plants and contributed to a significant slowdown in western countries since a wave of reactors was built in the 1970s and 1980s.
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World's Biggest Banks Pledge Support For Nuclear Power

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  • by Seven Spirals ( 4924941 ) on Tuesday September 24, 2024 @02:29PM (#64813701)
    Access to energy isn't a huge problem. Wind and solar are pretty cheap these days and don't require huge over-budget engineering projects and deep government backing. The real problem is how and where to store the extra energy you produce to smooth out power availability. With CATL, Samsung, and others working on far more powerful solid state batteries that are slated for availability in 2028, maybe those batteries are a better pipe dream than the thought that any of these nuclear plants would come online?
    • Data centers are not going to decrease in popularity any time soon and they have fairly fixed power requirements around the clock. Nuclear makes far more sense for any scenario where there is a relatively constant demand for power as it can produce that fixed demand. There are forms of renewable energy like geothermal that also work well in these situations, but wind and solar are going to need batteries to store excess for the times when they aren't operating at sufficient levels to supply the needed power
      • by shmlco ( 594907 )

        We'll see. Oracle is looking around obtaining 3 SMRs to power its new AI data center.

        https://www.tomshardware.com/t... [tomshardware.com]

      • With all the pressure for building data centers, both for AI and Bitcoin mining, new energy is definitely needed, and needed yesterday. Solar is useful... but until we have the batteries to store it, it still is a peak energy, while nuclear provides power 24/7, where the demand is needed for data centers, where power is used 24/7 with more cooling demands in the day (where solar/wind can help.)

        It would be nice to see these institutions throw some money into nuclear research, be it thorium plants, liquid fu

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        Depends on the data centre, ones which are CDNs follow the usual demand curve, as few people are using them at 3AM.

        As for needing constant power, the cheapest option is renewables, batteries, and long distance transmission lines. The very largest data centres can be over 100MW, but let's say 100MW since that covers more than 90% of them. Adding a gigawatt hour of battery storage is a fraction of the cost of building a datacentre that large, and will quickly pay for itself by time shifting their consumption

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by nonBORG ( 5254161 )
      It can be a combination of both. The problem with wind and solar is if you get over reliance on them and you have unusual conditions, low wind mid winter with overcast conditions. The most important thing for a grid is resilience. Nuclear is a valuable asset to a power grid.
      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        Unusual conditions aren't really an issue. You over-build renewables and have a mix, along with long distance transmission lines and storage. That covers all your regular, unavoidable demand.

        Most of the time you have a huge excess of cheap energy, which goes to processes which don't need to be operating 24/7. Fuel production, desalination, data processing that can be delayed, that sort of thing.

        If you look at historical weather, there has never been a time when either Europe or the US could not easily get b

        • If it is so cheap then go ahead and do it compete and drive the transition through providing cheaper power.
    • Solid state batteries are a great fit for electric vehicles and other electrified forms of transportation. But there are other battery chemistries that trade weight and power density for lower costs, greater longevity, and greater thermal tolerance that would be a better fit for stationary utility-scale energy storage.

      Ars Technicia just had an article the other day on the subject: link [arstechnica.com].

    • Pumped Storage Hydroelectricity (PSH) seems to be a very efficient option to solve intermittent source problem.
    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Batteries will happen and are happening now. The only question is who will be making them. With the general dysfunctionality of the west, my guess is China. We could have done better than them, but we did not even really try. Same for solar cells. All advantages the west had were simply squandered.

      • That's one perspective. Others would (quietly) say we outsourced and offshored the environmental and health impact of manufacturing batteries to shithole countries that we then traded fiat funny-money for. Sure, those battery factories and jobs could exist in the USA, but they're a disaster everywhere they build them and NIMBY Americans aren't keen to have one sitting on top of their water supply.
  • Lip service (Score:5, Interesting)

    by thegarbz ( 1787294 ) on Tuesday September 24, 2024 @02:49PM (#64813769)

    Pledging support means nothing. If they don't treat investment in nuclear more than just a number on a profit vs risk statement then it is meaningless. They need to carve out nuclear and treat it as special case or it won't get any investment. At present the investment risk is huge, the payback is tiny, the profits are barely existent and that's before you get into the insurance issue.

    Nuclear is a dead end if you treat it as a number which banks almost universally do.

    • The issues holding-back nuclear power plant construction have very little to do with access to financing, and have much more to do with political, environmental and regulatory issues.

      If a power company announced it wanted to build a nuclear power plant, the environmentalists would start suing, and keep suing, the power company for the next two decades to prevent it. The politicians would cow-tow to the environmentalists, and the regulators would slow-walk the application approval process to suit their prefe

      • Environmental review reform is something that is needed for every construction project in the US not just nuclear. Solar plants, highways, rail systems, tunnels, everything gets bogged down these days. I support regulations in general but there is plenty of space for reform and important reforms in there. .

        It was an old episode i'll see if I can find it but on Ezra Klein's podcast he was interviewing Jerusalem Demsas who writes on this topic a lot and osmethign I blieve I am recalling is that in a lot of

      • Another issue with nuclear is that after 3mi island the regulations put in place for new sites made the cost extremely high, plus any new site is bespoke. France got around this by choosing a “standard” site design used and locations specifically chosen to work with that design vs the other way around. If the US can revise regulations to make nuclear possible and come up with a strategy to leverage re-usable site design, it can come back. Anything is possible to reduce the cost while we all w
      • Maybe you should provide evidence for your speculations.

        Nuclear reactors simply aren't economically competitive, they generate electricity that is more expensive than almost anything. Even existing nuke plants are requiring $billions in federal subsidies just to keep running. Meanwhile a number licenses for new plants have been granted, mostly at places where there already are existing nuke plants so the environmental concerns have been sorted. Quite a few applications were withdrawn, probably because they

        • by sfcat ( 872532 )
          Then why can both S. Korea and China do it? Even though they are using US technology? What's different there from here? Oh right, different government.
          • >> Then why can both S. Korea and China do it?

            They can do it because they need all the electricity they can get their hands on. They don't care how much it costs. By contrast, electricity consumption in the USA levelled off about 15 years ago and we have had an adequate supply until recently with the advent of gigantic AI consumption.

            And then of course in China's case they are installing massive amounts of renewable energy as well.

            • That has changed in the past couple years. Data centers for LLMs and Bitcoin mining, as well as EV infrastructure has spiked electrical demand. That, as well as increased peak demand due to ever hotter summers.

              • Which is why I said "until recently with the advent of gigantic AI consumption". Those AI companies are welcome to build their own nuke plants.

        • Re: Lip service (Score:4, Informative)

          by Xenx ( 2211586 ) on Tuesday September 24, 2024 @04:39PM (#64814155)
          Do you have anything to back up your claims of Nuclear cost being the highest? The EIA seems to claim otherwise. https://www.eia.gov/electricit... [eia.gov] This is just a quick chart I saw, but I also saw data that I would be less confident of my interpretation on. Data seems to show that nuclear is most costly than hydro renewable, but is cheaper than fossil fuel generation.
          • by shmlco ( 594907 )

            Check out the WNA's assessment on nuclear's economics, especially in competition with renewables.

            Nuclear only works when you have a highly regulated environment in which utilities pledge to pre-purchase power over the long term.

            https://world-nuclear.org/info... [world-nuclear.org]

            That said, dedicated SMR's might change that equation.

            https://www.tomshardware.com/t... [tomshardware.com]

            • The World Nuclear Association is an industry organ and their claims can't be trusted. As for Oracle, they need the electricity and they are willing to pay a premium for it. SMR's definitely are not cheap.

              • by shmlco ( 594907 )

                The WNA may be an industry organ, but that report is remarkably unbiased.

                It explains in detail how nuclear is only competitive with renewables in a highly regulated environment where utilities pledge to pre-purchase power over the long term. Without those agreements or in a unregulated, competitive environment where they have to compete on price, then the plant has to be idled during peak solar/wind generation periods and that prevents it from ever recouping its losses.

                The SMR/data center dedicated power tr

          • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

            Your link covers operating costs of the plants, not the total cost of the energy produced, including all subsidies, construction, disposal etc. Lifetime cost is what matters.

            • by Xenx ( 2211586 )
              The problem that I find is that there isn't a clear answer. LCOE is based on semi-arbitrary factors. For example, in 2019 EIA estimated $0.0775/kWh and Lazard estimated between $0.118/kWh and $0.192/kWh. Looking at EIA's LCOE specifically, nuclear still beats out some fossil fuel generation. Combined cycle gas still comes out well ahead. Ultra-supercritical coal slightly comes out ahead, unless you account for tax credits where then nuclear barely comes out ahead. Biomass, and regular combustion turbines, b
              • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

                The cost of nuclear is almost impossible to calculate, because how do you value free infinite liability insurance? And how do you value all the R&D done by the military?

                We will keep having nuclear no matter what it costs, because we need it for weapons. The best we can hope for is to minimize it so we pay as little as possible, and reduce the risk as much as possible.

                If it wasn't such a monumental pain in the arse to go off-grid in the UK, I'd be seriously looking to do it.

                • by Xenx ( 2211586 )

                  The cost of nuclear is almost impossible to calculate, because how do you value free infinite liability insurance? And how do you value all the R&D done by the military?

                  Same, with the possible exception of military R&D, can be said about basically all forms of power generation. Environmental impact is always a concern. There can be a difference of scale, however.

                  We will keep having nuclear no matter what it costs, because we need it for weapons. The best we can hope for is to minimize it so we pay as little as possible, and reduce the risk as much as possible.

                  When calculating for increased risks from pollution or other factors, like nuclear disasters, nuclear still is in the top three for fewest deaths for power generated.

      • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

        by LDA6502 ( 7474138 )

        There was a study from MIT a few years back that investigated the rise in nuclear reactor building costs since the 1970s. Safety and regulatory costs accounted for around a third of the rise. Meanwhile, engineering, purchasing, planning, scheduling, supervision, and labor costs all rose significantly. Also mentioned in the study was a rise in inefficiencies, as project participants fumbled with increased complexity of such mega-projects.

        Here is an article that summarized the study: link [arstechnica.com]

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        by thegarbz ( 1787294 )

        The issues holding-back nuclear power plant construction have very little to do with access to financing, and have much more to do with political, environmental and regulatory issues.

        False. Nuclear power has difficulty getting financing because it is the most expensive way we have to produce power. That makes it a poor investment choice even before the risks.

        You can look at Australia for an example: The Coalition is running on a platform of building 8 nuclear power plants in Australia. They have said they'll take care of environment and reduce the regulatory burden to make it happen. End result? Banks said fuck no, we're not touching that, that'll lose money. Private industry said fuck

    • Re:Lip service (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Tailhook ( 98486 ) on Tuesday September 24, 2024 @03:03PM (#64813831)

      There is Big Tech money behind this. The banks want a bite of that apple. That's where this is coming from.

      Big Tech is serious about spinning up nukes for data centers. Lunduke did a video [youtube.com] about this a few days ago. The most recent big news on this is Microsoft aiming to restart the TMI-1 reactor in Pennsylvania. Oracle wants to build SMRs somewhere. Ellison hasn't said where.

      Big Tech is Big Tech: highly lucrative. Nothing moves the needle like trucks full of money.

      • If big tech is serious about spinning up nukes then banks don't need to get involved. The likes of Microsoft and Amazon self fund their PPAs with the nuclear industry. At that point again nuclear becomes just a number. If an existing contractual PPA exists then the risk / reward equation changes and the banks don't need to do anything unique for nuclear - continue treating it like a number.

        If would be more accurate to say that Big Tech is making nuclear viable against competitors in the power industry, the

        • by Tailhook ( 98486 )

          That is very naïve. No nuclear power is ever "just a number." All nuclear power is a product of private capital, local, regional and national political and regulatory interests, and subsidization. There is no way that Big Tech plans on funding this stuff entirely out of their own pockets: they're players that know how to shake the "green energy" money tree and get subsidized by public treasuries. Those subsidies are funneled through banks in the form of loan guarantees, special rates, special terms

      • maybe big subsidies not big profits. Nuclear is just too expensive.
    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Yes, pretty much. Obviously, banks are willing to give money if that money gets fully insured by the public. The insanity of the nuclear fanatics may just make that possible. And in that case the banks to not need to care whether there are any actual profits of whether that tech is actually burning mountains of money for nothing. It is very telling that no bank ever has actually invested in nuclear power.

  • I know that everyone loves it when people come out and answer questions that nobody asked, but getting the financing doesn't seem to be the problem with building nuclear power.

    Insurance, NIMBYs, lawsuits, government regulators; and of course the stratospheric cost are the problems.

    • by FrankOVD ( 4965439 ) on Tuesday September 24, 2024 @04:26PM (#64814115)
      All the reasons you mentioned are things that makes the project take a lot of time, and this is where banks can help. A major drawback of building a Nuclear Powerplant is the cost of running interests on the debt that accumulates between the beginning of the project and the time the plant actually starts pushing power to the grid. Sabine Hossenfelder made a great YouTube video essay about the problems for building nuclear power plants in the US titled "Is nuclear power really that slow and expensive."
      • The #1 thing is that banks are heavy hitters. Throw enough money at something, and it will be built. Banks and tech companies have this ability, where previously, nuclear had a relatively tiny amount of backing.

    • I know that everyone loves it when people come out and answer questions that nobody asked, but getting the financing doesn't seem to be the problem with building nuclear power..of course the stratospheric cost are the problems.

      When laying out those challenges, try not to contradict Greed right out of the equation.

      Theres a reason banks are even pledging a headline. A stratospheric fuckton of money, is often financed.

  • Asses chapped and egos bruised

  • All they say is "we will give credits if they get fully insured with public money". They are simply trying to profit from the insanity of the nuclear fanatics that want to keep an obsolete and failed tech alive at all cost.

  • by Eunomion ( 8640039 ) on Tuesday September 24, 2024 @11:21PM (#64815099)
    In the time it takes to get a single project running, and with the amount of money involved, you could have run through multiple generations of massive renewable projects, which combined would vastly out-power whatever the nuke plant produces.

    Banks and politicians like it precisely because of that. It's very slow and predictable.
    • by ledow ( 319597 )

      The average construction time is 7 years globally. Call it 10 if you want to be ultra-paranoid. That'll get you 1GW.

      A wind farm will take 6 months to get you 50MW if you're lucky.
      A solar farm will take about a year for a small handful of MW.

      I don't know what you've been reading, but nuclear is nothing more than a building project timeline, and per MW beats any renewable energy source for comparative build times.

      • Those numbers are waaaaaay off, and you're on another planet if you think the cost of a 1GW nuclear power plant could only buy 50 MW of wind or "a small handful" of solar. Inverting those numbers would be closer to reality.

        New wind capacity was about a fifth the marginal cost of nuclear capacity a decade ago, and that distance has only widened since then. And solar's cost decline has far outstripped that of wind.
        • by ledow ( 319597 )

          Nobody was mentioning cost whatsoever, we were talking about build times, and those build time numbers seem pretty universal if you have a look around.

          • I mentioned both money and build time. "In the time it takes to get a single project running, and with the amount of money involved..." Ideally we would use the combined metric, but of course it's worthwhile to look at each individually too.
      • by shmlco ( 594907 )

        China is adding wind and solar power equal to FIVE nuclear plants weekly.

        It's installing at least 10 gigawatts of wind and solar generation capacity every two weeks.

        In comparison, experts have said the Coalition's plan to build seven nuclear power plants would add fewer than 10GW of generation capacity to the grid sometime after 2035.

        Your timelines are way, way off.

        https://tribune.com.pk/story/2... [tribune.com.pk]

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      China installed 609GW of renewables in 2023.

      Not megawatts, gigawatts.

      Even if you assume a capacity factor of 20%, it's still around two large reactors a week's worth of energy added to their grid.

  • I'm going to make a wild guess that government first promised a very generous 30 year a price/volume guarantuee making the projects nearly risk free absent ridiculous cost overruns during construction.

    • When I first started studying finance, I was surprised at how much these guarantees can influence investor confidence. It’s crucial for projects like nuclear energy. I always use https://essays.edubirdie.com/finance-assignments [edubirdie.com] to learn more about such topics and when I struggle. Understanding the financial dynamics behind large projects has helped me grasp the bigger picture. If the banks commit, it could really change the game for nuclear energy and sustainability efforts.

IN MY OPINION anyone interested in improving himself should not rule out becoming pure energy. -- Jack Handley, The New Mexican, 1988.

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