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Power Science

Former Nuclear Regulatory Commission Chair Argues Nuclear Power Isn't a Climate Solution (theverge.com) 274

"Former heads of nuclear regulatory bodies across Europe and the US put out a statement this week voicing their opposition to nuclear energy as a climate solution," reports The Verge's Justine Calma. The publication spoke with Gregory Jaczko, former chairman of the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission, to learn more about why some nuclear experts oppose the energy source as a climate fix. Slashdot reader Ol Olsoc shares an excerpt of the interview: Former NRC Chair Gregory Jaczko in an interview with the Verge notes: "I think there's been a lot of misinformation about the role that nuclear power can play in any climate strategy. A lot of attention has been put on nuclear as somehow the technology that's going to solve a lot of problems when it comes to dealing with climate change. I just think that's not true. And it's taking the debate and discussion away from the areas that can have a role and that do need focus and attention." He added: "I think it's money that's not well spent. Nuclear has shown time and time again that it cannot deliver on promises about deployment and costs. And that's really the most important factor when it comes to climate." Jaczko goes on to note how many of the nuclear plants when he was chairman were supposed to come online but have experienced delays and exceptional cost overruns. Two of the four new design reactors that were licensed when he was chairman, which were supposed to be starting production in 2016 and 2017, were canceled, "and that involved federal indictments for fraud among the heads of the company running that reactor development." The other two, he says, "continue to be pushed back and now are scheduled to start in 2022 or 2023" with a price tag that's over $30 billion.
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Former Nuclear Regulatory Commission Chair Argues Nuclear Power Isn't a Climate Solution

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  • Meanwhile (Score:3, Interesting)

    by ArchieBunker ( 132337 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @12:22AM (#62216927)

    The sun is delivering free energy to us daily. Why not take advantage of that?

    • It works great during some days, not so great during other days and is really terrible at night, you know, when people may want to turn on the lights. Usually, during the winter the time between sunrise and sunset is rather short, but people want to heat their homes. some of them heat their homes using electricity.

    • The sun is delivering free energy to us daily. Why not take advantage of that?

      The Earth has been blessed with a near magical, abundant source of energy that has over 70,000 times the energy density [energyeducation.ca] of the next best thing.

      And it can deliver at night, or in heavy snow, anywhere on earth.

      Why not take advantage of that?

      • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )

        The Earth has been blessed with a near magical, abundant source of energy that has over 70,000 times the energy density [energyeducation.ca] of the next best thing.

        ...

        Why not take advantage of that?

        Gold is an excellent conductor but not all of the headphones I have have gold-plated connectors as it is more expensive that alternatives and the alternatives can be good enough. What we need is an energy system that is good enough based on a broad set of criteria, including cost, not the one that's the best on some criteria apart from cost. And it needs to be a systems-based approach.

        • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

          by MacMann ( 7518492 )

          What criteria should we use to choose our energy sources?

          CO2 emissions? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

          Safety? https://www.nextbigfuture.com/... [nextbigfuture.com]

          Raw material needs? https://cmo-ripu.blogspot.com/... [blogspot.com] (See Figure 2.)

          Energy return on energy invested? https://world-nuclear.org/info... [world-nuclear.org] (See Table 2.)

          Cost? https://www.iea.org/reports/pr... [iea.org] (See chart about 1/3rd way in.)

          I'm seeing solar power not do well on any metric when compared to other options like hydro, onshore wind, geothermal, or nuclear fission

          • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )
            I have posted better sources than this multiple times, in response to your request for better sources. You have yet again ignored them and post out-of-date or inaccurate information with regards to your stated criteria.
          • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )

            I'm seeing solar power not do well on any metric when compared to other options like hydro, onshore wind, geothermal, or nuclear fission. Given that we currently use inefficient single cycle natural gas turbines to back up solar power at night we'd see lower costs and lower CO2 emissions by just using more efficient combined cycle natural gas instead.

            I didn't make an argument for or against solar, just noted the limitations of the GPs analysis.

        • by dvice ( 6309704 )

          > Gold is an excellent conductor

          Just to make sure you know that while it is good, it is not the best. Conductivity:
          1. Silver: 6.30×107
          2. Copper 5.96×107
          3. Gold 4.11×107

          > not all of the headphones I have have gold-plated connectors as it is more expensive

          No, main reason is that it is soft metal and it wears quite fast. It is usually used in connections that are not constantly unplugged, like SIM-cards. The advantage is that it is very inert, unlike silver and copper that react with the

    • Re:Meanwhile (Score:4, Insightful)

      by MacMann ( 7518492 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @01:44AM (#62217037)

      The sun is delivering free energy to us daily. Why not take advantage of that?

      Free? Sure, solar power is as "free" as any other source of energy. Coal energy is free too. All you have to do is dig it up, build a power plant, and burn the coal. See? It's free coal. What makes solar power any more free than coal? It is not free. We have to mine the materials for turning solar power into useful energy, typically with photovoltaic panels or solar thermal systems.

      Do you mean solar power is "free" because there's no fuel costs once the power plant is built? How does that make solar power any more "free" than anything else? A big reason not to take advantage of solar power is the raw material, land, and/or labor it takes to get this "free" energy is much higher than other options. Solar power actually isn't that great on CO2 emissions compared to other options. Here's an article by a subject matter expert using data from the US government making these points: https://cmo-ripu.blogspot.com/... [blogspot.com]

      I've had people claim that the data in the article I linked to is outdated, biased, or not properly sourced. Okay then, where can I find data that is newer and says anything different? We can see a chart on CO2 emissions using a study from 2020 showing nuclear power produces less CO2 on Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

      A big reason not to use solar power is that the sun sets every night. We can use nuclear power at any time of day. One measure of this reliability of producing power is capacity factor: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

      I'll see people talk about how we can use energy storage systems with solar power to make up for this phenomenon of the failure of solar power we call "night". They will point out how we can heat up salts to the point of melting with solar thermal systems to run fast responding turbines, much like the "peaker" natural gas turbines we use now. These same people will point out how nuclear power can't match demand, and therefore aren't reliable sources of electricity. What these people can't seem to put together is that nuclear power reactors can heat up salts to the point of melting and run these same turbines.

      We are going to use nuclear power because it is just as "free" as solar power. Nuclear power is just as safe, if not safer, than solar power. Nuclear power produces less CO2, takes less land, consumes less raw materials, and requires less labor, all of which translates into lower costs. Any problems of nuclear power in matching supply to demand can be resolved with the same energy storage systems used to keep streetlamps lit during the night from solar power.

      Solar power is far from "free". Solar power is actually quite expensive.

      • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )

        https://cmo-ripu.blogspot.com/... [blogspot.com]

        I've had people claim that the data in the article I linked to is outdated, biased, or not properly sourced.

        Okay then, where can I find data that is newer and says anything different?

        AR5, just as you have been told now multiple times, with page references.

        • If you have page references then share them with the class. There's many people reading this and I suspect that they are curious what you are talking about.

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        Not only is nuclear power more expensive it takes too long to develop.

        It's also not a global solution. Most countries can't have nuclear power, for various political and security reasons. A plan that only kinda works for a minority of developed nations isn't really a plan.

      • Coal is not free nor is any fossil or nuclear fuel, you are comparing an apple to an orange.
        Coal is the fuel so you compare that to the sun or wind. The solar panel/wind turbine you compare the polluting coal power plant.
    • The sun is delivering free energy to us daily.

      The sunlight is free. Turning it into electricity is not.

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        The point is that nuclear needs fuel, and it's a problem to get it and to dispose of it.

        Solar PV is much more manageable, much cheaper and has a lifetime comparable to or longer than a nuclear plant.

        • The point is that nuclear needs fuel, and it's a problem to get it and to dispose of it.

          Part of that can be addressed with a breeder reactor.

  • Theory vs Reality (Score:5, Informative)

    by Beeftopia ( 1846720 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @12:43AM (#62216957)

    If nuclear were easy to permit and install, and not be fabulously slow and expensive to install, it could be used to combat climate change, per the article.

    But, from the summary, "Nuclear has shown time and time again that it cannot deliver on promises about deployment and costs. And that's really the most important factor when it comes to climate."

    Interesting perspective, considering the real-world hurdles to installing nuclear power and how they might be an unexpected show-stopper.

    • Yeah, it's not like he mentioned anything else holding it back, like frequent corruption and huge cost overruns.

    • by SuperKendall ( 25149 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @01:27AM (#62217023)

      Nuclear has shown time and time again that it cannot deliver on promises about deployment and costs. And that's really the most important factor when it comes to climate.

      No. The reality is that CO2 emission is THE MOST IMPORTANT reality.

      So right away that means, if you shut down any nuclear reactor that could keep running you've already said you do not care about climate, but something else. That something else is sadly a decades old haters of nuclear energy from a group of people who claimed to care about the planet but pretty near doomed it but stopping a lot of nuclear power plants from being built and thereby causing LOTS of coal plants to be built in past decades that never would have been built otherwise.

      Going forward, that's where theory vs. reality really hits - calculate how much time and raw materials it will take to build enough solar panels or wind farms to offset building one nuclear reactor.

      And then on top of that, SMRs will be viable for wide deployment in a matter of years - which should be much faster to build, and again since CO2 emissions are all that matter that's the best solution going forward.

      After all, if cost were even part of the equation you would not be talking about replacing every gas vehicle with electric within a decade or two, which will come at vast expense. I don't see why it's in any way reasonable to bring up costs when costs have been utterly ignored in all other aspects of proposed climate solutions.

      • Or it could be that we only have 5 years of uranium [phys.org] if we power everything with it.

        • That is a ridiculous article. And more over the claim that you could extract so much uranium from seawater in 30 years as to make the cost of extraction uneconomic is ridiculous. If we did extract as much uranium from seawater to power the whole world for 30 years, we would hardly change the concentration of uranium in seawater. Simplistically, if there is 5,700 years worth in seawater (itâ(TM)s really more than that) then 30 years worth is basically reducing the concentration to 99.5% of the current c

        • Or it could be that we only have 5 years of uranium if we power everything with it.

          Good thing then that we know how to make reactors that use thorium for fuel.

      • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )

        Nuclear has shown time and time again that it cannot deliver on promises about deployment and costs. And that's really the most important factor when it comes to climate.

        No. The reality is that CO2 emission is THE MOST IMPORTANT reality.

        Since we, in general, live in capitalist societies then one option to make nuclear more profitable is to introduce a carbon tax. This would also, though, make wind, solar, etc., more profitable, and so in competition nuclear might still be relatively starved of funds, but it might free up some. Funds will only go to nuclear if it can be shown to investment funds that it is sufficiently profitable, and this has generally been lacking. In particular, cost overruns during construction means that an investment

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        Look at the new nuclear plants in Europe.

        All estimated to take 10 years to build and come online. Current estimate is 20 years after they were delayed. Newly discovered design flaws in China will probably push that back even further.

        The cost is also astronomical. Literally, the only more expensive object than the Hinkley C reactor is the International Space Station.

      • by Squirmy McPhee ( 856939 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @09:22AM (#62217625)

        The reality is that CO2 emission is THE MOST IMPORTANT reality.

        And new nuclear has virtually zero to contribute between now and 2030-2035 simply because it will take that long to permit, build, and commission any meaningful new capacity. But let's say we go ahead and build new nuclear. What else should we do in the meantime to ensure we hit 2030-2035 emissions targets and stay on track for 2050? And how do we de-risk those new nuclear plants so they don't end up becoming stranded assets before they're even operational?

        calculate how much time and raw materials it will take to build enough solar panels or wind farms to offset building one nuclear reactor.

        Well, last year alone about 40 nuclear reactors worth of solar was deployed, and similar the year before that -- and that's after accounting for the difference in capacity factor. Solar farms go up fast, solar rooftops even faster.

        SMRs will be viable for wide deployment in a matter of years - which should be much faster to build, and again since CO2 emissions are all that matter that's the best solution going forward.

        Yeah, sure, been hearing that since I was a child and the Bilibino plant was commissioned. Still, maybe you're right, but that's certainly not the basket where I would choose to put all of my eggs.

        After all, if cost were even part of the equation you would not be talking about replacing every gas vehicle with electric within a decade or two, which will come at vast expense.

        Nonsense. The average vehicle stays on the road for something like eight years. A decade or two simply the amount of time it takes for the vehicle fleet to naturally turn over, no incentives or extra costs required.

  • by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @12:44AM (#62216959)

    He is probably embittered about nuclear due to something that happened while he was on the NRC. Just like that Robert Malone guy is bitter he doesn't make money from mRNA vaccines.

  • *Fission* power (Score:4, Insightful)

    by evanh ( 627108 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @12:45AM (#62216963)

    Time to stop calling it nuclear.

    • Not only should we make the distinction between fission and fusion power but we should make a distinction among the many forms of nuclear power.

      When the 737 MAX had a safety problem we grounded only the 737 MAX aircraft, not all aircraft. When we saw a known flawed RBMK reactor blow its top in the Soviet Union we should not have stopped building all nuclear reactors. When we saw a BWR reactor crack open in Fukushima we should not have shut down reactors elsewhere. I'll see morons, like Gregory Jaczko, cl

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      Rebranding in the hope that nobody notices is usually a sign of desperation due to the product being crappy.

  • by atomicalgebra ( 4566883 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @12:50AM (#62216973)
    Disgraced fired regulator with several financial conflicts of interests oppose new nuclear.

    Fuck Jackoff(I mean Jackzo). He is a fearmonger.

  • by physicsphairy ( 720718 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @12:58AM (#62216987)

    I have to admire the obliviousness with which he points out that, when he was in charge, all the projects went poorly.

    Two of the four new design reactors that were licensed when he was chairman, which were supposed to be starting production in 2016 and 2017, were canceled, "and that involved federal indictments for fraud among the heads of the company running that reactor development."

    Is the suggestion that we need a form of energy which precludes committing fraud???

    The other two, he says, "continue to be pushed back and now are scheduled to start in 2022 or 2023" with a price tag that's over $30 billion.

    Likewise, NASA's time and cost overruns prove that commercial space launches will never be viable. Oh wait the whole concept of a commercial space industry is to and manage those inefficiencies and scale up to the point of recovering fixed costs.

    I wholly agree that building the sporadic nuclear plant every couple decades while people like Jaczko peer over your shoulder is not a climate change solution. The real climate change solution is building tens of thousands of those plants - enough to replace every fossil fuel plant and enough left over energy for recapturing the previous gas emissions. Get back to me on how hard it is to build a new plant after the first hundred new plants go up.

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      Nuclear has been failing commercially since the 1960s.

      • by tomhath ( 637240 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @11:14AM (#62218143)
        Anti-nuclear zealots file lawsuit after lawsuit to delay and drive up the costs. The government could stop that with the stroke of a pen if it was serious about allowing nuclear power generation. Similarly, recycling fuel rods was stopped when Jimmy Carter signed an executive order banning it; that was one of his dumber moves.
        • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          So on the one hand the problem with nuclear is that the government runs it. I point out that it's mostly commercial, and you claim that the government isn't doing enough to protect it from lawsuits. Can you see the issue here?

          In any case, the massively delayed plants in Europe are not being help up by lawsuits.

  • Rational debate (Score:2, Flamebait)

    by locater16 ( 2326718 )
    Ah here we go. This will definitely be a post with scientific and rational debate. No smearing of character or straw men or etc. No "it's the damned government's fault, it's a conspiracy!" libertarians and objectivists. Just a nice, clean, factual discussion by well informed people that have spent multiple years reading, comparing, and studying the subject in depth.
  • by gTsiros ( 205624 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @01:07AM (#62217005)

    Because no *power generating* solution is a climate solution.

    There is this phenomenon which teaches us that every time production efficiency increases (improves), the *demand* for the product *also* increases until it reaches the previous equilibrium.

    The position of this equilibrium is dependent on factors mostly unrelated to the efficiency of production. *Almost* by definition, by its very nature, it depends on people's behavior. "Well, duh, *everything* depends on people's behavior". No, not everything. There are invariants in the system. Physical constants, mathematical invariants, biological constants (eg self-preservation and procreation instincts).

    Yadda yadda, to cut a long story short, the problem is not how we generate electricity or other fuel types, but also how we *use* it.

    The end result of any chain is heat, garbage, or both heat and garbage.

    By increasing the efficiency of energy production, the rate of energy consumption *also* increases and consequently, the rate of heat and garbage *also* increase.

    Simply put, the combination of overpopulation *and* wasteful behavior is the problem. Not the method of energy production.

    • Errm... that's hardly a universal truth. e.g. poor Indians switching from burning cow turds for cooking and switching to electricity reduces wasted heat and reduces garbage in the environment.

      • by gTsiros ( 205624 )

        However, once provided with electricity, they will use it not only for cooking, but for everything that is possible.

    • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )
      Energy efficiency has improved in the USA over the last decade through the use of more efficient appliances, but overall usage per capita has fallen. This seems to undercut your assertion. Although often it is true, it's not universally so.
    • Simply put, the combination of overpopulation *and* wasteful behavior is the problem. Not the method of energy production.

      There's no overpopulation problem. What makes you think that there is an overpopulation problem?

      I saw Elon Musk argue we need more people, and I agree. We need people to think up new ideas, like how to grow food on Mars. We figure that out then not only can we have a sustainable colony on Mars but we will have the technology to feed everyone on Earth no matter how many people there are, we just replicate that Mars food production on Earth. I assume a food shortage concerns you. No worries, we have so m

  • They were regulators. Their job was to look for everything bad so that they could say no. They can't figure out they don't work there anymore and can look at the bigger picture now.

  • France (Score:5, Informative)

    by ishmaelflood ( 643277 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @01:22AM (#62217017)

    I don't know whether France has expensive electricity, or how massive the subsidies are, but they've been keeping Europe's lights on while the anti nuclear nitwits freeze. 70% nuclear.

    • by burni2 ( 1643061 )

      ".. but they've been keeping Europe's lights on .."

      That is a very single sided view leaving out the fact that renewable energy is in fact keeping french air-cons running in summer, when the rivers - used to cool the reactors - are so hot that the power output of some reactors needs either be reduced or shut down.

      ".. how massive the subsidies are .."

      The reactors are from old investments - most of the reactors have a similar age and that is the pro as well as the con for France.

      The electricity is cheap but th

      • There's nothing wrong in my book with a nuclear/solar/wind/ whatever compromise. OK, nukes are less effective on hot days. Solar/wind/nat gas/ whatever will probably work just fine.

        • by Uecker ( 1842596 )

          In principle, I could agree with you, but in practice there are two problem with a nuclear / renewables combination:

          1. Investments in new nuclear is not cost effective and would bind a lot of resource for a long time before plants come up and those resources are then missing for renewables (which are cost effective). There is also the problem that scaling up nuclear dramatically does not simply mean building more plants, it means building up the industry which takes longer, investing into a closed fuel cycl

    • by Uecker ( 1842596 )

      Reality check:

      https://www.reuters.com/busine... [reuters.com]

      While France exports a lot of electricity, it is certainly not something which Europe can rely on as there a frequent power shortages in France for various reasons (including extended unplanned downtime of several plants due to inspections and repairs or heat waves, or very high domestic demand in winter, etc).

  • Jaczko (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Tailhook ( 98486 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @01:46AM (#62217041)

    Jaczko is an inveterate anti-nook. He's also a flaming asshole.

    At one point his reign as NRC chairman became so intolerable for the other commissioners (all of the them, including the other D's) that they publicly accused him of bad faith and abusive management practices while sitting next to him [c-span.org] in a hearing; one of the most awkward things I've ever watched on C-SPAN.

    Nuclear is a proven "climate solution" for France. It also delivers a proven "climate solution" for Quebec. It could do the same for US but — like Jaczko — we operate in bad faith.

    So feel free to keep trumpeting Jaczko's periodic anti-nook screeds, as you have every few years now. It doesn't matter any more. At least not to me.

  • Not to mention that we have only 5 years of uranium [phys.org] if we powered the world with it. 80 years at the current consumption rate.

  • Can someone tell me what solving global warming looks like? I ask because we have Gregory Jaczko, someone that is supposed to be a subject matter expert, telling us that renewable energy is so abundant, safe, low in CO2 emissions, and inexpensive that we don't need fossil fuels or nuclear power. That sounds like we solved the problem of catastrophic anthropogenic global warming to me.

    If we didn't solve global warming then would not nuclear power be preferable to global warming? I hope Jaczko is right bec

    • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )
      The risks of nuclear may well be better than the current certainty of global warming, but we should look at the whole system, not necessarily individual technologies as otherwise you can be blind to other options. If you have a hammer everything can look like a nail, but screwdrivers and wrenches also exist.

      We will do this because it's build those nuclear power reactors or see another 1970s style energy shortage.

      Citation required for such an assertion.

  • by thegarbz ( 1787294 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @03:04AM (#62217139)

    We could dedicate 100% of all resources into building just nuclear based power right now, and the world will happily blast through the climate targets set for 2035 and beyond before the very first plant is even started up. Currently the world's western foremost nuclear experts (France and Sweden) are *STILL* trying to get nuclear plants started which were approved for construction at the turn of the century.

    Part of the assumptions of the climate targets including a ramping towards them, not blast CO2 into the sky and flip a magical switch in 2035 to go back to pre year XX levels and save the world.

    Nuclear may be a long term benefit to base load stabilisation, but it has precisely zero to do with our CO2 goals. That ship has sailed, sunk, been rediscovered, and had James Cameron make a movie about it.

  • A small but significant point about nuclear power is that the full cost of insuring against a catastrophic accident is always passed to the hosting state, because if it wasn't, it would render all plants uneconomic. Of course Chernobyl and Fukushima were the result of implausible combinations of circumstances, which will never happen again. How do you rationally allow for the danger of such an event?

  • by argStyopa ( 232550 ) on Saturday January 29, 2022 @09:07AM (#62217567) Journal

    ...what is their priority?
    If CLIMATE CHANGE is the imminent and critical crisis it's portrayed to be, then we must significantly stop co2 emissions as quickly as possible. That would then mandate using an existing, known tech that generates power without such emissions as broadly as possible.

    If, instead, the goal is to primarily chase a bunch of environmental agenda-points from the 1970s, then by all means do so, but don't then pretend that climate change is of such immediate, critical importance.

    You can't say both are the MOST important thing; that's just illustrating the incoherence of the entire approach.

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