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Power The Almighty Buck Science

Reducing Poverty Can Actually Lower Energy Demand, Finds Research (arstechnica.com) 196

An anonymous reader shares a report from The Conversation: As people around the world escape poverty, you might expect their energy use to increase. But my research in Nepal, Vietnam, and Zambia found the opposite: lower levels of deprivation were linked to lower levels of energy demand. What is behind this counterintuitive finding? [...] We found that households that do have access to clean fuels, safe water, basic education and adequate food -- that is, those not in extreme poverty -- can use as little as half the energy of the national average in their country. This is important, as it goes directly against the argument that more resources and energy will be needed for people in the global south to escape extreme poverty. The biggest factor is the switch from traditional cooking fuels, like firewood or charcoal, to more efficient (and less polluting) electricity and gas.

In Zambia, Nepal, and Vietnam, modern energy resources are extremely unfairly distributed -- more so than income, general spending, or even spending on leisure. As a consequence, poorer households use more dirty energy than richer households, with ensuing health and gender impacts. Cooking with inefficient fuels consumes a lot of energy, and even more when water needs to be boiled before drinking. But do households with higher incomes and more devices have a better chance of escaping poverty? Some do, but having higher incomes and mobile phones are not either prerequisites or guarantees of having basic needs satisfied. Richer households without access to electricity or sanitation are not spared from having malnourished children or health problems from using charcoal. Ironically, for most households, it is easier to obtain a mobile phone than a clean, nonpolluting fuel for cooking. Therefore, measuring progress via household income leads to an incomplete understanding of poverty and its deprivations.

So what? Are we arguing against the global south using more energy for development? No: instead of focusing on how much energy is used, we are pointing to the importance of collective services (like electricity, indoor sanitation and public transport) for alleviating the multiple deprivations of poverty. In addressing these issues we cannot shy away from asking why so many countries in the global south have such a low capacity to invest in those services. It has to do with the fact that poverty does not just happen: it is created via interlinked systems of wealth extraction such as structural adjustment, or high costs of servicing national debts. Given that climate change is caused by the energy use of a rich minority in the global north but the consequences are borne by the majority in the poorer global south, human development is not only a matter of economic justice but also climate justice. Investing in vital collective services underpins both.

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Reducing Poverty Can Actually Lower Energy Demand, Finds Research

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  • Land use. (Score:5, Informative)

    by Ostracus ( 1354233 ) on Monday June 07, 2021 @10:55PM (#61464806) Journal

    Given that climate change is caused by the energy use of a rich minority in the global north but the consequences are borne by the majority in the poorer global south, human development is not only a matter of economic justice but also climate justice.

    One doesn't need to be a rich nation to engage in deforestation.

    One doesn't need to be a rich country to sell a rain forest. [theguardian.com]

    • Rich countries did all their mass deforestation in the past.

    • Personally I think if rich countries want to preserve the rainforest to a degree they usually don't even provide to their own few remaining primal nature they should pay for the full economic opportunity cost (lots of mining and drilling in remaining primal nature in the the west).

      Which is to say the west should give the third world 10s of Trillions of dollars to buy their nature.

      • give the third world 10s of Trillions of dollars

        How do we give it to them? To Bolsonaro and his cronies? They pocket it and the forests get cut anyway. To the indigenous tribes? They are nomadic hunter-gatherers who have no concept of land ownership. In 20 years, another tribe moves in and you have to buy the rights all over again.

        • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )

          They are nomadic hunter-gatherers who have no concept of land ownership.

          They often have a different one compared to the legal definitions we have, but since disputes over territory and resources amongst hunter-gatherers are relatively common to say that they have no concept would be inaccurate in general.

          • by PPH ( 736903 )

            disputes over territory and resources amongst hunter-gatherers

            Just think. Put the word out that the occupants of such and such a plot of land on a certain date will be the recipients of many shiny trinkets, courtesy of the Guilty White Man.

            Let the games begin.

        • Forget about the UN for a moment and do it the old fashioned way ... money for sovereign ownership of land.

  • the consequences [of global warming] are borne by the majority in the poorer global south

    That's...quite a prediction.

  • of those who subscribe to the ideas of William Vogt, economic activity is a good thing.

  • It also holds true here in the USA. Most of the houses I've seen with massive PV installations are in the more affluent parts of town.

    Also, if you're not broke as shit, you likely can afford to upgrade to a newer vehicle that doesn't guzzle gas and belch smoke. File that under "gee, who would'a thought?"

    • Also, if you're not broke as shit, you likely can afford to upgrade to a newer vehicle that doesn't guzzle gas and belch smoke

      Can you even buy cars like that now?

      • by dryeo ( 100693 )

        Just don't do maintenance and any car can burn more gas and puke out black.
        Example, don't change the air filter, engine starved of air, eventually the computer can't adjust enough, catalytic converter gets plugged, buddy removes it (it is worth close to a grand) and replaces with a straight pipe and your burning way more gas and puking out black. Similar with the PCV valve, gets plugged and oil gets sucked into the intake to get burned. Both kill spark plugs as well, making the engine even more inefficient

    • I dunno. Jeff Bezos lifted himself out of poverty and now he's taking recreational trips to outer space.
    • It also holds true here in the USA. Most of the houses I've seen with massive PV installations are in the more affluent parts of town.

      That's not how it works. Those homes still have energy usage requirements. They simply happen to produce more of the energy onsite.

      A better first-world example is insulation retrofit. Poor people can't afford it, but if they could they'd save a lot of energy...

      • by kenh ( 9056 )

        A better first-world example is insulation retrofit. Poor people can't afford it, but if they could they'd save a lot of energy...

        You, of course, are only talking about poor people who are rich enough to own their own home, but poor enough they can't afford proper insulation.

        • Well, you want to be ironic.
          But simple houses in US are poorly build - so they lack sophisticated insulation.
          However they are cheap enough that simple people can afford them, but can not afford insulation.
          As in such third world countries, insulation costs more than the house.

          Perhaps you missed the power failure disaster in Texas. People were not even able - or smart enough - to go into the basement and shut the water supply. So when the freezing stopped, the broken pipes flooded the buildings. No idea, what

        • You, of course, are only talking about poor people who are rich enough to own their own home, but poor enough they can't afford proper insulation.

          The rate of home ownership in the USA was 65.8 percent in 2020, but 90 percent of American homes are underinsulated [prnewswire.com].

          We also have to take rentals into account; people are paying their rent, landlords are profiting from them paying their rent, but landlords aren't losing money from the inefficiency costs of their rented buildings so they are unlikely to install supplemental insulation.

    • by GuB-42 ( 2483988 )

      Also, you can afford to take care of your trash.

      Used oil, refrigerants, toxic waste, etc... All these nasty stuff need do be disposed of properly, and it costs money. Professionals are required to have special equipment, which you also pay for, indirectly. It is cheaper to dump your used oil in nature, and if you are poor, you may be tempted to do just that. You may be hit with a heavy fine if you get caught, but you can't pay either way, so you take the risk. More generally, the more you care about your ow

    • by kenh ( 9056 )

      It also holds true here in the USA. Most of the houses I've seen with massive PV installations are in the more affluent parts of town.

      Wow, insightful. Any idea why that might be?

      First, poorer neighborhoods tend to have residences stacked, multiplying the power needs for a given plot of land compared to single-family homes more common in the "more affluent parts of town". (Putting solar cells on top of a 25 story apartment building is a pointless gesture that only becomes more meaningful as the size of the structure shrinks to a two family duplex.)

      Second, homeownership is a pre-requisite to install solar cells - landlords aren't interested

      • Solar installations have nothing to do with the rent.

        The power is piped into the Grid. You recoup the money invested by selling the power - either to the grid or the renters.

        And your example of 25 story building makes no sense either. You would plaster the sides of the building, which have a suitable angel to the sun. That actually would be a money maker.

  • A slight edit. (Score:5, Informative)

    by Ungrounded Lightning ( 62228 ) on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @12:57AM (#61464980) Journal

    In addressing these issues we cannot shy away from asking why so many countries in the global south have such a low capacity to invest in those services. It has to do with the fact that poverty does not just happen: it is created via interlinked systems of wealth extraction such as government corruption, seizing the bulk of the value of both local production and resources along with any foreign aid and delivering it to the government operators and their cronies .

    FTFY

  • I mean if you eat out all the time, live in a big house, have a big car, etc. those capital energy costs might not have been included. I mean a poor person in Zimbabwe might not even own a car. How much energy does it take to build a car? How about providing cell phone service and produce the entertainment that people may spend money on? What the energy consumption of that?

    • by kenh ( 9056 )

      I mean a poor person in Zimbabwe might not even own a car.

      Your insight into the plight of the average Zimbabwean is truly stunning.

      That a "poor" American owns a car would cause the average Zimbabwean to question your use of the descriptor "poor" to describe them.

      (BTW, there are about 1 million private cars in Zimbabwe [1], out of a population of about 15 million. [2])

      [1] https://www.statista.com/stati... [statista.com]

      [2] https://www.worldometers.info/... [worldometers.info]

      • by sfcat ( 872532 )

        Your insight into the plight of the average Zimbabwean is truly stunning.

        So is yours. Zimbabwe is a highly corrupt, quazi socialist state with a failed economy and currency. It is sending 100,000s of folks running for its neighbors so much so that it is starting to destabilize South Africa (but not Botswana which is far richer). While I'm sure there are 1,000,000 "private" cars in Zimbabwe, I suspect most were bought with public money and are in the garages of government officials (the public sector is huge in Zimbabwe like most African countries). Most of the population how

  • by argStyopa ( 232550 ) on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @07:03AM (#61465462) Journal

    The moment this word enters a paper, it's no longer a scientific product but a polemic.

    Disagree?

    Please objectively define "justice" then.

    • Easy (Score:4, Informative)

      by JBMcB ( 73720 ) on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @07:45AM (#61465558)

      Equal treatment under the law.

      But that's not how it's being used in this paper.

      • I daresay there are very few people in the current context throwing around the word justice that mean they want (only) equal treatment under the law - ie blind, objective application of the laws on the books.

    • The moment this word enters a paper, it's no longer a scientific product but a polemic.

      Disagree?

      Please objectively define "justice" then.

      It depends. Actual justice (like people getting what they deserve, what the word has always meant until five minutes ago)? Or "social" justice?

      • While I agree with you that there's very much a distinction here, even with your originalist definition the word "deserve" is pretty damned slippery to define.

        Thus my point: a scientific paper is generally about presenting an hypothesis and then either proving or disproving it (let's be honest, there are nearly no papers out there that don't prove the hypothesis somehow). What is "deserved" belongs in neither.

    • by kenh ( 9056 )

      Justice is not a scientific term.

      from the summary:

      Given that climate change is caused by the energy use of a rich minority in the global north but the consequences are borne by the majority in the poorer global south, human development is not only a matter of economic justice but also climate justice. Investing in vital collective services underpins both.

      That is a very non-scientific conclusion, which, by the way, would want to get the poor off wood-burning stoves but still keep them poor enough that they can't afford A/C or televisions...

  • The rich need less. (Score:5, Interesting)

    by jellomizer ( 103300 ) on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @09:14AM (#61465816)

    The problem is those with upfront money can get the advantage, while those who need a loan are at a disadvantage.

    So Lets just use the United States.
    If my Electric Bill is $300 a month. If I had say 20k on hand that I could spend, I could get my house some solar panels with battery reserve, and cut my electric bill to $10 a month. In less than a decade, the amount of money I had saved in my power bill has covered the cost of getting the Solar panels installed.

    Now I could probably get the solar panels on a loan, but that might take me 15+ years to cover my costs.
    If I am poor, and cannot get a loan, then I am stuck paying the $300 a month without a way out. So I am spending more money over all because I am poor.

    Now if were forced to live without electrical power, due to extreme poverty, I may be collecting wood, trash, or anything I can get my hand on to create a fire. In which a lot of energy is wasted for the heat I wanted.

    • by kenh ( 9056 )

      You need to check your numbers.

      Saving $290/month on electricity it would take you 6 years to recover your investment.

      A poor person who oddly owns their own home (with mortgage) and has less than $20K in home equity to tap would have to borrow the $20K, but it shouldn't take anywhere near 15 years to recover their investment absent simply abusive credit terms.

      But the greater point is, even the rich person with an "extra" $20K to spend on solar panels & battery won't see a financial benefit from their inv

  • by tomhath ( 637240 ) on Tuesday June 08, 2021 @09:32AM (#61465884)

    The article starts out by stating an alternate definition of poverty. Then it proceeds to offer a pie in the sky solution to their own personal definition of poverty that requires some magic to make the root cause of poverty magically disappear.

    Extremely poor countries won't solve the problem until corrupt politicians are dealt with first. Otherwise the magic cures (a.k.a. wealth transfer) cannot happen.

    • Here's the definition of poverty that the author uses here . It's really not an uncommon definition at all. The resources required to step out of poverty are pretty concrete, too. There are major initiatives being funded to address the scarcity of clean water around the world. This isn't magic, it's science.
  • If ultra poor people use 1% of the national average, then when given money use 50% of the national average, how exactly is that going to reduce the national average?

"I have not the slightest confidence in 'spiritual manifestations.'" -- Robert G. Ingersoll

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