'A Lot of Hoped-for Automation Was Counterproductive', Remembers Elon Musk (bloomberg.com) 208
Thursday Elon Musk gave a surprisingly candid interview about Tesla's massive push to increase production of Model 3 sedans to 5,000 a week. An anonymous reader quotes Musk's remarks to Bloomberg:
I spent almost the entire time in the factory the final week, and yeah, it was essentially three months with a tiny break of like one day that I wasn't there. I was wearing the same clothes for five days. Yeah, it was really intense. And everybody else was really intense, too... I think we had to prove that we could make 5,000 cars in a week -- 5,000 Model 3s and at the same time make 2,000 S and X's, so essentially show that we could make 7,000 cars. We had to prove ourselves. The number of people who thought we would actually make it is very tiny, like vanishingly small. There was suddenly the credibility of the company, my credibility, you know, the credibility of the whole team. It was like, "Can you actually do this or not?"
There were a lot of issues that we had to address in order to do it. You know, we had to create the new general assembly line in basically less than a month -- to create it and get to an excess of a 1,000-cars-a-week rate in like four weeks... A lot of the hoped-for automation was counterproductive. It's not like we knew it would be bad, because why would we buy a ticket to hell...? A whole bunch of the robots are turned off, and it was reverted to a manual station because the robots kept faulting out. When the robot faults out -- like the vision system can't figure out how to put the object in -- then you've got to reset the system. You've got to manually seat the components. It stops the whole production line while you sort out why the robot faults out.
When the interviewer asks why that happens, Musk replies, "Because we were huge idiots and didn't know what we were doing. That's why."
There were a lot of issues that we had to address in order to do it. You know, we had to create the new general assembly line in basically less than a month -- to create it and get to an excess of a 1,000-cars-a-week rate in like four weeks... A lot of the hoped-for automation was counterproductive. It's not like we knew it would be bad, because why would we buy a ticket to hell...? A whole bunch of the robots are turned off, and it was reverted to a manual station because the robots kept faulting out. When the robot faults out -- like the vision system can't figure out how to put the object in -- then you've got to reset the system. You've got to manually seat the components. It stops the whole production line while you sort out why the robot faults out.
When the interviewer asks why that happens, Musk replies, "Because we were huge idiots and didn't know what we were doing. That's why."
best way to do it (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:best way to do it (Score:5, Insightful)
Nothing particularly wrong with automation. I deal with it all the time, but my production is predictable, has accumulation to deal for errors and gives me a lot of balance. I find automation that starts to deal with vision systems where things completely fall apart. I've yet to find a "good" vision system, they're all pretty primitive, even for quality control, but if you allow for errors, you can develop things to mitigate the inherit problems with it.
I don't know what Tesla's automation has or what particular situation they have, but I'm sure they have good people trying to think of new ways to automate things. But I do run into a lot of designers trying to eliminate any type of accumulation system (Because it takes up a lot of space) and then utterly fail because of low tolerances in the system. Human error translates into computer systems multiplied by a huge factor.
Re: best way to do it (Score:3)
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For a large automation project like this, it's better to start with something you know works.....
But I've been told that because Musk could land a rocket booster, he was absolutely going to be able revolutionize the car assembly line. It perfect logic, right?
The problem for Musk isn't that he's had to change his approach, the problem is that he now requires more assembly lines and labor than he planned, therefore production costs will remain higher than planned.
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But I've been told that because Musk could land a rocket booster, he was absolutely going to be able revolutionize the car assembly line. It perfect logic, right?
It is perfect logic. You have to be able to take risks and try something new to achieve a new outcome. Ford did it too 90 years ago. Unfortunately innovation in the entire industry died in the 70s in favour of incremental engineering improvements.
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Not working very well.
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Only if you're incapable of rational thought do you come to that conclusion.
But hey you know a way to never fail: Don't take risks or try anything new. You know someone who could never do that? The auto industry.
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Only if you're incapable of rational thought do you come to that conclusion.
But hey you know a way to never fail: Don't take risks or try anything new. You know someone who could never do that? The auto industry.
So then tell me, by what logic does him taking risks lead to him revolutionizing auto production. To this point, his risk taking has been a big problem. He now uses more production lines than planned to produce the same amount of vehicles and he's caused delays that could have been avoided by using proven methods.
You know who hasn't made any advancement over well establish production capability....Musk, whose assembly line doesn't appear to be any improvement at all.
The auto industry has steadily impr
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So then tell me, by what logic does him taking risks lead to him revolutionizing auto production.
It si revolutionary to take risks in the auto industry. If you were expecting a positive result with every risk then that is you incorrectly reading into what other people have said.
To this point, his risk taking has been a big problem.
Yeah I know. It made him a billionaire who successfully started multiple companies that have completed upsended their respective industries. He should have just bought a factory, employed 100 union fitters and cranked out ICE cars. That would be MUCH better. /sarcasm.
Not every risk needs to be perfectly successful for the proces
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"it is revolution to take risks in the auto industry". What a laugh. Again, his risks in 'revolutionary' manufacturing have not resulted in any improvements at all. His production numbers are based on creating extra lines to make up for the under performance of the initial one, and also on working massive numbers of people 24/7 just to eek out numbers that he was supposed to hit months ago. And nobody ever said you couldn't build a
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................. A whole bunch of the robots are turned off, and it was reverted to a manual station because the robots kept faulting out. When the robot faults out -- like the vision system can't figure out how to put the object in -- then you've got to reset the system. You've got to manually seat the components. It stops the whole production line while you sort out why the robot faults out.
That seems to me a lack of fault tolerance in the overall design approach. A major oversight if so. An entire line should not shut down due to one fault.
I wonder how much $$$ was lost on that automation equipment now collecting dust.
Re:best way to do it (Score:5, Interesting)
From TFS;
That seems to me a lack of fault tolerance in the overall design approach. A major oversight if so. An entire line should not shut down due to one fault.
Well, yes and no. Assembly lines are tuned so that you produce the correct quantity of each item in the same amount of time it takes to complete the "full product". It's called Takt time. There are just over 10,000 minutes in a week, so the production goal of 5,000 cars per week requires a new Model 3 to roll off the line every 2 minutes.
Let's say they're building the battery packs as part of the assembly line, and it takes 60 minutes to build each pack. Just for grins, let's assume that it takes 10 minutes to install that battery pack. This implies that you need 6x as many battery assembly stations (or sub-assembly lines) to make batteries as you need battery installation stations.
If you have a robot installing batteries, and that robot fails, then you want to stop making batteries before you fill up all the available space with battery packs you can't use (because you can't install them). Similarly, you no longer have chassis with batteries to move further down the line, so anything after the battery installation has to stop, at least for that line.
There is slack in the process - it might be 59:30 to build the packs or 9:18 to install them, and there would likely be some parts storage as well, so the line could whether an employee going to the bathroom or something. It couldn't whether a continuous failure or a permanent change in process time (ie, it may take a human 13 minutes to install the pack and inspect their work).
Most assembly lines work this way. The more slack you have, the less efficient your line is (because you have all this extra time ...). The less slack you have, the less you can tolerate a fault.
I wonder how much $$$ was lost on that automation equipment now collecting dust.
I'd bet most of the lost money is whatever was spent on programming the units, and the lost opportunity cost for both the hardware and its configuration. The robots themselves are likely still usable, but they'll need to refine how they're used in order to recoup that investment.
Re: best way to do it (Score:4)
Re:best way to do it (Score:5, Interesting)
This slack time is a serious consideration as you get toward the tail of a production line. A mile-long production line is a hugely complex dependency chain. Each of the hundreds of individual steps might have 99% uptime, but since each depends on the next the real uptime is 50%.
Case in point: my father worked in the packaging/shipping area of an auto glass manufacturer. When the line had a problem he could go an entire shift or even two (with overtime!) with nothing to do. When things were running right, he could barely keep up.
The former was much more common than the latter.
Will production lines become (largely) obsolete? (Score:2)
As robots become smarter and more versatile, will we start so see shorter, slower production lines in which machines do more things at each step?
Having multiple shorter lines would make logistics much easier. Failures would be localized. And production could be distributed nearer to markets.
The idea of a machine (the production line) pushing out something as complex as a car every couple of minutes boggles the mind. The number of things that could go wrong is huge. It is not surprising that it sometimes
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Slight correction to your math- the 5000 goal was for all lines, and they had multiple lines. So they may have only needed one off a single line every 6-10 minutes.
Also, another way to add in slack is redundancy. If you need 6 battery assembly stations, build 7. That way 1 can be down at any time without slowing the line. That costs extra equipment, but in addition to fault tolerance it allows routine maintenance while the line is on.
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Right... the production line should keep going, producing cars, for example with a control arm in the suspension, or no brake master cylinder?
What do you think should happen? If robot X fails to put on part A, what is robot Y supposed to do with part B that is supposed to be attached to the missing part A?
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Right... the production line should keep going, producing cars, for example with a control arm in the suspension, or no brake master cylinder?
What do you think should happen? If robot X fails to put on part A, what is robot Y supposed to do with part B that is supposed to be attached to the missing part A?
Hmm, possibly a backup system, or a manual control to keep things going. Its not so much a brief stop in production, but as explained a complete reset of many items just due to one fault.
Non trivial (Score:2)
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What you have just described is non-trivial and would involve designing each assembly station twice: Once for automation and once for manual. And then you have to be able to have both of those stations fit in the same space. And then you have to decide how much extra man power you need on standby in case an automated station breaks and you want to get the manual station running. And then you have to figure when to repair the automated section of the line without endangering someone.
Wow , sounds complicated. I wonder how other manufacturers keep their lines running. They must have geniuses.
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Toyota rolled in and had a clear policy that anyone could and should stop the line if something went wrong.
If you want to hear more: https://www.thisamericanlife.o... [thisamericanlife.org]
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There's a major push in the industry to build such designs. Lack of fault tolerance approaches like building accumulators or other error mitigation systems ends up eating a lot of floor space which to a lot of people buying machines don't like. However, most people don't understand that these mitigation techniques is what allows for increased production speed and allows for human error. From the looks of it, Tesla doesn't have enough floor space, so it doesn't surprise me they're trying to build a system wi
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For a large automation project like this, it's better to start with something you know works.
You're talking about a company that prides itself on technology and cutting edge, not bogged down by unions or 100 years of history. Honestly it's better for new blood to push the boundaries rather than playing it safe. It didn't work in this case. But if you start with something you know works then Musk's companies would be pushing ICE cars and super expensive rockets that can't be reused since after all everyone said that doesn't work.
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Yes. But to paraphrase Ford, you'll end up with a better horse, not with a car.
Re:I am God's gift to you rotten bastards... apk (Score:5, Insightful)
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My eyes see the white space in the one line shown and just pass on to the next. Best censorship system available, even better than APK's porn-hating hosts list.
He has been modded down to -1... (Score:2)
Slashdot's moderation system is working very well. He hasn't been censored, but he has been modded down into oblivion.
The best of both worlds. We should not ask for anything more.
Re: I am God's gift to you rotten bastards... apk (Score:2)
Truth. I once met someone who said they like opening spam and reading it. I wanted to punch them because they are the problem.
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At this point it does not even matter anymore whether you are right or not. Your behavior is a huge red flag. Nothing you produce will ever touch my systems for that reason alone.
I guess I am hardly alone in this.
So Musk Admits... (Score:3, Insightful)
I think only Musk and his fanboys believed that they were smarter than the countless production engineers in 120 year old trillion dollar auto industry.
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Re: So Musk Admits... (Score:2)
Except he hasn't caught up to where every other auto manufacturing is, much less an industry leader like Toyota.
Re: So Musk Admits... (Score:5, Interesting)
Then he still has a 100 years to make up for it, doesn't he?
I jest. No-one will deny Musk isn't stubbornly trying to partly redo what the big car manufacturers already can do while sleeping. It's the other parts those big boys, also stubbornly, refuse to do that he tries to make a viable business from. Most EVs from other manufacturers are either 'show productions' with limited numbers or have known horrible flaws baked in (especially in battery degradation) from the start. I'd thank Musk for his tries to do it right (not saying he does already, but he's damned well trying) and I admire him for doing it in grand style.
If I had a drivers license* and enough money to spare for a car, I'd buy a Tesla. Like I bought a Ryzen the moment they were released. I like to put my money in the camp that tries and manages to make at least a decent product over those that sit on their butts and make money while sleeping.
(*By the way, I don't have a drivers license because I never had the need to - my job is a decent bike ride away - the exercise keeps me healthy, and we have proper public transport where I live.)
Re:So Musk Admits... (Score:5, Insightful)
Well I would choose the 'let's try something ambitious and if it doesn't work just admit and stop doing it' over the trillion dollar corporate method of 'very small, committee stamped and approved, steps towards innovation' any day.
But admittedly, I am a fanboy...
Re:So Musk Admits... (Score:5, Insightful)
I'm not a fanboy but I'm still impressed at how well Musk gets this stuff working. They met their target, no-one thought they would, I was pretty sceptical myself.
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Not only that but he's brutally honest about mistakes and takes responsibility. How often do we see that in any industry?! He's an engineer and communicates openly and honestly like so many engineers I've worked with, as opposed to the career management people/CEOs that was typically full of hot air.
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Re:So Musk Admits... (Score:5, Insightful)
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I am actually quite familiar with the Toyota way. It is very impressive and it's impact on quality is one of the reasons I'm happy with my own Toyota. It's got over 200000 Km and I have never spent more than the official planned maintenance costs, no 'surprises'.
I do fail to see however why you think he thought he was going to out-Toyota Toyota? Of the traditional car manufacturers Toyota certainly is an exception in it's management/quality approach as well as innovation (they championed hybrid tech when n
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Using somebody else's money? Of course I would - who wouldn't?
Something ambitious might involve cheerleaders, sheep and a jacuzzi full of Theakston's, mind.
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Fun fact - Musk was a primary investor in Tesla when no one else would invest - using money he *personally borrowed* (after having already put literally all of his money in the company). When he ran out of investor money, he used his own. When he ran out of money, he borrowed money to invest.
Say what you want about him - he believes in what he is working on. He put his money where his mouth is in a *very* real way.
Re: So Musk Admits... (Score:5, Insightful)
They are smarter. Also smart enough to admit when they've gone down a wrong path and need to retract.
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So he fired up a manual line at great cost.
That's not how it works. There is no manual line. There is only less automation on the line. Converting back to manual does not come with a great cost, although there is the problem of the sunk cost of the robots taken off the line.
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Most of the hardware will probably eventually be used for its original purpose. It's like the self-driving car tech; the hardware works, but the software isn't ready yet.
Now, I'll sit back while everyone argues about whether I'm being serious or sarcastic. :-)
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I think only Musk and his fanboys believed that they were smarter than the countless production engineers in 120 year old trillion dollar auto industry.
His willingness to question industry doctrines is the reason why he is rich and successful.
Re: So Musk Admits... (Score:2, Informative)
happening to cash out of the dot-com bubble at the right time is why he is rich
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No, he's rich because Paypal took off like gangbusters. SpaceX is successful because a series of government contracts kept him afloat long enough to question industry doctrine. (It's not clear that anyone is getting rich off of SpaceX.) Tesla is successful (to an extent) because a set of government loans got him off the ground, and tax credits increased the attractiveness of his products. Nobody is getting rich of
Re: So Musk Admits... (Score:2)
All companies chase subsidies. Elon Musk creates new companies just to take advantage of subsidies.
Re:So Musk Admits... (Score:5, Interesting)
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Outside of the luxury market, that's still largely the case. Even the "mainstream" Model 3 is selling for almost twice its projected price, and Tesla still wants to make more expensive luxury versions so they don't have to sell at a loss.
Middle-class electric cars are still not a profitable market. Tesla can survive on the wow factor among the BMW/Mercedes crowd, but they won't magically overtake a mature, trillion-dollar industry with 120 years of experience.
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Ironically 120 years ago their cars were electric. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]
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No, they said it was impossible to do it profitably. And look at Tesla's losses, they couldn't even make a profit on 100k cars that had the interiors of 10k cars.
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Would that be the same 120 year old trillion dollar auto industry which said it was impossible to design and develop an electric car that people would actually buy?
To be fair, please acknowledge the context: mainly battery, motor, and controller technology available at the time. We now have LiON, very efficient power switching transistors to control the motor, neodymium permanent magnets and switched reluctance motors. An electric car of 20 years ago would have far less power and range, still be expensive, and only a few would buy it. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Motors_EV1 [wikipedia.org]
They had to tear those EV1s out of their owner's hands. GM at no point wanted to make an EV. They still don't. Customers absolutely wanted them and probably would have paid a higher price to get them. GM fights tooth and nail at every point to not do it and they are one of the auto makers that's better with EVs. The Volt was only released as a condition of GM getting a bailout in 2008. The big auto makers don't want to make a real EV. They could, but they won't. And they won't change their minds unt
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They had to tear those EV1s out of their owner's hands. GM at no point wanted to make an EV. They still don't. Customers absolutely wanted them and probably would have paid a higher price to get them. GM fights tooth and nail at every point to not do it and they are one of the auto makers that's better with EVs.
Before the government takeover there was the issue that making such cars was different enough from making gas cars that you had to build some new assembly lines (for components, even if you can manag
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To be fair, please acknowledge the context: mainly battery, motor, and controller technology available at the time. We now have LiON, very efficient power switching transistors to control the motor, neodymium permanent magnets and switched reluctance motors. An electric car of 20 years ago would have far less power and range, still be expensive, and only a few would buy it
To be fair? If you're trying to be fair, why are you talking about 20 years ago? Tesla Motors was founded 15 years ago. They produced their first car 10 years ago. Yet it's only been within the past 3 years or so that "old auto" is finally starting to talk seriously about electric car development as something more than "compliance cars".
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I wasn't attacking you. You've misunderstood my wording- I'm not a wordsmith. Because of the horrible climate here on /. I rarely contribute. People don't seem too resilient or forgiving here. Misunderstandings are replied to with attacks and defensiveness. It's certainly not you- the whole place stinks, so nobody can tell who farted.
I just meant that things have changed since that statement was made. It seems obvious, to me, that those kinds of statements make the originator look a bit foolish, which
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Or making a rocket better than a 60 year old government agency with a budget a not-so-insignificant percentage of GDP? The mode of thinking that another more experienced company or organization would have accomplished something were it feasible is valid until someone else tries. I am however also a fanboy (though as of late he seems to be Hughes-ing himself).
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I think only Musk and his fanboys believed that they were smarter than the countless production engineers in 120 year old trillion dollar auto industry.
Indeed. I mean they were smarter than the 50 year old space industry. They were smarter than the 200 year old banking industry. They were smarter than the 120 year old auto industry. ... Wait what? Oh yeah that's right they gave the entire industry a kick in the balls regardless of the fact that they had some failures in automation.
I never fail because I never try. Therefore I am the best at absolutely everything I ever do.
5k a week seems like hyperoptimistic overkill (Score:1)
The most popular EVs sell around 20k units *per year*. Once they've worked through all the hype-driven backorders I see no reason to think Teslas will sell an order of magnitude more, especially if they never manage to get the price down to """only""" $35k.
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If you look at crossing the chasm model, they've yet to, actually cross.
Which is good for the company, because if you look at companies where someone in the C-suite starts enthusing about "Crossing the Chasm" the book, you see a consistent pattern:
1. They fire the early-hires and screw them out of the bulk of their stock option gains (as recommended near the end of one of the later chapters).
2. But they do it too soon - when they are still what's making the company run and innovate, when the
Automation does not start in production phase. (Score:2, Interesting)
It starts in the design phase. When you design your "Object"(automobile for example) without certain constraints an automation unit can easily work within - then it needs manual labour because "HI" can adapt easily - or try your luck with CV Systems. However computer 3D-Vision is much more complex and error prone in contrast to for example state of the art 2D-Vision systems where you can really high speed place & sort and do things.
I think it's good that Elon Musk is true about that fact - we didnt know
Re:Automation does not start in production phase. (Score:5, Insightful)
Ironically, that character flaw is also what has allowed him to succeed in breaking into markets the world thought he could never enter (upsetting established auto manufacturers with a tech electric startup, reusable rockets stealing market share from the Lockheeds of the world).
So maybe we ought to write it as “flaw” with the quotes instead.
Re: Automation does not start in production phase. (Score:2)
It just means we have to wait for Musk to learn the lessons on his own.
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From all information I have on Elon Musk, my picture of him tells me that has the same problem as Trump. He is impervious to counciling from people that actually know better and are more "earthbound".
I highly suggest dispensing with the notion that you're at all good at analysing people: it's very clear from Musk's [success in a wide variety of endeavours] that we're looking at someone more than capable of delegating... and that runs entirely contrary to your above theory.
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Re: character flaw, calling the diver in the Thailand rescue a pedophile this morning lends credence to the fact that he doesn't listen to his large investors, let alone those related to development of the company's product.
https://twitter.com/MidwestHed... [twitter.com]
https://twitter.com/TeslaChart... [twitter.com]
A while back Baillie clearly told him to shut up with the unprofessional tweeting and focus on the work. And it seems they're not alone. The other large funds are clearly spooked by the balance sheet, product defects and
No Need For The Song, Then? (Score:2)
Come with me, and you'll be... in a world of Tesla Automation!
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Come with me
And you'll be
In a world of Tesla Automation
Take a look
And you'll see
Tesla Automation
We'll begin
With a spin
Traveling in
The world of Musks' creation
What we'll see
Will defy
Explanation
If you want to view paradise
Simply look around and view it
Anything you want to, do it
Want to change the world?
There's nothing to it
There is no
Life I know
To compare with pure automation
Living there
You'll be free
If you truly wish to be
If you want to see Martian lands
Close your eyes and you will see one
Want to be a dreame
Other manufacturers (Score:1)
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Many years ago (keep this in mind - things may have changed) I worked at an European company, designing and building production plants for the automotive industry, especially for the body shops.
A typical production line for European mid-sized cars had a theoretical capacity of fifty (50) car bodies per hour - that would be at 100% efficiency, actual yeld was lower but not much. A typical production facility for non-premium class cars had two production lines running in parallel on two eight-hour shifts per
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How many vehicles can other auto manufacturers produce in one week?
How many production lines do they have?
How many years of investment and plowing-revenue-into-building-or-buying-production-capaity did they spend to get to that point?
5000 cars/month is about 8 2/3 minutes per car. That's if you run your lines three shifts, 7 days a week, and they NEVER STOP. With 5-day weeks it's about 6 minutes between cars (and thus per-station on a line), with two shifts it's 4, with one shift it's 2, with coffee break
ARGH! Week, not month! (Score:2)
5,000 a WEEK, not a MONTH. Let's try that again:
2 min and a shaved second between cars. That's running flat out 24/7. No coffee breaks, no shift change, no stop-the-line-for-an-oopsie. (Easy to see why he needed more than one line.)
A target of 5,000 cars a WEEK this early in the company's history? And they HIT it? I'm FLOORED!
Dumbass Musk. (Score:1)
"Because we were huge idiots and didn't know what we were doing. That's why."
Just like with Boring Co, Solar City, etc? Nothing but distributing tax money to your family members, eh, Musk?
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Designed a system that can grow plants without light? [youtube.com]
Designed a nearly-universal LED blend that works on over 95% of plants through all stages of life (the purple glow of which you can see in the video mentioned above?)
Developed Aquarium lighting units which can light an entire 55 gallon saltwater reef tank with less than 50 watts of power consumed hourly, and produce consistent growth?
Created prototype lighting systems for Scripps Institute of Oceanography for figuring out *THE* limits of photosynthesis?
Wh
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"Oh, so you took a few COTS LEDs in different hues and glued them together so people can grow marijuana indoors?"
Guessing you ignore the Scripps Institute part. Okay, you have fun over there in the ball pit since you've shown you're not even up to the reading and thinking level of a 10 year old.
Lessons GM learned in the 80s (Score:3)
How could Musk have possibly known that would happen? Just because he was operating in a factory he bought from GM, which went through the exact same process in the 1980s and the failures of excess automation in the assembly process were well documented in both the trade press and business press? No One Could Have Anticipated(tm).
Sometimes the people who have been doing something for 120 years are hidebound. And sometimes they really do know what they are doing.
[IMHO the stock market has done Telsa a real disservice by bidding up the stock price beyond reasonable levels. At the time Ford needed the cash it received from selling Land Rover and Jaguar, but now it really needs a new luxury division. Tesla would make an excellent division of Ford - but at the stock price that can't happen]
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There would be no progress if you just replicated what other companies had done in the past.
New products made with new processes require you to not listen to the experienced people at some point. It's extremely difficult to tell when you need to listen and when you need to ignore. Tesla made a mistake here, but the mistake was definitely not that they were ignoring some of what GM had done previously, it's that they made a bad choice on which things to ignore and which not to ignore. They had to ignore some
How well does this describe programming (Score:2)
A lot of the hoped-for automation was counterproductive. It's not like we knew it would be bad, because why would we buy a ticket to hell? We don't actually want to go for hell. We just didn't realize it was a ticket to hell. We thought it would be good, but it was not good.
I read that I could think of countless situations on company projects where you could replace "automation" in the above sentence with a third party library, or some super complex internally developed framework that was supposed to cure
Credit where credit is due (Score:2)
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Very much so. Only those that can admit personal failures can improve. The more accurately, the better. In this egocentric age in the west, this quality has indeed become rare, and even much more so in the "leaders". This is probably the single key factor for his success.
Self-driving promise vs robotic automation... (Score:2)
That's not what he said (Score:2)
As a future M3 owner, it concerns me that Elon would admit that he was a "huge idiot" to rely on automation
He didn't say they were huge idiots in relying on automation. They still use automation in a number of places in production.
He was saying they were "huge idiots" generally in designing the whole manufacturing process, which they obviously had to re-work quite a bit. Automation is only one small part of that, simple logistics in moving things around another... all had to be re-jiggered it turns out.
Re
Normal Development process (Score:2)
This is what happens when people try to do something new. It is called Research and Development, and it happens on -every- project to some extent. Whether it is planned that way or not...
What is different is telling the truth, which has become quite rare in recent decades. Partly because the "Internet" seems to require lies.
If you punish those who say "I was wrong" ot "I don't know", then you will end up buying from the liars. Good luck with that. 8-}
"Because we were huge idiots..." (Score:3)
And that is why Musk is successful. He may only be a mediocre engineer, but he is not only able to learn, he is able to be brutally honest with himself and that puts him far ahead of the crowd.
Re:Elon Musk is like the facebook generation (Score:5, Interesting)
Would you prefer a hundred 'erm' and 'uhh' while he figures out how to phrase the next few words so it's both accurate and relatively unlikely to be taken out of context?
I have no idea why American interviews (and subtitles, I've noticed) don't do a bit of cleanup before posting but absolutely HAVE to be completely verbatim.
Re:Elon Musk is like the facebook generation (Score:5, Informative)
Re: (Score:1)
If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
But it was ... just thinking how few old traditional buildings made with soft materials survived strong central american (where I live) continuous earthquakes. This is why seismic codes are becoming more and more strict, because of the bad experiences and fallen buildings
The real difference is that humans have several thousands of years making buildings and just some decades working with softw
Re: Elon Musk is like the facebook generation (Score:1)
Bill Clinton, an orator? That was Monica Lewinsky's job.
Re: Elon Musk is like the facebook generation (Score:1)
To be fair he had to internally translate from black Obama to acceptable-to-whites Obama while he spoke.
Re:Know thyself (Score:5, Insightful)
You are mixing up long-term success (visionary) with short-term success (being a huge idiot sometimes). But you probably did that on purpose and are just trolling. Well, I like to feed sometimes ;) I have karma to burn.
If you can't be a huge fucking idiot sometimes you will not accomplish anything in life. It's when we naively make our greatest mistakes, we grow the most as a human being. The point is, learning and not making the same mistake again.
Do you know anyone that can operate an automatic assembly-line from birth, like it's in their DNA, other than its own digestive tract? No? Indeed, didn't think so. Eating and shitting all over the place comes naturally, as we see often enough here in the comments. The rest we have to learn. Sometimes we can learn from others, but if we want to do something innovative, we have to learn the hard way. That means being huge idiots until you know how to do it right.
If you think you can do better than Musk, prove it to the world, or forever hold your peace.
Re: Know thyself (Score:2)
There are mistakes and then there are mistakes that shouldn't have happened. Tesla's visionary approach does not preclude them from hiring people who know what they are doing. It's not-invented-here syndrome.
Re:Know thyself (Score:5, Insightful)
You are mixing up long-term success (visionary) with short-term success (being a huge idiot sometimes). But you probably did that on purpose and are just trolling. Well, I like to feed sometimes ;) I have karma to burn.
If you can't be a huge fucking idiot sometimes you will not accomplish anything in life. It's when we naively make our greatest mistakes, we grow the most as a human being. The point is, learning and not making the same mistake again.
Do you know anyone that can operate an automatic assembly-line from birth, like it's in their DNA, other than its own digestive tract? No? Indeed, didn't think so. Eating and shitting all over the place comes naturally, as we see often enough here in the comments. The rest we have to learn. Sometimes we can learn from others, but if we want to do something innovative, we have to learn the hard way. That means being huge idiots until you know how to do it right.
If you think you can do better than Musk, prove it to the world, or forever hold your peace.
Well said.
It's so easy to never fail. Just never try anything and spend all your time criticizing others who do.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
...Also probably dishonest or amoral, but that is not strictly necessary.
Musk seems to be a bit better than the average, hell these days the gates foundation is actually pretty good. He, like a few others are not the typical fortune 500 CEO. They made their wealth on that new fangled internet thing long before the typical wall street troll got their teeth stuck in.
I for one welcome our new billionaire overlords. They seem a lot better than the last lot.
Hubris (Score:3)
1. Have an assembly line with the lowest downtime and most consistent production rate available.
2. Research improvements to the line. Develop a replacement station/process for pa
Re:Know thyself (Score:4)
Like the fairy-tale where one man runs a company that sends rockets in to space, is racing ahead with a luxury electric car company, produces leading battery storage for vehicles and properties and has some innovative solar products to boot.
Yeah, what an idiot, an intelligent person would have done far better. I'm not a Musk fan boy, but it's pretty obvious the man is no idiot.
It's just a shame he can't keep up with google WRT autonomous driving.