Should Professional Sports Switch To Robot Referees? (hpe.com) 124
Long-time Slashdot reader Esther Schindler writes: Everyone who watches sports spends some amount of time yelling at the umpire or sports referee. For the past few years we've also been shouting, "Replace that ump with a robot!"
But is it technically feasible? Is the current level of AI and robotics tech up to the job? This article starts with the assumption that someone seriously wants to create a robot umpire or sports referee and then evaluates whether it possible to build an accurate and trustworthy augmented reality solution today.
The article points out that professional tennis matches already apply AI to high-definition video feeds from up to six different cameras to dispense binding judgments on whether a ball was in or out. At the same time, not every officiating decision in every sport is so easily automated, since AI "can't yet handle calls that hinge on judgment of players' intent."
But there's a larger question: do we really want to remove those human watchers from our sports? "Sports is a human activity," argues a professor of social sciences at Cardiff University in Wales, suggesting that human officials continue a cultural tradition which reminds us of who we are. "Humans are imperfect; that's OK."
What do Slashdot's readers think? Should professional sports switch to robot referees?
But is it technically feasible? Is the current level of AI and robotics tech up to the job? This article starts with the assumption that someone seriously wants to create a robot umpire or sports referee and then evaluates whether it possible to build an accurate and trustworthy augmented reality solution today.
The article points out that professional tennis matches already apply AI to high-definition video feeds from up to six different cameras to dispense binding judgments on whether a ball was in or out. At the same time, not every officiating decision in every sport is so easily automated, since AI "can't yet handle calls that hinge on judgment of players' intent."
But there's a larger question: do we really want to remove those human watchers from our sports? "Sports is a human activity," argues a professor of social sciences at Cardiff University in Wales, suggesting that human officials continue a cultural tradition which reminds us of who we are. "Humans are imperfect; that's OK."
What do Slashdot's readers think? Should professional sports switch to robot referees?
Slippery slope (Score:4, Insightful)
Humans might be imperfect, and that's fine. But humans can also be bribed, and that's not fine. When tens of millions of dollars are in play, a referee can cae in to the promise of richness and make a "mistake".
Furthermore, some sports do have certain mathematical rules where the referee can be successfully replaced by automation (not AI, stop using that term, AI doesn't exist yet). For example, in soccer, an automated system can successfully determine whether the ball passed the goal line or not.
I say, replace what can successfully be replaced and leave the referee to decide in all other cases. Oh and we should stop perceiving automation as the enemy, rather we should look at merging the two (humans and automation) from a collaboration perspective. As a matter of fact I am seeing this right these days during the Football World Cup 2018 (the one you call soccer), where video systems are helping the referee make the right choice in deciding penalties.
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Yes, so between two points of failure and one point of failure I choose the latter.
(thanks for pointing out the typo, the correct word should have been "cave").
Re: Slippery slope (Score:1)
The solution is to shut down professional sports. Sports are games for children to play.
Replace Referees *and* Players (Score:2)
I feel about the same way for spectator sports. But I think I know the way they will die, at least televised ones: CGI sports.
With 1000s of hours of video for any specific team there's more than enough raw material to generate a CGI version of any team playing any other team. With a high-quality simulation of teams and players it would be possible to orchestrate any outcome. More important, it would be possible to not just arrange a game to have team A or team B win but to build up the tension with one b
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But humans can also be bribed, and that's not fine.
Programmers can also be bribed. In addition to ref-bots, we should also replace the players with robots. That may make sports interesting enough to actually watch.
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Programmers can also be bribed.
And their code can also be reviewed. And once the software is compiled, Bob's yer uncle.
It's much harder to change the software on a per-match basis.
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I guess you're confusing cowboy programming with heavily supervised production development.
Well, I asked... (Score:3)
I asked my fembot and she said the robot referees really get her hot.
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No (Score:4, Insightful)
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No
Will come a time when AI is way better than humans at almost anything. Get used to it.
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Will come a time when AI is way better than humans at almost anything. Get used to it.
AI? Automated Industry? :p
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Hell, we don't need robots, we've had instant replay for decades.
In baseball, instant replay adds interminable delays to a game many people already think takes too long. Additionally, the circumstances under which it can be invoked are quite limited - you can’t challenge ball/strike calls, for instance. And none of it actually involves tech, unless you refer to humans looking at multiple camera angle views and making a decision based on what they’ve seen as “tech”.
I’m willing to put up with human imperfection, but I’d also be fine if M
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There's not much point to automating ball and strike since the machine isn't going to be able to decide if the batsman went around (since there is no hard and fast rule for that, it's left to the umpire's discretion). None of the systems I have seen can decide between a swinging strike and a foul tip. Also never seen anything that can call hit by pitch or decide if the batsman tried to avoid it or leaned in and took the hit.
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Grading umpires against a machine after the game has actually resulted in the strike zone being close to rulebook and much more accurate. That seems to be a reasonable step, but I'm not so sure we would see much improvement if the machine actually made the calls in game. I'm sure they are quite accurate in deciding if it was over the plate, but the upper and lower bounds of the zone vary from batsman to batsman.
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That still leaves bunts.
But there will be a lot of resistance to nailing the rules down for the sake of the machines. More than other professional sports, baseball is about judgement calls. When the unexpected happens due to imperfections in the field or just unlikely random events, the rules actually call for the umpire to decide what would most likely have happened without the odd event and declare that to be the result of the play.
Consider, the ground rule double is nothing more than the observation that
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Completely right, which (former) soccer player is called "The Hand of God" and why ...
If everything in such "games" (aka sport, but focusing on the meaning of game) would be "strikt" ... why would you watch something like olympic ice dancing or even tennis?
Where do you draw the line between a foul and "well it was ok" ... an arbiter is "forming the game", reacting on the over all "fairness" or "unfairness", a foul that was "ok" in the first half of the game might be "not ok" in the second half because the a
YES (Score:1)
Yes. They should switch to robot referees. And robot players. To entertain their robot viewers.
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But many sports have too much subjective determination involved to remove human referees.
As an engineer, that seems to me to be a problem with the sports' design, not the refereeing. Replace these faulty sports with ones that have unambiguous design and repeatable decisions.
Leave the umpires/referees to deal with things like breaking up fights and provide cue extenders.
IMO (Score:2)
Let's talk when we have something close to AGI, something which is capable of thinking.
Right now we have pretty stupid and quite rigid algorithms which require tons of coding, colossal amounts of data to be trained, don't take any human conventions into account (unless they are again hard-coded into), and then these algos cannot understand, generalize, think, doubt and make rational conclusions. While the AI hype is extremely strong (because it attracts
nobody has ever said this (Score:2, Insightful)
>For the past few years we've also been shouting, "Replace that ump with a robot!"
no. nope. nada. this is something that literally no one has ever shouted.
Depends on the sport, probably (Score:3)
Don't even get me started on the NBA. An AI referee that called the rules as written would foul out the entire lineup for both teams in the first quarter.
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Don't even get me started on the NBA. An AI referee that called the rules as written would foul out the entire lineup for both teams in the first quarter.
Shouldn't that mean that either the players play according to the rules or change the rules? Saying that "The refs can't call the rules as the players play and that's just how it is" seems a bit silly to me. I'd be happy if they would start calling traveling and palming again.
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Don't even get me started on the NBA. An AI referee that called the rules as written would foul out the entire lineup for both teams in the first quarter.
Shouldn't that mean that either the players play according to the rules or change the rules? Saying that "The refs can't call the rules as the players play and that's just how it is" seems a bit silly to me. I'd be happy if they would start calling traveling and palming again.
Having played and later refereed; the ref's job is to control the game without inserting themselves into it. If you make every ticky tacky call the game stops being the game. Call the big ones, penalize the flagrant, but let the players play the game. The players understand the bounds beyond the rules and generally stay within them; when they don't they get called for it.
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Shouldn't that mean that either the players play according to the rules or change the rules? Saying that "The refs can't call the rules as the players play and that's just how it is" seems a bit silly to me. I'd be happy if they would start calling traveling and palming again.
Having played and later refereed; the ref's job is to control the game without inserting themselves into it. If you make every ticky tacky call the game stops being the game. Call the big ones, penalize the flagrant, but let the players play the game. The players understand the bounds beyond the rules and generally stay within them; when they don't they get called for it.
This seems to work just fine for MLB, your mileage may vary as to whether this works for the NFL, and it is entirely broken in the NBA, such that with the latter, who the refereeing crew is for the night has become a popular fan metagame, considered to be very indicative of the success/failure of various teams. The NBA, more than any other sport I can think of, has a "dark cloud of suspicion" over it with distrust of the refereeing. It's made even worse by there being two different rulesets that referees tend to enforce -- one fairly relaxed set of rules that are applied to "superstars" (like the Kevin Jameses of the various teams), and another much harder set applied to everyone else. They allow the superstars to get away with more things that would be called fouls if anyone else did it.
Good points. In the end, its just entertainment. If robot refs make the game more interesting for the fans and boost revenue, they will do it. If not, they won't.
Soccer for instance (Score:2)
- human referee for a long time (had no other choice)
- human referee (video reluctance) (1990~2015)
- human referee with video help (2016~)
- human referee with video help (AI reluctance) (2020~)
- human referee with AI help (2024~)
- AI referee (no other choice, way better than human) (2028~)
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So AI to arrive within the next two years? That's a pretty tight schedule but I like your optimism.
Might as well have robot players (Score:1)
No.. human referees are part of the game.
But they need to start using video. They can have an A.I. backup and if it contradicts the humans they should consider it's input.
With billions of dollars at stake, corruption of the sport is inevitable. And it only takes one veritably corrupt referee in a major game to ruin the sport with a huge scandal.
No (Score:1)
Next question, please.
Strikes/Balls in Baseball (Score:5, Interesting)
Baseball is a perfect example where this is completely feasible. Calling balls vs. strikes when the batter doesn't swing is a matter of where exactly the ball is. Umpires are notoriously inaccurate. The 538 even did a story showing that they biased their calls in favor of ending games that went into extra innings.
But the issue here isn't fairness or doing what is right. Ultimately professional sports are businesses. And they're not in the business of fair games, they're in the entertainment business. Right now, they won't switch to computers because the think it would reduce fan engagement. If fans get fed up with the consistent bad calls, then they'll switch. So when you hear arguments about "human factor," tradition, and fairness, it's all just a smokescreen for what will keep the most fans watching the games.
I'm not a sports fan, but I would prefer whatever solution results in games being decided based on the players, not the referees, and I see that as shifting to more computers. I expect it's just a matter of time before the majority of fans agrees and they make the change.
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"Baseball is a perfect example where this is completely feasible."
Not a sports fan either but along the same lines, football ('merkin) is probably an example of a sport where it isn't. How could AI determine if a receiver had "control" of a reception before hitting the ground? Even with perfect video telemetry what time period determines "control"? Seems like human judgement will always be necessary for application of "fuzzy" rules.
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Seems like human judgement will always be necessary for application of "fuzzy" rules.
Reminds me of a joke about the Turing test: if it can explain the offside rule consistently, it's a computer.
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Seems like human judgement will always be necessary for application of "fuzzy" rules.
Reminds me of a joke about the Turing test: if it can explain the offside rule consistently, it's a computer.
Definitely wasn't said by someone knowledgeable about sports. Offside is one of the very few rules that's pretty simple across sports. Now if they could explain what a foul in basketball is, that would be a computer.
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Now if they could explain what a foul in basketball is, that would be a computer.
No, it would not.
What a foul is in a beginners league is just proper usage of body contact in a professional league.
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I would argue that if the call is still a judgement call with full information, then there's something wrong with the rules. I like my sports objective. Of course, I don't always get what I like.
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The strike zone is only a small part of it. Did the batsman offer at the pitch? There is no hard and fast rule to decide. Was he hit by the pitch? Did he make a reasonable effort to avoid it? Was it a swinging strike or a foul tip? Did he interfere with the throw to second?
Meanwhile, there is a great dynamic in play where the batsman tries to "shrink" the strike zone and the battery tries to expand it.
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Agreed. But the basic question of whether the pitch was over the plate can certainly be automated. They could have the computer indicate in the umpire's ear whether the ball was good, outside, inside, low, or high, and the umpire could then just focus on the other aspects you mentioned.
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Certainly the machine can call over the plate or not, but I'm not so sure how they do with high or low, since the marks are set by the batsman as he is prepared for the pitch. But note how many batters shift their position a bit as the pitcher is in motion. Which exact moment defines the strike zone? That is left to the ump's judgement.
All major league fields are equipped with a system to track the pitched ball, and umpires are graded for performance against the system after the game. That did get rid of a
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Baseball balls and strikes may be harder than you think. The strike zone is NOT a fixed item but varies as it's technically based over the plate and between the knees to around the arm pits. Each batter based on height and stance style has quite a varied strike zone height.
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No, technology to identify that area exists today. It's even consumer level technology (costing around $150) - Kinect could easily do skeletal analysis of the captured 3D image, so knees to armpits is trivially easy to identify. It's a so
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This runs much deeper than that.
Why it's so much harder to predict winners in hockey than basketball [vox.com] — 5 June 2017
The NHL has a fairly high luck factor, and it's deliberate policy by the NHL to keep it this way. Lower scoring means that games remain undecided until the final minutes (preventing channel hoppers). I
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I would take NHL rules over NBA any day. NBA is boring, the same 2 teams make it to the finals every year.
I really want basketball to switch from free-throw shooting to a hockey-style penalty box.
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Baseball is a perfect example where this is completely feasible. Calling balls vs. strikes when the batter doesn't swing is a matter of where exactly the ball is. Umpires are notoriously inaccurate. The 538 even did a story showing that they biased their calls in favor of ending games that went into extra innings.
Is that a bad thing? I'm not sure anyone really wants more than an extra inning or two. And to me that's why having humans involved makes sense because they don't strictly apply the rules. The good ones keep control of the game while letting the players play. And when everyone is sick of watching the players play, and the players want to be done playing, they work to end the game while still keeping it fair.
AI applies the rule without always understanding why the rule is there. Without that understandin
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What he said: the game should be about the players, not the refs.
In tennis, for example, the "hawkeye" system allows players to challenge a limited number of referee calls. This works really well: the players cannot challenge every call they dislike, but if they're convinced the call was wrong, they can.
Football (soccer) provides a counterexample: the offsides rule is difficult for the referee to enforce, and nearly impossible for a fan to genuinely see - you have to be looking in too many places at once. T
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Baseball's replay has already significantly curtailed the controversies concerning calls that are reviewed, although it has raised a previously non issue where if the player touch a bag before being tagged, but then lost contact with the base due to how hard the player hit it (perhaps the leg or arm might lose contact by being pushed up and off for a split second. Previously, the umpire would be concerned with the initial contact, and making sure the player didn't completely overshoot the bag. Now, if video
Speed of sports requires this (Score:1)
Yes (Score:2)
Obligatory Futurama (Score:2)
Bender: Clem Johnson? That skin bag wouldn't have lasted one pitch in the old Robot Leagues! Now Wireless Joe Jackson, there was a blern hitting machine!
Leela: Exactly! He was a machine designed to hit blerns! I mean come on! Wireless Joe was nothing but a programmable bat on wheels.
Bender: Oh and I suppose Pitch-O-Mat 5000 was just a modified howitzer.
Leela: Yep.
Bender: You humans are so scared of a little robot competition you won't even let us on the field.
Fry: What are you talking about? There's all kin
100% agree..buuuut (Score:2)
Baseball (Score:2)
Baseball could use cameras or other tech to judge balls/strikes but other parts of the game wouldn't work. On a double-play, the second baseman isn't required to touch the base before throwing to first.
You don't say (Score:1)
apply AI to
The chiropractors of CS.... the "AI appliers".
The old school solution of "have you tried turning it ON and OFF" has finally transformed into "have you tried AI"
Basketball (Score:2)
I've been talking about this a lot lately-- the refereeing in the NBA attracts a lot of complaints.
Right now there's just way too much stuff for referees to look for, at once. There are some things that computers could do very well (3 seconds in the key, lane violations, calling player/ball in/out of bounds, backcourt violation, midcourt 8 second timer). This would free up referees to look for traveling, off-ball contact, etc, so that the overall quality of officiating could improve.
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MLB strike zone, absolutely (Score:2)
Nobody goes to a sporting event see umpires or referees. The umps are there, like police, as a necessary evil to ensure rules are followed.
If the umpire gets every call correct he has not made the game better. But every call he gets wrong means the outcome is being decided by something other than the competing players. That diminishes the game.
Eventually (Score:2)
Yes, if you want to watch a comedy show (Score:1)
n/t
They're just games! (Score:2)
Entertainment, you know. Even if a lot of $ is involved, sports are fundamentally about humans performing, under performing, making errors, screwing up, cheating, etc. Let's just call the referee another yet another part of that.
If you have money riding on a game, that's on you. The outcome is always subject to the fickle finger of fate.
If it's corruption of the referee you're worried about, what about corrupt players, management, etc? Make them into robots, too?
Referees? What about robot players? (Score:2)
Sports with robots as players have already arrived both physically [google.com] and virtually. The E-Sports industry is expected to surpass the $1 billion income mark next year. Though not autonomous or physical robots, this is still virtual robotics. And their viewership routinely surpasses professional sports.
Sports have long been a reflection of military activities. If we developed new sports to reflect the current battlefield, wouldn't they have to use robotics? Drones are robots and critical on the modern battlefie
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Why not indeed? Microsoft has already perfected the flop.
Who cares? (Score:2)
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Who cares?
Lots of people apparently.
Sports are meaningless.
So's everything else, ultimately.
But they should replace cops, judges and politicians with AI as soon as it's possible.
They're trying an it's gone about as well as could be predicted:
https://www.wired.com/2017/04/... [wired.com]
Whereas some professional sports (cricket, tennis, fotball) have adopted ball tracking for some refereeing tasks. The rules are straightforward (does the ball cross the line) the physics of ball flight is complex but easy enough to mo
Should Professional Sports Switch To Robots? (Score:2)
FTFA
Judging and The Olympics (Score:2)
Anything judged by people instead of being measured (time, distance, counts, yes/no) should be out of The Olympics. End of conversation.
professional training (Score:1)
BOXING NEEDS THIS (Score:2)
Isn't this a bit late? (Score:2)
No (Score:2)
They should go the other way and totally re-introduce the random human element by banning instant replay.
Humans only (Score:2)
I was just thinking about this while watching the (tennis) final at Queen's Club. Why should we care so much about a game that we have to apply AI to rulings?
It all goes back to McEnroe's baby-tantrums in the 80's when a guy being paid big bucks to knock a ball about a lawn with no risk to himself whatsoever demanded that he be treated as some sort of superhero.
Screw that. It's just a game - dry your eyes and get on with it, or we'll send you down a Chilean mine for minimum pay and you can see if you can di
Absolutely (Score:1)
MORE STUPIDITY (Score:2)
Middle Ground (Score:2)