Selling Full Autonomy Before It's Ready Could Backfire For Tesla (arstechnica.com) 190
An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica: Tesla has an Autopilot problem, and it goes far beyond the fallout from last month's deadly crash in Mountain View, California. Tesla charges $5,000 for Autopilot's lane-keeping and advanced cruise control features. On top of that, customers can pay $3,000 for what Tesla describes as "Full Self-Driving Capability." "All you will need to do is get in and tell your car where to go," Tesla's ordering page says. "Your Tesla will figure out the optimal route, navigate urban streets (even without lane markings), manage complex intersections with traffic lights, stop signs and roundabouts, and handle densely packed freeways with cars moving at high speed." None of these "full self-driving" capabilities are available yet. "Self-Driving functionality is dependent upon extensive software validation and regulatory approval, which may vary widely by jurisdiction," the page says. "It is not possible to know exactly when each element of the functionality described above will be available, as this is highly dependent on local regulatory approval."
But the big reason full self-driving isn't available yet has nothing to do with "regulatory approval." The problem is that Tesla hasn't created the technology yet. Indeed, the company could be years away from completing work on it, and some experts doubt it will ever be possible to achieve full self-driving capabilities with the hardware installed on today's Tesla vehicles. "It's a vastly more difficult problem than most people realize," said Sam Abuelsamid, an analyst at Navigant Research and a former auto industry engineer. Tesla has a history of pre-selling products based on optimistic delivery schedules. This approach has served the company pretty well in the past, as customers ultimately loved their cars once they ultimately showed up. But that strategy could backfire hugely when it comes to Autopilot.
But the big reason full self-driving isn't available yet has nothing to do with "regulatory approval." The problem is that Tesla hasn't created the technology yet. Indeed, the company could be years away from completing work on it, and some experts doubt it will ever be possible to achieve full self-driving capabilities with the hardware installed on today's Tesla vehicles. "It's a vastly more difficult problem than most people realize," said Sam Abuelsamid, an analyst at Navigant Research and a former auto industry engineer. Tesla has a history of pre-selling products based on optimistic delivery schedules. This approach has served the company pretty well in the past, as customers ultimately loved their cars once they ultimately showed up. But that strategy could backfire hugely when it comes to Autopilot.
Are they really satisfied with their purchase?.... (Score:2)
Considering that they are topping the table for car-ownership satisfaction rates, I don't think it's such a big issue. https://www.consumerreports.or... [consumerreports.org]
Re:Are they really satisfied with their purchase?. (Score:5, Interesting)
I happen to have a Tesla S and I do love the car.
They are a joy to drive. The acceleration is second to none. The handling is great, almost on par with the ( now deprecated ) hydraulic steering on BMWs's I used to drive. The cabin technology is great. I also really like the fact that the car gets free updates that actually improve it on a continuous basis!
I also feel extra pleased with my purchase because I get free EV charging in my office building, premium EV parking at most malls, and I just learned that Tesla will install a supercharger ( which I also get for free ) at my local mall. Heck I even get premium parking and free power at Ikea! ( I would get these with a lower cost EV but their really just a 'feel good' bonus. )
The autpilot is def misnamed. It's nowhere near autonomous. Just now it's more like a junior co-pilot. Would I like it to be better? Yes I sure would. But I will say that once you know it's limitations it is very helpful and - contrary to popular opinion - it does an excellent job in all weather conditions except heavy snow which covers the road. I'd say 70% of my daily commute is now handled by autopilot.
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I'd say 70% of my daily commute is now handled by autopilot.
How do you keep yourself focused while the car is on autopilot?
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Usually by reading a book or posting on slashd0.,-;@
no carrier.
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It does not matter, what car makers do or do not do. Autodrive should not be sold until a set of standards has been set, for what it can detect and how it should react to what it can detect and those standards should be set by regulation and followed. No roll your own experimentation, real world standards that can be followed, that a consumer can expect without having to drill down through the tech details. So being an Australian, can the system detect a kangaroo approaching the vehicle when you are doing 1
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Do you apply this to everything that can control the steering wheel, accelerator and/or brakes? So, say, all TACC needs to go under your rules?
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What my rules,"ISO is an independent, non-governmental international organization with a membership of 161 national standards bodies. Through its members, it brings together experts to share knowledge and develop voluntary, consensus-based, market relevant International Standards that support innovation and provide solutions to global challenges. You'll find our Central Secretariat in Geneva, Switzerland. Learn more about our structure and how we are governed." https://www.iso.org/home.html [iso.org]. Read my lips S
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I'll repeat my question: So, say, all TACC needs to go under your rules?
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How the hell would I know, I am not an international body of standards. Mt guess there would be an overriding autonomous vehicle standards with a whole slew of sub-standards tied to it, covering what ever they consider to be appropriate, this tying into other existing vehicle standards. I am just a commenter on slashdot not ISO or have any association with any standards body, I have just worked with them, hundreds of different ones and appreciate their worth and benefit and the safety they provide the commu
Re: Are they really satisfied with their purchase? (Score:2)
My point was simply that most luxury cars donâ(TM)t get updates. I previously owned a similarly priced BMW and if it got any updates - ever - they were too subtle to notice.
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I wish my $80,000 car got free updates. Or any updates at all.
Re: Are they really satisfied with their purchase? (Score:2)
When the car is doing 80 mph down a highway in a downpour I am certainly at full at attention.
When I am in stop and go traffic I confess I am usually not.
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This.
I don't think most people bashing autopilot realize that when you talk to people who own AP, this scenario - stop-and-go traffic - almost always tops the list of things that they like it for. Most people picture it as being just about driving down an open highway. Yes, it does that too, but that's not where it shines best.
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Also, concerning this article: The terms for AP and FSD haven't changed in a year. There is no "news" behind this article. By selling FSD separate from AP, it makes it explicit what you're buying. You cannot choose just AP and think "I'm getting full self driving". Meanwhile, the FSD option is plastered with all sorts of weasel words like "in the future" and "eventually", with no hard dates. You cannot choose FSD and think "I'm getting this immediately, or at least the day after tomorrow!"
Why this articl
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If anything this story should have been put out in January, back when they had just missed the deadline for their promised cross-country antonymous drive. Or maybe when Elon put out that tweet pushing FSD back to 2020. People say that the sales reps were telling them it would be within a few months, mid 2018 at the latest.
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Likely they cannot afford the payments and operating costs.
Tesla's are nice cars, but they come at a premium price. I'll never afford one. My guess is as folks start to realize they are mileage limited with long recharge times (range anxiety), are paying a LOT for that 4 door sedan, AND they could get a REALLY NICE fossil fueled option for less money so they put it up for sale.
Re:Are they really satisfied with their purchase?. (Score:5, Interesting)
I own a Tesla and the operating costs are substantially less than any fossil fueled car I have ever owned. Charging is much less expensive than gas and the only real maintenance is replacing the tires. I normally don't charge the battery past 200 miles unless I'm going on a long trip and my typical home charging time is less than an hour. The customer service absolutely blows away any other car brand I've owned and the car just keeps getting better with new software updates. I have never heard of any of the major auto manufacturers doing updates at all for anything that wasn't a serious problem and certainly not free over-the-air updates. I paid around $70K after the tax rebate which is not even close to the high-end for a luxury car.
Re:Are they really satisfied with their purchase?. (Score:5, Insightful)
Which $30K Ford does 0-60 in 4s? (Score:2)
1. a giant touch screen with built-in maps & navigation
2. lane assist, collision avoidance, auto-breaking
3. 5 star crash rating
4. backup camera
5. power lift-gate
6. > 60 cubic feet of cargo volume
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Also, which $30K Ford has: 1. a giant touch screen with built-in maps & navigation
All of them.
2. lane assist, collision avoidance, auto-breaking
It's available on all of them, but might push you closer to 35K.
3. 5 star crash rating
Fusion at least.
4. backup camera
All of them.
5. power lift-gate
Not sure, don't care. I'm not an SUV person.
6. > 60 cubic feet of cargo volume
Not sure, but probably the Escape and Explorer.
Tesla's big advantage is that it's fast and it's electric. Which is plenty. They'd be in much better shape right now if they had really focused on the electric advantage and not tried to half-ass the autonomous driving bit.
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They are the equivalent of a $30k Ford
Haters will hate. In the mean time actual reviewers are praising them no end and sure as fuck aren't comparing them to $30k Fords.
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Charging is much less expensive than gas and the only real maintenance is replacing the tires.
So Teslas don't have brakes/rotors, ball joints, wheel bearings, tie rods, shock absorbers, or any other components that wear?
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Someone managed to burn out their brakes on a Model 3 already. Of course, they did that by racing on a track with only mild regen ;) Apart from the brakes, the base Model 3 performed like a champ - but the brakes are clearly not intended for heavy use, because you normally don't need them for much. I'm sure they'll put much better cooled brakes on the performance model.
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Regenerative braking means you only use the physical brakes to slow from 3 miles per hour to zero, you don't touch the pedal to slow down at higher speeds.
I'm familiar with regenerative braking, having driven 80-ton electric trains for many years, but the friction brakes on a Tesla are most definitely used for hard stops. Romp the brake pedal down hard enough, and you'll hear the antilock system chatter just like any other car.
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"Tesla's cost more to charge than high MPG gas cars."
No, they don't. For the sake of argument, a high MPG gas car here would have to do more than 50MPG and you would have to always charge the Tesla using a supercharger and you would have to pay the rate that some superchargers charge if you don't get free supercharging. Charge your car at home and you pay far less. Get free supercharging by ordering and using a referral code and you can't even compare it with a high MPG car because charging costs zero at th
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FYI, https://www.tesla.com/where-yo... [tesla.com] Gives a estimate of costs from Tesla, they used to give a mpg slider but took that away, now they compare a 21 MPG car's cost to the Tesla (Compared to a performance car, that is fair.) But for something like a Prius, as long as the savings is less than the cost, a 41 MPG vehicle would be cheaper to fuel.
So for me $.15 for electric, for Gasoline up to $2.35 a gallon, 41 MPG is the same price.
They also say you can only use the SuperCharger for free up to 1000 miles. I
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My guess is as folks start to realize they are mileage limited with long recharge times
I doubt if any Tesla owner was unaware of these issues before they bought the car.
they could get a REALLY NICE fossil fueled option for less money so they put it up for sale.
FF cars come with zero nerd-cred. Nobody cares. You have to park at the back of the lot, while the EVs get the premium parking spaces near the entrance.
Disclaimer: I am a very satisfied Tesla owner. Well, technically my wife owns it, but she lets me drive it if I wash the dishes everyday.
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My guess is as folks start to realize they are mileage limited with long recharge times (range anxiety)
Actually Tesla owners almost universally realise that they aren't. It's traditional car owners that think they are.
Re: Are they really satisfied with their purchase (Score:2)
on perpetual maintenance
You're thinking like a poor person... which is good; most poor and middle-class in this country have been programmed to think like they're not. However, the folks for whom a new Benz might be a suitable purchase... aren't likely to keep it for more than a few years... and certainly don't (or shouldn't) mind "paying the price."
It's the poor schmuck who buys it afterwards who gets it in the ass - after all, the purchase of a used Benz/BMW/Audi could very well be the 3rd or 5th most important bad decision he
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Only on Slashdot can the car with the highest customer satisfaction in the industry be "universally agreed to be shit cars".
Chapter 7? (Score:2)
Re:Chapter 7? (Score:5, Informative)
What happens when they start selling them and the courts find that all liability is with the software/hardware manufacturer?
Then the manufacturer will pay for insurance, rather than each individual paying for their own. It will just be built into the price of the car, but will be less expensive and more efficient than the current system because of better transparency and lower transaction costs.
Consumers will win, since they will save money and hassle. Car manufacturers will win since "no-insurance-needed" cars will sell better. Insurance companies will lose, since they will be selling to informed manufacturers (who may opt to self-insure) rather than to confused consumers.
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What happens when an accident happens because the owner did not do proper maintenence (bad brakes, bald tires, mechanical failure, didn't take the vehicle in for updates, etc)? The manufacturer isn't going to cover that.
What happens when someone damages your car? The manufacturer isn't going to cover that.
'No insurance cars' is a pipe dream.
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What happens when an accident happens because the owner did not do proper maintenence
Very few accidents are a result of deferred maintenance. Nearly all are from impaired driving and human error.
bad brakes, bald tires, mechanical failure, didn't take the vehicle in for updates, etc)?
Tesla brakes don't wear out. The automatic regen absorbs 95% of braking energy. The brake pads last the life of the car.
Updates are OTA.
There isn't really much mechanics to fail. The only moving part in an electric engine are the bearings.
Tires wear out faster, because of the fast acceleration, so that is an issue. But existing liability law already covers out-of-warranty abusive use.
What happens when someone damages your car? The manufacturer isn't going to cover that.
Why not?
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Selling ANYTHING before its ready (Score:5, Insightful)
Selling Anything Before It's Ready Could Backfire For Anyone
Of course, now it looks more like an Onion's headline, but that is, in itself, a hint...
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It's actually worse than TFA makes out. The original web page was promising it would take your kids to school for you. They have since been editing it to reduce the promised functionality, but anyone who bought it with the old text (and there are plenty who kept screenshots) is in a position to sue if they don't deliver it.
Musk is saying 2020 now, by which time people who bought it shortly after launch will have had it for five years. Many of them will have run out their lease periods by then. Many of the c
I worked on lane tracking software (Score:5, Interesting)
I also thought about how hard it would be to make a real autonomous vehicle that worked under all conditions
Getting to 90% has been done. Good weather, good visibility, few unexpected hazards
Getting to 95% will be harder, and it gets exponentially harder as you asymptotically approach 100%
The billion dollar question is...How close is close enough?
No matter how good it gets, someone will always sue, claiming it isn't perfect
The law needs to be adjusted to accept the reality that nothing is perfect
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It only has to be as good as, or better than, humans... ...which aren't anywhere near 100%.
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No, Tesla sold it as "get out of your car and it parks itself". People won't be happy if they get an alert on their phone from the car pleading for help because it's stuck in a car park and doesn't know what to do and there is a long queue of human drivers behind it getting angry can you please get an Uber and save it.
Informally Musk promised you would be able to summon the car from the other side of the country. It's got to be damn near 100%.
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It only has to be as good as, or better than, humans...
For what? To improve highway safety? Perhaps, though that really depends on how automated vehicles handle being in traffic with human drivers.
But they also have to be economically viable, and that requires not just that they be better than the average person, but that they be perceived to be better than the individual buying them. That's a much higher threshold, given that most people think they are better than the average driver. But people won't want to buy a vehicle that they think won't be as safe
Re: I worked on lane tracking software (Score:5, Insightful)
They are deliberately comparing autonomous cars against average drivers and not normal drivers. The average includes drunks and irresponsible drivers who have the vast majority of accidents. When of if the AI beats an average driver it will still be an order of magnitude more unsafe than a normal driver.
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In my country, the average driver is not drunk. I probably saw hundreds of drivers on my way to work this morning. If any of them were drunk, I'd be surprised. If 10% were drunk, that would still mean the average is not drunk.
Re: I worked on lane tracking software (Score:2)
That's the normal driver you described. The statistical average is always a little drunk and much worse in the amount of accidents they cause.
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Would you buy an autonomous car where heavy rain or a hint of snow would keep you from getting home while a human driver just gets into the car and drives home?
Yes.
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Tesla is betting that the $5,000 per vehicle that they are charging for the self-driving capability will bring in more revenue than the cost of lawsuits when the technology fails. Sometimes they win the bet and sometimes they lose the bet. This is a good thing because it gives them a financial incentive to improve their technology.
Absolving them from liability because "nothing is perfect" only invites apathy and technological sta
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$8,000 per vehicle.
$5k for the lane assist, $3k for the full autonomy (requires the lane assist)
80% is good enough (Score:3)
The billion dollar question is...How close is close enough?
You only have to be SLIGHTLY better than the average human driver, and you start saving lives by getting marginal drivers off the road.
Judging from how I've seen people drive around the world, 80% is PLENTY HIGH.
I am serious; if you took some of the worst drivers today and gave them self driving cars with existing tech, you would be saving lives and reducing accidents.
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I am serious; if you took some of the worst drivers today and gave them self driving cars with existing tech, you would be saving lives and reducing accidents.
No, you won't. The worst drivers frequently have their license pulled. The worst drivers are already taken of the road.
The remaining drivers will average perhaps three to four accidents over their lifetime, with the odds of a fatality so small it's hardly a rounding error (source [forbes.com]). The average american drives 13,476 miles per year (source [dot.gov]). Figure on a 40 years worth of driving (giving *YOUR* argument the benefit of bias here), we're looking at 500k miles with a non-fatal accident every 125k miles at wors
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That was hilarious! Almost coffee-out-the-nose funny. I guess you've never been hit by a driver that was driving with a suspended license. I bet you've also never been hit by an illegal^^^ sorry, "undocumented" immigrant with no license or insurance. How nice for you.
If they can't be bothered to get a license you think they are going to get a Tesla? You're right - that *IS* hilarious.
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80% of what? 80% of trips? 80% of miles? 80% of different types of conditions?
People drive every day and most have had only a tiny number of accidents. I think we do a lot better than 80%
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The stated condition has nothing to do with your presumed result.
Ah, and here we have the caveat needed for your result: someone else's money.
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No matter how good it gets, someone will always sue, claiming it isn't perfect. The law needs to be adjusted to accept the reality that nothing is perfect
Adjusted how? Self-driving cars already killed their first pedestrian, I don't see any manslaughter charges filed. Liability for damages could be, but you don't get infinite damages for a wrongful death even if it's due to faulty products or recklessness. Here for example $750000 [hminjurylaw.com] for a life. Here's $2.2 million [pendaslaw.com]. Here's $2 million [mnlawoffice.com]. Here's a $950000 [mercurynews.com]. Probably the most expensive one I saw that's actually settled is $9.5 millions [latimes.com], not juries making crazy judgement that'll go on appeal. This review (pdf) [campbell.edu] across
Actually, the entire road network will be adjusted (Score:5, Insightful)
The law needs to be adjusted to accept the reality that nothing is perfect
The problem (traffic, roads, laws, standards) will get redefined to fit the new AI solution, same as when we transitioned from horses to cars. When you get enough autocars out there, the roads will begin to get engineered to mitigate the weaknesses of AIs, bit by bit.. This is exactly what happened to cars: we created and adapted roads, laws, enforcement, etc to match car's needs and continue to do so. The Model T was high off the ground to deal with the rutted, muddy dirt roads (or no roads at all) they were likely to encounter. Today, we have aerodynamic skirts a few inches off the pavement for efficiency. Pavement--smooth pavement--is simply assumed.
That's what always happens with any disruptive technology: we end up adapting everything, including ourselves, to meet it part way.
An example of things that will probably be changed soon than later: road construction zones will be required to implement certain protocols (signage, markers, notifying some central database, whatever) to make them easier for AIs to traverse. Failure to do so will entail liability for accidents.
My guess is that true full autonomy will first roll out in a big way on certain long-haul trucking routes. Many freeways are a fairly clean, well-defined situation and the prize for trucking companies is too big to ignore. Those parts of the chosen freeways that are problematic for the AIs will be upgraded, either due to lobbying by large trucking firms, and/or those firms'll kick in some of their own $ to make those changes happen sooner.
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We're near 40,000 road deaths per year in America. Now imagine that in 15 years, Tesla, Waymo, and Uber together took over the entire auto industry with Level 5 Autonomous Vehicles and replaced every vehicle on the road with their identically-performing AVs. In that first year, road d
"Full autonomy is far away" overestimates people (Score:4, Interesting)
The people who think it takes hard AI to achieve full autonomy in a self driving car vastly overestimate the cognitive abilities of human drivers. The computer does not need a complete and entirely correct model of the environment to be a better driver than a person. People are very easily overwhelmed by complex traffic situations and make tons of mistakes. Roads are designed to enable safe traffic regardless of these cognitive deficiencies. Computers can take advantage of that too.
Re: "Full autonomy is far away" overestimates peop (Score:5, Insightful)
The people who think it takes hard AI to achieve full autonomy in a self driving car vastly overestimate the cognitive abilities of human drivers..
And others vastly underestimate the challenges of designing a system that can perform better than humans without human oversight. Particularly in an environment that was designed specifically for human drivers interacting with other human drivers. We have a very long way to go.
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And others vastly underestimate the challenges of designing a system that can perform better than humans without human oversight
And still OTHERS appear to be utterly ignorant as to the state of the art in self-driving car research and delivery.
Kind of strange for a place like Slashdot to have some many people so very, very ignorant of technology.
Re: "Full autonomy is far away" overestimates peop (Score:4, Insightful)
And others vastly underestimate the challenges of designing a system that can perform better than humans without human oversight
And still OTHERS appear to be utterly ignorant as to the state of the art in self-driving car research and delivery.
Kind of strange for a place like Slashdot to have some many people so very, very ignorant of technology.
Please explain the "state of the art" for all those ignorant people. You could be one of them as far as I know.
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And others vastly underestimate the challenges of designing a system that can perform better than humans without human oversight
And still OTHERS appear to be utterly ignorant as to the state of the art in self-driving car research and delivery.
Kind of strange for a place like Slashdot to have some many people so very, very ignorant of technology.
As I pointed out in my reply above, current SDC capability is orders of magnitude (two orders, to be exact) worse than the average human driver.
We aren't ignorant of tech, we're just better at stats than you are.
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A little ahead of yourself there, Sparky. Chevy is petitioning [engadget.com] for that. Note the very first sentence in that article is "If the Department of Transportation grants GM's latest Safety Petition."
Re: "Full autonomy is far away" overestimates peop (Score:5, Interesting)
The people who think it takes hard AI to achieve full autonomy in a self driving car vastly overestimate the cognitive abilities of human drivers. The computer does not need a complete and entirely correct model of the environment to be a better driver than a person. People are very easily overwhelmed by complex traffic situations and make tons of mistakes. Roads are designed to enable safe traffic regardless of these cognitive deficiencies. Computers can take advantage of that too.
And people who make claims such as yours tend to forget that roads were designed for humans, not computers, and that some things that humans do very easily are very difficult for computers to do (and of course, vice-versa).
If we had roads which were designed for computers, I am sure computers would very quickly outperform human drivers. The problem is - we don't.
I believe that self-driving efforts are focused on the wrong thing: trying to reproduce a human driver, and claiming it's better if it, on average, messes up less than a human. Instead, it should be focused on trying to create an infrastructure that supports self-driving vehicles. Does that mean they will be able to drive on every imaginable road? Probably not...but likely on 95% of roads (such e.g. all roads and streets in cities), once the roll-out is complete. In this case, it probably will be safer...but if it satisfies a bunch of conditions first.
The other problem that people who claim "humans are not that smart, computers are better than them on average" miss is the variability among humans. No human driver is identical; almost all make mistakes, but the types of mistakes that are made (and the situations which they are made in) can differ widely. However, software flaws are replicated identically across many units...potentially millions of them. Joe in Chicago being a bad driver does not affect Bob in Cleveland. An undetected bug in Tesla's Autopilot will affect all Tesla owners in the world potentially, and probably under the same (or very similar) conditions. You might be in a situation where you have a 100% probability of a screw-up under certain conditions. That is simply not the case with any human driver. Now imagine if say, 20% of the cars on the road are self-driving...what you are potentially setting things up for is a black swan type of event: software-driven cars may be much safer 99% of the time, but could be prone to major screw-ups 1% of the time that will dwarf the combined effects of bad human driving.
Variability among human drivers also allows for evolutionary selection: reckless drivers will typically die, or have their licenses taken away from them. This does not remove all of the bad drivers - but does remove a great deal of them over the long run. How do we do that with self-driving cars? A destruction of one self-driving car with a flaw will not end it, because then likely all other cars of the same model and series have the same flaw. Removing just that particular car won't do it, you'd have to do a recall...now recalls can already get quite bad, imagine all of the recalls we're gonna have with self-driving vehicles (where the authorities are bound to more paranoid)...and it won't all be software problems you can patch, there will be hardware problems too.
I'm not saying these are all insurmountable problems. They can be addressed. I'm just saying there's a lot more to autonomous vehicles than the techno-optimistic "self-driving cars just need to cause less accidents on average than humans" stance. A lot more. It cannot be reduced just to a single metric. Or just a bunch of numeric metrics.
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Re: "Full autonomy is far away" overestimates peop (Score:5, Insightful)
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This. Tesla sold the capability of the car to go find a parking space and then return when you summon it later. There are all sorts of edge cases that a human would be able to deal with easily, like poor road markings or someone else parked badly or road works, but which AI will struggle with.
Considering they can't even get the system to drive straight in the middle of a lane yet (it's prone to ping-ponging between the lines) the current estimate of 2020 for this feature (that they have been selling since 2
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Computers are dumb.
Yes, they are (if you mean the silicon hardware, not the people that used to calculate). Software - not necessarily so. But please define smart and dumb before we continue that discussion.
Cars will never self drive.
What makes you say that? Some already do, although not very reliably. That is improving day by day.
Or did you mean legally? We'll see.
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Backfire? A TESLA? No way! (Score:5, Funny)
No internal combustion engine and we are discussing a backfiring Tesla? How's that possible?
(To you literalist... I'm making a joke.. )
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Why buy it now? (Score:3)
Why would anyone purchase non-existent driving software with their Tesla when, presumably, that feature could be purchased separately later, at a time when it really exists? You are only giving Tesla a free $3,000.00 loan for an indefinite period by ordering it now with the car.
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Because people are really stupid. Really stupid. People loan the government money tax-free and celebrate when they get a "refund" on their taxes.
At least there's no risk of the government going bankrupt and you being stuck as an unsecured creditor.
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Why would anyone purchase non-existent driving software with their Tesla when, presumably, that feature could be purchased separately later
When my wife bought her Tesla, she was told it would cost much more than $3000 to buy full-autonomy later.
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They told us it would be $4,000 if it was purchased later. Only a $1,000 difference.
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"Only a $1000 difference". Christ.
Oh, come on now. That may be a lot of money for you, but for anyone who’s buying a Model S or X, it’s a rather insignificant sum.
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The difference is that folks who pay the $3,000 have a locked-in price (unless Tesla goes bankrupt), whereas the people waiting to spend the $4,000 might find that in a few years, that price has gone up considerably. There's nothing contractually obligating Tesla to maintain the $4,000 price forever, as far as I can tell.
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On the other hand, they have got $3,000 now that they can spend on things that exist.
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They just announced the model name. (Score:3)
Doing a Tesla, Hugely (Score:2)
So is Trump an editor now?
I've already heard some use "did a Telsa" to mean "stupidly destroy oneself by stepping into an obviously dangerous situation" much like Tesla's car rammed a well- marked concrete barrier at full speed.
It's not just Tesla (Score:3)
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I drive a vehicle with the "Honda Sensing" option. Honda goes out of their way to make sure you don't rely on it. Lane keeping doesn't function under 40 MPH. Lane departure works above 30 MPH. Road departure works most of the time. Pre-emptive braking makes odd decisions but overall will keep you from rear-ending someone. Adaptive cruise control cuts out when you go slower than 20 MPH (my main complaint) with a loud, screaming tone. I hope someone finds a way to hack stop-and-go cruise control into H
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It already has back fired (Score:3)
Bite Back (Score:2)
Elon Musk has been warning everyone that AI would be dangerous. Perhaps it will be for him but not in the way he envisioned.
Deceptive post... (Score:3)
- everybody who is tired of waiting on the feature can ask their money back from Tesla.
- not a lot of people who have enough money to buy these cars are stupid enough to 'get confused'
- it's a duplicate of a similar story which ran 1 year ago. Tesla Autopilot has gotten better and will get better
- Tesla has already promised that if a hw upgrade is necessary (which is likely), they will upgrade free of charge.
Aside from that, we love the AP capabilities of our Tesla's.
The same could be said for the whole 'AI industry' (Score:2)
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yes, confirmation bias is strong with these buyers.
It is, but only because they really are awesome cars to drive.
I've put 18K miles on my Model S in the one year I've had it. Probably 16K of those miles were all done with AutoPilot - we did many 400+ mile trips.