Brazil Using Smartphones For Planning the Future 115
shafiur writes "Brazil has bought 150,000 LG smartphones and has embarked on the world's first fully digital national census. Can they succeed when the US recently failed to go digital? The Brazilians say that the digital census has several advantages over paper and pen methods. They say that the data is more accurate since GPS data will pinpoint the exact location of a household. The GPS data is cross-referenced with satellite images to ensure that responses are correctly geo-tagged. The recently begun census will underpin future publicy-making decisions."
US did do GPS (Score:3, Informative)
The US census did use GPS to pinpoint the exact locations of households. So Brazil can't do that much better....
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I can see how it'll go on census day:
(heard on loudspeakers throughout the country) ...
The census will begin in 1 hour
and so on..
The census will begin in 10 seconds
3
2
1
Now, everybody freeze. Don't move until the census has been completed. Anybody moving who is not a census worker will be shot, to eliminate any effect they may have on the census.
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Man, you'd have it easy. I remember when I had to pack up everything and put my poor pregnant wife on a donkey so I could head to my HOMETOWN for a G_d-forsaken census. Oy, vey, those crazy Romans!
Regards,
Yosef
Re:US did do GPS (Score:5, Informative)
I was an enumerator in 2000 and one of our team did exactly that: made up the data at home. She was caught in two days when those forms got input into the computer and got kicked back out. Besides running an ANOVA check on the data to compare the variances between workers (I'm guessing that's how they caught her so quickly, but I didn't know what an ANOVA was at the time), they also had a follow-up team separate from ours that double-checked a random sample of our work.
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Actually we did. One enumerator in my district did just that. He researched his assignments on the internet, and tried to forge reasonable responses. Of course this was detected during the quality control operation. This led to several humorous (well, on our side at least) interviews that went something like this:
QC Clerk: Hello, Mr. Smith? We recently received your census response, and are calling for quality control. Could you confirm that John Smith resided at this address on April 1, 2010?
Resident: John
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I love ho politicians "mission creep" these things. What is the reason Census was invented? So that Representatives in the House could be assigned by population. The End. There is no need to record my sex, my preferred orientation, my kids names, how many dogs I own, my income, or track me with a GPS in order to accomplish the above task. The count doesn't even need to be accurate. An error of +/- 1 person per district will not dramatically effect the representation in the House. Y
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How can it be better than the US voting system if it doesn't make sure that the right candidates win?
Publicy? (Score:1, Insightful)
Do you mean "policy"?
Not the First (Score:5, Interesting)
Strictly speaking, Brazil is not the first nation to do this.
The tiny Pacific Island nation of Vanuatu recently completed their 2010 census using smart phones. They mapped every single household across over 80 inhabited islands using GPS and are in the process of putting everything into a GIS-ready database.
The challenge, of course, was several orders of magnitude smaller, but as a proof of concept, it was compelling. To be able to use electronic data gathering ina Least Developed Country with no mobile phone service to 20% of the country is pretty remarkable. This is the first time in its history that Vanuatu has had reliable, complete demographic data.
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Do you know if they have cell service on all of those islands with satellite backhauls? Or did they have to physically aggregate the data from the devices?
Re:Not the First (Score:5, Informative)
Do you know if they have cell service on all of those islands with satellite backhauls? Or did they have to physically aggregate the data from the devices?
For the most part, they logged the data to the devices, then brought them back to Port Vila (the capital) and transferred it to the central system.
GPRS service is available throughout much of the country, but at terribly slow speeds and very high prices (about US$4.00/MB). It is being used to transfer monitoring data from the several active volcanoes we have, but to my knowledge, not for much else. Even donors find the service too expensive and slow to rely on.
There are VSAT uplinks at various places around the islands, but the two telcos here rely mostly on microwave links to hop from one island to the next.
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Considering the relatively small distances involved, microwave links are actually faster than VSAT uplinks. Going right across from one island to the next is much shorter than up to orbit and back, and there's no need to worry about intervening landscape getting in the way.
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Just finished reading the first couple posts from your blog. Any advice for someone who wants to pickup and move to Vanuatu to either do networking or volunteer work?
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Just finished reading the first couple posts from your blog. Any advice for someone who wants to pickup and move to Vanuatu to either do networking or volunteer work?
Come visit first. There's a regional geek conference that should give you an idea of where things are at, coming up in mid-September. PacINET 2010 [pacinet-2010.org] promises to be pretty good fun, and registration is free. If you can pony up for the ticket and cheap accommodation (guest houses start at about US$20/night, then you'll be right.
A more general, cautionary note to folks thinking about working in ICT development projects in underdeveloped countries: You'd better be strong, flexible, resourceful, good with (human) [imagicity.com]
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heh. wondering whether the map data will be publicly available, and thus usable for projects like openstreetmap :)
Privacy issues (Score:1)
Having the answers pinpointed by GPS doesn't seem too good. A census contains lots of data that's better kept to a somewhat generic location.
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Better for you and I, yes. But governments have other ideas.
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Cost of Labor (Score:5, Insightful)
The claim that the US process cost 10x as much I imagine has more to do with the fact that the Census is a labor intensive process. So intensive that it altered our unemployment rates briefly.
So yes the cost per person was about 10x higher in the US but the cost per hour for a census employee was probably considerably higher as well.
The Brazilian Census cost about $1B USD. Of that only $75M was for their hardware. So in neither scenario was hardware cost significant. I doubt we spent $13B more than the Brazilians on developing custom hardware that we didn't use--so it's bad journalism and misleading reporting to suggest in the same sentence that our solution to develop custom hardware was an example of US waste.
Furthermore if we have 30% more people in the US that means we would need 320,000 census devices. That's not a bad run of a product and I would say safely warrants custom hardware. Especially if you could create a far less expensive device. slow RISC Processor + Basic software + Broad-com chip w/ AGPS should be less than $100 to make. This is the census we're talking about. 7 questions. You don't need anything more than a TI-83, GPS and an 3G antenna to make that an effective product. I would be surprised if you couldn't make something which uses less than $20 in wholesale components.
Re:Cost of Labor (Score:5, Interesting)
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First off, the would both have to _be_ functional to begin with. A device that cannot do what it needs to is useless even when it isn't broken. Second, even if the 'rugged' piece of crap is five times as durable as the 'cheap' piece of crap, you're still screwing yourself if it costs ten times as much to replace when it does break.
Surely there a
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Re:Cost of Labor (Score:5, Informative)
They may be using modern technology to do the census, but they're using them in a primitive way. Modern statistical methods allow one to take a small sample and accurately determine the entire population and its makeup, at a tiny fraction of the cost.
The Census Bureau has been arguing for sampling for several Censuses now. It's not like they aren't aware of modern statistical methods. It's a no-go. Congress won't approve it. It might not even be legal since the letter of the law clearly specifies an enumeration of every individual.
Besides, the specific data from this Census gets opened in 2080 and will be a treasure trove for historians and genealogists.
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Besides, the specific data from this Census gets opened in 2080 and will be a treasure trove for historians and genealogists.
That's very important. Social scientists use US Census records extensively.
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It might not even be legal since the letter of the law clearly specifies an enumeration of every individual.
If they wanted to follow the law, they wouldn't ask all those other questions that had nothing to do with enumerating, including questions about race.
Besides, the specific data from this Census gets opened in 2080 and will be a treasure trove for historians and genealogists.
Or it may be opened before then [wikipedia.org] and used for other reasons.
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by your reasoning, general elections wouldn't be necessary either. asimov wrote in a short tale that in an unspecified future, computers were so good, statistical tools so sofisticated, that the elections were decided by interviewing a SINGLE person.
but the real world doesn't work like that. unless you interview (or count the votes of) the whole population, there's an enourmous margin for abuse and fraud.
and don't come with "oh, but the sample will be selected randomly". by whom, may i ask ? by a computed t
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by experience, i can say that wages here in brasil are about 4x lower for the same job than in US, so if labor was the reason for the high cost of US census, it should have costed 4 gigadolars, not 13.
other factors, to take into account:
population size:
brasil has an estimated 200 million inhabitans, US 300, barely 30% difference
the largest states are also the ones with lower population density, but the state of amazonas dwarfs alaska.
i doubt that alaskan landscape makes it as dificult to reach the populatio
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Well, I don't brag a lot about our all-electronic elections. That is the kind of system that one can only proove that is flawed, if it is working, nobody can ever be sure. Ok, nobody proved our elections are flawed, so we are not sure, that is way better than the US situation, but still nothing to brag about.
Just to be clear, I'm not completely against electronic elections. It is more a kind of trade off, do you want the possibility of undetected convetional (dispersed) election fraud or modern (centralized
In The US Enumeration Is Constitutionally Mandated (Score:1, Troll)
But well-designed stratified-sampling surveys produce better statistics at lower cost. Of course, governments are often after more than mere statistics...
Re:In The US Enumeration Is Constitutionally Manda (Score:4, Interesting)
First? (Score:5, Interesting)
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Since then, an automatic system has been in place to which you report whenever you move, get married, have kids etc
Darth Vader: "I wouldn't be too proud of this technological monstrosity you've created."
Really, I wouldn't. I'm perfectly happy with our government counting us by hand every so often, rather than having to report my movements to them. Frankly, I don't trust our leaders nor our bureaucracy that much. Not that our various Governments (Federal, State and local) can't figure where I am and where I've been easily enough with the existing privacy-robbing databases that are popping up like weeds everywhere, but
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You're talking about completely different cultures. Americans are afraid that the nanny state will take over in the future. Nordic people are afraid that their nanny states won't be sufficiently good at nannying in the future.
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You're talking about completely different cultures. Americans are afraid that the nanny state will take over in the future. Nordic people are afraid that their nanny states won't be sufficiently good at nannying in the future.
True. But it's not the nannying that worries me. Well, it does, only because nannying is so damned expensive and I'm a taxpayer. I'm more worried about further loss of civil liberties which, sadly, is a concern for me as an American.
Re:First? (Score:4, Insightful)
In the US, you worry about the government spying on you or infringing on your rights, while giving the corporations free pass to fuck you in the butthole all day and night.
In the Nordic countries, we make sure our elected representatives and civil servants are people who do the right thing, in addition to expecting them to protect us from corporations too.
Worrying about civil liberties? You guys won't even allow homosexuals to marry, wtf is that for civil liberties... Stop living in the 19'th century, as America is no longer the bastion of civil liberties it once was. It's frankly quite insulting and ignorant point of view that more shows your ignorance than anything else.
BTW, per capita cost of health care in Norway (the most expensive country to live in in the world) costs less than half what it costs in the US, yet covers everyone. I believe that should be classed under 'nannying is damned cheap' if done using the Northern Europe style public management.
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BTW, per capita cost of health care in Norway (the most expensive country to live in in the world) costs less than half what it costs in the US, yet covers everyone. I believe that should be classed under 'nannying is damned cheap' if done using the Northern Europe style public management.
Powerful people within the Catholic Church wanted to believe that the Earth was the centre of God's creation. Galileo proved otherwise by observing the phases of Venus and the moons of Jupiter.
Guess what happened next?
If you keep pointing out the objective, measureable, successes of Nordic social/liberal democracy you are not going to convince the kind of person who thinks it natural to ask the laughable question, "Can [Brazil] succeed when the US recently failed to go digital?"
That depth of ignorance, bot
Correction (Score:2)
It's nice that you're proud of your country, but let's not confuse pride with the facts.
Japan [aneki.com] is the most expensive country to live in and has been for some time. South Korea is next and also has been for sometime.
Secondly, I call BS on your "cost" analysis. While it is almost certainly true Norwegians, on average, pay less, have better coverage, and less uncovered in the field of health care, the true cost can only be derived by an in depth analysis for what they pay and pay into the system, and what part
Furthermore (Score:2)
Furthermore, for all your Nannying, that is so wonderful, it seems you've given up lots of freedoms to obtain that. You may have complete trust in the benign nature of your leaders, but most of us Americans still live by the knowledge of why we threw our European leaders out. Yeah, all those kings and queens, and Religious leaders were so benign weren't they? After all, no one really expects the Spanish Inquisition. I'm with Screwmaster on this one. If things get bad enough in this country, I feel comforted
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Hey - he's talking about the Nordic countries, not the whole of Europe. The whole of Europe includes the former Soviet-influenced eastern nations which aren't really comparable to the Nordic countries.
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Sorry, but cost-of-living by city is not the same as that of a country as a whole. Tokyo comes quite high, the whole of Japan not as much. Facts you know, which vary a bit due to exchange rates.
And the BS on true costs? I'm talking about per capita cost for the whole thing [healthaffairs.org] based on OECD studies. A person doesn't pay anything himself it's all aggregated and newer figures than those in the link show the US is only exaggerating the gap.
So no, I won't find that the total cost of health care is more in socialize
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Sorry, but according to the Numbers Japan and South Korea both beat out Norway in cost of living. Unless, you can show some impartial facts otherwise. I've shown you one link supporting.
Your OECD study leaves out one small, but crucial fact. The per capita of US healthcare is heavily skewed. The richest 1% of the people in US spend almost 1/4 of the total expenditure of healthcare. In order to get a true picture, you have to take the real average.
Of course, there is lies the crux of the problem. What is
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Do we seriously have to continue to hear this rubbish from the socialism apologists? Why don't you look into history and see how many people have been killed and abused by corporations compared to governments. If you want to start a pissing match, I'm sure we'll find lots of fine points for Norway but they'll be quickly outnumbered by
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You guys won't even allow homosexuals to marry, wtf is that for civil liberties...
Then you don't understand the issue here. The issue is getting "Married" in a church (or whatever your religion has) and being marked down in the government books as a "Union".
The controversy happens because those who push for Gay Marriage want the government to force religions to marry same sex couples. If they just went for fixing "Unions", it would have happened already.
On top of that, the pro gay marriage people were disho
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It's frankly quite insulting and ignorant point of view that more shows your ignorance than anything else.
Well, you're obviously something of an arrogant ass with a bone to pick, but if you'd actually read my post, you'd realize I was referring to my own country not insulting yours, which would have been difficult for me considering I don't actually know were you're from. Not, frankly, that I care very much. In any event, maybe you can trust your leaders and your bureaucrats to not waste your money and permit billions in fraud. If so, that is just great for you, but as an American, I'm not so fortunate. Nannyin
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Stop living in the 19'th century, as America is no longer the bastion of civil liberties it once was.
P.S. whoever modded this fruitbasket "insightful" is just as ignorant as he is. I understand that many of you don't like America, but calling all Americans "ignorant" is no way to improve relations. It just makes us dislike you as much as you dislike us, and what purpose that serves I do not know. I guess it makes you feel better or something.
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The Nordic countries (Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland in this context) have all abolished the manual census counting years ago. In Sweden, the last census survey was made in 1990. Since then, an automatic system has been in place to which you report whenever you move, get married, have kids etc (well, I think the hospital is reporting children). Formally, this has to be made on paper so it is technically not a fully digital system. However, since the introduction of E-ID's a few years back, it has been possible to do this online, beating Brazil with at least 4 years.
Why have a Census at all? (Score:1)
It can't be accurate, with a 72% participation rate (http://www.census.gov/). Existing data already collected by the govt and various public and private agencies such as licensing, income and real estate taxes can provide far more accurate data with minimal cost. The notion that we still have to manually count people is ludicrous. The assumption that the govt doesn't already have details on anyone in this country who has ever filed a piece of paper with the state is bogus. It's just a matter of sharing
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People are already wary enough of the census. Sharing the information with the IRS would cut that participation rate in half. Privacy is one of the most important parts of any census.
Also, that 72% you mentioned is the voluntary mail-in participation rate. This is the easy part of the Census, the hard part being trying to find all of the people who deliberately dodge anything that has anything to do with the government. And believe me, they try VERY hard to find each person in the US. Legal resident, homele
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Double post, sorry, but I didn't remember to answer your question. The Census is used to determine population statistics for use in congressional representation, and basically nothing else. That's how a republic works.
PR Stunt? (Score:1)
It is not nice when the government only uses the data it collects for "spin". Hopefully they are also able to use it for policy-making.... ;)
2010 census was digital for mapping... (Score:1, Informative)
AC because I'm a long-time lurker and rarely a poster. I was a 2010 Census Enumerator (door-knocker for the people who didn't send in their forms) and worked with people who had been responsible for locating the households originally. They all had handheld GPS devices and address lists, my crew leader wasn't technical enough to know/remember what imagery or databases they were using to start with but once they found a location they would press a button on the GPS device and locate it precisely on their maps
I answered to the census yesterday! (Score:1)
As soon as I opened the door I noticed the blue & very rugged "smartphone" (I would rather call a PDA) and the lady was really quick on making all the questions and even collecting my signature. (While singing into the touchscreen I could see that the thingy is pretty well designed and simple.
I belie
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not as well designed as you might think.
i live in a house with other 2 roommates, so it was classified as a "colective residence", this caused some problems for the 2 enumarators (a nice midle-aged lady and a 20 something boy). seems the interface is very linear, they have to input avery answer ano after another, and if they need to correct anything, it's kinda confusing.
i don't know if it's by design (to avoid fraud) or a typical case of good programers that are lousy at interface design.
but, minor annoyan
Re:Side benefits! (Score:5, Informative)
Also, it's a wonderful way for the government to show the poverty-stricken people (I realize that term doesn't apply to everyone) how "awesome" western culture is, and why they should start the "culturization" process we've been famed for in the past couple centuries!
Care to bet how long before Brazil has to start cleaning up their pollution clouds?
Hate to break this to you, but Brazil is "Western"
Re:Side benefits! (Score:5, Insightful)
Also, Brazil is a relatively wealthy country.
Re:Side benefits! (Score:5, Informative)
Obviously you've never been to South America. Brazil is a relatively wealthy country, but it's a country of Haves and Have Nots. Poverty in the US is nothing compared to poverty there.
If the US had waited a few years until GPS enabled phones were available they might have had more success. The contract to supply the devices was started way back in 2002. Maybe next time...
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Facts about Brazil: (Score:2)
Brazil is energy self-sufficient! It still exports some oil it cannot refine, and imports some oil it can refine, but, overall, it is energy independent.
Brazil has real banking laws. The world-wide economic downturn caused by corruption in the U.S. financial system lasted only a few months in Brazil.
Brazil only recently passed laws that everyone must be educated through high school. There are a lot of adults in Brazil who, sadly, have little education. Little education usually me
What Western World? (Score:5, Informative)
I hate to break it to you but there is no such agreement.
The exact scope of the Western world is somewhat subjective in nature, depending on whether cultural, economic, spiritual or political criteria are employed.
From a cultural point of view Brazil could very well belong to the West, however that is not what is being challenged here [in my opinion].
The obvious cultural, economic and political differences [freedomhouse.org] between Brazil and what is known today as described by the term "the West" (Western Europe, North America, Israel, Australia and New Zealand) are clear. Corruption is endemic [transparency.org], the justice system incapable, crime rates sky high, racial discrimination heavy, wealth distribution skewed.
It would perhaps be more pertinent to discuss this in light of Brazil's present and future economic situation.
As of today Brazil is not a developed country according to the IMF [imf.org], OECD [oecd.org] or the UN.
It is perhaps most clear when considering the unequal nature of Brazilian society [indexmundi.com] and Brazil's ranking according to the Human Development index [undp.org]. Brazil is ranked far below the average OECD country (Figure #1).
I think the report speaks for itself: "By looking at some of the most fundamental aspects of people’s lives and opportunities the HDI provides a much more complete picture of a country's development than other indicators, such as GDP per capita."
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The obvious cultural, economic and political differences [freedomhouse.org] between Brazil and what is known today as described by the term "the West" (Western Europe, North America, Israel, Australia and New Zealand) are clear. Corruption is endemic [transparency.org], the justice system incapable, crime rates sky high, racial discrimination heavy, wealth distribution skewed.
(etc etc)
We could argue all night about what Brazil and/or "The West" is what is not.
It's funny, though, that you seem to understand that "The West" means the so-called developed countries. Yet you put Israel as part of that same group, what is laughable.
C'mon, your even using information provided by the Freedom House which, basically, is a U.S. propaganda tool.
There are many, many reasons to bash Brazil... But if you do that, please, at least try doing your homework correctly.
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I guess you missed the part where he also cites the IMF, OECD, and the UN?
Or are those part of the"US propaganda machines" as well? Regardless, I'd say his numerous sources hold a hell of a lot more water than your zero sources.
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For ease of fact checking, enjoy the following two maps, curiosity of the IMF and the UN respectively.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Imf-advanced-un-least-developed-2008.svg [wikipedia.org]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:UN_Human_Development_Report_2009.PNG [wikipedia.org]
Facts are fun :)
Facts of the matter (Score:2, Troll)
Did I hurt your feelings? I'm only trying to be objective here, I don't have any feelings for or against Brazil. I believe it will become a fully developed country within a few decades.
Israel is clearly a developed nation in every aspect of the word. A structured society, ruled by law, organized and effective, high income status, high GDP levels, high levels of education and research all speak in favor of this status.
I assume you object because of the nature of the conflict with/over Palestine? That fact do
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Did I hurt your feelings? I'm only trying to be objective here, I don't have any feelings for or against Brazil. I believe it will become a fully developed country within a few decades.
You're just trolling.
First you try to reduce my arguments to an emotional response, then you try to look reasonable while condescending.
Brazil is a Western country by all means, and its history is an example on how things may go wrong in an Western country.
Too bad it does not help the Western reputation around the world, uh?
You're trying very hard to prove how bad Brazil and how wrong I am.
Except that I did not deny that country's problems, instead I made clearly that many problems exist.
Sorry if
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99% of the time people get modded troll because of the way they express their opinions and NOT because of what they think. If this one falls on the 1% I can't really say, but one can guess...
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That "the West" is a subjective concept is quite clear to me. That it is equal to "developed countries"; well, this seems to have came straight out of your arse.
You rank "North America" within "the West". That includes Mexico? It is a country very similar to Brasil (although the corruption there is way worse).
Also, where the hell from came the notion that "racial discrimination heavy"?! There's no such thing in Brasil. You'd be hard pressed to find a single hate speech made by a brasilian; or a violent act.
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You do know that places like Ethiopia, Egypt, Russia and Pakistan have better economic equality than the US? Along with some ~90 other countries with higher rates of equality. Which includes the bulk or all of the EU.
And while crime rates in the US are lower than brazil's, they ARE comparable to pakistan's (nearly tied homicide rates). Which is around 3~4x what the EU rates.
And the US can't exactly brag about race equality. Blac
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Are you Brazilian? I am sure you are not. I am Brazilian and I assure you that we are a Western country. I will not even argue about that with you.
About the rest, somethings are true, some are exaggerated and other are even worst than you said. I doesn't matter
Now get off my lawn!
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No, you did not. [globo.com]
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'Conversative' has lost it's meaning an US politics and has become another name for a political party. The conversatives aren't conservative.
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While I think this dilution of meaning has been a little less in this case, I would generally agree with you. Our politics are poisoned by the two party system. It's nearly impossible to actually have a reasoned discourse on anything anymore.
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'Conversative' has lost it's meaning an US politics
I'm not sure "conversative" really ever had much meaning in U.S. politics. On Slashdot, maybe.
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Some strange birther-blather there. So how was Washington DC this weekend? Did Glenn smile upon you?
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/08/30/100830fa_fact_mayer [newyorker.com]
The Koch brothers are getting their money's worth out of the troll this season.
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Dude, that was awesome! I want some of that stuff you're smoking
I don't. Whatever it it is, it's obviously caused severe brain damage. Or perhaps he was dropped on his head at birth, hard to tell.
That bit about sending FEMA to kill us was precious. If anything, FEMA will just ignore us to death.