Not Much Happening in Hard Drives This Year 449
yahooooo writes "CoolTechZone.com has an article that talks about desktop hard drive developments in 2005. It looks this year is going to be a dud for the storage industry."
Order and simplification are the first steps toward mastery of a subject -- the actual enemy is the unknown. -- Thomas Mann
What about reliability? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:5, Interesting)
as for reliability, most HD's are acceptable, but you can never fully rely on them to never fail, you must always have a backup system for important data.
speed is one of the areas which is always welcome for improvement (until of course it reaches the max interface speed, eg 150mB/sec for SATA)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:5, Funny)
Surely you meant to say 640k?
Re:What about reliability? (Score:3, Interesting)
As for me personally? I keep a couply things on my computer that so far has lead me to install 400GB worth of disk space in my computer. Music
Re:What about reliability? (Score:3, Funny)
Yet another case of pr0n driving technological development.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2, Interesting)
I bought this box in mid-2001. I'm on my 4th HD and 3rd graphics card. The rest is all very much alive and kicking.
A hard drive is a critical component. Its emphasis should be on reliability FIRST and then everything else.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
Some of my IDE-drives are 2yrs and older and still ticking fine.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
Or maybe you're buying cheap hardware...?
=Smidge=
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
Agreed. I had a 200 gig drive that kept locking up on me... I added a large (but quiet fan) inside the case to just move some air over it. It hasn't given me any trouble since.
Actually, I've not had a hard drive failure in any of my machines (3 in my home office) since I started getting a little air flow over them. Before that I was seeing fairly frequent IDE failures as well.
I wonder if it would be cheaper for manufacturers to start putting small fans on the
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
My current IBM deskstar is running a record 3 years.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:5, Insightful)
I think reliability is fine in a majority of drives. No different than operating a car. Gotta take care of it to get it to last 100-200k+ miles.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2, Interesting)
Most of my hard drives are a couple of years old and I have no problems with them. And this is coming from a guy that uses his machines non-stop. Some are on all day processing data or converting shows I recorded on my PC DVR to a more compact format.
You get what you pay for. I don't skimp on my hard drives, I buy well reviewed models from manufacturers I trust.
But, I guess some people are just unlucky.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2, Insightful)
and yet I've never had a single failure. Not one. Not one HD failure in the many laptops Ive had either.
Not one back in my mac days.
In fact, since I started using systems with HD's back in the 80s, not one.
What the heck are you DOING?
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
I can't explain the HDD's though - I've got 6 ide drives on a raid and I've only had one of them fail in the last two years.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2, Informative)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:5, Insightful)
If that's the case, seriously, you're doing something wrong.
My linux machine is using a 20GB hard drive that I bought in 1999. It still works flawlessly.
Basically, all new hardware goes into my main machine first, what comes out of this one gets passed down among the other boxen. So, most hardware is at least a year old before it gets passed down.
If you haven't had a hard drive that lasted for more than a year, there is something about your setup that is simply not right. Maybe you have dirty power. Maybe you shouldn't use your computer on tha back of a moving go cart. Whatever it is, such a short lifespan out of any of your hardware should tell you that there is something out of the ordinary with the way you're using it.
LK
Re:What about reliability? (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:5, Insightful)
Dont have a media system yet, eh?
Let me tell you, when you start recoring video and storing your DVD's on disk for easy access, not even multiterabyte disks will seem enough.
Add to that storage for backups which doubles or triples your needed space and you start seeing the problem. Then add mirroring and longterm archives...
"but you can never fully rely on them to never fail"
I'd rather say you can fully rely on them to eventually fail. Which is why you need so much space for backups.
"speed is one of the areas which is always welcome"
Welcome, but not essential. For actual system performance you're often better off with more memory for disk caches. If you have some very intensive applications needing very high speed you can improve performance with striping anyway, and in desktop systems it's often a better solution as heat and noise from faster disks make them unsuitable.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2, Insightful)
However, I think he's speaking as a whole. If you take all of the PC owners, how many do you think actually need THAT much space? Sure, there's a alot of people (including myself) that need that kind of space. But as a whole, we only make up a small percentage
If you take into account all of the people that just use their machines for email, web browsing, taxes, and maybe the occasional game of solitaire then they really don't need that much space. Most people d
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
This is why i said 'very few'. Only a small percentage of people actually do video editing/storing on their computer.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Backups? (Score:3, Informative)
But, yes, the video volumes tend to have to get along without onlin
Re:What about reliability? (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:5, Informative)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
Can I quote you in ten years?
Re:What about reliability? (Score:5, Informative)
PS: If you want reilabilty for cheap, check the Seagate Barracuda series (i own this one [seagate.com]) - cheap, VERY reliable and also damn quiet. I can't tell if the thing is running or not by listening to it.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
And I thought I saw 10k rpm ide drives?
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
As for the 10k RPM IDE drives, they're out there (parent post suggested one by Western Digital), but they're prohibitely expensive. I mean, c'mon, 10k RPM SCSI drives have been avaiable since what, 1995? It surprises me IDE drive manufacturers haven't catched up.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
How about notebook features? (Score:5, Interesting)
Sure 4200rpm may save battery life, but they're so god aweful slow. Why don't they make a drive that has variable rpm? You could even have the OS control the speed: 4200 when on battery and 7200 when plugged into an outlet. Maybe even have an override so you can make it fast at the expense of battery life, should you want to.
Re:How about notebook features? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2, Insightful)
Also, cheaper/better consumer HDD's = things like more mail storage, web space, voice mail capacity etc. from providers.
Re:What about reliability? (Score:2)
Some additional speed would be nice, but realist
Re:Hard Disk Drive: End of an Era (Score:3, Informative)
Flash memory has still a lot of improvements to do in the write cycles department (the number of times you can write to it before it fails), which basically hasn't changed a lot since it was introduced
Re:Hard Disk Drive: End of an Era (Score:2)
Hmm, then I wonder why the largest compact flash cards are actually just containers for micro hard disks...
Flash memory density is increasing rapily, but so is the cost. Look at solid state drives from M-Systems [m-sys.com]
-- They are rediculously expensive. I have used them for storage in hostile environment experiments, as that is what they are made for, but they are wayyy to expensive for consumer use. Obviously, the prices will come down. However, the prices to make postage stamp size hard disks with many g
This is news? (Score:3, Funny)
Re:This is news? (Score:2)
Slow news day? (Score:5, Funny)
The calculated scores don't carry much weight. [slashdot.org]
Nothing particularly surprising here. [slashdot.org]
Did anything happen today that does matter?
Well I heard this rumour: (Score:2)
Just looking on the news channels but no one is confirming it....
Re:Well I heard this rumour: (Score:2)
Re:Slow news day? (Score:2)
Re:Slow news day? (Score:2)
Is this supposed to be some sort of example of "no news is good news"? "Not much happening" is on the front page of /. I never thought I'd see that.
Wake me when something happens.
Re:Slow news day? (Score:2)
Boy wears fancy dress to fancy dress party.
Re:Slow news day? (Score:2)
You just KNOW this story is going to dupe.
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Storage (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Storage (Score:3, Insightful)
You know, 200+ gigs isn't going to go very far once you start storing your DVD collection. Certainly mine would occupy over 2TB if I were to rip it to disc and use a network media player to access it.
Video, especially HD, is going to eat these discs pretty quick. I remember my first PC (previously I had avoided x86 boxes) had 200MB of disc and that seemed huge at
Re:Storage (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Storage (Score:2)
What I would like is cheap and reliable harddisks. Too often I've got problems with IDE disk that starts failing for no good reason. When I buy a harddisk it seems like lottery if the drive will last or not. (Yes, I do cool the drives)
So, I've finally bought a good SCSI controller and is in the process of buying SCSI HDD for my home servers. For my servers 74GB is p
Re:Storage (Score:5, Interesting)
' hdparm -c1 -d1
' time badblocks -c 256 -n -s -v
--Using this method on newly-delivered HDs has allowed me to RMA them right away, before they fail with MY data on them.
Re:Storage (Score:3, Interesting)
What I would like to see... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:What I would like to see... (Score:2, Interesting)
wrong.... (Score:4, Informative)
Re:What I would like to see... (Score:3, Informative)
TFA says consumers aren't demanding more (Score:5, Insightful)
Article? Or usenet rant? (Score:5, Insightful)
This article is terrible. Looks like nothing more than a usenet rant to me. The author decries the terrible progress of the storage industry, obviously completely ignorant of the fact that the storage industry has consistently bested Moore's Law for at least a decade. If processors increased in speed at the pace that hard drives increase in size, we'd have processors in the tens of gigahertz today. Besides moaning about the slow pace of one of the fastest-paced areas in the industry, what is it the author thinks they should be focusing on? In his own words:
we would certainly like to see a set pattern where users can expect something significant in this industry
"Something." That's as specific as the author gets. Storage capacity is doubling every 12 months, but we need to see something significant. Nothing in particular, mind you. Just something. Go figure it out, come back to us when you're done. That's 5 mins of my life I'll never get back...
Re:Article? Or usenet rant? (Score:2)
Re:Article? Or usenet rant? (Score:2)
They guy is just spoiled because the introduction of GMR read-heads started a storage density explosion that now is slowing down to normal levels.
The biggest hd you can buy now is 400GB. 250GB hds have been availabe more than 2 years ago.
Thats A LOT slower than doubling every year...
Re:Article? Or usenet rant? (Score:2)
-Z
Re:Article? Or usenet rant? (Score:3, Insightful)
A chance to take a breath... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:A chance to take a breath... (Score:3, Informative)
Comment removed (Score:4, Insightful)
Drives, hard and otherwise (Score:5, Interesting)
For consumers, that can mean qualitative improvements through passing quantitative thresholds. Buy 2 HDs instead of 1, make a RAID, and watch both uptime and fault recovery become minor bumps in the road, rather than a job-threatening days-long surprise nightmare. While filling the coffers of the vendors, who can reinvest in integrating that kind of redundancy in the HD unit itself. This year's nonevents might just give sysadmins the chance to become the most obviously important link in the IT chain, eclipsing the usually exaggerated developer rockstars.
FWIW, HD consumers probably aren't defined by "HDs", but rather storage in any medium, determined by usage. So the real news in "HD" is really Flash memory, which is seeing huge leaps in capacity, cheapness, perfomance and manageability. When will someone ship a $100 SDIO 1GB/WiFi card? With gumpack-sized, 8-SDIO-socketed battery for a pocket-PSAN (Personal Storage Area Network)? Or start sewing these things into hats and sweatjackets?
Re:Drives, hard and otherwise (Score:2)
I like the idea of price falling. Maybe I'll pull out the mobo, cpu, and update the hard drive. But so far, there is no good reason. The 20 gigs was getting tight, but I spent $60 on a dvd-rw and back up data there.
I think for most people
Re:Drives, hard and otherwise (Score:2)
By they way, if you were to upgrade to a SATA RAID0 array with 2, 7200RPM drives you would be AMAZED at how much faster your computer is. Loading applications, especially all these 1GB game installs would be at least 250%
2004 was also a dud for PC HDDs (Score:5, Informative)
I think the article doesn't make it clear that manufacturers' focus has moved to several other areas:
- 2.5" drives for use in servers (density of machines, not data)
- 1.8" drives for iPods (now up to 80G)
- 1" drives for mini-iPods and CF cards
- sub-1" drives (Cornice...) for CF and cell phones
Even though some of us need TBs of storage, most of the CE world would be happy with 10G for their music/video-recording.
Notebook hard drives not a dud (Score:3, Informative)
And I'd also expect to see a jump in 5400RPM storage capacity from the current 100GB.
My ideal notebook drive for 2005 would be a 100GB 7200RPM drive with a 16MB cache, SATA(2?), and NCQ. But who knows when that will happen. The best drive available today is a 60GB 7200RPM drive with 8MB of cache, though as I mentioned earlier that will jump to 100GB this year.
Re:Notebook hard drives not a dud (Score:2)
I want something that doesn't tie me down with wires, alert the room that its hard drive is
Re:Notebook hard drives not a dud (Score:3, Insightful)
Well if we are going to avoid rewriting the laws of physics (no they don't only exist to make money for the evil batter manufacturers) you had better tell me which non-battery source you want to power your non-existent harddrive. I hate to break it to you, but even if I could encode data at the quantum level using some insanely advanced storage technology.... it would still require some power.
Mop your brow and head on home... (Score:5, Funny)
400gb @ 35cents/gb (Score:5, Interesting)
I have 3x200gb, 2x160gb, 2x120gb, 4x80gb (and more down the line).
The 200gbs are running at 83% full because... they all mirror each other.
Yup I know it's particularly anal, but I'll agree with the first post: We need more reliable drives. All of my photos are backed up 2x on DVD- one goes into a jukebox, the other goes onto a spindle, and all are stuffed into something called CDStorageMaster (fun proggy).
The HDs mirror each other but I've not yet had time to test a catastrophic failure of this. I had a manual raid before and, when my system crashed due to a bad PSU (note: Antec replaced it free of charge) I was eventually able to get all the drives back up and running, but I was left with a very nasty taste of bad-dynamic disks in my mouth.
So please... more storage at 35cents/gb and I'll be happy. Or 3.5 cents/gb would make me happier, but one can hope.
In other news... (Score:2, Funny)
Generalíssimo Francisco Franco is still dead!
Re:In other news... (Score:2)
price (Score:2, Insightful)
Sounds like a good year for consumers. Who needs more than a couple hundred GB anyway ?
Solid State Drives (Score:2)
TFA not up to date (Score:2)
Hitachi and others will continue to push the limit and introduce a 500GB model to the market very soon.
I guess very soon means last week, since the MacMall catalog that hit my mailbox last week offers a 500GB drive.
except, you know (Score:5, Funny)
I mean, if they would put neon on them, now THAT would be an improvement.
sheesh
How about a drive that lasts longer then a year? (Score:3, Insightful)
No surprise. (Score:2)
Prices will continue to improve, and I'm sure we'll see gradual space and speed improvements for a while, but the future lies elsewhere.
There's not going to be much of anything this year (Score:2, Interesting)
Incase anyone here hasn't noticed the tech industry IS still slowing down in advancements, especially the desktop PC.
Anyone who put a tiny bit more effort into buying a PC within 18-36 months ago (should) still find their machine runs most things today perfectly well.
There's simply nothing to upgrade to worth the $ / performance ratio of 2 or 3 years ago.
$/GB (Score:5, Informative)
The best bang/buck EIDE hard drive you can get today is ~40cents per GB for a 160GB drive; any smaller capacity and you'll be paying more for less. For a little less than 50cents/GB you can get a 250,200, or 180GB drive where the increased storage density might be worth the extra few pennies per GB. The 400GB and 300GB monsters are under $1/GB, but still aren't a very good value (unless you have money burning a hole in your pocket and value bragging rights).
So, IMO, the best bang/buck for your average guy is putting two to four 160GB or 250GB drives in RAID 1 or 5.
--
Re:$/GB (Score:2)
I recently picked up two 300GB Seagates from Fry's. The price IIRC $139 each, which would make the per GB cost less than 50 cents.
Also, anyone considering the benefits of 2-4 drives in a RAID array may not want to underestimate the heat generated. Not to mention that if any/all the drives start to develop eletronic whines, you'll have a storage system usable only if (a) you're deaf; or (b) you have a bas
Because (Score:3, Interesting)
Western Digital needs to (Score:2)
I have a 120g I bough last year that sounds like a 767 is cranking up for takeoff. I've padded the case with felt pads to absorb some of the noise but it's still intolerable.
I've also had a LOT of problems with WD drives going into a power on/off cycle, 'clunking' on and off rapidly and of course trashing data..
I've owned about 20 WD drives over the past few years and now they sit in my drawer, trashed, because they were just cheaply made crap.
I'll NEVER buy another W
I think it's all about cost (Score:3, Interesting)
What is really *necessary* (marketable)? Size? Do consumers care about the size of the HD in their computer? Nope. Accoustics? Modern drives are pretty quiet. Consumers are used to noisy fans anyway... most don't care.
What consumers want is cheap. That's why dell makes money. That's why Apple released the mac mini.
IMHO the thing HD companies need to figure out is how to get the fast large drives they have now, at a lower price.
*THAT* is the forecast for 2005. Cheaper drives.
I do think though we'll see marginal improvement in flash storage, and small HD's... for mp3 players, PDA's and other devices. But nothing groundbreaking.
This year's economy is about *price*. People want more for less...
the company that delivers it, will be rewarded with customers. The ones that fail: will not succeed.
I don't know what anybody's talkin' about... (Score:3, Funny)
Dear Seagate, (Score:5, Interesting)
form factor terabyte drive. Instead lets concentrate on
two things:
a) faster. much faster
b) self mirroring (ie raid 1) drives in the same form
factor.
The first is obviously a desire everybody wants.
The second is similar I guess to dual core cpu's vs
dual cpu's. Take a drive and instead of making it 500GB
give me 2 200GB drives on seperate controllers and power
supplies with an internal interface that allows one to
mirror the other. Seemlessly.
While fault tolerance should never be confused with a
'backup', something like this would be very useful. With
giant capacities now prevalent, most consumers have given
up on backing up. But by offering a self contained
fault tolerance you allow the consumer to easily chose
between giant capacity or smaller size but some safety
built in.
For the performance crowd, many who now use raid 10 arrays,
you cut the drive clutter in half. Two bays, not 4 (or 4
not 8). Perhaps you could even get better thermal
peformance than 2 independent drives.
Re:Dear Seagate, (Score:3, Interesting)
We have exactly the thing for you! It's called buying two drives.
Regards,
Seagate
Seriously, things like this have been proposed, and even implemented in the past. It's always turned out cheaper, simpler, and more reliable to just buy two standard drives.
Re:No news (Score:4, Funny)
I think you mean "no news IS news".
Re:Flash Memory Based 'Hard Drives' (Score:2, Informative)
Re:Flash Memory Based 'Hard Drives' (Score:2)
Re:Disk Drive: End of an Era (Score:2)
Re: If you need more than a few hundred gigs (Score:2, Insightful)
You're so right, I must be both. Thanks for enlighting me. Screw Slashdot for the evening, back to pr0n surfing, much more fun than reading up on domain hijacks...
Yup, but then you've got half the population behind bars. So you need the other half to guard them. Who's gonna feed everybody in that scenario? Or do some nanotech-science or writing /. comments on the side?
Just saw "Revenge of the nerd
Re:If you need more than a few hundred gigs (Score:3, Insightful)
Why bother? (Score:2)