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Declaring 'Renaisance' for French Nuclear Industry, French President Promises Up to 14 New Reactors by 2050 (theguardian.com) 326

France president Emmanuel Macron "has announced a 'renaissance' for the French nuclear industry," reports the Guardian, with plans to build at least six new reactors by 2050 and as many as 14, "arguing that it would help end the country's reliance on fossil fuels and make France carbon neutral by 2050...." Atomic energy provides about 70% of French electricity, and low-cost nuclear power has been a mainstay of the French economy since the 1970s, but recent attempts to build new-generation reactors to replace older models have become mired in cost overruns and delays. Presidential candidates on the right have supported more nuclear power plants saying France should have "sovereignty" over its electricity, while detractors on the left have warned of the cost and complexity of building new reactors. Environmentalists have raised safety concerns over radioactive waste that remains deadly for tens of thousands of years.

Macron said French nuclear regulators were "unequalled" in their rigour and professionalism and that the decision to build new nuclear power plants was a "choice of progress, a choice of confidence in science and technology".

He also announced a major acceleration in the development of solar and offshore wind power. He said France had no choice but to rely on renewables and nuclear and that the country would also have to consume significantly less energy in the next decades.

He said he would seek to extend the lives of all existing French nuclear plants where it was safe to do so....

The French government lobbied hard and successfully to get the European Commission to label nuclear power "green" this month in a landmark review which means it can attract funding as a climate-friendly power source.

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Declaring 'Renaisance' for French Nuclear Industry, French President Promises Up to 14 New Reactors by 2050

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  • by drnb ( 2434720 ) on Sunday February 13, 2022 @07:31PM (#62264795)
    Someone has to make up the shortfall as Germany and others green wash their energy sector. At least this export ready electricity won't be carbon based.

    Nothing against renewables, they're just not ready yet. And shutting down your own nuclear when that means you will just use petroleum based energy to fill the gaps is hypocritical and counterproductive. Renewables should be displacing the carbon generating fuels first, not the non-carbon generating.
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Bullshit. Most clueless statement so far. Nuclear is slow to build, exceptionally expensive, highly unreliable and generally a really bad idea. If they now say 2050, they may have something running 2070 at several times the planned cost. May also be even later.

      • by Gravis Zero ( 934156 ) on Sunday February 13, 2022 @11:49PM (#62265165)

        Nuclear is slow to build, exceptionally expensive, highly unreliable and generally a really bad idea

        I understand your positions on most things but how is nuclear highly unreliable? Everything I've learned about nuclear power points to it being the most reliable source of energy on this planet.

        • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

          by gweihir ( 88907 )

          Nuclear is slow to build, exceptionally expensive, highly unreliable and generally a really bad idea

          I understand your positions on most things but how is nuclear highly unreliable? Everything I've learned about nuclear power points to it being the most reliable source of energy on this planet.

          You learned wrongly. No idea why. Probably somebody that makes tons of money from nuclear claimed that.

          The thing is that nuclear has numerous failure modes. Too hot, too cold, too much water in the river, too little water in the river, etc. for problems not caused by the plant. Numerous things were the plant needs to be taken offline to make sure things are safe. And, and that is the kicker, numerous possibilities for it to need to SCRAM which means no power generation anymore and right now, i.e. the rest o

          • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

            Fukushima was actually screwed even if they had power on site. They were able to use external pumps (basically fire engines) to pump water in, but because of the damage done by the earthquake and tsunami that water never reached the reactors.

          • Nuclear, on the other hand, needs hours to days to react.
            That is not really true. Especially for French reactors. They can shift from > 80 load down to 20 and back up, two times a day. Their problem how ever is: if they shift down, they have relatively soon to step up again, or suffer from neutron poisons (Boron mostly), and are stuck half a day or longer at low power before they can cycle up again.

            then wind and solar without storage (which does not really work large-scale anyways).
            Works great as you se

        • by Uecker ( 1842596 )

          That depends. In France, about one quarter of the installed nuclear capacity is currently offline due to maintance and various unexpected issues. Overall, I would say that nuclear is fairly reliable.

          But it is true that is slow to build and expensive and building new nuclear therefor does not make much sense compared to cheaper alternatives which can be deployed much quicker.

      • by drnb ( 2434720 )
        The expense of nuclear has lot to do with the politics of nuclear. Also newer designs offset their expenses by addressing part of our existing nuclear waste stockpile, consuming it as fuel.

        The fact remains Germany's neglect of their nuclear industry and its premature retirement has led them to a situation where they are still using coal. Germany's self promotion as a green nation is a fraud. They are little different from corporate green washers. Doing whatever is politically expedient rather than addres
    • by Uecker ( 1842596 ) on Monday February 14, 2022 @03:33AM (#62265381)

      Can this be true? Actual data says no.

      2022 (so far):
      Germany -> France 3.2 TWh
      France -> Germany 0.3 TWh
      2021
      Germany -> France 14.9 TWh
      France -> Germany 8.4 TWh

      • You dissemble. It is irrelevant whether there is a net gain or loss after we average all electric power. The fact remains that Germany has to import at times. Also it does not solely import from France. For example it also imports nuclear source power from the Czech Republic.

        And its not just importing electricity. How many millions of tons of fossil fuels is Germany also importing? 1/3 from Russia. 83 million tonnes of crude oil in 2020, there is the price for abandoning nuclear prematurely. Massive carb
    • Not going to work. (Score:4, Interesting)

      by Qbertino ( 265505 ) <moiraNO@SPAMmodparlor.com> on Monday February 14, 2022 @06:32AM (#62265615)

      Classic Nuclear Fission isn't cost-effective. It doesn't matter if it's cross-funded by German or French tax-payers. We'd (EU citizien here) have this energy problem solved much faster with sun-farms on the Iberian Peninsula and cross-continent powerlines. It would be cheaper, entail way less risk, be more efficient at spreading workload and thus jobs around Europe, we'd be finished faster and the whole setup would be more fault-tolerant.

      France is still sticking with the nuclear fetish, early 70ies style. Partly because they need the weapon material (that's actually a "good" reason in this context, believe it or not) but also probably because France is heavily centralized and thus likes centralized energy even a little more than Germany does. It's quite likely there is big money with nuclear fission to be made and thus the french energy lobby continues to push for it.

      I'm not French and don't live in France, but I don't like it. 10+ extra fission reactors are a bad plan IMHO. It would actually be better to double-check which German ones could be run for a few years longer and put the investment money into european solar.

  • It will be interesting to see how well modern reactors perform.

    • by drnb ( 2434720 ) on Sunday February 13, 2022 @08:01PM (#62264847)

      It will be interesting to see how well modern reactors perform.

      Not just with respect to power generation. Some of those new designs can actually help clean up old waste by consuming it as fuel. That cleanup is something people don't consider very often, we should though.

      • Yup. There is a lot of U235 in the "waste"
      • by kmoser ( 1469707 )
        It will be interesting to see how many fossil fuels will be required to clean up a meltdown, thereby negating any "carbon neutral" gains the reactors might have achieved initially.
        • by Bert64 ( 520050 )

          France has been using nuclear power for a majority of its electricity needs since the 1970s, how many meltdowns have occurred in that time?

      • Some of those new designs can actually help clean up old waste by consuming it as fuel.

        I think one of the problems is that using nuclear reactors to process nuclear waste tends to produce plutonium. Those people who are concerned about the proliferation of nuclear weapons don't want to add to the world's stock of plutonium, which is much more useful than uranium for making bombs. I believe the French have a more relaxed attitude than other nations about this, which would make nuclear power more practical, because of reduced waste processing and storage costs.

    • The article didn't say anything about tech advances, but let's see how quickly and at what cost France can get this done.

      The economics may be weird because wind, solar, and storage will be able to provide most of the power almost all the time in this timeframe, kind of inverting the notions of base load vs peaker plant.

      • The economics may be weird because wind, solar, and storage will be able to provide most of the power almost all the time in this timeframe

        This is really optimistic about improvements that might happen with storage.

    • Re:Good (Score:5, Interesting)

      by test321 ( 8891681 ) on Sunday February 13, 2022 @10:03PM (#62265031)

      I am sorry to disappoint here, but they are planned as EPR2, an incremental revision of the current EPR designs that EDF has had immense difficulties to build (apparently cracks in soldering work / difficulties to get steel that performs to the specification). Olkiluoto 3 (Finland) was planned to start in 2010 and is still not operating (should be this month though), Flamanville 3 (France) should have started in 2012 and is still not there (hopefully this year). Taishan 1 & 2 (China) is operational thanks to the experience gained from the previous two. So EDF just wants to make small corrections to the design to avoid the previous issues, nothing more.

      One major problem from the start was a gap of 20 years since the last power plants were built, meaning most experienced workers had retired or moved to other careers. Since the new wave of constructions: Finland (2005-2022), France (2007-2022), China (2008-2018), UK (2016-), they hope to have enough experts.

      A game changer would have been to restart the 4th Generation programme ASTRID, which was cancelled in 2019 based on a financial study (such as: will not be a profitable business for as long as uranium is cheap). But that would be an improbable outcome, Macron is in campaign for a second mandate (hence making big announcements like this one), so he will not take the risk to revert a decision made just 2 years ago.

      • by Ed_1024 ( 744566 )

        I am always amazed that conventional nuclear generating plants take so long to build, cost so much and have difficulties when operating, when compared with the large number of reactors installed in ships and submarines that seem to be able to just get on with it.

        They are also much, much smaller, last decades without refuelling and the bigger ones produce up to 500MW. What not to like? Well, they get decommissioned by removing the reactor core and putting a new one in, so the old one has to be stored somewhe

        • I am always amazed that conventional nuclear generating plants take so long to build, cost so much and have difficulties when operating, when compared with the large number of reactors installed in ships and submarines that seem to be able to just get on with it.

          If you're engulfed in a huge body of water, keeping your mini-sun on board your ship/sub sufficiently cool is actually quite trivial. If you're dependant on a nearby river to have enough water flowing in it and need cooling cylces, cooling towers an

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Well, 4x more expensive and several times longer construction times than planned is already known of these "modern" EPRs. Expect the other numbers to be about as abysmally bad.

  • Never thought I'd see the day when France made more sense than Germany.

  • by ISayWeOnlyToBePolite ( 721679 ) on Sunday February 13, 2022 @08:22PM (#62264863)

    Do anyone know rhe specific details as to how they intend to finance this? It seems clear from the article that a state owned company will be tasked with building it, but as there is a common eu energy market it would surprise me if they could finance it directly from the government budget.

    • The "EU market" is for (electric) energy.
      Not for financing power plants.
      AFAIKT: they can finance it however they want.

      • Afaik (EDF) Electricité de France is only government owned by them by being a majority shareholder, it's a publicly traded company.

      • Not so simple. The EU has rules about state subsidies.

        • It is not a state substitute when the owner of a company increases the capital and uses that to build something.

          Perhaps hard to judge in this case. But as the EDF is running at a great loss - the whole construct of companies and state is questionable anyway.

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        There are some limits imposed by the EU, to prevent members giving their industries an unfair advantage with subsidies. France still does it, arguing national security and the like.

        France has a big problem with nuclear, because in their energy market the most expensive source sets the price. Nuclear is guaranteed high prices, so even when cheaper renewable energy is available they end up paying the nuclear price.

        The UK is the same, the current high cost of electricity is down to nuclear and fossil fuels dis

    • The only detail presently known is one sentence: "the State will contribute". The electric company EDF is publicly traded on Euronext stock exchange, the main investor (83.88%) being the investment fund of the French government (Bpifrance). I guess they are currently negotiating what percentage EDF will have to find from its current cash, what will come from raising capital on the stock exchange, and what from the majority investor Bpifrance.

      As a comparison point, last decision to build a power plant was in

    • Re:Who pays? (Score:4, Informative)

      by thegarbz ( 1787294 ) on Sunday February 13, 2022 @09:57PM (#62265019)

      State owned is an interesting take. This is the skeleton of Areva, the former single greatest nuclear construction contractor in the world. ... Which went bankrupt attempting to build their last reactor in France and then got "bailed out" by the government in the form of directly buying the company.

      I'll be more excited when EDF gets Flammvile 3 up and running. They are only 4x over budget 3x over schedule and sunk Areva during construction.

      • Re:Who pays? (Score:5, Insightful)

        by ISayWeOnlyToBePolite ( 721679 ) on Monday February 14, 2022 @01:15AM (#62265275)

        I really wish proponents of nuclear power would put their own money at risk rather than depending on government bailouts. Whatever happen do those investments would be truly well deserved.

        • I'm in two minds about this. On the one side it leads to more risk averse decisions, on the other side private funding is never the most ideal solution for any publicly necessary utility and the government setting rates, building, or indeed bailing out critical infrastructure is very much in the interest of the tax payers.

          The problem is more that the complex financial frameworks behind large projects like this mean the people putting up the capital itself are objectively not usually the ones left on the hoo

        • I really wish proponents of nuclear power would put their own money at risk rather than depending on government bailouts. Whatever happen do those investments would be truly well deserved.

          No deal as long as the green morons are allowed to put enough red tape in place to sink any investment. When you have actual rules saying "if it's profitable then it means they're not pumping enough money into safety theater, force them to sink more" no wonder it can't be profitable.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      It comes from the military budget: https://beyondnuclearinternati... [beyondnucl...tional.org]

      It would be completely impossible to finance this on the civilian side and the electricity generated would be so massively overpriced that they would have a civil war. Sure, in the summer they have overcapacity they sell. But they lose a lot of money on every kWh sold.

      • That seems to concern previous projects by the same company, but an interesting read non the less. Thanks!

      • and the electricity generated would be so massively overpriced
        Nope. France is selling its power below creation/distribution cost. The costs of reactors, fuel, manpower etc. is not covered by the money they make. EDF makes a loss every year which is compensated by the state. Which obviously means, by tax payers. The only money EDF is making is selling in international trades, as anti dumping laws do not allow them to sell below production costs.

    • Do anyone know rhe specific details as to how they intend to finance this? It seems clear from the article that a state owned company will be tasked with building it, but as there is a common eu energy market it would surprise me if they could finance it directly from the government budget.

      They're France. The rules in EU are for smaller, weaker states, not them.

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      Yes, it will be French taxpayers picking up the bill. They have been doing so for decades already, most recently when EDF basically bankrupted itself taking on the new Hinkley C reactor project in the UK. It's liabilities exceeded its assets and the French government had to bail it out, again.

      Nuclear power is basically corporate welfare in France. A way to funnel tax money to individuals who invest in it. Guaranteed returns by socialising the risk and privatizing the profit.

      Macron is basically signalling th

  • They will be exporting lots of electricity to Germany, who had crippled itself doing the opposite.

    And if Germany finally wises up, France can sell them new reactors.

    • Re: (Score:2, Redundant)

      by gweihir ( 88907 )

      They will be exporting lots of electricity to Germany, who had crippled itself doing the opposite.

      And if Germany finally wises up, France can sell them new reactors.

      Nope. And at the moment they have to massively import electricity to keep the lights on. Nuclear was a really, really bad decision for France. The only reason they have it is to maintain their bombs: https://beyondnuclearinternati... [beyondnucl...tional.org]

  • I've never understood why people acted like we needed to render nuclear fuel safe for 10,000+ (or even 100,000) years. Yes, we need to store it safely but even storage for 1,000 years is plenty of time for our descendants to decide what they want to do with it.

    I mean, imagine the Victorians trying to take samples of tuberculosis or of arsenic and render them safe for 10,000 years. Not only would their attempts likely be laughably inadequate compared to what we would see as necessary since we have much higher safety standards/better knowledge of the risks (meaning we'd have to redo them anyway) but they'd also have to invest a much much larger fraction of their GDP to do it than we would. If human civilization survives in 200 years we'll be much much more capable of dealing effectively with the waste than we are now. Indeed, rather than searching for a truly 'permanent' solution we should probably be searching for a solution that isn't too hard to monitor and revamp if we decide we need to in the future. It's counterintuitive but the NPV of a continuous stream of payments going into the future isn't actually that large.

    And, as for the concern that civilization will collapse and we need to design storage to protect some future tribe of non-technological humans that's just crazy. What, the worry is that a few hundred humans who are probably already living in a world ravaged by nuclear war might get their lives shortened by nuclear waste. Yes, that would be unfortunate but surely any money that might be spent trying to design storage that would warn them away could be much better spent on research that might help us avoid the collapse of civilization or recover from it. If we think we have any chance of communicating with these people at *all* how about using that money to put down our most valuable knowledge on clay tablets (the kind which have survived almost 10k years in the middle east) or even spend it on research to reduce the chance of civ collapsing in the first place by a tiny amount. Surely those make the better cost/benefit analysis.

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by gweihir ( 88907 )

      I've never understood why people acted like we needed to render nuclear fuel safe for 10,000+ (or even 100,000) years. Yes, we need to store it safely but even storage for 1,000 years is plenty of time for our descendants to decide what they want to do with it.

      That is the "crap everywhere, let somebody else clean it up" mindset. Despicable.

    • If the hysterical anti-reprocessing policies last long enough that storage for centuries is a "thing" it is an indictment of humanity.

      We've known how to eliminate 99% of the nuclear waste problem since the 1960s for fuck's sake.
      • We've known how to eliminate 99% of the nuclear waste problem since the 1960s for fuck's sake.
        Then explain how to do it, and farm in your Nobel Price.

    • Yes, we need to store it safely but even storage for 1,000 years is plenty of time for our descendants to decide what they want to do with it.

      Can you think of any modern government that plans a thousand years ahead? What most governments do with an awkward problem is kick the can down the road, so the next administration has to deal with it, typically four years later.

      To put a one thousand year plan into perspective, consider a building that was intended to last: Notre-Dame de Paris. According to my quick Wikipedia search, construction of the cathedral was begun in 1163, which was 859 years ago. I hope you would agree that the society of medieval

      • The light house of Alexandria, was over 1000 years in use. Some claim: daily!
        In the end it got destroyed together with the whole city by an earthquake, though.

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Monday February 14, 2022 @06:19AM (#62265589) Homepage Journal

      Younger generations won't go for it. Gen X and younger are already getting screwed by their parents and grandparents taking that attitude that they can just rely on future generations fixing their mess.

    • If human civilization survives in 200 years we'll be much much more capable of dealing effectively with the waste than we are now.
      Actually: nope
      The problem in 200 years will be exactly the same as right now. Nothing changes. Most of the spent fuel will simply still be uranium. If you count the rods itself as waste, it will be the exact same rods as now, and the rest are fission products, where a few have a short half life and will considerably decay, and the others wont ...

  • Firstly, the fallout from Chernobyl magically avoided France, unlike the rest of Europe, and well, New England, even. Secondly, the French energy concern EDF open sourced Salome' and Code Aster, to make it better--just for such an occasion.
  • That is the real reason. Nuclear has been a huge financial drain and a serious problem with regards to reliable energy supply for France. Bad enough that France buying electricity on the European market has seriously increased prices recently, because they needed to buy so much. Without the European grid, they would have had blackouts.

    Macron has basically said this is because of the military use: https://beyondnuclearinternati... [beyondnucl...tional.org]

  • by stikves ( 127823 ) on Sunday February 13, 2022 @11:32PM (#62265141) Homepage

    Nuclear is very good for the environment. It is carbon free, or as close to is as possible (you need to use cement for the buildings, and cars to commute the workers, that is about it).

    It is also one of the the safest form of energy generation: https://www.energy.gov/ne/arti... [energy.gov] . Depending on whether you count rooftop falls from solar installations, and displacement of wildlife from hydro dams, it could be considered the safest even.

    But where does it fall short:
    It is expensive. There is an upfront cost nobody wants to pay.
    It is not popular. And populaticians, ... sorry politicians, will care more about short term issues than fighting against the public opinion for the better future.
    It is not going to add jobs. Let's be clear here, solar and wind makes a lot of new jobs. Nuclear, not so much.
    It is "scary". Even though numbers don't lie, "docuseries" directors do: https://www.historyvshollywood... [historyvshollywood.com] . And people are really afraid.
    It is expensive. Again, but this time due to all the extra government burden caused by the irrational fear from the previous point.

    That is why we don't have any new nuclear reactors, and even shut down perfectly fine ones (PGE in California). Not because of any scientific reason, but all because of politics.

    • It is expensive only because of the piles of unnecessary regulations and BS measures that don't even meaningfully add to safety.

  • Who'd'a thunk it?
    The world will need fission nuclear power to stop gap the carbon sources that are supposed to be shutting down until a proper fusion reactor can be deployed.

PURGE COMPLETE.

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