IBM Creates Multi-Bit Phase Change Memory 82
Lucas123 writes "In what is likely to be a strong rival to NAND flash memory, IBM today announced it has been able to successfully store more than one bit of data per cell in a more stable non-volatile memory called phase-change memory (PCM). Unlike NAND, Previously, PCM couldn't contend with flash because of its low capacity points. PCM does not require that data be erased before new data is written to it, which reduces write amplification or wear out and it has 100 times the write performance of flash. IBM researchers say they plan to license the technology to memory manufacturers instead of producing it themselves."
Re:Rubbish. (Score:5, Interesting)
The problem with flash memory is that it is inherently volatile. It is based off the storage of a static charge, and there is no such thing as a perfect insulator. During normal operation, you need a high current to tunnel through the insulator and store the charge, but that charge will slowly leak out on its own over time. Given enough time, the charge will drop below a threshold and be read incorrectly.
All microprocessor technologies suffer from this to some extent, and CPUs are expected to hit a wall dealing with this leakage in about 15 years. Flash memory is only expected to get one or two more process shrinks before this leakage is expected to cause problems on a useful time frame. At this point, flash memory will have to be refreshed like traditional DRAM more and more frequently. Online SSDs can afford this, but offline USB drives cannot. Now you can simply start stacking chips, but your costs will rise geometrically, and heat dissipation will become a problem. Flash will be unable to produce higher capacity at lower prices.
One of these new technologies will pan out in the near term, because with the current technology reaching the end of its life, the industry will have to transition to something new to continue to sell new product.
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Just like hard disks, flash memory cost capacity is tied to materials engineering - in case of flash memory it is the insulating material in the cells. In the next 15 years, I'm sure there will newer materials or material configurations found that will enable process shrinks. Right now leakage is not a problem since the data lifetime is estimated to be around 15 years. Also, flash memory is manufactured in a slightly different method than CPUs or other circuit boards.
Also, flash memory can be used for multi
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Bubble memory. I urge you to invest your fortune in that.
Another nail in the Coffin of the Hard Drive (Score:2)
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Zero moving parts, here we come.
Let me know when we can get fans that don't need blades. No, not that hoop thing. It has blades in the base.
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Let me know when we can get fans that don't need blades.
Ahh, if only air were electrically charged....
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Ah, if only it werent an awful idea to shoot ionized air and ionized particles into a sensitive computer case. Enjoy having grime and crap plastered over all your components (protip, ever seen how filthy Ionic Breeze filters get, and how hard they become to clean?)
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Nicola Tesla invented a bladeless turbine nearly 100 years ago.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesla_turbine [wikipedia.org]
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Nicola Tesla invented a bladeless turbine nearly 100 years ago. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesla_turbine [wikipedia.org]
Wich has exactly nothing to do with "no moving parts" ventilation, as it is about
spinning a big disc using a flow of gas or liquid.
No fan needed... (Score:2)
If you stick to performance available for single-digit watts, not much need for active cooling.
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Zero moving parts, here we come.
Let me know when we can get fans that don't need blades. No, not that hoop thing. It has blades in the base.
What's wrong with using water/mineral oil cooling?
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That's nice. The only nail that counts, will be the one where solid state is at least modestly cheaper for a given amount of space.
Mind you, I look forward to that nail, but until it gets here, it's not yet time to party.
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I don't think it needs to be cheaper at all. Just cheap enough. I like having no moving parts in my netbook, tablet, phone etc. I also don't have any need for more than say 300GB to be comfortable on anything but a media PC right now.
nah, doesn't need to be cheaper (Score:2)
Even if it stays more expensive, if solid state can get close (within a factor of 2, say) to the same cost for the same storage space it'll take off like wildfire given the tremendous speed and reliability advantages.
Cheaper unit cost with adequate storage (Score:2)
That's nice. The only nail that counts, will be the one where solid state is at least modestly cheaper for a given amount of space.
Mind you, I look forward to that nail, but until it gets here, it's not yet time to party.
For most users, disk storage is already much larger than needed. All that is needed is that an SSD have cheaper unit cost while still providing adequate storage. Even if it is still 4x the cost per byte, it won't matter because the extra storage isn't useful.
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For most users, disk storage is already much larger than needed. All that is needed is that an SSD have cheaper unit cost while still providing adequate storage. Even if it is still 4x the cost per byte, it won't matter because the extra storage isn't useful.
640K is more than enough for the average user too....
The problem is you never know how the average user will use that disk space. I found a computer in the trash a few months ago, and it was fill with crappy music and pictures some some kids. Over 300Gigs worth of the stuff, with I formatted to install something useful like Linux.
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Ironic given IBMs role in their invention!
Re:Another nail in the Coffin of the Hard Drive (Score:4, Insightful)
Ironic?? No. You must work for the phone company.
Success in Silicon Valley has always been about turning your own products into obsolete dinosaurs before your competition does, or die. Companies unwilling to torpedo their most successful products with something better are on the path to doom.
In this case, it is simple irony (Score:3)
IBM no longer has anything whatsoever to do with Hard Drive manufacture, they sold that business to Hitachi years ago. IBM does sell storage equipment (quite a bit of it), but it contains drives made by somebody else.
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on the path to doom.
Are you sure it is Doom and not Quake or Unreal? I never knew the difference either.
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Maybe after it comes out. In the mean time, I imagine the cloud, tablets, and smartphones are doing more to kill the disc.
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So does 'nail in the coffin' mean "nobody ever uses discs ever again period end of story they're completely extinct" or does it mean "not really a household item anymore, like vinyl"?
I'm guessing the answer is: "The opposite of what you intended so I can appear smart by correcting you."
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If I wanted to appear smart, I would correct you a second time on the use of disk, since you missed it the first time. Disc is from the Greek discus, a later adopted spelling of the term, and used to describe things you throw, like frisbees and CDs. Disk is the more traditional English spelling, and used to describe storage devices, since that is the spelling IBM chose to use when they started manufacturing disk drives 55 years ago.
I would consider this a nail in the coffin if it resulted in a drastic dec
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If I wanted to appear smart, I would correct you a second time on the use of disk...used to describe things you throw, like frisbees and CDs.
CD's?
Another word for disc is 'platter'. And since we're talking about solid state taking over....
...due to its basic design, they're rapidly closing in on a wall, past which they cannot miniaturize it any further...
Yeah, unlike magnetic drives...
If the average consumer stops storing stuff locally, and instead migrates to the cloud, hosting companies are going to have all this data they need to store, with only modest performance requirements. The most economical way to achieve this for the foreseeable future will be disk drives.
That's an important detail, iddn't it? Another important detail is that having lots of people store their same information on the same network means serious efficiency gains can be made. And yet another important detail is that laptops are increasingly becoming primary machines, but they typically only have 1/4th the storage available to them their desktop counterparts have. W
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You'll have to explain to me how consumers moving their data to the cloud will mean an increase of hard disc sales.
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Well, it's pretty involved: consumers will move their data to the cloud, at which point cloud providers will need disks to store that data.
Storage utilization is likely to be more efficient, so I don't know if that will actually increase sales, but then again, we were talking about "killing the disk" not "increasing sales". The cloud, being essentially a large collection of disks, seems
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...but then again, we were talking about "killing the disk" not "increasing sales"...
No... we're not. I said 'do more to kill the disc'.
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Ok, you lost me; when you said do more to kill the disk you were not talking about killing the disk? Or are you implying something clever with your alternative spelling?
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Ok, you lost me; when you said do more to kill the disk you were not talking about killing the disk? Or are you implying something clever with your alternative spelling?
Okay... do you understand the difference between slowing down and stopping?
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"Stopping" is the one you said, and "slowing down" is the one I was supposed to intuit you meant, right?
Which isn't true either, but, whatever.
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"Stopping" is the one you said...
No.
*sigh*
"IBM Creates Multi-Bit Phase Change Memory...
Another nail in the Coffin of the Hard Drive. Dad, tell us again about how you used to store your data on spinning disks....
Maybe after it comes out. In the mean time, I imagine the cloud, tablets, and smartphones are doing more to kill the disc."
So you're saying that the conversation above reads as: "the cloud etc. will bring the hard disc to a sudden and dramatic end", right?
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You'll have to explain to me how consumers moving their data to the cloud will mean an increase of hard disc sales.
No, you'll need to explain how consumers moving their data to The Cloud will mean an decrease of hard disc sales, since that was your previous claim. The Cloud is remote servers storing data on spinning disks. So consumers storing data at home as well as data in The Cloud means more hard drives in use, not less.
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No, you'll need to explain how consumers moving their data to The Cloud ... ...So consumers storing data at home as well as data in The Cloud means more hard drives in use, not less.
See how you used the word 'move' there in the beginning? You already understand my point.
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In another cloud?
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SSDs remain what, 1/6th the capacity and about 25x the cost per GB of spinning platters? Yea, thats a lot of nails in the HDD coffin alright.
Last I checked, a 2TB drive could be had for $80, which is $0.04 per GB, and you can scale to 3TB if you want. A 256GB SSD drive retails for what, $200? $300? Thats $1.00 per GB. I dont know what magical world you live in where that is suitable for every use case, but its certainly no good for large data storage, particularly when there are questions regarding rel
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Is that server grad? Because servers usually use SAS, which is about $300 for 300GB. Or roughly the same $/GB as SSD.
Or did SSD kill them?
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Oh, you want SAS SSDs? Yea, youre not getting that for $300. The prices I quoted were for desktop grade HDD and SDD-- the "enterprise-grade" SSDs Ive seen were several times more expensive than the desktop grade (thousands).
Server-grade 2TB SATA drives (RE4 or equiv) go for about $200, which is about $0.10 per GB, still 10x cheaper than even desktop grade SSDs.
Noone seriously argues that SSDs can even remotely compete on capacity with HDDs; the area they compete is speed, and thats not always relevant whe
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Just did some research....
500GB SAS 6gb drive for $125 [newegg.com]
2TB SAS drive for $260 [newegg.com]
As for SSDs...
http://www.newegg.com/Store/SubCategory.aspx?SubCategory=2021&Tid=11691&name=Enterprise-SSD [newegg.com]
What on that page looks even remotely comparable? I see several SSDs in the "multi-thousand" range, none of them hitting 2TB.
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particularly when there are questions regarding reliability and what real-world flash failure looks like (is it still readable? Does the controller start spewing garbage?)
CodingHorror answers this [codinghorror.com]:
1. They fail. A lot. Within months. If you're lucky.
2. The failure is they just die completely and conclusively.
However, they stress the important point:
3. They're so ridiculously fast that you want one anyway. And you'll keep replacing it when, not if, it fails.
For server use, the current fashion is as a gigantic cache in front of magnetic hard disks.
For either desktop or server, "GET REALLY GOOD AT BACKUPS, YOU'LL USE THEM" is the thing to remember.
Re:Another nail in the Coffin of the Hard Drive (Score:4, Interesting)
"Dad, tell us again about how you used to store your data on spinning disks...."
Who here has stored a program on punched paper tape using an ASR 33 teletype? *raises hand*
Re:Another nail in the Coffin of the Hard Drive (Score:4, Interesting)
Also *raises hand*.
On one system we stored programs by wiring them into a ROM. By hand. One wire per word, wrapped around the center pole of the E-cores clockwise for a 1, or counterclockwise for a 0. Then solder one end of the wire to the correct X address, and the other end to the correct Y address. Total, 256 16-bit words per board (Z was decoded to board-select).
Yes, I am old.
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Dammit! (Score:2)
Summary is wrong (Score:3)
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we all know researchers don't take business decisions
haha. Not the real researchers, anyway.
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It's a scale issue, not a knowlege issue (Score:2)
I don't think IBM is declining to actually manufacture the chips because they don't know how; rather it's because IBM doesn't have fabs large enough to make the chips in sufficient quantities. IBM's fabs are sized for CPU production, not mass-scale memory chip manufacture.
license the technology (Score:1)
they plan to license the technology to memory manufacturers instead of producing it themselves
This is code for 'send it to Asia.' HP is doing the same thing with their memristor based ReRAM, licensing it to Hynix. Guess we're all done building chip foundries anywhere in the West. As goes your manufacturing base, so goes your technology, just like we we're told [slashdot.org] would happen.
Well that's great news (Score:2)
I like flash, in fact I just bought some SSDs, but it does have some problems that really need addressing long term. This stuff looks like maybe it'll be the solution. Also it looks pretty workable, it isn't pie in the sky. According to the article, PCM already exists and is in use. This is just an improvement on it. They also claim widespread use by 2016 of the new tech.
So here's hoping, this looks like it may be what we need to really kick off the move to solid state storage.
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I have a feeling we might end up with flash+PCM combinations in some form.
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I don't have anything against IBM, but the only thing contributing to the high-cost of SSD and its relatively low usage is the fact that there aren't billions of drives on the market. When there are, the machines to manufacture them
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the only thing contributing to the high-cost of SSD and its relatively low usage is the fact that there aren't billions of drives on the market
Sorry, but fabbing flash memory is a lot more resource-intensive than making disk platters.
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I like flash, in fact I just bought some SSDs, but it does have some problems that really need addressing long term.
Maybe in theory, but my OCZ Vertex is awesome. I know the cheap SSDs can be a bit flaky if pushed to limits, but Intel and OCZ make some fine SS drives.
I spy, with my little eye... (Score:1)
...much more efficient swap space! :) This sounds great.
I know it doesn't need to be erased in bulk, but does it need to be written in bulk, or does it have limited read or write cycles?
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Err, like the AS/400 / iSeries? (Score:2)
This is pretty much how the AS/400 / iSeries works.
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Fast is great, but.. (Score:2)
Bad write cycle example (Score:1)
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Patent Trolls! (Score:1)
Yet another obscure company who sells licenses but doesn't make products, so they never have to pay anyone else or cross-license. Whoever heard of this "IB--" oh. Oh, them.