NVIDIA Predicts 570x GPU Performance Boost

Gianna Borgnine writes "NVIDIA is predicting that GPU performance is going to increase a whopping 570-fold in the next six years. According to TG Daily, NVIDIA CEO Jen-Hsun Huang made the prediction at this year's Hot Chips symposium. Huang claimed that while the performance of GPU silicon is heading for a monumental increase in the next six years — making it 570 times faster than the products available today — CPU technology will find itself lagging behind, increasing to a mere 3 times current performance levels. 'Huang also discussed a number of "real-world" GPU applications, including energy exploration, interactive ray tracing and CGI simulations.'"

Goody!

[Anonymous Coward]

Then we can use our GPUs as our CPUs!

So...

[XPeter]

I have to wait six years to play Crysis?

Re:Arbitrary number?

[eln]

The marketing guys originally wanted to say 1000x, but when they ran it past the engineers, the engineers couldn't stop laughing at such a ridiculous assertion. The marketing guys kept lowering the number, but the engineers just couldn't stop laughing. 570x is how low they got before the engineers passed out from laughing so much, which the marketing guys interpreted as agreement.

The big question is.

[Dyinobal]

Will I need a separate power supply or two to run these new video cards? or will they include their own fission reactors?

570x is not that far

[gravos]

Keep in mind that is only ~3x per year because 3^6 = 729. If Moore's law holds with a 2x every 18 months that would be 16x in 6 years 570/16 = 35.652. The sixth root of 35 is 1.8. So they only have to improve the architecture by ~2x every year and ride Moore's law.

Nope!

[goombah99]

Then we can use our GPUs as our CPUs!

No No. GPU's only become CPU's when they are 570.34567 times faster. You will note that he precisely said only 570 times faster. That is he did not say an even 600 or 1000 or 500, but precisely 570, so we can assume he knew it was not 570.34567.

Re:But how?

[santiago]

Are you crazy? Why would I buy a GPU now if they're going to be 570 times faster in just a few years? I'd just be wasting my money!

Bitchin' fast! 3D

[Mursk]

I hope it looks like this:

http://www.russdraper.com/images/fullsize/bitchin_fast_3d.jpg [russdraper.com]

Re:Predictions of the future

[C18H27NO3]

We'll obviously need a Turbo button on it set in the off position until such time that the CPUs catch up.

Re:% VS Times

[Anonymous Coward]

So a 100% increase would be 1.0X faster?

Re:Arbitrary number?

[Zen-Mind]

Everybody knows that 73% of people will believe anything you say when you state numbers in your claims and it rises to 91.7% when you add decimals... :P

Re:Predictions of the future

[Lord Ender]

Either

• your post contains a false dichotomy, or
• Angelina Jolie is giving me a blowjob right now

Neither seem highly unlikely.

Re:Predictions of the future

[shutdown -p now]

If graphics card development in the last 10 years is anything to go by, nVidia's plan is that the GPU will become 570 times larger, draw 570 times more power and the fan will spin 570 times faster

At that point, it would effectively become a helicopter, no?

Re:Goody!

[MarkRose]

Yo dawg, I herd you like CPUs, so I put a CPU in your GPU so you can still get work done in vi while emacs is loading!

Re:Predictions of the future

[Anonymous Coward]

I'm pretty sure it's the first one. Even Angelina Jolie can't be in two places at the same time.