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Seagate Plans 37.5TB HDD Within Matter of Years

Posted by Zonk on Fri Jan 05, 2007 10:29 AM
from the lot-of-pr0n dept.
Ralph_19 writes "Wired visited Seagate's R&D labs and learned we can expect 3.5-inch 300-terabit hard drives within a matter of years. Currently Seagate is using perpendicular recording but in the next decade we can expect heat-assisted magnetic recording (HARM), which will boost storage densities to as much as 50 terabits per square inch. The technology allows a smaller number of grains to be used for each bit of data, taking advantage of high-stability magnetic compounds such as iron platinum." In the meantime, Hitachi is shipping a 1 TB HDD sometime this year. It is expected to retail for $399.
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Seagate Plans 37.5TB HDD Within Matter of Years 25 Comments More | Login /

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  • Terabits??? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 05 2007, @10:34AM (#17472926)
    It's bad enough that hard drive manufacturers are dead set on confusing people with 1,000,000,000-byte GBs. Do they really need to start throwing around figures in Terabits? Seriously, enough is enough...
  • Backup Solution? (Score:5, Funny)

    by LibertineR (591918) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:34AM (#17472940)
    I want to see the tape drive for that thing, Bitches.
    • Coming Soon: The LTO-48! (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Penguinisto (415985) on Friday January 05 2007, @11:16AM (#17473572) Journal
      ...the tape will be in a cartridge that holds a spool 65cm in diameter, holds approximately 600TB (1200TB w/ compression) and will require an autoloader that eats at least one rack for the entry-level 8-tape kit. /dev/nst0 will weigh in at 38kg, and cleaning will require a tape w/ 6000-grit sandpaper in place of media.

      All BS aside: you do bring up an excellent point. I'm a guy who has to do backup/recovery, and I've found that even a fully compressed LTO-3 will barely --just barely-- hold up to 1.2TB if you rig it right (by combining hardware/software compression, and the love that Bacula gives it (though admittedly sparse file handling most likely has inflated the reported amount of stuff).

      Anyrate, that boils down to --maybe-- two full HDD's if the two are 500GB SATAs.

      The good news is, after you pare down the crap you really don't need to backup, it usually isn't all that much for most companies. You can safely exclude out most of the OS itself for starters... w/ kickstart on RHEL and a .ks file that replicates what you've got on a given server (partitions, packages, etc), you can cut a LOT out.

      Even more good news - if you get up a monster RAID array of similar drives (full SAN kitting or just attached to a big ol' server, no biggie), you can use it instead of tapes for most of your day-to-day backup. Then latch your tape drive or autoloader onto it and only commit to tape the reallly vital stuff that requires a long retention period. Most backup software suites (even Bacula) support writing to file as well as tape, so this shouldn't be too big of a problem for a sysadmin if s/he knows what s/he's doing.

      Adaptation and all that.

      But then, most of the servers in my care consist of a pile of RAID5'ed SCSI drives that range 36-140GB in size... and I doubt that most of them will get much bigger before it's time to replace the servers themselves. Just because you can get monster capacity on a single drive, doesn't mean that you need to or even want to.

      Now if I already had a monster robotic multi-drive tape library running 24/7 now, and the boss wants to up the HDD capacity on a given pile of servers because he pretty much has to? Yeah. That would require a lot more thought and planning, and at that stage of the game a disk backup solution similar to what's been outlined above would be big and ugly, but would pretty much be what you're stuck with having to do.

      ...at least until they come out with the LTO-48 ;)

      [ Parent ]
    • Funny you mention that. (Score:5, Insightful)

      by Lethyos (408045) on Friday January 05 2007, @11:21AM (#17473664) Journal

      The cost, longevity, performance, and capacity is completely inferior to making backups of disks onto other disks, and has been for quite some time. I have no idea why people ever stick with tape at all these days other than for nostalgia. Does it feel good to have a cartridge using a remarkably old fashion approach to data storage or are people just ill-informed?

      [ Parent ]
      • Re:Funny you mention that. (Score:4, Informative)

        by clydemaxwell (935315) on Friday January 05 2007, @12:33PM (#17474874) Homepage
        Who the hell modded you up? You have obviously never been involved in a large-scale backup solution.
        Disks DIE. Tapes rarely do (comparatively). Tapes, although slow and linear, are incredibly durable.

        HDDs aren't exactly volatile, but they are a heck of a lot more susceptible to corruption and failure due to the fact that you have both a magnetic storage medium AND the circuitry to power and control it on one device. And if one dies, you're pretty much fucked. A tape is only one of these, and is simpler and more reliable.

        So why do we do things the old-fashioned way? Because it FSCKING WORKS!!
        [ Parent ]
      • Re:Backup Solution? (Score:5, Funny)

        by LibertineR (591918) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:59AM (#17473304)
        I swear to God this is true. I had a client ask me to create two partitions on a 500G drive, which was loaded with 200G of medical insurance claims. When I asked why, he said that although he didnt want to buy another drive, he understood the importance of having a backup for his data.

        I sprained a rib, choking back a laugh.

        [ Parent ]
      • Re:Backup Solution? (Score:4, Interesting)

        by segfaultcoredump (226031) on Friday January 05 2007, @12:27PM (#17474796)
        Ok, so you are spending $399 for a 1TB drive. Compare this to a 400G (uncompressed) LTO-3 tape @ $50 per tape (price is good as of yesterday when I ordered another 100 LTO-3 tapes). Your drive is about 3x as expensive.

        The tape is still cheaper. It also takes up less space on my shelf and I can drop it and not worry about loosing anything.

        I am looking at these drives for the front end disk array that I use in my d2d2t setup (disk -> disk -> tape). Given about 40 of them I can keep 2-3 weeks of backups online in the disk and then destage to tape for the offsite vault and archive backups. This way restores of recent data is almost instant (no need to mount and seek to the spot in the tape), but the old archives cost me less and I save on power and cooling (the tape library expansion modules take no additional power. its just a shelf with tape slots).

        Its not an either/or choice. Most folks with any real amount of data to backup use both.
        [ Parent ]
  • That's great. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Aladrin (926209) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:39AM (#17472998)
    That's a great amount of storage and a great price, but what about some REAL information: Speed, heat, power consumption. If for the same price I can run 4 250gb drives and save on heat and increase speed, this doesn't make sense to do. If I can run 6 and RAID them, and gain security, it really doesn't make sense.

    The largest drive in the world isn't any use to me if it's slower than a 3.5" floppy or I can use it to replace my space heater.
    • Re:That's great. (Score:5, Informative)

      by ImdatS (958642) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:45AM (#17473106) Homepage
      Just quickly, the specs I found for the Hitachi Drive:

      - 5 discs, two heads each, rotating at 7200 RPM
      - 1070Mbps transfer rate
      - 8,7ms avg seek time
      - 4,17ms avg latency
      - around 9 watts power consumption while in "inactive-mode" (NOT reading or writing)

      Hope this helps

      [ Parent ]
  • product looking for a market (Score:4, Interesting)

    by cliffski (65094) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:56AM (#17473272) Homepage
    Ok, so on the more general point of high capacity 3.5 inch drives, Does anyone really need these? In my experience, PC hard disks are already way too big. A friend of mine uses his 100 gig drive for some emailing, websurfing, playing a few games, and music playback. Last time I checked his PC it was over 85% empty. And most of the space that was consumed was the O/S.
    All a bigger drive gives joe average is a longer defrag time, and longer search time. I'd hazard a guess that 80% of current domestic end-user drive space is currently empty.
    Sure, many slashdotters will have filled their disks with all manner of stuff. I'm a developer, and the obj files alone for games stretching back 10 years certainly take a up a huge chunk of my disk, but we aren't average joes.
    I'll get a new PC next year for vista (I need it for checking games compatibility) and no doubt it will come with a 500-1000GB drive as standard. I'd rather it didn't, I've got by for years with my 80gig friend here. If theyt *really* want to innovate on disks innovate here:

    Power consumption (esp with electricity prices going menatl as they ahve in the UK)
    Seek Time
    Cost

    Why innovate on capacity? it's the one major metric that most people have stopped caring about. I'm not being a luddite, for a long time disk capacity *was* a major issue, and we regularly ran out of space. I think that time is over.
    • Re:product looking for a market (Score:5, Interesting)

      by Prof.Phreak (584152) on Friday January 05 2007, @11:02AM (#17473356) Homepage
      Data centers spend millions (literally) on storage. Try pricing a few hundred terabyte solutions, and you'll see.

      Besides, if you could store all of music/movies/images that where -ever- created on your home drive (not just those copies of libraries of congress), why not? I'd certainly wouldn't mind having all that storage---cheaply.
      [ Parent ]
    • by William_Lee (834197) on Friday January 05 2007, @11:04AM (#17473396)
      Two words... p0rn and piracy...
      [ Parent ]
    • Re:product looking for a market (Score:4, Informative)

      by Zenaku (821866) on Friday January 05 2007, @11:15AM (#17473546)
      It's still a major issue for me. You're right, I'm not an average joe when it comes to storage needs, but does that mean that nobody should produce a product that fills my need? My 1.2 Terabyte RAID array is full, and I am currently wondering how the hell to add more storage and migrate the data without simply building a whole new machine.

      The innovation in capacity and density is driven by the needs of enterprise users, and atypical users like me. The advances that come of it are then incorporated into lower-end drives as well. The reason that you start to see 100GB drives being the lowest capacity you can find is not because nobody could get by on less, it is because it would cost more to keep producing drives using the older technology -- each leap forward in drive technology has to be accompanied by retooling of manufacturing equipment and process, and it doesn't make a lot of fiscal sense to keep producing lower capacity drives if they cost as much or more to make as a newer one with higher capacity.

      [ Parent ]
    • I think the market is right around the corner: high-definition TV.

      The PVR market has been crippled in recent years because of market confusion, and compatibility problems (will my TiVO work with my cable box, etc.), plus competition for consumers' money by HDTVs themselves.

      Once people get done buying their HDTV and paying off their credit cards, they're going to start looking at PVRs. I think that's a market that's probably going to explode in the next 5-10 years, even more than it has already. I also think you're going to see PVR functionality being built into the 'standard' cableco boxes, rather than as an upgrade. (Not that it will be free, they'll just charge everyone for it.)

      High-def TV takes up a lot of space. That means if you want to have significant PVR functionality, you need to have a lot of local storage. 37.5TB, or 300Tb (aka 300,000,000Mb, if we use the 'marketing department' definitions) would be about 4,340 hours (180 days) of 19.2Mb/s HDTV. While that seems impossibly huge, I could imagine a future PVR using it as local cache: constantly downloading and storing programming based on your preferences. Add in a big HD movie library (say the contents of your local Blockbuster) and you can give the customer the impression of many simultaneous channels, even if they only have a relatively narrow pipe. (Narrow being 1 HD channel at a time, or a 20Mb pipe -- fat by today's standards, granted.)

      Content always expands out to fill the available capacity. I remember when I first heard about the development of DVDs, back in the early 1990s. They seemed pretty ridiculously big then, too. Now I have stuff that I can't back up to DVDs, because it would be impractical to split it among so many discs as would be required. (Apple's Aperture doesn't even try to have a backup-to-DVD option, it's designed strictly to work with removable hard discs as backup 'Vaults.')

      There was a time when people thought 20MB removable media was more than a single person would ever need, though we might look back and laugh. There's going to be a time in the future when 40TB looks the same way.
      [ Parent ]
  • HAMR not HARM (Score:5, Informative)

    by cheese-cube (910830) <cheese.cube@gmail.com> on Friday January 05 2007, @12:00PM (#17474346)
    It's HAMR not HARM. Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording. Here's the relevant Wikipedia article: HAMR [wikipedia.org].
    • Re:HARM (Score:4, Interesting)

      by aardvarkjoe (156801) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:42AM (#17473062)
      Although amusing, HARM is not an acronym for "Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording." Looks like Zonk didn't even read the summary again, much less the article...
      [ Parent ]