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Mobile Broadband to Hit 42Mb/sec In 2009

Posted by timothy on Wed Dec 03, 2008 04:55 PM
from the we'll-see-about-that dept.
Barence writes "Mobile broadband speeds could hit a blistering 42Mb/sec as early as next year, according to Ericsson's chief technology officer. The idea seems far-fetched given that even the fastest dongles currently hover at around 7.2Mb/sec, but the technology to smash that barrier is thought to be just around the corner. One of the methods is very similar to the MIMO technology already used in draft-N wireless routers, but Ericsson believes a combination of factors may even squeeze that figure to 80Mb/sec in the longer term."
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  • To soon.... (Score:5, Interesting)

    by slakdrgn (531347) <cabe@noSpAm.drgn.net> on Wednesday December 03 2008, @04:57PM (#25981239) Homepage

    ....to guesstimate early next year. Aside from FCC approval do you really think most mobile broadband companies (well, AT&T and such) will hurry to implement this while citing issues with bandwidth and creating caps. Add that to RIAA influence and technology upgrades for carriers, it'll probably be at least 5-6 years before we see any consumer use of this technology.

    • Then again, this is in the UK which advances their technology a bit different than carriers in the US. For some reason, my brain omitted that part when I RTFA.

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        Though, Ericsson is swedish (and current services offer 7.2 mbps here in Sweden to, but it will only be that in very selected areas in big cities, which Sweden has few of :D. For most people it will be slow as shit, as always with crap like this* and DSL.)

        Build fiber networks ffs.

        * Oh well, some day I assume wireless technology will be decent, but until then. And wireless access points connected to households fiber connections would work just fine for most uses.

        • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

          Build fiber networks ffs.

          that's what i'm saying. most people here in the U.S. are still stuck with 1~8 Mbps asymmetric residential connections, meanwhile people in Japan and South Korea are upgrading from 100 Mbps to 1 Gbps symmetric bandwidth FttH [wikipedia.org] for about $56 USD. meanwhile, what Comcast arrogantly refers to as their "wideband" service offers only 50 Mbps and costs $150/month.

          i think the first thing we need to do is catch up on wired broadband infrastructure. internet usage is only going to increase, and

    • "Aside from FCC approval do you really think most mobile broadband companies (well, AT&T and such) will hurry to implement this while citing issues with bandwidth and creating caps."

      Why would I expect them to confuse two different technologies?

      "Add that to RIAA influence and technology upgrades for carriers, it'll probably be at least 5-6 years before we see any consumer use of this technology."

      Nothing like the "I WANT IT NOW!" mentality to drive innovation.

  • Yep (Score:5, Insightful)

    by binarylarry (1338699) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:02PM (#25981329)

    42 Mb/sec.... standing next to the tower.

    Everywhere else, a tenth of that or less.

    • Yeah, but imagine how much faster you could hit your 5GB bandwidth cap on your "unlimited" data plan. Hello iTunes Video rental!

    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      42 Mb/sec.... standing next to the tower.

      Everywhere else, a tenth of that or less.

      ha ha

      I guess Your DONGLE isn't long enough.

    • Re:Yep (Score:5, Insightful)

      by p0tat03 (985078) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:39PM (#25981857)
      Still beats 2 Mb/sec standing next to the tower and a tenth of that everywhere else.
    • Hey, that's still the same speed I'm payin $60 a month for through cable.

    • So, 4.2Mb/s? That was the speed of my home Internet connection a couple of months ago. If I could get that wherever I was, then I'd be very happy to give up the wired connection entirely.
  • Latency (Score:5, Funny)

    by Tubal-Cain (1289912) * on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:02PM (#25981333) Journal
    I hear a station wagon full of tapes gets pretty good bandwidth, too.
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      Latency on 3G mobile broadband networks isn't bad. I usually see 100-500msec, with the average hovering somewhere around 200-300. Far from optimal for gaming, but enough to make the web feel snappy.

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        I've been using a 7.2 Mbit HSDPA 3G dongle for about half a year, and I hate the latency. Even for web browsing.

        If all of the data was transferred in one go, sure, it'd be fine. But when a typical web page results in tens of requests (for images, AJAX requests, etc.) you can really feel the latency. And it is noticable that there's an extra pause between clicking a link and having the page start to load.

        This is why it annoys me that the mobile broadband providers here (Denmark) are arguing against the ongoi

    • What's a "station wagon?"

      • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

        by Anonymous Coward

        It's what we called the internet before we started using trucks.

        Station-Wagon" [intowit.com]

        Sneakernet:
        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sneakernet

        In 2006 the largest backup tape available is the DLT-S4, with a capacity of 800GB. If a tape of this capacity were sent by overnight mail and were to arrive around 20 hours after it was sent, the effective data rate would be 89 Mb/s.

  • by Creepy Crawler (680178) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:15PM (#25981503)

    Wow. 40+MBps speeds on cell networks, and text messages will still be .20$ per.

    Meh.

      • Why? He's right. It's ridiculous that you can send an e-mail using a webmail interface on your phone for less than it costs to send a text message.
      • The whole point about this technology is you can use IM protocols or email, therefore you do not need to use expensive text. In the UK, 3 allows you to use Skype over 3G.

        I was looking at that plan today (OK, I was bored and couldn't surf the net at the time) and it seems Skype's only enabled if you buy a certain amount of service per month. So maybe it saves you some, but it also saves 3 a lot as they don't have to pay so much for access to the long-distance infrastructure...

  • How bandwidth does each tower even have for the backhall?

  • Here in Australia (Score:3, Interesting)

    by speeDDemon (nw) (643987) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:20PM (#25981591) Homepage

    Wireless is really the only hope we have for getting high speed broadband to all our country (7,686,850 sq km), and begrudgingly I must admit that our main carrier (Telstra) is actually doing a very good job.

    7.2Mb is available EVERYWHERE, not just next to the tower, not near a big city. Sure, for some people in distant locations they may need a roof mount antennae, but its everywhere.

    And they have on their roadmap 14Mb slated for next year, and 28mb for 2010. Now its just a roadmap, but so far they have met their promises with wireless, so I wont disregard them just yet.

    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      by Anonymous Coward

      14.4 Mbps is already live in Australia nationwide on Telstra's NextG network. Telstra demonstrated 21 Mbps at their investor day in November and have committed to the market to have it available across the network early 2009. This isn't roadmap its real. Check their website and view the demo which was performed on the investor day.

      Roadmap they promised the market was to have 42 Mbps in 12 months time.

      If they don't meet these commitments the market will hammer them and that's not roadmap either, t

  • I bet when we reach 42Mb/s it will still be capped at 10gigs for about 2 years worth of consumer outcry, too.

  • I'm still waiting for my flying car, and I'd say that's a more realistic thing to be waiting for than low-cost, high bandwidth, uncapped internet in the United States.

  • by dutt (738848) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:42PM (#25981891) Homepage
    The technology is called Long Term Evolution (LTE) and is part of the 4th generation of mobile telephony.

    More information about it is found here:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/3GPP_Long_Term_Evolution [wikipedia.org]

    The article doesn't mention a lot of facts and it also fails to mention that speeds upto 100 Mbit/s is the goal for LTE. So this will be the next step in broadband services over wireless mobile networks.

  • Contractual Limits (Score:5, Insightful)

    by vlm (69642) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:46PM (#25981955)

    Mobile broadband speeds could hit a blistering 42Mb/sec

    I guarantee there will be one of two contractual limitations:

    1) "Unlimited" service forbids the downloading of any media files, use of any streaming applications, any online gaming purposes, any voip or video conference service, and has a cap of 100 megs per month which you'll reach in 2 seconds

    -or-

    2) "pay as you go data plan" only $150 for 100 megs per month which you'll also reach in two seconds.

    Cell phone providers are a confuse-opoloy of crooks whom exist solely to screw over their contractually enslaved victims as much as possible before they switch to another provider, whom coincidentally also only exists to screw over their "customers". Nothing but pure distilled "marketing". I hope they all go out of business in the recession.

    Other than that, yeah its great news.

  • Is there a site that shows an electromagnetic radiation map? Not that I think much of what we're walking through is any more dangerous than the Sun's rays, but I'd be curious as to where the most intense EM is on the planet.

  • by noname444 (1182107) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:58PM (#25982097)

    What about latency and reliability?
    I'm happy with 3.6 Mbit/s, or even lower, if I get a reliable connection with low latency.
    Rock solid 512 kbit/s with 20 ms latency would be preferable to anything available in the mobile market right now.

    • by George_Ou (849225) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @07:36PM (#25983109)
      HSDPA 3G is the technology we have now that's 7.2 Mbps. It has a interface latency of 150 ms round trip.

      HSPA+ is the technology coming out in 2009 that this article is talking about which has a downstream capacity of 44 Mbps, and I think they're trimming the latency down to about 90ms round trip.

      LTE is the next gen technology launching in 2010 and it will go 85 Mbps downstream on 2xMIMO using 10 MHz of frequency. It can go 300+ Mbps using 20 MHz 4xMIMO. They're getting the air interface latency down to 20 ms round trip which is getting really good and it's only 10 ms higher latency than wired DSL. It all depends on your application requirements. If you only care about VoIP and online gaming, you don't even need 100 Kbps and all you want is the lowest ping times. You only need the burst speed for web surfing and downloading new maps, etc.
  • by slonik (108174) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @07:11PM (#25982883)

    As someone who works in the field of wireless cellular physical layer (MIMO, FEC, etc.) I would offer a bit of a reality check. As a rule of thumb in a wireless mobile environment with large cells even with MIMO, LDPC or Turbo coding, advanced QAM modulation, etc one should not expect spectral efficiency more than 4 bits/second/Hertz for an average user. And even this number is optimistic and assumes low mobility speeds and low interference.
    For a 40MHz full-duplex channel (half the resources in uplink, half in downlink) one would optimistically expect 80Mbits/sec per cell downlink or uplink. This capacity will be shared amoung all the users served by the cell. If, as a user, you get 8Mbits/second sustained throughput, consider yourself lucky.

  • So they increase the speeds and let's say the US government does offer free wireless access to the Internet. Considering that, once again, they missed the boat and have already complained that the Internet will fail if they don't start capping bandwidth. So then will they ask for a bailout too? Probably.
  • American cellular companies are notorious for being slow at releasing new broadband technology over their European and Japanese counterparts. I worked for AT&T Wireless in their data centers. Contrary to their commercials, 3G didn't take three years to complete, it was closer to eight years.
  • Multicarrier HSPA+ (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Erich (151) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @09:11PM (#25983979) Homepage Journal
    Telstra is rolling out HSPA+ Jan 2009 @ 21Mbps. That's 21Mbps in a single 5Mhz band of spectrum, without MIMO.

    If you use two bands (10Mhz) you get Multicarrier HSPA+, which peaks at 42Mbps. I'm sure you could stick more bands together and get even higher rates.

    With HSPA+ getting 21+ Mbps in a single 5Mhz carrier, are folks really going to get that much improvement in areas with lots of users with WiMAX at 100Mbps in a 20Mhz carrier? There's only so much spectrum...

    • by aliquis (678370) <dospam@gmail.com> on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:09PM (#25981421) Homepage

      Over here "up to 7.2" mbps cost 199 SEK, 99 when introduced. So 24.3 $ / month.

      I don't understand why price would scale linear with bandwidth, for consumers it will probably raise much slower in price since most people won't use all the bandwidth anyway, even less all the time.

      • I'm a little surprised you'd think that. You are correct, it wouldn't rise in a linear fashion, it would rise in something like a quadratic, exponential or polynomial fashion. Definitely at an increasing rate per unit of bandwidth. It's not just the additional bandwidth, it's the fact that you have to have it available all the time and the tendency of people to refuse to use it in a uniform fashion.

        But then again, I've seen your other posts, so it's not that much of a surprise.

        • I think we can live without the ad hominem thanks.

          Also, the unit price for bandwidth decreases with volume, not increases. This is precisely because of the non-uniformity you're talking about. Aggregating many bursty links together allows providers to 'hedge their bets' and oversell bandwidth, which results in much more availability on less infrastructure.

        • Mobile Co. pricing on data connects makes no sense to me, at least here in the USA. I was checking prices at ATT, Verizon, Sprint, and T-mobile the other day.

          AT&T Data plans [att.com] are fairly typical (the other providers are basically the same, with the exception that none of the others offers a $20/mo 'tier'; Sprint only offers a $60/5GB tier, T-mobile offers unlimited bandwidth for $50/mo [which is the best value for data plans of all the carriers, but they have a ToS which prohibits you from doing a lot of

          • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

            It has always been my understanding that wireless networks are cheaper to build and operate than cable or telephone networks, so *why* are they charging so much?

            if you're going to compare this as the equivalent to a "wired network", then realize that even $60 is CHEAP.

            For about $40 I get a broadband connection to my apartment. I can easily cover said apartment in WiFi, and if I go extreme maybe access my network anywhere in a one mile radius. It's certainly easier to "run" wiFi everywhere than try and run ethernet throughout said apartment.

            HOWEVER, this is internet only in my apartment. For 150% of the price I can get my cell phone to give me internet that's not

            • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

              "You ever build a network that stretches from one city to the next? With access points all along the highway?

              I bet it cost you a hell of a lot more than $60 a month."

              Wait. Did you just compare the cost for a single user to use a network to the cost to build an entire network for only 1 user?

              If you want to make a comparison, you have to compare the costs of building a Co-ax or copper twisted-pair network (with fiber backbones) to every house and apartment in the city. If you can get Cable or DSL for $40/mo

        • Here (UK), a 7.2Mb/s (actual speeds may be much lower) mobile connection costs about the same amount as my 10Mb/s (actual speeds tend to be close to that - 1.2MB/s - unless I hit the daily maximum limit, then they're throttled) cable connection. The difference is that the mobile connection has a cap of 10GB/month (and then it gets really expensive per GB) while the throttling on the wired connection only kicks in at 90GB/month, and when throttled it's still faster than the mobile connection gets in real-wo
    • WNBSITU stands for Will Not Be Seen In The Us

      Besides the fact you made up an abbreviation, you technically abbreviated an abbreviation of United States (of America).

      So can we just call ourselves U from now on and (States of America) is implied? Then we can call Australia, A. Europe, E. Africa....F? Antarctica... N?

      Sounds too confusing... perhaps we should just stick to a numbering system... now who gets #1...

      • by gad_zuki! (70830) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @07:12PM (#25982889)

        >So can we just call ourselves U from now on and (States of America) is implied? Then we can call Australia, A. Europe, E. Africa....F? Antarctica... N?

        Good idea, now African-American can just be abbreviated to F-U. Err, wait a second...

    • Radio WNBSITU (Score:4, Insightful)

      by Ostracus (1354233) on Wednesday December 03 2008, @05:22PM (#25981615) Journal

      "Heck, normal broadband speeds here are abysmal as it is."

      No. Dialup at 33.6 is abysmal. Broadband simply spoils you to the point were you forget what it was like "in the good old days".

      • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

        As the average connection speed has gotten faster, the average webpage has gotten more and more bloated to use up that faster connection.
        • This is true. I remember when the rule of thumb was "Keep your entire page less than 50k or people will hate you". Now it seems like there are no rules. With the exception of flash pages people just throw whatever they want on there these days with no regard for image size or overall page size.

          (Flash is only an exception because people realize that downloading a 20 MB site can make people leave in addition to costing more for bandwidth.)
          • A part of me misses the days when bandwidth and hard drive space were [more of] an issue, and programmers were forced to try and make things as efficient as possible.
          • I learned it as the 10-10-10 rule. A web page should have no more than 10 discrete bits of information, should display on a 10" diagonal window, and load in 10 seconds on a 14.4kbaud modem, which limits you to around 10KB including images. A 50KB page would have taken almost a minute to load - I would have hated you.

            These days, GPRS is the slowest connection you can expect anyone to have and a 3" screen is about the smallest. The first 10 is still sensible - you are allowed multiple pages, don't confuse