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Submission + - End of Moore's Law in 10-15 years? ( 1

javipas writes: "In 1965 Gordon Moore — Intel's co-founder — predicted that the number of transistors on integrated circuits would double every two years. Moore's Law has been with us for over 40 years, but it seems that the limits of microelectronics are now not that far from us. Moore has predicted the end of his own law in 10 to 15 years, but he predicted that end before, and failed."
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End of Moore's Law in 10-15 years?

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  • Currently the speed limit has been reached, so increasing the number of transistors (number of cores) has became increasingly important. Even if you can't scale it down, you can still increase the volume. Currently a CPU is about 1cmx1cmx1mm. 10x10x10cm is still reasonable and that is 10,000 times as much, meaning about 14-15 cycles of doubling the size assuming no more increasing the density.

    A 40,000 core CPU ...and after a while, 1 CPU = 1 neuron, and we get real electronic brains.

The opposite of a correct statement is a false statement. But the opposite of a profound truth may well be another profound truth. -- Niels Bohr