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Heat Pump Sales Outpaced Gas Furnace Sales In the US In 2022 (electrek.co) 142

In the US, heat pump purchases exceeded those of gas furnaces in 2022 -- part of a bigger trend that saw global heat pump sales grow by 11%. Electrek reports: According to analysis released today by the International Energy Agency (IEA), heat pump sales in Europe saw a record year, with sales growing by nearly 40%. And specifically, sales of air-to-water models in Europe that are compatible with typical radiators and underfloor heating systems jumped by almost 50%. In China, the world's largest heat pump market, sales remained stable amid a general slowdown of the economy.

Currently, heat pumps function as a main heating device in around 10% of buildings globally. That's the equivalent of over 100 million households, or 1 in 10 homes. But in order to meet climate goals, heat pumps will have to meet nearly 20% of global heating needs in buildings by 2030. If installations continue at the rate of the last two years, then the world may almost be on track to reach the 2030 goal. The IEA says that global heat pump sales will need to expand by well over 15% per year this decade if the world is to achieve net zero by 2050, and that multistory apartment buildings and commercial spaces in particular should be prioritized.

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Heat Pump Sales Outpaced Gas Furnace Sales In the US In 2022

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  • Heat pumps typically don't last as long as a gas or oil furnace. An air-source heat pump system defrosts by periodically switching back into air conditioning mode while the system is running. This results in the majority of the system's refrigerant charge being dumped directly into the suction accumulator every time the flow is reversed, which puts extra strain on the compressor until all the refrigerant re-evaporates. This defrost cycle is also one of the reasons a common FAQ for heat pumps is "is it no

    • If you live in someplace cold enough that icing is a problem, then you need a ground source heat pump, which won't do that.

      • If you live in someplace cold enough that icing is a problem, then you need a ground source heat pump, which won't do that.

        It's not the temperature which causes the outdoor unit to ice over (the outdoor coil, which acts a condenser while in heat pump mode, is going to be operating well below freezing as part of normal operation), it's the humidity. Counterintuitively, air-source heat pumps tend to be more prone to icing in climates where they make the most economic sense to use in the first place: in the southeastern states where humidity does tend to be higher year-round.

        Ground source heat pumps are significantly more costly

    • Why is everyone posting about air heat pumps. Underground it's a consistent temperature year round with a huge heatsink to draw from.

      • Why is everyone posting about air heat pumps. Underground it's a consistent temperature year round with a huge heatsink to draw from.

        Maybe if you're building a new house where digging up things is fairly straightforward, but for an existing house you typically go with what's there, which means an air source heat pump.

      • by tlhIngan ( 30335 )

        Why is everyone posting about air heat pumps. Underground it's a consistent temperature year round with a huge heatsink to draw from.

        Because if you have an air conditioner, or considering getting air conditioning, you're about 95% of the way to making it a "full heat pump" (ignoring the fact that an air conditioner is a heat pump already - heat pump in this context refers to a bi-directional heat pump). After all, the major difference from your regular air conditioning unit and a heat pump is a reversing va

    • Let's say you live alone and use a smart thermostat to keep your residence at slightly above freezing while you're out. A properly sized gas/oil furnace will quickly warm up your home when you return. Heat pumps, on the other hand are generally sized for the expected summer cooling load and if an energy-saving thermostat allows the living space to become too cold, the system may never catch up.

      That sounds incredibly suspicious to me, because that's not the way heat works. Heat flow is proportional to the te

      • The increased Delta T across an insulator is what causes the energy loss. As the difference between the temperature inside and outside your home increases, a proportionally greater transfer of heat energy to the cooler side takes place. That's entirely why energy saving thermostats work in the first place.

        In a nutshell, leaving the house cold during the day means you lose less heat to the outside. As to being able to warm things back up quickly, that's just a function of BTUs available from your heating

        • Ever wonder how those Mitsubishi "Hyper Heat" mini-splits work? They are actually oversized vs. their nameplate capacity. They can pull this off since they have variable speed compressors.
          • Mitsubishi's technology is about enabling the unit to produce its rated capacity at lower outdoor ambient temperatures than traditional heat pumps. What I was referring to in my original post was how equipment is typically sized.

            A 5-ton (60,000BTU/h) air conditioner/heat pump is the largest size system you'll typically see in residential use. If a house needs more cooling/heating than that, additional systems are installed. Yeah, it's actually somewhat funny to see rows of outdoor units on the side of ve

          • > Ever wonder how those Mitsubishi "Hyper Heat" mini-splits work?

            I did, so I asked the engineering rep I often work with since I spec a lot of Mitsubishi equipment.

            It works by recycling the waste heat of the compressor motor in combination with enhanced vapor injection strategy where a portion of the refrigerant is used, via heat exchanger, to sub-cool the bulk of the refrigerant headed for the evaporator. The sub-cooled refrigerant can them absorb more energy in colder temperatures, and the excess heat

      • That sounds incredibly suspicious to me, because that's not the way heat works.

        It's the way heat pumps work. They absolutely *SUCK* for setback thermostats. Most programmable thermostats don't even work on heat pumps. They tell you on the package. You will be lucky to find one in Lowes that does and if you do it will be three times the cost of others.

        When you set back and the temperature program returns to heat, the temperature difference is greater than the difference for the aux heat trigger. If you have electric resistance emergency heat, there is no cost savings and general

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      You should also insulate your home. That alone will save you a huge amount of money, and mean that the heat pump has a lot less work to do. It seems that many American homes are poorly insulated, and use the historically low cost of gas (relative to other countries) to make up for it.

      • You should also insulate your home. That alone will save you a huge amount of money, and mean that the heat pump has a lot less work to do. It seems that many American homes are poorly insulated

        And yet, they are still typically drastically better-insulated than homes in the UK. Europe is not one place, it's a region. Also, it really depends on where the homes are. In the US north or midwest, the insulation is usually very good, because it's very important. Also, historically we've been able to get a cord of hardwood for under $300, so the insulation hasn't been so critical here. It's only now that trees are in short supply and weather is more unpredictable that we're having big heating problems.

  • ... to fire up those coal plants to satisfy the additional electrical demand. Oh, and don't forget the extra power needed when its a hot day and all those heat pump owners discover that they have air conditioning as well.

  • Had one put 10 years ago in upstairs unit because of tax subsidy.
    Downstairs unit much warmer with gas,
    Now Electricity prices have almost Doubled in the past 2 years.
    Natural gas is Much cheaper, at least for heating.

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