Ten Drones Attack Saudi Arabia's Oil and Gas Facilities (bbc.com) 293
"Saudi Arabia has cut oil and gas production following drone attacks on two major oil facilities run by state-owned company Aramco..." reports the BBC. "TV footage showed a huge blaze at Abqaiq, site of Aramco's largest oil processing plant [the world's biggest oil producer], while a second drone attack started fires in the Khurais oilfield."
The Iran-aligned Houthi movement (fighting the Western-backed military coalition supporting Yemen's government) has claimed credit for the attacks. Slashdot reader dryriver shared this report from the BBC: Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said the strikes had reduced crude oil production by 5.7m barrels a day -- about half the kingdom's output. A Yemeni Houthi rebel spokesman said it had deployed 10 drones in the attacks...
In a statement carried by the Saudi Press Agency (SPA), Prince Abdulaziz said the attacks "resulted in a temporary suspension of production at Abqaiq and Khurais plants". He said that part of the reduction would be compensated for by drawing on Aramco's oil stocks. The situation was under control at both facilities, Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said, adding that no casualties had been reported in the attacks.
The BBC also notes that Saudi Arabia produces 10% of the world's crude oil, adding that "cutting this in half could have a significant effect on the oil price come Monday when markets open."
The Iran-aligned Houthi movement (fighting the Western-backed military coalition supporting Yemen's government) has claimed credit for the attacks. Slashdot reader dryriver shared this report from the BBC: Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said the strikes had reduced crude oil production by 5.7m barrels a day -- about half the kingdom's output. A Yemeni Houthi rebel spokesman said it had deployed 10 drones in the attacks...
In a statement carried by the Saudi Press Agency (SPA), Prince Abdulaziz said the attacks "resulted in a temporary suspension of production at Abqaiq and Khurais plants". He said that part of the reduction would be compensated for by drawing on Aramco's oil stocks. The situation was under control at both facilities, Aramco CEO Amin Nasser said, adding that no casualties had been reported in the attacks.
The BBC also notes that Saudi Arabia produces 10% of the world's crude oil, adding that "cutting this in half could have a significant effect on the oil price come Monday when markets open."
Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:4, Funny)
The US produces enough oil for themselves, and US oil companies will be glad to sell you gasoline at your usual price even if they could sell it at a much higher price on the global market.
Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:4, Informative)
The US last year exported 2 million barrels per day, and imported about 10 million per day. It sounds counterintuitive, but it makes sense if you stop thinking of the US market as a single entity and instead think of myriad buyers and sellers negotiating thousand and thousands of individual deals.
The US is definitely part of the international oil market, so international prices affect us. However the biggest driver of oil price volatility is demand. Global economic growth is sluggish in 2019 compared to 2018, so oil prices this year are lower than last year's. This event might cause a temporary blip in oil prices, but unless demand recovers it's not likely to have much long term impact.
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Plus not all oil is interchangeable. Different regions and extraction methods produce different mixes of hydrocarbons and unwanted contaminants, which some refineries are better equipped to handle than others.
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Why? Big oil companies are altruistic now? Or are you just spouting bullshit?
Ignore parent, please (Score:3)
Please ignore my parent post -- it looks like I fell victim to Poe's law.
Now I hear the "whoosh"!
Who dunnit? gulf of tonkin? (Score:5, Interesting)
THis is clear as mud. Yes the Houthi rebels claim it was their drones. But a previous strike on Saudi was Iranian cruise missiles. The saudi's say they are not convinced it was Houthi or drones. Might have been Cruise missiles.
It also took place immediately after Bolton resigned and the Iranians know trump backed down from military retaliation when they shot down a US drone. So it would be a good time for them to strike when trump is without the bolton hard on for Iran.
But there's other possibilities in play. It's not like US presidents (Johnson, Bush, roosevelt) haven't conjured up fake incidents (remember The Maine?, Gulf of Tonkin?, Iraqi Nukes?) to justify the wars they wanted. Trump has been begging the saudi's to reduce oil production. And here he gets that wish in return for being forced into an attack on Iran. The declining fortunes of the saudi leader will be reversed. THe proposed sale of advanced weapons blocked by the US senate will now happen. Trump will magically become the War-president right in time for the election. Gosh it all is working out so perfectly for Mr Trump and the Saudi's. And if not as bad as they claim they will be back on line quite soon. And if not then the US gets to sell more oil creating a financial windfall for the government both is taxes but also the sales from the national oil reserve. Huh... who would benefit from that boost right before his election?
Not saying it's that way. But it could well be. Happened before.
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One thing is totally clear and the only thing worth commenting on this article, by far the majority across the board with regard to this event, assume the worst possible behaviour out of the USA and Saudi Arabia, nobody accepts Iran had anything to do with it and Pompeo again scores as a major bloated sack of, well, untruths. Nobody believes anything this fat idiot has to say any more, really stupid to keep the pompous idiot, you want a secretary of state that can sell bullshit, not one that nobody believes
How can you be so wrong? (Score:2, Interesting)
Trump has been begging the saudi's to reduce oil production.
You'd have to a be a WindBourne to be any wronger than this. Trump wants SA to pump more oil to cover for the loss of Iranian oil that he himself took off the market.
Trump needs cheap oil to also cover for the rising prices of, well everything else due to his tariff war. Americans can't afford to pay more for everything, and more for gas too.
Trump needs cheap oil to try and stop the US tipping into recession. At least until after the election.
Trump had been threatening the Saudi's to not cut production.
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I'm not sure I follow. Are you saying Trump planned this? That by setting a series of events into motion he anticipated that Iran would attack and therefore create an excuse to declare war on Iran? That's some genius level tactics from someone that is supposedly so lacking in intelligence that he gets lost on his way back from the restroom.
Or, are you simply saying he got really really lucky through no action of his own?
Or, is it that someone is pulling some strings and playing Trump like a puppet? If s
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I'm saying none of that.
I'm saying two things.
1. Be very careful about early attribution. This gets spun to suite the powers that be. That's what happened in the Maine, Gulf of tonken, and all the Niger Uranium stories. things are not what they seem
That doesn't mean trump did something here or got lucky or any of that. I'm saying once something happens what you hear first isn't always the whole story.
2. There is also the sin of omission. Did someone let something that might have been thwarted happen b
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How do you not know whether it was drones or cruise missiles (which are also drones, actually, being autonomous) in this day and age? What kind of noobs have military assets not covered by cameras?
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Either the irony or the trolling is strong in this post. I am leaning heavily towards irony - and if I am wrong, the post's sponsors should to start hiring better trolls.
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Sarcasm doesn't come across very well on the Internet. I'm guessing that's what this is.
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Yeah because that was right at the top of my list of concerns...
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Yeah, you never see "Christian" countries going to war...
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I'd have exactly zero problem with them bashing each other's head in over the question whose god has the bigger dick. As long as they kept the sane bits of the world out of their struggle whose imaginary buddy is cooler, I would at best sell the popcorn on the sidelines.
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Yeah, you never see "Christian" countries going to war...
Your point? Since the time of Emperor Constantine, mainstream Christianity (ie excluding Quakers and other nutjobs) has never ruled out war. Guys like St Thomas of Aquinas, St Augustine and Luther laid down criteria for when you could go to war ("Just War") and what methods you could use . You might be shocked at some of the stuff they thought was allowable (didn't include drones though).
Early Christians were pacifist but Constantine and St Augustine believed (rightly IMHO) the weakening of the Rom
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Completely justified in cases where someone critizices an action that should not be considered abhorrent. By pointing out that everybody else engages in the same activity you prove that there is no community standard against it.
And the article is talking about an attack on infrastructure during a war, something that is not a nice thing to do, but is widely accepted around the world as morally justifiable.
Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:5, Interesting)
So much for the "religion of peace".
The Houthis bombed a Saudi oil processing facility. Worst case a few Saudi Princelings will see a fraction of a percent fall off the value of their share of Saudi Aramco for a couple of days so get a grip and stop acting like the Houthis blew up a school bus. Maybe this will teach your Saudis friends that interfering in another nations' civil war is a mistake that can jump up and bite you in the balls.
Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:5, Interesting)
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The Houthis will not let this war go for quite a long time, this is just the one of many attacks yet to come. Drones the great equaliser when it comes to non-hardened military sites, even the poorest country can disrupt the wealthiest war machine.
The USA should push for peace, it has just as many enemies as Saudi Arabia and the more effective small one way drones are seen to be the more they will be used. Probably much smarter to pull the typical US move seeking to promote regime change via calculated attac
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The USA should push for peace, it has just as many enemies as Saudi Arabia and the more effective small one way drones are seen to be the more they will be used.
How does the USA "push for peace" against enemies that believe our freedoms and wealth to be an offense against their god? The only means to satisfy them would be our destruction.
Re: Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:2, Informative)
Blithely assuming that all Muslim militant groups are just religious zealots is a recipe for completely misreading conflicts.
The current war in Yemen is much more about local governance and Saudi political influence than anything having to do with religion. Yeah, they use religious language, but itâ(TM)s ultimately not so difference from singing âoeonward Christian soldiersâ to foster fighting cohesiveness and group identity.
Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:5, Insightful)
enemies that believe our freedoms and wealth
Maybe freedoms are something you should stop calling 'ours'. Other people want freedoms too.
Hmmm... freedoms and wealth... (Score:2)
I think they hate our continued support of Israel far more than they hate our freedom or our wealth. I'm not trying to bash Israel here, but we should be honest about the reason for Islam's problem with the West.
Re:Hmmm... freedoms and wealth... (Score:5, Interesting)
I think they hate our continued support of Israel far more than they hate our freedom or our wealth. I'm not trying to bash Israel here, but we should be honest about the reason for Islam's problem with the West.
Why apologise? From a dispassionate and pragmatic 'realpolitik' point of view, Israel is a complete liability as an ally. Unconditional and uncritical support for Israel has put the US at odds with 1,8 billion of the planet's population in order to secure the existence of a tiny colonialist apartheid state. This has cost the US untold gallons of of its solders' blood and a dumbfounding amount of treasure.
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"Apartheid"? I do not think that word means what you think it does.
More than 20% of Israeli citizens are Arabs, and have the same rights as any Jew. Arab Israelis sit on their Supreme Court, in the Knesset, serve in the military, own property - as much as Jews - and businesses, and in all other ways have all the rights and privileges of Israeli Jews.
I'm not expert in apartheid but I've met S-African people who lived through apartheid, went to Israel, specifically the West Bank, and came back saying they'd just been in on tour of another apartheid state.
Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:5, Insightful)
The USA should push for peace, it has just as many enemies as Saudi Arabia and the more effective small one way drones are seen to be the more they will be used.
How does the USA "push for peace" against enemies that believe our freedoms and wealth to be an offense against their god? The only means to satisfy them would be our destruction.
The people running Saudi Arabia are a bunch of scumbags, they financed and facilitated 9/11, they murder their political opponents, they disappear anybody who criticises the royal family and the list goes on. All the Houthis did was strike back at an odious regime that they are at war with and they struck them where it hurts, good for them. Somebody bombing a Saudi Aramco facility has nothing to do with you.. So get a grip and stop whining about you and how this is yet another example of how wealthy American christians are being 'persecuted' by evil muslims and how you are the victim of some kind of lurking 'christian American genocide' at the hands of the muslim hoards. I can only marvel at the pseudo logical gymnastics it took for you to from a drone strike on a Saudi oil processing factory to 'christian American genocide'.
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Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:5, Informative)
True. And it got worse in the past several years.
False. This often gets repeated as if it is an established fact. The opposite is actually true: they were in conflict with Bin Laden since 1990, when a confident Bin Laden told King Fahad not to call on the Americans to defend Saudi Arabia after Saddam invaded Kuwait, and that the Arab fighters from Afghanistan's war against the Soviets will take care of Saddam. Fahad of course told him to get lost. He started a campaign against non-Muslim armed forces on Arabian soil. The king revoked his citizenship. Bin Laden fled to Sudan, then back to Afghanistan, and during that time he saw America as the enemy and started attacking them inside Saudi Arabia (bombing of some facilities), then elsewhere (USS Cole, Kenya and Tanzania embassies), and then it all culminated with 9/11. Among the limitation placed on his family there was that his wife and kids in the kingdom were not given any cash: the extended Bin Laden family took care of them on a credit basis for school fees, food, ...etc, but no cash. That is to prevent any cash from reaching Bin Laden.
The Saudi government had no part in 9/11 whatsoever. That does not absolve them from past and current atrocities.
All that is true, specially in recent years.
That is true, but not the whole story: there is a regional power struggle in Yemen. After their revolution, the ex-president Ali Abdullah Saleh re-emerged and allied himself with his previous enemies, the separatist Houthi rebels. They are some sort of Shia so Iran allied with them pre-revolution and afterwards. Saleh tried to retake territory, with some success, but was then killed by the Houthis. The other side was the internationally recognized government. Saudi Arabia's new crown prince saw Iran's influence as unacceptable (remember that during the same time Iran was propping the Syrian regime and there was a nasty civil war ongoing, with ISIS and all kind of complexities). The crown prince's method is brute force, so he invaded Yemen (with the UAE). Any war in Yemen is unwinnable if only relying on military force. The Egyptians did that in the 60s, and were defeated. The country is mountainous and you can't control territory effectively. Anyways, the Saudi/UAE siege and bombing caused a lot of agony. Cholera is rampant, malnutrition, and all around misery. The Houthis are fighting back, but Iran is a player. The drones are probably made by Iran, and perhaps they provide intelligence and experience too.
If this was a purely two sided war (Saudi Arabia vs. Houthis), then this would be a counter strike. But it is a complex multi-sided situation.
Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:4, Informative)
Iran and ISIS? You really don't know anything about them, do you?
Iran - Shi'ia Islam
Daesh - Wahhabi Sunni Islam
Palestinians - Shi'ia and Sunni Islam, various flavors of Christian
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This has demonstrated the feasibility of drone attacks. Worst case, I'm afraid that we are going to see a _lot_ more cheap drone attacks in the Middle East, and soon outside the Middle East. We should be deeply concerned.
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I'm afraid that we are going to see a _lot_ more cheap drone attacks in the Middle East, and soon outside the Middle East.
This kind of tactics works only when there are large undefended facilities. While there were many [cnn.com] drone [xinhuanet.com] attacks [reuters.com] in Syria too, they did not get the same media coverage. In fact drone attacks in Syria did little, since there is nothing relevant to disrupt there. Saudi Arabia is the perfect target for such tactics: a large empty country with huge undefended, isolated facilities.
Re: Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:2)
Defending against a swarm of Drones isnâ(TM)t necessarily easy. Only one needs to get through to ignite stored flammable liquids.
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Attacking Saudi Arabia was exactly the whole point of the Houthis taking control in Yemen in the first place. Now Iran has a useful proxy with which to attack the Saudis.
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That's the game that's being played in the region. Search for "Sunni vs. shiah" in google and find a map of the region, you might notice something particular about Iran.
Sunni and Shiah are for Islam what Catholics and Protestants were for Christianity some 500 years ago. You think the USA had a cold war with the USSR? Imagine those nations basing that not on some ideology that people may or may not partake in but on religion that pretty much everyone in those countries grew up in.
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"Sunni and Shiah are for Islam what Catholics and Protestants were for Christianity some 500 years ago. "
More like what Catholics and Protestants were for Christianity 150 years ago. The Franco-Prussian War was fought between a Catholic party and a (primarily) Protestant party, but the war had nothing to do with Catholicism vs. Protestantism.
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The Houthis are not, and never were, interested in a friendly relationship.
Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:5, Interesting)
We don't have enough refining capacity in the US to go without foreign sources. So while we can export a lot of our crude, we still need to import refined products from countries that still have significant refinery capacity. That's slowly changing:
https://www.eia.gov/todayinene... [eia.gov]
https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs... [eia.gov]
but I don' think we've yet reached the point that we can do entirely without foreign refineries.
backcasting from climate targets (Score:3)
And another way to look at refinery capacity: If we are serious about limiting climate change according to the Paris Agreement targets (2.0 degrees C, aiming for 1.5) we have to calculate how much more fossil coal the can be extracted and put in circulation. Basic physics, mostly.
This most probably means a significant reduction of fossil fuel usage in only 5-10 years, and cutting it to half or less in 10-20 years. Extraction and refinery capacity follows. Building new capacity in such a shrinking (if polic
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There's also a growing effort to synthesize hydrocarbons from captured CO2 and water vapor:
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/2... [cnbc.com]
Not sure who is going to do it best or even do it first, but if "big oil" is backing one such effort then you know there's quite a bit of high-level planning behind it. That'll change demand for refinery product as well. Eventually.
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If the world is serious about the Paris agreements, they'd limit how much oil and coal China and the rest of Asia can burn and put natural gas pipelines and nuclear plants everywhere instead of fighting them.
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I'm sure that leaving Europe to be invaded is not going to fare well for the US. Regardless of your opinion of the US, they are the biggest and keep a lot of democracies from being overrun at great expense of their own.
They in the end are both the biggest market and biggest inventors in all sorts of things, especially healthcare and technology.
A world without the US - Nazis in Europe, communists in Asia and the Middle East probably a glass sheet by now.
Putin (Score:5, Interesting)
If it causes the oil prices to go up, you can see Russia's unwashed ears behind it. Oil and gas being their only reliable sources of hard currency, they do whatever it takes to keep the prices up.
You'd say, Iran benefits too — and they do — but they'd be happy just selling more of the stuff. For Russia, however, the cost of extraction is much higher — and they are panicking at the prospect of the price per barrel falling below $40.
Hence their propping up Maduro [fairobserver.com] — Socialism a sure way to keep a country, even a major oil-producer, in disarray — and now this...
Re: Putin (Score:2, Offtopic)
Russians wash their ears just as much as anyone else.
Re:Putin (Score:5, Insightful)
That's not how Russian oligarchy operates.
You seem to be under an impression that the people who run Russia profit through trade of Russia's resources.
They don't. They profit by pillaging said resources. It's an important distinction.
Think thieves selling stolen property at a fraction of its retail price. Who cares if it's sold at a loss. It's not THEIR loss.
It's a criminal gang of people who don't care what happens once they are off this planet. "Deluge? Bring it on, I'll be dead. And fuck you and your children."
They are all billionaires already and feudal lords of their domains.
As such, rising prices, falling prices... they make money either way.
Most importantly, more money will not make them more powerful, where it counts.
They can't rise above the rest of the gang or above the "boss" - yet.
Re: Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:2)
at least someones finally doing something about the Saudis. Even America was to terrified of them to do anything after they ordered the destruction of the twin towers.
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It's the religion of pieces. After someone practised it, you find a piece here, a piece there...
Re:Don't worry about this affecting US oil prices (Score:4, Insightful)
There's an exception for monopolies, cartels, and collusion. But the oil market has too many players for that to really work. Even OPEC can't keep all their members in line. In a normal market with lots of players, sellers are as helpless to raise prices as buyers are to lower prices.
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Please, try testing your theories by running a business where you sell a commodity (something people can buy from multiple other stores). You'll learn very quickly that it's impossible to raise prices to boost your profit. The moment you raise your prices, your sales plummet and you actually lose money.
You should probably do some reading on the psychology of pricing then post again.
Comment removed (Score:4, Insightful)
significant effect on the oil price (Score:2)
Yes, that is the real story. Should keep the frackers in business for a little longer.
There's a large Shiite population in that area. It's just as plausible they did it, more so when you consider the proximity, and they have been fighting for a long time.
Gee! You would think the Saudis would be able to handle this, with that 100 billion dollar weapons deal and all.
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The funny/sad/interesting thing is, $80b is less than pocket change for Saudi Arabia. If they could be guaranteed no drone attacks on oil facilities for so little money, you can bet your sweet ass they'd go for it.
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That's only a half truth. They were assembled according to the official EU guidelines that require that for every yard you go forwards you have to go two back.
Saudi Arabia vs Iran? (Score:2, Interesting)
This couldn't have happened to a nicer pair of countries! Put on the popcorn and pull for mutual total annihilation, princes and mullahs ground into the sand to be forgotten forever.
And as a bonus, being energy independent suddenly got a lot more important. Now is the time to use all of our energy resources, cleanest first. The faster we can get the nukes built, the less coal we will have to burn.
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The faster we can get the nukes built, the less coal we will have to burn.
I'm not sure nuking all of them and stealing the coal so we don't have to burn ours is the answer.
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And as a bonus, being energy independent suddenly got a lot more important. Now is the time to use all of our energy resources, cleanest first. The faster we can get the nukes built, the less coal we will have to burn.
A simple CO2 tax (that graduated over a decade to 100% the cost of removing CO2 from the atmosphere) would make such a vision a reality. Subsidizing pollution is what got us to this impasse.
Re:Saudi Arabia vs Iran? (Score:5, Insightful)
Unfortunately there is no such thing as a simple tax. You can start out with a simple tax, but soon people will find loopholes, which must be closed.
Let's take a simple example: Income tax. That should be about as simple as a tax can possibly get: Take a person's income, run it through a simple mathematical formula, deduct tax. Couldn't be easier. But if you do that, it'll take about five minutes before employers realise they can dodge it by providing non-financial payments: Staff discounts, store credit, use of a personal company car, employer-provided housing. Now you have employees who are getting 'paid' but make a reduced taxable income on paper. So you need to expand your tax code to also cover all these benefits as well. Then companies start using 'tax-efficient' structures where employees become contractors, or paying them with financial instruments like stock or stock options which may change in value before they are sold, so you need to incorporate a way to tax all of those as well. Some companies will try more interesting means, like pretending to be churches or charities to claim non-profit status. Then there is the 'informal economy' - all those people who are happy to work cash in hand on short-term jobs, where outright tax evasion is easy. Soon your simple income tax has turned into a 1,500 page tome of arcane law as you try to handle all these edge cases and loopholes.
Now try to tax CO2. Good luck with that. It's worth a try, but don't depend on it, and don't expect it to be easy - every stage of a production chain would want to claim a different stage already paid the tax.
Why would Iran want a shooting war? (Score:5, Insightful)
A little hard for me to understand why the Iranians would want to start a shooting war right now. Actually, it's rather easier for me to understand the motives of some politicians who would REALLY love to see a shooting war with Iran, including some candidates who have histories with false flag operations. (Do dictators still count as politicians? Maybe I was too diplomatic?)
Therefore I'm reserving judgment for now. Not just regarding who did it, but how and why. By the way, that includes targeting information, since it seems like remarkably good shooting if only 10 drones could do that much damage. As regards sources of evidence, Pompeo's noisy testimony is not strongly persuasive.
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Re:Why would Iran want a shooting war? (Score:5, Insightful)
It wasn't Iran that bombed the Saudi oil facilities. It was the Houthi side of the civil war in Yemen. You know, the people that Saudi Arabia has been bombing for four years. With heavy civilian casualties.
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But they are being portrayed as proxies for Iran, and if Iran decided to do it, that would be the easiest place to initiate the attack. However, if anyone else wanted to frame the Iranians for it, that's also the natural place to initiate the attack.
The thing that is still bothering me about the attack is how effective it was. Too much damage for a few random shots. Or maybe the Saudis just build highly vulnerable stuff? It's not like they have any terrorism problems or suicide bombers in the neighborhood,
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The thing that is still bothering me about the attack is how effective it was. Too much damage for a few random shots. Or maybe the Saudis just build highly vulnerable stuff? It's not like they have any terrorism problems or suicide bombers in the neighborhood, right?
I have no idea how hard it is for a missile to hit a plant like that and make it go boom, but the place produces oil, which is highly flammable. An explosion brings fire and access to oxygen.
Even though the region has a lot of problems with terrorism (some sponsored by Saudi Arabia), and Saudi Arabia severely oppresses its Shi'ite minority, it is not my impression that they have a significant domestic terrorism, and Yemen has AFAIK not been able to strike back inside Saudi territory until now. So maybe the
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Houthi with backing from Iran. It's just your classic proxy war: Two rival powers that can't go to war openly or they would destroy each other, so they instead back rival sides in conflicts elsewhere as they compete for influence. Preferably while maintaining a plausible deniability.
Re:Why would Iran want a shooting war? (Score:5, Interesting)
Correction: The media TOLD you it was the Houthis. These are the same people who said Iraq had WMD. You still trust them? They serve the interests of power.
Correction: The media TOLD me that the Houthi took responsibility. Then the media told me that the US claimed that it was Iran. The same country that claimed that Iraq had WMD. Which was a big, fat lie. So, no I do not trust the US government, and I am critical of the media. For instance, most media outlets brush over the fact that Saudi Arabia has been bombing Yemen indiscriminately for 4 years, fueling a humanitarian crisis. And that the US has been a part of their campaign.
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Technically no, the media are telling me that the Houthi rebels are claiming the attack was theirs.
I haven't heard any reports - mainstream media or otherwise - that contradict those claims. Have you?
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Iran has been an aggressive force in the region for a very long time, and an oppressor of it's own people.
The same holds true for Saudi Arabia. Should we go to war with them as well?
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The same holds true for Saudi Arabia. Should we go to war with them as well?
When has Saudi Arabia shot down US military drones? Or taken members of the US military hostage?
The same does not hold true for Saudi Arabia. They certainly oppress their own people, I can't deny that. Seems like they have been improving on that recently though.
It's not like declaring war on any nation is completely out of the question. If Canada tries to burn down the White House (again) then that might be cause for war. If they succeeded in burning the place to the ground though we might just send th
Re:Why would Iran want a shooting war? (Score:4, Informative)
Saudi Arabia has been bombing Yemen for four years, and has led an embargo against Qatar since 2017. It has been sponsoring terrorist organizations like Daesh, Taliban and Al Qaeda for a long time. For me, that qualifies as aggressive.
Re:Why would Iran want a shooting war? (Score:5, Interesting)
Saudi Arabia has been bombing Yemen for four years, and has led an embargo against Qatar since 2017.
I'm not so sure that's a bad thing.
Indiscriminate bombing of civilians is a bad thing in my book. And it is certainly aggressive.
Has this aggression been directed towards the USA or its allies? You didn't point out any.
Daesh, Taliban and Al Qaeda has been fighting against the US and its allies in Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan, so, yes, I did point out some. Also the question was if Saudi Arabia was aggressive or not, not if it was aggressive against the US.
Given the number of changes within Saudi Arabia I'm not so sure this is the same nation that existed only 10 years ago. Since then the rights of women in the nation has been expanded considerably.
And yet, Saudi women still have lesser rights than their Iranian sisters ... who aren't exactly free.
The fact that they are attracting attacks from Islamic terror groups tells me that they might be on the right side.
Are you lumping in the Houthi with Daesh and Al Queda? They are very different beasts.
Iran, on the other hand, has not been friendly to the USA and its allies. If there is evidence that Iran played a part in this attack then I could see that as reason to for military action by the USA against Iran.
Are you surprised that Iran is not friendly with the US? You may want to look up the 1953 US-sponsored coup against democratically elected president Mossadeq that installed a nasty dictator. When the Iranians finally managed to get rid of him, the US supported Iraqs war on Iran in the 1980s which cost ½-1 million Iranian lives. After that the US has continued to work to bring down the Iranian government and is currently implementing a program of sanctions that cause widespread poverty and strife.
The nuclear deal that Trump tore up could have been the first step in a normalization of relations, but instead the Iranian hardliners were proved to be right: The US cannot be trusted. The effect of tearing up the deal and the subsequent sanctions is that Iran is given an ultimatum: Either surrender or escalate, because the sanctions regime is untenable for Iran. Given the history, I mentioned above, it is highly unlikely that Iran is going to surrender. So, escalate it is, which is exactly what we are seeing. And both sides appears to be playing along.
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Iraq went to great lengths to convince the outside world they had WMDs in their possession. They lied to the public.
That's BS. The UN inspections basically overturned all of the stones in Iraq and found nothing. Then the US invaded (after making sure that Iraq does NOT have WMDs).
And even after the years of occupation they managed to find only a handful of forgotten sarin-filled shells in one warehouse.
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That's BS. The UN inspections basically overturned all of the stones in Iraq and found nothing. Then the US invaded (after making sure that Iraq does NOT have WMDs).
The UN inspectors did no such thing. They were largely ineffective in conducting any inspections.
And yet the UN inspectors were right in their assessment of Iraqi WMD capabilities. And they did go to into Iraq to investigate. The Bush Jr. administration actively used this to escalate the conflict with Saddam Hussein, by pushing for even more invasive inspections at a time where they quite obviously were planning an invasion of Iraq.
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It was only after the war, as the military forces that opposed Iraq started to look for these WMDs that they realized it was all an elaborate lie.
Blatant historical revisionism. It was very apparent long before the invasion of Iraq that there were no active WMDs and that the US and the UK governments were lying.
Kind of drones? (Score:5, Interesting)
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I think more like remote-controlled fixed-wing aircraft, not quad/hex-copters.
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Wondering what kind of drones were used in this attack? Off-the-shelf drones (think quadcopters and their ilk) or 'real' drones (think U.S. Predator style 'jet' drones?).
I'm curious as well.
I'm also curious on if they are using a proper definition of a drone here. It seems to me that a drone attack would mean the use of an unmanned bomber to drop explosives. If the "drone" was simply flown to the target with an explosive bolted to it, and then detonated, then it's a guided missile.
I realize I may be pedantic here but words mean things.
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The word drone is lost already. Give it up. You can hang a good 8 pounds or so from a DJI M600. 8 pounds of high explosives will do some damage.
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Drone lost all meaning a while ago. Even the toy craft that would once have been called model or RC aircraft have now been renamed as drones.
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Speaking of lost meaning, neither is a male bee.
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Likely fairly simple fixed wing drones with GPS coordinate waypoints designed by Iran:
https://www.defensenews.com/unmanned/2019/05/21/how-yemens-rebels-increasingly-deploy-drones/ [defensenews.com]
Supposedly, that's just what they can do, they can carry a 100 pounds around 100 miles to fixed GPS coordinates, so that's not really something you can buy at Walmart, but it's also nothing like a Predator jet.
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The targeted refinery was several hundred miles from Yemen, add even more for the Houthi rebel controlled areas.
While it probably was a modern GPS guided variant on a V1 flying bomb it wasn't the model in your linked article.
Woot woot. Woot (Score:4, Insightful)
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I get the sentiment but it would be nicer if the drone simply took out the government instead. They will continue to fund terrorism, grope glowing orbs with Trump, and murder people even with oil burning. The only thing this has achieved is increased prices for the population and a bunch of people out of work (though the latter being balanced with a bunch of firefights now definitely more at work and I also sense future construction jobs spiking int he area)
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Repeated cluster bombing a diseased and famished civilian population should be on your list, too, especially since the attack was at least partly caused by that.
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They actually kill journalists on the regular. This was just one that we're sure they killed in an embassy, which made it extra special
Same attack occurred 1 month ago. (Score:5, Informative)
Counter measures? (Score:2)
Bad for US defense industry (Score:4, Insightful)
Saudi spends billions on American weapons but oil facilities still get taken out. This ca be a signal to all countries buying American weapons that American weapons are not deterrence enough and maybe the money is better spent on foreign aid to neighbors to keep neighboring countries stable.
Consider the operators. (Score:3)
The Saudis failed to buy sufficient anti-UAS systems and may have had no coverage at all. Just because they have money doesn't make them smart. They are, culturally speaking, barely beyond living in tents in the desert. The 1930s were not a long time ago. Don't let the money fool you. They are so incompetent they can't defeat the Houthis next door.
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The world needs an oil crisis to push alternate energy development.
More likely to push the world into a recession. And while the US and EU are busy with this we can expect Russia to jockey for a better position in the oil and gas market, and China to crush political enemies in HK.
Bring on the war. Another oil crisis will save far more lives than it can cost.
War is a launch pad for a shift to right-wing populism. Instability and strife is a breeding ground for autocrats. Nothing is improved by war, even though it is sometimes necessary.
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War is a launch pad for a shift to right-wing populism.
Don't be silly. Wars are started and supported by people with political views of many kinds.
You'll be telling me next that the Vietnamese lurched to the far right when they went to war for independence.
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The world needs an oil crisis to push alternate energy development.
The world needs an oil crisis like it needs a hole in the head.
If there is a reduction in oil out of the Middle East because of terrorism like this I expect the oil crisis to be shallow and short. Unlike in the 1970s the USA produces more than enough for itself, still has considerable capacity to grow, and has many allies outside the Middle East with their own considerable oil production capability.
Bring on the war. Another oil crisis will save far more lives than it can cost.
I would prefer an economic "war" over one that involves lobbing explosives. The USA and its allies could qui
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Calling this attack by the Houthis on Saudi oil production "terrorism" is the height of hypocrisy. Saudis' are not cowering in terror, the Saudis are not facing starvation or facing the worst cholera outbreak in recorded history. It is the Yemenis who have been terrorized, in part due to the civil war between those in the north and those in the south, but primarily by the hell being reigned upon them by American, British and other European weapons, wielded by Saudi Arabia and the foreign born mercenaries bo
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No it doesn't. If the technology was within grasp don't you think someone would have made a try already? Yeah big oil holding back progress blah blah. Even if they did come up with the solution all they have to do is license it.
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It's nice to see someone be so consistent.
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Is that another "guns don't kill, people kill" bullshit? Sorta "if drone bombers are outlawed then only outlaws will have them"?
"Drones attack, "tanks attack", "bombers attack", "guns kill" are all legitimate phrases in English Language and anyone with a half brain understands them as a figure of speech, not as