Be it Smartwatches or Smart Speakers, It's Never Been Easier To Make Gadgets. But Only the Big Players Have the Muscle To Survive. (theguardian.com) 116
Why would you go with the smaller brand, faced with those offerings from tech's behemoths? Or, at the previous displays, why not just buy the cheaper models? Charles Arthur, writing for The Guardian: That's the challenge for many consumer electronics firms. Not how to make things, or how to distribute them and get them in front of potential buyers. It's how to make a profit. Out of Fitbit, GoPro, Parrot and Sonos -- each operating in different parts of the consumer electronics business -- only the latter made an operating profit in the last financial quarter, and all four have made a cumulative operating loss so far this year. Making a profit in hardware has always been difficult. By contrast, in software, all the significant costs are in development; reproduction and distribution are trivial -- a digital copy is perfect, and the internet will transport 0s and 1s anywhere, effectively for free. If your product is free and ad-supported, you don't even need anti-piracy measures; you want people to copy it and use it. Software companies typically have gross margins of around 80%, and operating profits of 40% or so.
In hardware, though, the world now seems full of companies living by the Amazon founder Jeff Bezos's mantra that "your [profit] margin is my opportunity". Indeed, Amazon is one of the reasons why long-term profit is more elusive: it provides a means for small startups to distribute products without formal warehousing arrangements, and compete with bigger businesses at lower cost. That, together with the rise of a gigantic electronic manufacturing capability in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen, about an hour's drive north of Hong Kong, has made the modern hardware business one where only those with huge reserves of capital and brand recognition can hope to thrive.
In hardware, though, the world now seems full of companies living by the Amazon founder Jeff Bezos's mantra that "your [profit] margin is my opportunity". Indeed, Amazon is one of the reasons why long-term profit is more elusive: it provides a means for small startups to distribute products without formal warehousing arrangements, and compete with bigger businesses at lower cost. That, together with the rise of a gigantic electronic manufacturing capability in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen, about an hour's drive north of Hong Kong, has made the modern hardware business one where only those with huge reserves of capital and brand recognition can hope to thrive.
Waiting for an exploitable halt-catch-fire bug (Score:1)
How soon before there is a widely exploited bug that can put smart speakers or other devices in a state where they catch fire or do other real damage to themselves and things around them?
If you google "halt and catch fire" you will see a history of devices that could, through software, be made to catch fire, move in unintended ways that would hurt other things or people, or simply wear themselves out sooner than intended. Think old-school monitors with flyback transformers, impact printers or anything else
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Do the wall warts powering smart spy-speakers even put out enough power to set anything on fire?
500mA is more than enough to start a fire with small enough resistance and some flammable material.
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It wouldn't do anything bad for the makers of those devices. In fact, a HCF instruction would be a boon:
1: Everyone would buy a v2.0 of their smart whatzit, when they are told that their existing one can't be fixed or upgraded.
2: If they catch fire, that's their problem. They clicked on the EULA and now have to deal with arbitrators paid by the company.
3: If a ton of devices catch fire, the C-levels short their stock before the announcement, then make their local shipwrights happy with new yachts.
4: E
Baloney (Score:3)
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If you have good useful hardware you will survive and beat the big tech companies. The problem is that these gadgets are just junk and rely on fads. Eventually you run out of people to sell to and your market is saturated. Only a small percentage of people want a drone, or a fitbit, an action camera, or a $60k+ electric vehicle (like Tesla found out), or a $1000+ phone (as Apple is finding out). There isn't an infinite market of consumers out there with excess money. Once the fad is over you have saturated your market.
Which is why companies try so hard to innovate and come up with new technology, though even that can't keep going forever, Apple hit that innovation wall with the last iPhone, which was mostly just a more expensive version of the previous one.
There are still a few features that could be added to fitness trackers that would make people want to upgrade -- like cellular capability without being tethered to a phone (even sms-only would be useful), pulse-ox sensors, EKG sensors. Plus, the tiny battery with inabi
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Or employers demand them, as it lowers their premiums.
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The French have the right idea: pitchforks, torches, barricades, and yellow vests.
They did that here too, but they [wikipedia.org] got called alarmist, conspiracy theorists, kooks & racists. Some of them may have been some or all of those things, but they were only the fringes of a fringe movement.
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Re:Baloney (Score:4, Informative)
Here is the interesting thing. If you convert Euros to dollars and liters to US gallons, Californians are paying more for diesel and gas (petrol) than the French are, and the citizens of the state are asking for still higher fuel taxes.
It's less interesting if you post the actual facts instead of making "facts" up, Mr Trump:
Gas price in San Francisco: $3.39 [gasbuddy.com]
At 3.78 liters in a gallon, that's $0.89/liter.
At today's exchange rate, a Euro is worth $1.13, so $0.89 is 0.78 EUR
In France, the December price is 1.42 EUR [autotraveler.ru]. There are only a few counties where gas is cheaper than what californian's pay: . Russia, Belarus, and Azerbaijan.
Or, to convert in the other direction the French are paying $6.06/gallon for gas.
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SF is one of the most expensive places in the country for gas. [aaa.com] The current national average is $2.25/gallon (Or [mississauga4sale.com] 0.779 CDN $/Litre), with some parts of the country as low as $1.80/gallon.
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Especially sense most smart phones can do what fitness trackers do. Either they are already installed with these features(Samsung has it, LG has it) or you can download the apps for free.
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Myself, nope. I like my Citizens watch, so I will most likely stay with it. I know they also have a smart watch. Maybe someday.
Just saying. Everyone has their phone with them. More and more people are buying the watch(god, please don't let me give in). They offer everything a fit and other health gadgets have.
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Fitness trackers are specific purpose unit Smart watches are not.
Where do you draw the line? I have a Garmin fitness tracker with a touchscreen that can run downloaded widgets and display notifications from my smart phone. Is that a fitness tracker or a smart watch?
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Add all the features you want, but once the fad is over, it is over. Fitness trackers are a definite fad.
Until there is a silver bullet for weight loss I doubt it. Just look at the perpetual emergence of diets based on bogus principles.
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Keto would like to have a word wit u.
The silver bullet consulted with Keto and determined that Keto is no silver bullet.
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There's no silver bullet for weight loss, but there is one for getting a healthy amount of exercise. Live within 2 miles of work, walk to/from work. That gets you up to about 4 miles a day (8000 steps). Another mile of day-to-day activity and you're up to 10,000.
Even if you live farther away and/or drive to work, there are lots of ways to get exercise. Like, instead of parking next to your office you can park farther away, like in a separate building then walk the rest of the way to work.
Or ride your bike to work (some days or every day). If you live too far for a reasonable bike commute, then drive part way and bike from there. I have a 15+ mile commute which is more than I want to do both ways every day, so on days my wife goes in to the office,I ride in with her
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That would be great, but device makers make just as much money, if not more, selling every single bit of info the device can snarf up, be it your heartrate, location, or whatever. In fact, last time I talked with a VC, no constant metadata/analytics/telemetry, no funding, when it came to IoT devices.
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Yep, the only good VC is one who has cancer. Just like Lloyd Blankfein is a good banker -- hope his leukemia eats him alive.
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Make it JUST a watch and fitness tracker, no radio. ... have the entire thing be powered by a replaceable watch battery.
I bought two Polar heart-rate monitors in 1998 that were very much like that. I'd buy more of them if I could. My biggest complaint about most current HRM devices is that the only way to get the data out is to upload it to a Web site owned and operated by the manufacturer. I prefer to keep my data to myself.
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Sadly, my concern there is that I probably can't trust the app. Especially if it's Chinese.
There's a "non-cloud" 2-way pet camera I picked up on the cheap, but the phone app it connects to requests every permission under the sun. No thanks. I'd actually prefer it to run a small embedded web server since at least then I could FW it off and be aware of what on net might be able to reach it. With an app on my phone, the risk gets just that much bigger.
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Those are all super bad examples (Score:2)
Only a small percentage of people want a drone, or a fitbit, an action camera, or a $60k+ electric vehicle (like Tesla found out), or a $1000+ phone (as Apple is finding out)
Wow you are absolute pants at understanding markets.
All of those things have growing markets with a lot of demand.
Fads do indeed have issues with market saturation- but those ain't it, which is why all of those items are in markets with healthy growth (even if some companies may struggle within the space, like Fitbit itself which has a
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I pay attention to earns reports, not market rumors.
Little tip for you - growth is growth, even if it appears somewhat slower at times.
You said the market was saturated. Which would mean no growth... there is growth, so the market is by definition not saturated.
kthanksbye. You can have then last response since you appear not to understand markets or growth or, well, anything.
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Wrong. The problem is not poor quality or fads, it is copycats.
Amazon's working principles make it VERY easy to find a good selling, patent protected product and copy them, selling via multiple amazon accounts. As the patent holders slowly shut down each of your copy cat accounts, they lose all their profit and eventually give up, as it costs them more to shut your accounts down then they gain in profit.
Amazon itself encourages this because they demand low prices, so you can't be the high quality product.
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That is bullshit. The copycats do not say they are copycats, they pretend to be original inventions. Normal people do not know which is the 'original microwave popcorn popper", When they look for such a device they find:
The Original HOTPOP Microwave Popcorn Popper, Silicone Popcorn Maker, Collapsible Bowl BPA Free & Dishwasher Safe (Red)
by HOTPOP
The Original Delizioso Microwave Popcorn Popper, 4 Popcorn Cups and Popcorn Recipes E-BOOK Included, Collapsible Bowl, FDA Approved, No BPA (Red)
by Delizi
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If you have good useful hardware you will survive and beat the big tech companies
You can also say that with Kickstarter and 3D printing, it's never been easier to sell niche hardware. There are so many more types of hardware available now compared to 20 years ago.
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And if you pick something that has a small enough niche, the big tech companies will never even bother you.
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If you have good useful hardware you will survive and beat the big tech companies. The problem is that these gadgets are just junk and rely on fads. Eventually you run out of people to sell to and your market is saturated. Only a small percentage of people want a drone, or a fitbit, an action camera, or a $60k+ electric vehicle (like Tesla found out), or a $1000+ phone (as Apple is finding out). There isn't an infinite market of consumers out there with excess money. Once the fad is over you have saturated your market.
Things like smartwatches have great ideas that can be very useful. But for $400, I've got plenty of alternatives to what the smartwatch would do for a lower price. Plus a purchase that high for me needs to be something particularly special, or something I will use just about daily. My use of a smartwatch would happen a couple times a month perhaps.
So yeah, cost much higher than value makes it a fad to me. And this is what seems like the most useful smart device (other than a phone) to me.
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If you have good useful hardware you will survive and beat the big tech companies.
Not really - Because if you have "good useful hardware" (but not the economies of scale that the big tech companies have) you will have to charge more than your competitors, which puts you at a disadvantage right out of the gate.
Yes, companies like Apple can charge a premium for good hardware, but they're an exception, not the rule.
That's why the market today is well-known brands (Nest Labs [Google], Logitech) and cheap
Software as a Service. (Score:2)
It isn't so much about the device, it is about the Software service infrastructure behind it.
Companies are not doing the IBM Mistake which allowed Microsoft to Dominate the PC Market. They are being careful who they license too and have stricter guidelines on who and what can use their software and their section of the cloud.
Back in the late 1980's I could be a White Box PC maker and compete against the likes of Gateway and Dell. I would just need to get all the Case, Power supply, motherboard, CPU, Graphi
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Or continue posting as a fake anonymous coward who keeps linking to his youtube channel under a thin disguise of mockery.
I miss the old slashdot trolls. What happened to the moocow guy?
To Much (Score:5, Informative)
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Get yourself either a laser cutter and/or a 3D printer. Then you can build your own custom enclosures.
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What if instead of paying for that system, it's electric usage, and maintenance, you instead install the thermostat next to the door and hit a button on your way out to lower the temp by 15 degrees?
Because I'm incapable of remembering to do that. At 50 years old I know what I can and can't expect of myself, and while I can dream and create nifty things, remembering to do little things is simply not going to happen. So, my garage door closes automatically, my thermostat detects when no one is home and adjusts accordingly, my sprinklers run automatically and adjust the amount of water based on soil moisture, my lights automatically turn off at night, etc., etc.
Because I can't remember to open the wind
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Same here. Hell I hate the fact that macOS has facebook and other bullshit built-in because I'm never going to use it. It's wasted space on my SSD and maybe even wasted RAM and potentially insecure hooks in the OS itself.
I bought Philips SceneSwitch Colour (2200K, 2700K, 5000K) bulbs [homedepot.ca]. They don't connect to anything but they do offer something more than regular dumb bulbs.
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I don't want my thermostat connected to the internet.
Mine isn't, but I can see the value. Last night my family and I left a restaurant and started the 15-minute journey home. Would have been nice to have been able to remotely bump the thermostat from 60F to 70F before we left the restaurant so the house was warm when we got home.
Why does anyone need a washer, dry or refrigerator connected to anything but power and water?
Refrigerator I agree with you. Washer / dryers will soon be able to query the p
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U put your thermostat on 60 when you leave the house?
My house is somewhat older and somewhat drafty (heated by natural gas). No point in spending the money burning gas (and putting CO2 out the chimney) when no one is there to appreciate it, particularly when the forced-air will warm it up the 10F in 10-15 minutes.
We do the same thing for the 8 hours we're asleep.
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It's also nice to remotely turn on the dryer an hour before you get home, so you can hang up your clothes without them sitting all wrinkled in the dryer.
That sounds nice, but when you think it through
1) Put load in wash (~45 min)
2) Move load from wash to drier but do not turn on
3) Go do something for up to 12 hours, but make sure you have the time and energy upon arriving back home to take out the load for hanging/folding
Plus, let's be honest, if you are doing laundry for more than one person, you want to get it all done as fast as possible anyway, load after load. Your other scenario, about running when rates are lower was... slightly more realistic, but
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you can put a clothing line on your back porch
I live in the Pacific Northwest. Here is my forecast for this week (with apologies in advance for the metric temperatures).
...and pretty much the previous two months and upcoming two months.
https://imgur.com/a/mDQuEnM [imgur.com]
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I don't want my thermostat connected to the internet.
Well, I can only tell you why I personally got a Wi-Fi thermostat. I used to travel a lot for work. Like A LOT. Some years I would fly over 100,000 miles. When you're not home often you don't really need to heat or AC on much. But it sucks coming home to a freezing cold or burning hot house at 3AM on a Friday night / Saturday morning. Sometimes I would forget to adjust the temps while I was gone. So I could turn the AC / heat off. Set it to temperatures that keep the house safe from mold or mildew.
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I don't want my thermostat connected to the internet.
IMHO, the problem is that we changed the internet from the peer-to-peer model to the server-based model. It should be that the devices sends the data to your local network, and you having control to expose that as you see fit. Instead, it sends it to a 3rd-party cloud provider, who then has a hole through your firewall.
All this started when we went from personal home pages to centralized systems like MySpace and then Facebook. That was the beginning. Now it is just assumed that data is placed on the clo
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Same here. I used to be excited to get the newer stuff, but not anymore. I got tired of buggy, costly, bloated, etc. products, I just use older stuff that are more stable, cheaper, etc.
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This sounds quite similar to the Shoe Event Horizon [fandom.com] storyline from The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.
It's quite possible that in the (very near) future, the only companies on the planet that will be able to manufacture anything will be the ones that also have software services associated to their own hardware. We're already almost at that point with Amazon, Apple, Google and Microsoft.
Muscle? Or Lawyers? (Score:1)
The huge megacorps can afford the lawyers. If you can't you are a slave.
The problem is the products. (Score:2)
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Yeah, more than consumers, manufacturers are even bigger sheeple. Look at every big and small company making bigger and bigger phones with more and more cameras. The only way they can do that at a lower price than Samsung is to make a lower quality product. If I'm looking for a smaller phone say 5" and light with a newer processor - nothing out there. Smaller manufacturers should be developing niche markets and growing them, not chasing lower and lower margins with commodity products.