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Dawn of Solar Age Declared as PV Beats All Other Forms of Power (bloomberg.com) 398

Solar power blossomed faster than for any other fuel for the first time in 2016, the International Energy Agency said in a report suggesting the technology will dominate renewables in the years ahead. From a report: The institution established after the first major oil crisis in 1973 said 165 gigawatts of renewables were completed last year, which was two-thirds of the net expansion in electricity supply. Solar grew by 50 percent, with almost half new plants built in China. "What we are witnessing is the birth of a new era in solar PV," Fatih Birol, executive director of the IEA, said in a statement accompanying the report published on Wednesday in Paris. "We expect that solar PV capacity growth will be higher than any other renewable technology through 2022." This marks the sixth consecutive year that clean energy has set records for installations. Mass manufacturing and a switch by governments away from fixed payments for renewables forced down the cost of wind and solar technology. The IEA expects about 1,000 gigawatts of renewables will be installed in the next five years, a milestone that coal only accomplished after 80 years. That quantity of electricity surpasses what's consumed in China, India and Germany combined.
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Dawn of Solar Age Declared as PV Beats All Other Forms of Power

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  • PV = Photovoltaics (Score:5, Informative)

    by Arkham ( 10779 ) on Wednesday October 04, 2017 @09:54AM (#55308155)

    Always a bad thing to assume people know your 2-letter acronyms.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

    Photovoltaics (PV) is a term which covers the conversion of light into electricity using semiconducting materials that exhibit the photovoltaic effect, a phenomenon studied in physics, photochemistry, and electrochemistry. A typical photovoltaic system employs solar panels, each comprising a number of solar cells, which generate electrical power. PV installations may be ground-mounted, rooftop mounted or wall mounted. The mount may be fixed, or use a solar tracker to follow the sun across the sky.

    • Yeah, I thought it was "Palos Verdes" (LA thing)

      As another commenter has said, now that we have so much photo-voltaic power available, we've reached the point where are ready to bootstrap ourselves beyond having to measure in fossil fuel terms. Pretty cool. Bulk purchasers of solar panels must be paying less than 50 cents a watt. The biggest challenge for solar panel lifetime is hail, and they're pretty durable even then.

  • 2018 - the Dawn of Linux on the Desktop!
  • First came the steam age.
    Second came the coal age.
    Third came the oil age.
    Fourth came the nuclear age.
    Fifth came the solar age.
    Sixth will see the dawn of the crystal age [wikipedia.org].
  • I mean, folks can "declare" whatever right? I can declare myself to be the Queen of France.

    • "I mean, folks can "declare" whatever right? I can declare myself to be the Queen of France."

      Does that mean we can eat cake?

  • by Lucas123 ( 935744 ) on Wednesday October 04, 2017 @10:17AM (#55308419) Homepage
    I've had solar panels for two years now. I pay nothing in the spring, summer and fall months for electricity and far less in the winter than I ever did in the past. There no moving parts. The panels have a 25-year life span. The only thing left for me to do is buy a lithium-ion rechargeable battery for my home so I can have power when the sun goes down or it's really, really cloudy. It's kind of a no-brainer.
    • by tomhath ( 637240 )

      The only thing left for me to do is buy a lithium-ion rechargeable battery for my home so I can have power when the sun goes down

      You don't have power except when the sun is high overhead on a clear day? That would explain why your electric bill is so low.

  • IEA is known for persistently underestimating the rollout of renewable energi. Here's the latest analysis [quora.com] I know of.

    Basically, they project a linear growth, even though they've themselves increased their estimates with several percents on each revision of their estimates, i.e. exponentially...

    In other words, any discussion based on their forecasts is most likely going to be way off.

  • by Solandri ( 704621 ) on Wednesday October 04, 2017 @10:36AM (#55308585)
    Because the ratio of nameplate capacity to actual power generation is not the same for all power sources. If you replace a 1 GW nuclear plant with 1 GW of solar panels, you're going to have a huge, huge power shortfall. To get actual power generation, you have to multiply nameplate capacity by capacity factor [wikipedia.org]. Typical capacity factors are about:
    • 90% for nuclear
    • 60% for coal
    • 40% for gas and hydro (these could be higher, but they're typically used for peaking load [wikipedia.org] since they can be throttled very quickly)
    • 30%-40% for offshore wind (yes I know they hit over 60% off Scotland; unfortunately the rest of the world is not so fortunate to have such consistent winds)
    • 20%-25% for onshore wind
    • 14.5% for PV solar in the continental U.S. About 19% in the desert southwest, 10% in the northern latitudes (including northern Europe). This accounts for angle of the sun, night, weather, as well as some downtime for maintenance.

    165 gigawatts of renewables were completed last year, which was two-thirds of the net expansion in electricity supply.

    So assuming the non-renewable expansions averaged a 50% capacity factor, we get:

    • 165 GW or renewables (mostly wind and solar) @ 20% capacity factor = 33 GW actual production.
    • 82.5 GW of non-renewables @ 50% capacity factor = 41.25 GW actual production.
    • I remember a couple years ago when it was 1 GW actual production.
    • *Typical capacity factors are about:

              90% for nuclear..."

      Article is bullshit. Nuclear does work only if cooling works, the article ignores that when rivers are frozen in winter or too hot in summer, the reactors have to shut down, just as the innumerable times when some 'incident' happens.

  • You could send 136 Deloreans into the past with that kind of power!
  • The IEA expects about 1,000 gigawatts of renewables will be installed in the next five years, a milestone that coal only accomplished after 80 years.

    Perhaps people don't realize this, but a sentence like this actively kills brain cells. Stupidity, you're soaking in it.

    To be fair, it doesn't outfight kill brain cells, but it does actively repurpose them away from gainful employment (which might, in fact, be worse).

    First off, you'd want to be comparing per capita growth rates, and confine yourself to develop

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