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Data Storage Technology

Japanese Scientists Develop Long-Life Flash Memory 188

schliz writes "Flash memory chips with a potential lifetime of hundreds of years have been developed by Japanese scientists. The new chips also work at lower voltages than conventional chips, according to the scientists from the University of Tokyo. They are said to be scaleable down to at least 10 nm; current Flash chips wouldn't be usable below 20 nm."
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Japanese Scientists Develop Long-Life Flash Memory

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  • Awesome (Score:3, Insightful)

    by NoobixCube ( 1133473 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @05:40AM (#24209905) Journal
    This will be a huge boon to the UMPC form factor. SSDs are still far too expensive, and regular laptop hard drives eat through batteries in a single-digit matter of hours.
  • What is the point? (Score:5, Interesting)

    by damburger ( 981828 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @05:41AM (#24209913)
    Given that we tend to dump flash memory whenever a larger and more compact one comes along, and transfer our data, what use is there for a flash chip that will keep data for 100 years but be obsolete in 2?
    • by dintech ( 998802 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @05:45AM (#24209929)
      Archival. Once it's archived you can forget about it. For example, your local library doesn't convert all that old microfilm just because it can. It would only do it to put it onto a more stable storage medium.
      • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

        by damburger ( 981828 )
        I would hardly call 100 years archival. In some exceptional cases its within the memory span of a single human individual.
        • by Firefalcon ( 7323 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @06:07AM (#24210047) Journal

          It's still better than the lifetime of most other electronic storage media. Obviously conservation efforts (i.e. duplication) would have to be made (at it's half life of 50 years I'd guess), but the same applies to film, paper, etc.

          The advantage of digital media though is that multiple identical copies can be made, without any loss that can occur when duplicating analogue materials, and the cost of multiple digital copies over an extended period is almost certainly going to be considerably less than the cost of performing restoration and preservation on, for instance, a several hundred year old manuscript.

        • by MyLongNickName ( 822545 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @07:10AM (#24210307) Journal

          I would hardly call 100 years archival. In some exceptional cases its within the memory span of a single human individual.

          Ummmm. Yea. I am going to have granny memorize my last ten years of photos, movies and financial records.

          Fact is, I have struggled with a good method for backing up all of this. I've basically settled on mirroring with a remote FTP site. It works, but with my horrible upload speed, initial synchronization took 48 hours plus. Quarterly updates take a couple hours. And the other pain in the butt is I have to encrypt my financial info as I don't trust it being in the hands of a third party.

          Now if I had a medium that were 99% successful at retaining info for 20 years, I would backup to two manufacturer's media, and stick it in my safety deposit box.

          I don't have that degree of confidence in any low cost storage media yet.

          So for archival, yes, this is a wonderful advance.

          • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

            by Swizec ( 978239 )
            Oh gawd, you're gonna torture your grandchildren through ALL that archived stuff? Crazy, I can hardly deal with the tens of old-school analogue photos that have survived through the ages, let alone having a grand parent silly enough to think archiving all of their photos was a good idea.
            • by MyLongNickName ( 822545 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @07:49AM (#24210515) Journal

              I'm assuming you are under 30 and haven't lost a grandparent. Now that I have lost a few family members, I wish I had more photos, more memories to look through. Perhaps it is a case of you don't miss something till it is gone.

              I will pull up the digital photo album of old vacations, and my kids love to remember what we did. At some point, my kids will become uninterested as I did when I was younger. But as some point, I know they will enjoy revisiting them.

              I sure as hell don't want that to not be possible because my hard drive crashed.

          • maybe there is a market for MO-disk after all, i heard sony MD now are up to 1gb per disk. maybe a little to small.
        • by mgblst ( 80109 )

          Really? Do you really consider the memory span of a human to be 100 years, even if they hit that age? And are we going to judge all our data to this process?

        • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

          by nmg196 ( 184961 ) *

          > I would hardly call 100 years archival

          You might not, but everyone else certainly does.

          What do you think "archive" folders in Outlook are for? Emails older than 100 years?

          Many companies archive financial records, which are then permanently destroyed after 5 or 10 years. There is very little you'd want to archive for much longer than this in the business world. Archived data is simply anything you don't foresee needing to use again. Even if you last used it last week - you might as well archive it if you

          • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

            What do you think "archive" folders in Outlook are for? Emails older than 100 years?

            You never worked for my old boss.
      • by jimicus ( 737525 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @07:39AM (#24210445)

        Archival. Once it's archived you can forget about it. For example, your local library doesn't convert all that old microfilm just because it can. It would only do it to put it onto a more stable storage medium.

        At least until the technology changes so much that you can no longer buy anything that will read it, cf. the BBC's Doomsday project:

        http://www.iconbar.com/forums/viewthread.php?newsid=937 [iconbar.com]

        • It's Domesday, not Doomsday. Judging from Wikipedia, the Domesday Book was, well, kind of like the first British census?

          Thanks for the interesting link. One of the things which stuck out was:

          Sadly, it is unlikely that Domesday will become available for the general public to use. The contents of the discs are heavily tied up in copyright - parts are owned by the BBC, the Ordinance Survey, and possibly the Local Education Authorities and schools.

          Another example of how the inflexibility of copyright strangles reuse and archival of information.

      • It could be argued that due to changes to layers above the physical storage medium, no physical storage solution can currently be considered archival. At this point in time, data needs to be constantly migrated.

    • by jacquesm ( 154384 ) <j AT ww DOT com> on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @05:46AM (#24209937) Homepage

      it's to facilitate the new profession of 'data archaeologist'. People that will be sifting through the digital detritus of the pre-AI era two hundred years from now.

      Looking for the rosetta's stone that will enable them to translate 'flash' into 'realmedia' ;)

      • Looking for the rosetta's stone that will enable them to translate 'flash' into 'realmedia' ;)

        Oh, snap!

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        i have heard stories from universities that they sometimes get help requests from people that have data stored on mediastypes that nobody has readers for anymore, and after a little hunt in basements and other places they find the hardware, then there is the problem of software. There is already companies specializing in this sort of things
        • by jacquesm ( 154384 ) <j AT ww DOT com> on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @08:52AM (#24210979) Homepage

          The move where storage is going 'online' will mitigate this to some extent, at the same time it will create a larger problem is something goes wrong with all that online storage.

          Storage reminds me of the situation around energy generation. If you all generate your own energy and consume it on the spot then there will be lots of outages, but small ones. If you do it centralized then you get less outages, but *MUCH* larger ones.

          I fully expect something similar to happen to online storage, it will seem to be more reliable because on average it will be better than storing your data locally, but when it goes it will go bigtime.

          That's when the data recovery guys will have a field day.

    • by $RANDOMLUSER ( 804576 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @05:48AM (#24209947)
      The calendar time isn't important, it's just a headline. The real news is the number of write cycles going from ~10,100 to ~100,000,000 cycles, thereby making it usable in things like swap memory. By marking bad cells, much like bad sectors on hard disks, you also don't have to discard the whole chip if a single cell fails - like you do if a single cell fails in a RAM chip.
      • Regular flash works just fine for swap. If you write nonstop at top speed to a standard chip, you'll wear I'd out in about fifty years. Thus I don't understand why we should care about an even longer lifetime.

        • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

          by Hal_Porter ( 817932 )

          Regular flash works just fine for swap. If you write nonstop at top speed to a standard chip, you'll wear I'd out in about fifty years. Thus I don't understand why we should care about an even longer lifetime.

          That used to be true with SLC chips. It's not true with MLC.

          http://www.storagesearch.com/ssd-slc-mlc-notes.html [storagesearch.com]

          It's a simple matter to plug new data for MLCs into the calculation I did for the worst case wear-out process for flash SSDs - which I called the Rogue Data Recorder.

          Instead of the 64GB example I used then, I'll assume the MLC SSD has 128GB capacity. MLC SSDs have more capacity than SLC. And more capacity means longer operating life - before cells wear out.

          I'll still use the 80M bytes / sec sustained write speed - because the fastest MLC products (in Feb 2008) can already do that. (Meanwhile the fastest SLC products have moved up in the world and are about 50% faster.)

          The next factor is where we hit the big problem... Instead of a write endurance rating of 2 million cycles (for the best SLC) - I can only use a figure of 10,000 for MLC. MLC has a much lower rating due to the complex interaction of discriminating multiple logic levels reliably coupled with the intrinsic failure mechanism of wear-out.

          Plugging these numbers in the same calculation gives an estimated MLC flash SSD operating life (at max write throughput) which is 6 months! (instead of 51 years for a 64GB SLC SSD).

          All the affordable SSDs I've seen from Intel and Samsung are based on MLC flash because it costs much less per bit [dramexchange.com]. Down to $2 per GB in fact. SLC currently costs 2-4x as much. E.g.

          Here are the average prices for flash


          32Gb 4Gx8 MLC 9.27
          16Gb 2Gx8 SLC 15.61
          16Gb 2Gx8 MLC 3.97
          8Gb 1Gx8 SLC 6.31
          8Gb 1Gx8 MLC 2.34

          SLC is 2.7x more expensive for 1Gx8 and 3.9x more expensive for 2Gx8.

          • Thanks for that information, I had no idea about MLC or its considerably reduced write cycle.

            I would posit that in most real-world situations it still won't matter, though. That 6 months is at a 100% duty cycle doing nothing but writes. Even in a heavy-duty application, you'll come nowhere near, so that 6 months will be multiplied by a lot. But still, you're absolutely right that the theoretical limit is much lower than I said.

            Of course SLC still exists, and still lasts essentially forever. For this new tec

      • There are already patented schemes that use locational indirection tables to offset the write problem. Reducing volatility is yet another advance. Woody Norris, the crazed inventor, contributed to one of the patented methods, and there are more. Still, the advanced number of write cycles (and the fact that writes must be blocks rather than discrete mallocs) is a wonderful thing.
    • I can think of a lot of reasons why this would be very useful. If SSDs come out with a large enough tolerance for writes, then applications open up for server usage.

      A database for example would profit a lot from the huge random I/O speed boosts. The problem is of course that under any serious write load coupled with fsync, unless you're using BBWC, you're writing frequently to disk.

      Also, with SSD going mainstream, the MTBF should increase for harddrives - I hope to see 5+ years of guarantees after the t
      • by jamesh ( 87723 )

        If all goes well, we'll have a problem of destroying data, instead of the problem of preserving data.

        Hmmm... that's an interesting one... What is the procedure for securely erasing a flash disk? 30 seconds in the microwave?

        • It's more of a social problem - to educate people that if they throw their old SSD away, someone can still easily grab data off of it.
        • How about copying file(s) equal in size to the capacity of the drive, deleting them and repeating a couple more times to be belt-n-suspenders safe? Hint: It is only the most recent data that is preserved -- no stray magnetic particles to snoop for data on a memory stick.
        • A good whack with a hammer should do it.

          For hard drives, even damaged ones can be put back together if you do it carefully enough. I'm no specialist, but I doubt you could do that with ~50 shards of a flash chip.

          • Second vote for hammer; there is nothing like good old bft [wikipedia.org] for making media unreadable.

            No matter how many times you write 1's and 0's across your drive, it's not going to be as secure as a good whack with a sledgehammer.

            • False. A whack on a hard drive is not as secure as the Gutmann Shredding Algorithm. A single scrape across a physical NAND cell is; but NAND uses a tunnel injection and tunnel release, so unless you reduce a chip uniformly to nano-scale dust, you might still have useful data somewhere that can be extracted by TEM. Highly unlikely that you could reconstruct sense from dust, but doable.

              In either case, fire to melting works.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by nmg196 ( 184961 ) *

      Because currently an SSD will not last the life of your computer. At some stage prior to your processor wearing out, the disk will fail and you will lose data. At the moment, a mechanical HDD is still less likely to fail than an SSD.

      We use them here at work in firewall applicances and I've so far yet to see an SSD last for longer than one year when the disk is used heavily to log network traffic. SSDs are absolutely rubbish for high usage (high read/write cycles). If you made one into a Usenet server for ex

  • by jacquesm ( 154384 ) <j AT ww DOT com> on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @05:44AM (#24209927) Homepage

    Stone tablets will last even longer!

  • If you didn't use it.

    Come on, I can put 2 GB of plain text on a USB key, and leave it with how to implement the USB standard on paper, put the things in a thick plastic bag, etc.

    In the correct environment, it will last for a long long time.

    (Of course, I haven't read the article.)

    • by ZombieWomble ( 893157 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @06:11AM (#24210065)
      This is one of those wonderful headlines where they convert the big scary numbers into a nice friendly unit and completely miss the point. What's interesting about this memory is not that it could be locked away and would be stable, but that it's much more stable under repeated use (100 million writes as opposed to tens of thousands). So they've presumably taken some arbitrary number of "writes per year" and divided to get their 100 year figure.

      (Bonus exercise for the reader: Calculate the lifetime of these chips in libraries of congress written!)

    • I can put 2 GB of plain text on a USB key, and leave it with how to implement the USB standard on paper, put the things in a thick plastic bag, etc.

      In the correct environment, it will last for a long long time.

      The paper will rot nicely due to its intrinsic acid content, the platic will out-gas and gum up everything near (and inside) it, then crumble into dust, the dielectric material in the key's capacitors will dry up and the resultant change in capacitance will render the circuit non-operative.

      Give enou

      • Acid free paper exists. And if you want, you could write on metal sheets (using a variety of languages), being in a water and air tight container (see below), we would expect them to not corrode.

        But more to the point, if you take appropriate precautions, you can make things last a long time.

        So, if plastic has problems (which I hadn't heard about), don't use it. Use something equally water and air tight that doesn't have those problems.

        And I never said the thing would last forever.

        Given enough time, heat dea

  • Anyone experts on this subject?

    • I have an on-going experiment with a 2GB usb KEY. It's been happily over-written with random data non-stop for 38 days now (it takes 4 and a half minutes for one cycle), then read-checked. It's getting close to 12,000 cycles now and not one error bit detected so far.

      If you believe this manufacturer's estimated MTBF, 100,000 cycles, I shouldn't see any errors before over 300 days.

      Mind you, in a real-world application, you don't re-write your whole memory non-stop, so with wear-levelling I should expect Fla

      • Given that the better designed keys map out the bad data, you may want to monitor the free space on the drive. If free space decreases, the key has failed. Continuing past the first failure you could measure "failures per day" info and come up with other interesting observables.
        • "Free space" on a USB-key is dependant on the file-system used, and the USB flash wear-levelling isn't aware of which blocks are used and which aren't because it can't possibly understand every file-system out there. Indeed, in my test I use the whole device as a raw device without a filesystem on it, that is to say I write to every block starting from 0 to the last one. There is no file-system, there is no "free space".

          The key just provides a list of blocks. Internally, it maps those logical blocks numb

  • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • Flash memory chips with a potential lifetime of hundreds of years have been developed by Japanese scientists.

    All well and good, but what about reading the data? Will we have the connectors and required document parsers in hundreds of years? Or will we be stuck with data on this amazingly long lasting device that we can't read?

    Still, at least it seems to boost the number of writes as well, which is a bonus for general usage.

  • Read / write cycles (Score:5, Informative)

    by Dan East ( 318230 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @06:30AM (#24210141) Journal

    The summary does not specify exactly what is meant by "long-life". That refers to the current limitation of flash, where individual bits have a physical limitation to the number of times they can be modified. This "new" flash uses some sort of integrated "wear-leveling", so that all bits are utilized equally. Also, when individual bits (or more likely, groups of bits) are worn out they are retired. So instead of a failure, the capacity of the flash would decrease as write cycles exceed the physical limitations. Of course, if wear leveling was performed perfectly, then pretty much the entire array would fail at once, right?

    The article doesn't address other important aspects, like read / write speed.

    It does say that current flash memory is limited to 10k writes, which is low by at least a factor of 10. Modern flash should withstand at least 100k writes, and I've seen claims of over a million here and there.

    • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

      Of course, if wear leveling was performed perfectly, then pretty much the entire array would fail at once, right?

      I have 4 wheels bearings on my Chrysler, and even though all of my wheels rotate with a perfect synchronism, only one of my bearings fails at a time, and the other ones don't follow ther brother in the next few miles...

      Remember that at this scale, only an atom of difference could make some of those individual bits fail a year before the other...

      • True, but if your car had 1 trillion bearings (100 GB at 8 bits per byte) then the probability is that most would fail at the same time.

  • by Viol8 ( 599362 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @07:08AM (#24210295) Homepage

    ... but will there be anything still able to read it in 2108? Even today finding something to read a laserdisk or some old style floppy disks is an issue and thats only 30 year old tech!

    • by Hatta ( 162192 )

      The lack of moving parts makes it much easier to implement a reader for these things, rather than floppies, etc.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by Alioth ( 221270 )

      Using electronic memory is far easier than say, a disc. With a disc, you need a lot of precision mechanical stuff in addition to electronics. With a semiconductor, you don't need all the mechanical stuff. It would take me about 45 minutes to make a circuit on breadboard to read a ROM that was made in 1975 onto a modern MacBook Pro. To homebrew a laser disc player would probably be two years work.

    • It all depends on how successful the format is. It's trivial to read a CD, and that is twenty-five year old tech.

  • Umm .. MRAM anybody? (Score:4, Interesting)

    by djtachyon ( 975314 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @07:21AM (#24210361) Homepage Journal
    I just received some samples of military grade MRAM recently. 4MB, "infinite" writes, "infinite" lifetime, -55C - 125C operating range, lower power than DRAM, and 35ns cycle times.

    Fairchild has been making MRAM for awhile now.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MRAM [wikipedia.org]
    • by mgblst ( 80109 )

      -55C to -125C - really? I can't see that being very useful. Except for a trip to Neptune.

    • by Alioth ( 221270 )

      Pity it's so expensive - from my usual electronics supplier it's over an order of magnitude more expensive than NOR flash of the same size.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by dave420 ( 699308 )
      Because that 4MB chip is the only MRAM chip currently produced that's commercially available. 4MB. This isn't 1992 any more. That's not impressive :)
  • For the home market

    Solid State Cartridge
    Tape
    Magnetic Disc
    Optical Disc

    So what are we back to?

    Solid State Cartridge

    So so long as they make 5 inch jewel cases to store them.

    • by Hatta ( 162192 )

      I really hope game cartridges come back. Discs just don't do it for me the way popping a cartridge into a console does.

  • by infolib ( 618234 ) on Wednesday July 16, 2008 @09:00AM (#24211045)
    First, the real links. I don't know why the blogger didnt't include them, and I don't think this should have gone on the front page without them. Oh well, there's always the comments...

    Novel Ferroelectric NAND Flash Memory Cell Demonstrates 10000 Times More Program and Erase cycles than Conventional Memory Cells [aist.go.jp] (AIST press release, surprisingly science-dense).
    Highly Scalable Fe(Ferroelectric)-NAND Cell [ieee.org] - contribution to the Non-Volatile Semiconductor Memory Workshop, 2008 (you may have access to only the abstract).

    This is NOT flash ram, it's ferroelectric RAM [wikipedia.org]. This doesn't matter much to the consumer who can use it much the same way, but it's a different principle. Apparently they've (semi-)tested 100 million r/w cycles, and expect that it can hold data for 10 years (extrapolated from some curve). Besides, it uses a lower voltage than flash, and they expect it to scale down further. Nice. It even looks like it might work. SSDs for teh win :-)
  • Japanese Scientists Develop Long-Life Flash Memory

    Anyone else thought they've mutated by experimenting on themselves? I have to stop seeing anime...

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