AMD's "Frantic Price Cuts" May Pressure Intel 135
kog777 writes in with news of a Needham analyst report alerting their clients to a possible price war between AMD and Intel. Analyst Y. Edwin Mok notes that AMD has cut its prices three times in three weeks. He says that Dell has been playing off the two chipmakers against one another to drive costs down. He suggests that bargain-hunting clients avoid both AMD and Intel stock for now. As an aside, Mok notes that so far Vista is not causing a spike in demand for chips. This story hasn't been picked up very widely; other coverage is at Seeking Alpha.
It seems the author is still using his P1 (Score:4, Funny)
Maybe he should check his math processor
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Wouldn't that be 3.1699999999999999999 then?
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Maybe he should check his math processor
Haven't math co-processors been on the die since the 486 and original pentium (with the fdiv bu...)
Oh, wait. d'oh.
This must be a dell challenge...... (Score:2, Interesting)
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How would Dell drive people out of business by making two companies compete for their account? It is not like anyone will sell at under the cost for a prolonged time. Dell only has about 20% of the market. They are not vital to anyone's survival.
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You are absolutely right, but 20% of the market is a big chunk of change to pass up.
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Shutdown Condition (Score:3, Informative)
I.e., if your semiconductor business, which has physical and cash assets of $1B USD, is generating less than $1B invested directly in the stock market, then it probably doesn't make sense to keep going, unless you expect that you can turn the company around and get it more profitable.
In real
Of course (Score:1, Flamebait)
--A great company said "framerate is life"--
ATI and Vista graphics in general (Score:4, Informative)
Vista drivers for older (DX9) cards also suck, both for Nvidia and ATI. But for DX9 you can stay with XP anyway
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And about AMD's price cuts, it's a good thing, but too little too late IMO. When a 200$ Core 2 Duo E6300 can easily be OC'ed to be fast [tomshardware.com]
Vista Demand Strong, Says Dell (Score:1)
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Oh wait, sorry, that's the market for PS3s.
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PS3 bashing? This must be one of the biggest stretches of topic I've seen lately.
Best bit in the article... (Score:5, Insightful)
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I think you're reading too much into that. I read it just as "people aren't in a hurry to move off XP". There's nothing to say there's a drop because
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From a users'pov, Vista does little more than add some eye candy and some extra clicking (and maybe provide a few more games on top of solitaire and spider). I doubt that anyone cares about the "added security" given MS's past record in that area.
Now that everybody has spent $$$ on XP software to lock down his mach
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LitePC? (Score:3, Interesting)
Fab prices (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Fab prices (Score:5, Interesting)
you believe wrong.
Intel, amd and IBM are the three last big behemoths of bleeding edge chip fabrication. And to keep up IBM and AMD signed a deep alliance at the beginning of the decade.
First outsourcing for chips from AMD was last year and it took 5 years and a failed deal to arrange.
Normally in these conditions partners are NOT fungible. As in THERE ARE NO 65nm merchant fabs in the world who can compete with Intel or AMD
They are clearing inventory. The point is: what will the price of the new parts be??
In the chip industry this is the way price wars erupt. You make MORE space than necessary in your listings and the new parts start lower than where the older parts started.
AMD's chips are made in Dresden (Score:2)
Umm Yea... So... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Umm Yea... So... (Score:4, Insightful)
Isn't that what competing companies supposed to do?
Yup.
Now a word of waning about Price Wars, The consumer usually wins at first then they they slowly get screwed as the war lingers. Lower Price Chips means less R&D and Less Good Improvements and More Quick Patches and Fixes. So quality will drop.
I'm not sure I agree with this. No company with any sense ties their R&D budget directly to their incoming revenue. R&D is an investment and the amount should be based upon a risk/reward/intitial cost assessment. Just because I lower prices by 20% does not necessarily mean my investment in some new tech has any less potential for profit in the future. The real danger is not lower quality, but the possibility that one company might "win" and monopolize the market, then use that monopoly to entrench their position and ruin other markets. For example, suppose Intel drives AMD out of business, then introduces some patented feature to the "standard x86" chipset. Or suppose they dominate the market, but ship integrated graphics chips with all CPUs, thus forcing consumers to either use theirs or buy a second one as well, that works better.
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Taking 'exponentially' non-literally, do you mean something like a brand-new fabrication plant with state-of-the-art technology for a smaller silicon node, which costs billions of dollars that cannot be recouped until well after the plant is finished and producing production parts? Developing and re-tooling for silicon on insulator or strained silicon?
I don't think you realize just how competitive t
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Competition to the bottom works great, until you hit a certain point where it's really detrimental to the consumer. Take for example cellphones. Ever notice that Europe and Asia get a lot more cellphones that do everything or nothing, while we get 3-generations behind phones here in North America?
You attribute this to too much competition instead of not enough? The difference between the US and Europe is not that there is less competition among cell phone providers in Europe. The difference is that in Eu
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There's a difference between increased competition and increased commoditization. Having a larger number of competitors increases innovation. Increasing the price-oriented competition between the existing players increases commoditization, which progressively decreases innovation until a new player enters the field or until one of them realizes that they've made a mistake. You do not want processors to be purchased based primarily on cost.
Of course, one could legitimately argue that it is the lack of a
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Re:Umm Yea... So... (Score:4, Insightful)
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A plea to Dell (Score:5, Funny)
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Memory prices are already down to about where they were last July (2006). That's about 30-40% less then prices were in Nov/Dec 2006.
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WTF is with ram prices? CPU's, hard disks, displays are all going down as per usual but ram, which normally follows the rest of the industry is sticking darn tight to that 200$ US per 2gb of decent quality ram level.
It's been there for a while, it's becoming quite annoying - I had a 2gb machine 2 years ago and it cost maybe 300$ US, 100$ US in 2 years does not make for a good price drop!
4GB "kits" need to come soon from OCZ / Corsair / Kings
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WTF is with ram prices? CPU's, hard disks, displays are all going down as per usual but ram, which normally follows the rest of the industry is sticking darn tight to that 200$ US per 2gb of decent quality ram level.
It's been there for a while, it's becoming quite annoying - I had a 2gb machine 2 years ago and it cost maybe 300$ US, 100$ US in 2 years does not make for a good price drop!
I hear ya. RAM prices are so frickin' unpredictable. I've been hoping for a DDR2 price war similar to the fantastic PC133 price war of November 2001 [anandtech.com], when the shipping cost of PC133 was higher than the price of the RAM itself (128MB - $5, 256MB - $10).
"frantic" ?? (Score:1)
This is MORE than hollow
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Are you always this dumb, or is your brain at the cleaner's?
An article about how AMD can't sell processors so they are forced to drop prices ain't an advertisement for AMD. It's also not an Intel advert, because it suggests that AMD processors are getting damned cheap.
Most geeks use PC clones because they feature the best price:performance ratio. So this is news for nerds. And you are just whinging.
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Imagine:
1. Sell short on Intel and AMD shares.
2. Post Slashdot story about price war between Intel and AMD.
3. Watch as the share prices fall and your profit goes up!
AMD has hit the Bottom, the only way is up (Score:1)
Price War (Score:5, Insightful)
For those looking for a "price war" you do not need a confirmation. It has been going on for over 7 years now. This [my-esm.com] article dated Feb 28, 2000 details price cuts by AMD in response to Intel cuts. Then, look who is still at it 6 years later - Price Wars Intensify as Intel Slashes Chip Prices [pcworld.com]. It is a seesaw game that, hopefully, will not end any time soon. The more they go at it, the more the consumer stands to gain.
Now a related question... Do you think consumer demand or competition with each other is causing the rapid advancement in chip design and architecture.
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I'm sure most people don't need as much horsepower as they are pitching now.
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My last upgrade was a complete rebuild of every single component. I went from a 486 VLB
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Umm, is this a joke?
I have a Compaq LTE Elite laptop I got in 1994 for like $4,000. It has a 486 DX2/50, 16 megs of ram, and an ungodly slow 340 meg hard drive. It has Windows 95 installed it. They made computers solid back in those days. This thing still works incredibly.
I powered it up a few weeks ago and was amazed at how slow it was. Netsca
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Unfortunately these boards are designed to be very low end and this tends to come at the cost of reliability, stability, and driver support.
Asrock makes several such boards and these boards are responsible for their reputation of poor quality.
When performance starts to degrade and the upgrade market doesn't look promising overclock (hey you were gonna replace it anyway right? If it
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My Girl is just finished selling Girl Scout Cookies. It's competition with other girls and not demand for the cookies. There isn't any demand until you start deliverying and then some one wants a box right then. The GSC are all the same product though troops sell boxs at different prices. If you want cookies, it's cheaper to go to Walmart and buy almost anyot
analysts produce news like cows produce methane (Score:5, Insightful)
seriously - AMD and Intel are normally out-of-phase in product intros. it's been this way for many years, so we have to assume it's deliberate. Intel made a major improvement by souping up the Pentium-M line into Core2, and has gained a nice lead in some, even most, benchmarks. mainly due to some fairly narrow improvements that AMD hasn't yet answered, like 1-cycle throughput SIMD operations. AMD's current offerings are largely unchanged since the original Opteron intro (2003?), except for smallish tweaks like bigger caches, faster memory, doubled cores. AMD still does well for applications which are sensitive to memory bandwidth, for instance - part of the original technological jump of the K8.
AMD is about to introduce their response to Core2, and it seems quite promising based on the hints AMD has provided. Intel's not in a position to respond immediately, since 45nm production is some way off, and it (Penryn) will apparently be just a shrink of the current Core2 design.
in short, it's only sensible, sound business practice for AMD to drop the prices of their mature, high-yielding, partly-outsourced half-gen-old products. performance is still competitive with Intel's products - at a time when Intel's yields are probably not yet mature. in a way, this sets the stage for AMD to introduce its next-gen parts at a more comfortable margin.
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Why is that? I cannot disagree strongly enough. As long as there's demand for your chip, you can sit fat, dumb, and happy, selling processors. When there isn't, you'd better get that next chip our the door, or your ass is grass. You don't want to bring out the new chip too early, though, or else either you will not be able to price it competitively, or it will canni
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Latency, actually. The on-die memory controller puts RAM closer to the chip and is thus faster to access. K8 does do well in the bandwidth category in multi-socket situations, since the on-die controller means the amount of bandwidth scales with the number of sockets (memory controllers).
Just a nit to pick for those who are interested.
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Yes but promising in what vector -just performance or price/performance? Barcelona is a big huge die (costly to make) that AMD has already hinted they want to sell at a premium. Just putting the other K8 architecture onto 65nm isn't going to gain them the kind of across-the-board improvement in all segments that Core 2 architecture will for Intel -which is just now phasing out the last of th
90nm Fabs aren't going anywhere fast. (Score:3, Insightful)
Bargain Hunters Avoid? (Score:1)
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It must have eluded [reference.com] you. (The word you want is "Alluded". If you don't want to look like a total idiot, try not to use words you don't understand.)
Here is the bit of the article in question: "Intel will likely feel pressured to respond with cuts of its own," Mok contends, driving down profits for both firms. "We would avoid both nam
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Price war and competition (Score:4, Insightful)
Why keep bashing Microsoft, calling it evil etc? It is the consumers who should wake up. Let us say I give these companies big discount so that they can "make the numbers" for this quarter. But that would force them to give all their data to me and they have to pay me every quarter to access their own data. In a rational world, I would be laughed out of the business meeting in no time. But that is precisely what is happening in sales meetings between MS and the fortune 500 companies.
When it comes to the chips Dell is able to play AMD against Intel. It is in Dell's own interest to have a competition in OS/Office market so that it can play one against another and reduce the cost of computing to its customers so that it can sell more. But Dell buries alternatives deep, makes it difficult to buy the alternatives. Why? Why? Isn't there anyone who can break through the non-disclosure agreements and the secrecy and shed light on why corporations are acting seemingly irrationally? Sunlight is the best disinfectent.
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I don't think they are being buried - this link was only one click away [dell.com] from the main www.dell.com page.
I did find a little interesting the big AMD sticker pasted on the outside of
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The reason that Dell offers blank PCs "intended for Linux" at all has nothing to do with actual customer demand for them: if it did, they wouldn't make them so hard to find on their site. The real
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Good. (Score:3, Insightful)
It used to be that you would spend, AT MOST, about $100 - $200 (US) for the latest AMD offering (usually much less, under $75.00 US). Intel was never considered for gamers or home-builders because they were overpriced and underpowered. Lately AMD has been pulling the same crap that Intel was pulling back in the 90's. End result? We now have two chip makers, both with overpriced CPU's, trying to compete. It's about time there was a price war! They are using smaller and smaller die sizes, and are thusly getting more and more out of each silicon wafer. The damn things should be getting CHEAPER not exorbitantly more expensive!
Bring back the sub-$200.00 bleeding edge CPU. It's well past time.
Re:Good. (Score:4, Informative)
This cheap and uber enough for you? (Score:2)
AMD Athlon 64 X2 4400+ Dual Core Processor Socket AM2 Brisbane 2.3GHZ 2X512KB 65NM 65W Retail Box $198.98
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Your joking right? http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.asp?Item=N82 E16819103735 [newegg.com] $109 for an Athlon64 X2 3800+......Just over a hundred bucks for a kick ass processor (I bought one myself last year when it cost $350 Canadian before tax). I was actually quite surprised to see it at $109 USD on newegg, considering I paid over 3 times that less than a year ago. Now, let's see how much 2 gigs of cheap value ram costs, http://www.newegg.com/Product/Prod [newegg.com]
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I purchased an AMD Opteron 165 (Essentially an X2, 3800+ CPU) for about 480$ AUD (350$ US) around 18-24 months ago approximately.
About 6 months ago, just before the C2D came out, this same CPU was STILL about 395$ AU or 300$ roughly.
The prices just HUNG there, I admit AMD need cash and they deserve a break for a change but good LORD did the prices just STOP for a while.
Now AMD are begging for us back, dropping the
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At 3.05Ghz, it normally runs at 51*C (normal tasks like web surfing, word processing, and so forth), and peaks aroun
I'll care when AMD catches up to the Core 2 Duo. (Score:2)
Re:I'll care when AMD catches up to the Core 2 Duo (Score:5, Informative)
I highly recommend taking a look at processor electrical specifications [erols.com]. And keep in mind that Intel's power figures are more optimistic ("typical") than AMD's ("max").
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Intel's new exons may use less power for the cpus but when you add the chip set and the FB-Dimms it is about the same as amd cpus + chipset + ddr ecc ram.
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I refer you to this thread to see how AMD markets power. They use barrels of hype.
http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=210098&cid=17
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Anyway, we're not talking about marketing about which uses less power in a common day's usage and will cost you less on your electric bill. We're talking about how their chips are rated for power consumption. This is the TDP, Total Design Power, the number that computer makers will need to use to design their cooling solutions. You can't market your way around TDP; if you try then the cooling solu
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TDP = Thermal Design Power. Not "total". Get your facts right.
You are totally wrong about TDP: TDP is entirely a marketing construct. It is based on a typical scenario. They choose a point arbitrarily that doesn't cause too much perf. loss from PowerNow!, but still reduces thermal solution cost. It's market pressure.
Second: RTFA.
http://www.extremetech.com/article2/0,1697,2068252
"AMD's argument goes like this: Modern desktop and notebook processo
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Big whoop, an acronym wrong. Rote memory vs understanding? I'll take understanding, which you fail.
Marketing drones on the prowl. AMD took Intel's spec, changed what is considered a "typical" day, and said, "Hey look, we win!!!" I'm sure Intel will respond in kind.
I don't care about marketing spiels about how it costs less to own Brand X for Purpose Y. The article talks about situations where the processor is idle and consuming less power, in
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TDP is about the physical requirements to transfer power away from the silicon. If they bullshit their TDP numbers, then the HSF the OEMs use will be inadequate, and they will absolutely notice this in the form of chips failing from overheating.
Half wrong.
If they lowball TDP, the OEM designs an inadequate solution, and both Intel and AMD cpus will throttle more, reducing performance. If the throttle cannot cool the CPU, the catastrophic diode triggers, halting the CPU.
TDP is selected based on performance/c
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AMD doesn't have thermal clock throttling. They didn't even have an on-chip thermal diode to handle chip kill until K8 -- K7-based designs required a sensor on the motherboard. Clock throttling based on temperature (no OS control) was a feature Intel introduced in the Pentium 4, and which was
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Yes TDP is "selected" based on power/performance tradeoffs, but that is nothing like it being a pure marketing decision. Marketing may say that market X has max power envelope Y, but after that it's the physical requirements of the chip that dictate the cross of performance/TDP.
vs.
You're making it sound as though TDP is like AMD's model numbers, completely arbitrary, and nothing could be further from the truth.
I guess we just see the same data completely differently.
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The fact of the matter, however, is that Core 2 Duo processors at 65nm now have about the same power consumption as their Athlon 64 X2 counterparts at 90nm--about 65W.
I highly recommend taking a look at processor electrical specifications. And keep in mind that Intel's power figures are more optimistic ("typical") than AMD's ("max").
I don't think we should trust the power "specs" from Intel, AMD, or any source that only focuses on the CPU. If you want to compare power consumption between Core 2 Duo and Athlon 64 X2, I think you should look at total system power consumption with whatever chipsets you plan to use.
For example, on the "mainstream" P965 and nForce 590 chipsets [anandtech.com], the Core 2 Duo systems consume significantly less power than the Athlon 64 x2 counterparts. Note that the nForce 590 chipset is power-hungry, but NVIDIA chipsets
ITs great! (Score:4, Informative)
Hell that setup has the power to record 4 NTSC tv channels and 1 HD channel at the same time. Makes a great cheap MythTV backend recorder.
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How was Vista's expected role calculated? (Score:3, Informative)
Is this a forecast that MS puts out for each release, or is it determined by historical data? Since there's nothing really historical about Vista's CPU demands for the average user (well, not much really), how the heck did they come up with any kind of number?
This would (I guess) have to be MS saying "This is what we expect people to do with it, this is what we expect businesses to do with it, and this is what we expect CPU demands will be in both cases, hence here's the data to forecast what you'll be selling, we expect to push xxxx copies per day
Another way of looking at this would then be (speaking as Intel or AMD):
"Microsoft sold us a load of fud, we need to keep focused on attacking the virtualization and server market, and the other guy already has a strong foot hold there." (as either could say that about the other).
So in short, it looks like both AMD and Intel learned nothing from Enron's "virtual asset" mindset, which was counting on money that wasn't in the bank yet, but you were *pretty* sure would be there. Typical, I'd say unless I'm way off on how these predictions come into play?
I also saw no data in either article about growth either company made which they now need to find another way of paying for, but I guess that's not going to be availble to sift through for a while.
If I were either company, I'd be treating Vista like Bob [wikipedia.org] until some longer range (real) predictions could be made. But hey, cheap servers
and the price is .... (Score:2)
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Honestly, what does Vista offer that should make me want to buy a new machine with >= 2GB of RAM just to run the damn OS?
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As far as your Vista upgrade question goes, as someone who uses it, not much. It has a prettier GUI. It's more responsive on my computer at home than XP, mainly due to the fact that it uses my video card and dual core better. The UAC stuff (defaulting admin accounts to lower priveledge levels and requiring them to specificall
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Dude (Score:2)
It is one of the key reasons I can run new applications and games as well as many 'hard core' gamers with a 4 year old box. Yes, the video card is upgraded.
The same people who spends days trying to get every last clock cycle, and buy a 300 dollar box complain about price.
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in a word... no.
vista likes dual core (or 64 bit capable) cpus. It can run on single core but you will not like how it runs. I think vista was supposed to be only 64 bit. During the testing on beta all the 64 bit capable machine ran it a lot better. And the 1 GB of RAM. I think ms has a deal with the RAM people, putting in 2 GB makes xp, 2k, and vista much happier.
remember that 2k runs fine on a PIII
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Then tell me it's 'fine'.
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