Companies Betting on WiMAX 106
PreacherTom writes "This week, two companies — NextWave and Clearwire — filed to go public and make their fortunes with WiMAX, a wireless broadband technology expected to make serious inroads into the telecom market by offering a high-speed alternative to DSL, Cable, and other current offerings. Market researcher Gartner Dataquest expects the North American WiMAX services market to swell from 30,000 connections in 2006 to 21.2 million by 2011. Could this be the new backbone of the mobile effort?"
some perspective (Score:1, Informative)
In the first 3 years of national cellular service, 69.8 million connections were maintained by just under 300 million Americans. They are expecting 21.2 million connections in 7 years. Hell, even the telegraph the Model T (100% proprietary - a single company, Ford, produced it) made a comparatively bigger impact.
Re:some perspective (Score:5, Insightful)
Cell phones, like automobiles, were adopted first by the wealthy, then as prices dropped and supplies increased (a connection there???), they became ubiquitous.
As WiMax enters the market, most of the country is a vastly different landscape. The need for broadband is already being met by other means in most places. Near where I live, there is a market for WiMax (being served by Clearwire), because there are no wired alternatives. It is a large market geographically, but not so much in population. That's the kind of market Clearwire has been working in, becasuse it offers them the best chance of success. No real competition means they are selling on the availability of access, not the features of WiMax.
When WiMax becomes the issue, which it will when they expand further into markets already more widely served, the pitch will have to be more specific. So far, I haven't seen WiMax roaming happen, but that would be the benefit that offers something over the local telco or cable company.
21.3 Million in 7 years? Maybe. Is that significant in a world with so many alternatives? Maybe so.
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Price, Performance and CONTRACT! (Score:5, Insightful)
If WiMAX lets me connect my devices "in the wild" at a reasonable price and without a hefty contract, then it'll be a winner.
To businesses, nobody's going to drop Verizon or Sprint or Cingular or TMobile's data services for a new offering as long as they're already in an existing relationship and entrenched in hardware (sorry, we just moved to Treos or Blackberries). It's the you and me's of the world -- and we need cheap devices, contracts and rates, or it's just another "thing" that our company pays for.
Re:Price, Performance and CONTRACT! (Score:4, Insightful)
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On the positive of Clearwire'
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I do find that when the connection cuts out, a quick ifdown eth0 && ifup eth0 works a treat.
Really, the biggest advantage of Clearwire is that there aren't any installation costs.
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This is in Tacoma, WA.
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Use Azureus, with protocol encryption enabled. As far as I know, the current throttling methods don't work for obfuscated/encrypted streams. If enough people resist throttling, maybe it'll persuade ISPs to use local torrent caching instead, which will cut down on their bandwidth bill and increase our speeds too.
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If not, they may have some other method of figuring out what is and isn't bit torrent traffic. I suspect your experiences would
Re:Price, Performance and CONTRACT! (Score:5, Informative)
While I'm not usually one to defend big business, it's not really all that difficult to cancel your plan after your contract expires. I've done it before, and it's actually a very easy process. As for the period before your contract expires, you *did* sign the contract, presumably in exchange for a huge discount on your phone. You didn't have to sign the contract...you could have paid full price for the phone, and entered into a month-by-month agreement with the provider. It's your own fault if you're not happy with the contract that you signed.
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No, you can't usually bring your own phone in, but you could pay the full purchase price on their phone, rather than opting for the contract-based discount.
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We already decided AT&T couldn't force us to buy their land-line phones; why are cellular companies allowed to do the same thing?
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What you're expecting is that they *give* you a phone that costs them a few hundred dollars, without asking anything in return?
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Because nobody's passed a law yet forcing them to allow you to use whatever phone you might have laying around...
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Or maybe they dont have a competitor that offers that option. Competition would solve this problem better than legislation, and remember that in the not so distant future they not only have to compete with other cellphone companies, they will have mobile internet everywhere, with free VOIP. Who knows where this tec
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Not to worry... (Score:2, Funny)
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Hunting Wombats (Score:2)
I pray that it is... (Score:2)
I live in Lake County, California, and the whole frippin' county is in the sticks but I currently live further into the sticks than most and I'm moving to a new house that is closer to my work but even further away from the masses of residences. I just found out that it might be possible to get cable where I'm leaving, but I know damned well you can't get it (or DSL) where I'm going. That leaves dialup or satellite. Pretty much every satellite provider has been known to institute special bullshit "only for
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> now he's able to participate on the intarweb with the rest of us
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Sattelite latency would make it useless to me-- I suppose it may be fine for web surfing or streaming audio/video, but I work from home via a VPN where telnet and remote desktop connections would be intolerably slow.
I would like to move "way out in the sticks" myself though, as long as I can get a high-speed and low-latency internet connection.
Why WiMAX will be awesome... (Score:5, Interesting)
Now compare this to my condo, there's generally four to eight wireless networks in range in any room of the house. Some are locked, and some are open. I have my own closed network not broadcasting it's SSID, but the point is plenty of options.
Soon imagine a world where you go to Starbucks, the mall or the airport and you see four to eight wireless networks available. Hmmm... shall I join the local wireless business club for more than I pay for broadband at home, or shall I jump on "FreeWiMAX" instead?
Most likely some sort of ad-supported "FreeWiMAX" network will pop up all over, also some home users, etc... with varying levels of speed and quality, but the point is the local providers have lost their monopoly of service in their areas and finally wireless charges will have to drop and they'll need to actually compete.
WHEEEEEEE!!!
that's not exactly how it works (Score:5, Informative)
It's intended use is more as competition to both local DSL/Cable bandwidth providers, as well as competition for Cell networks.
If whoever owns the spectrum rights for WiMax (like NextWave) decides to offer a reasonable mobile data service over WiMax then it will force Verizon et al to bring their prices down.
Also, VoIP over WiMax could provide a compelling voice platform for competing with cell networks.
a bit more information (Score:5, Informative)
1) Raise a bunch of investor capital (done)
2) Use the capital to buy out the WiMax spectrum at auction (done)
3) Raise more money with an IPO
4) Use the IPO money to build a residential/business broadband service
At this point they're competing with DSL and cable providers, but not cell networks because the coverage is still spotty. Of course, coverage doesn't matter much for residential service since your house isn't really moving. After they get a good amount of subscribers, then they can:
5) Build out their coverage enough to compete with the Cell networks.
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1) Raise a bunch of investor capital (done)
2) Use the capital to buy out the WiMax spectrum at auction (done)
3) Raise more money with an IPO
4) Pay executives huge salaries and cash out overinflated stock options
5) Watch company fail due to inherent technical issues
6) Bail out just before company files bankruptcy or is acquired for peanuts
7) Hit the beach
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WiMAX [wikipedia.org]
Re:that's not exactly how it works (Score:4, Informative)
There are two different standards for WiMAX (from an access perspective).
The older 16d standard (designed for fixed environments) can work in unlicensed (5.8 GHz) spectrum and licensed spectrum. The newer 16e standard is only defined for licensed spectrum (2.3, 2.5, and 3.5 GHz). The majority of the service providers will deploy 16e because it supports mobility, in addition to fixed applications.
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Please support your post with a reference of some sort.
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I may have oversimplified, but let me explain. There are two components to this: the standard as defined by the IEEE, and the profiles as defined by the WiMAX Forum. The former describes the components of the MAC and PHY layers. The latter describes the frequencies, channel bandwidth, number of tones for the OFDM signal, and other parameters. The IEEE standard 802.16e-2005 is not defined for unlicensed spectrum. The profiles defined by the WiMAX Fo [wimaxforum.org]
Mobile, nothing... (Score:3, Informative)
For rural business locations, there's a big gap between a T1 (very expensive) and dial-up or satellite (both slow in different ways). This would make 95% of their IT issues disappear overnight. (It's amazing how many 'Net apps really don't like ping times in excess of 1000ms.)
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It's waiting behind all the other data. Once your link is saturated, latency goes through the roof.
The V.whatever compression could play a factor. DSL's early signal compression was so bad that the problem was the reverse -- gamers were actually preferring dialup because the ping times were actually lower.
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- error correction
- compression
- PPP retransmissions
- PPP compression
- voice data might be digitized and delayed within the telephone network
As far as queueing goes, suppose your game uses 1500 byte packets. On an average 38400 dialup link, it takes more than 300ms to transfer just one packet. Now throw in a 10-packet queue, load it up, and see where your ping packets end up every second.
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Re:Mobile, nothing... (Score:4, Informative)
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The reason is simple: by "piggybacking" WiMAX transceivers on cellphone towers (which are already up in the majority of rural areas), you avoid the enormous expense of doing the so-called last mile connection to the residence or business using DSL, cable TV, or fiber optic lines. Europe, Japan and South Korea have far less of this problem because the sheer population density makes it possible to justi
This is really nice (Score:2)
The more options we have for mobile and data services, the better it is for us consumers.
Clearwire/Baystar Link (Score:3, Informative)
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I would beg to differ, as Clearwire tends to mount their antennae on cellphone towers.
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The electromagnetic spectrum has limits, people. (Score:5, Interesting)
The article mentions the 2.5 GHz specturm. It isn't all that much different than the 2.4 we know and love today, except that the spectrum is licensed. A lot of the other transmission pitfalls will likely remain (Line-of-Sight, etc.)
Two factors are that spectrum is inherently limited, and the higher the frequency, the more power is required to transmit over a given distance. There is already sufficient suspicion that cellular transmissions aren't good for you. I can't imagine WiMax is going to fare much better here, but that has yet to be seen.
While I don't ever care to get WiMax
Re:The electromagnetic spectrum has limits, people (Score:5, Interesting)
We are in a fairly large city in northern Canada, and there is nowhere in town we fail to receive a signal, from a fairly small number of cells located around town. As an old-school dial-up ISP without access to cable or copper infrastructure, NLOS high speed wireless was our holy grail, and this technology delivered. The stuff is black magic, it is something to behold.
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I've seen penty of companies promising this sort of thing, but in the frequency we're using we're fairly limited as to distance (NLOS is a relaity only within 1 km of base station). ETSI says 1 watt max, we use 1 watt. If we could do 10 watts, I'd imagine we'd see something more interesting (it would be nice)..
You're using the 2.5 ghz frequency, right?
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Re:The electromagnetic spectrum has limits, people (Score:2)
I'd aggree if you said sufficient hysteria, but I don't think anyone has shown that it causes any real injury. There was a major Dutch (IIRC anyway) study released last month that found no such injury.
Re:The electromagnetic spectrum has limits, people (Score:3, Informative)
The article mentions the 2.5 GHz specturm. It isn't all that much different than the 2.4 we know and love today, except that the spectrum is licensed.
Yah, but with a license it's likely that devices and access points can transmit at higher powers. That can provide either higher bits/second, or longer distances. Also, does the WiMax standard provide for a larger spectrum allocation than the WiFi does? I don't know, but if it does that would certainly be a boost to available bandwidth.
There is already suff
Any way to re-org the spectrum? (Score:2)
Worse is the mobile devices which are either made deliberately hardware incompatible or take a long time to become available in multiband configurations. It would be nice to
Not only that, its not free. (Score:1, Informative)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/WiMAX#Deployment [wikipedia.org]
Look near the bottom for the companies who hold the license for each country.
The article goes on to say that there is nothing special about WiMax that allows it much
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> will likely remain (Line-of-Sight, etc.)
The major difference is that the output power levels at 2.4 GHz is significantly limited. The power is limited to 30 dBm (1W) for 2.4 GHz, but there is no such limitation at 2.5 GHz (since it's licensed spectrum), so a single base station can put out 1500 W (EiRP), like what you see with 3G mobile technologies.
Co
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The electromagnetic spectrum has limits, people
This is a huge myth, nothing more. Photons don't take up any space, so there is effectively no limit.
The current "limits" are mostly because we make extremely poor use of wireless transmissions. Devices have no good way of weeding out signals not for them, so the only option is to limit interference. As phased array antennas and other techniques become more common, we can make much better use of the spectrum. Low power, wide band, directional transmissions, with fine meshes will allow the network to sc
Tech blogs reveal WiMax profitable (Score:3, Insightful)
Yes Please (Score:5, Insightful)
God I hope so, we all know how pitiful the state of broadband is in the US...DSL is cramped(it's a twisted pair of two copper wires) and the cable companies are acting like the greedy pigs they are(expensive, anti-upstream, abusive).
The consumer is desperate for an alternative. Without competition we might as well be living in Communist Russia. Just look at AMD vs. Intel, or nVidia vs. ATI....that is how innovation happens.
This is something we've been waiting for for far too long. Broadband is probably the single-most important innovation of the last 10 years, and it's also one of the most stagnant(especially in the US). We desperately need a new competitor in this market.
In a word..... Maybe (Score:4, Interesting)
The reason why this *MAY* pan out for these companies is that even in major urban areas in Canada, you have problems getting xDSL because you're too far away from a CO and they haven't dropped a RDSLAM [dslreports.com] in your subdivision. However, the above services are available up to 5KM or so in any direction from a broadcast tower. I also suspect it's cheaper for telcos to deploy, plus they get the revenue from the modem rental.
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I'm using the "Rogers portable internet" service as we speak (write) and I have nothing but praise for it. Speed is acceptable for what I need, and the whole signup and install could not have been easier. Really. walked to the Rogers store, 2 plugs on the back of the thing, ipconfig /renew and there it was.
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We where a test bed for Nextel's wireless - it was nice and was about 80$ a month for the same services as i get with cable - but the closed the service.
already available in spain (Score:1)
Re:already available in spain (Score:4, Insightful)
throttling (Score:4, Interesting)
I want to know... (Score:1)
Actual WiMAX customer (Score:3, Insightful)
Why did I choose them? Cost really, I
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WiMAX in Toronto (Score:2, Interesting)
They market it as Internet Portable and it covers the entire city + some of the Greater Toronto Area. Basically, all you need is a power outlet to power the modem and there, you have internet access. I'm fortunate to live in a house pretty tall, so even though I'm in a valley, I can still get full reception.
T
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I use Bell WiMAX in Montreal. I think Bell and Rogers have a joint venture for this service in Canada actually. I subscribed for a 3 Mbit/s service and I have to say even though cable modem and DSL are supposed to be faster in theory, the WiMAX is the fastest home connection I've ever had. It could be that it is not very popular yet so they have lots of free bandwidth floating around, in addition to it being a dedicated frequency. Also, I have had no service outages for the 3 months I've had this connection
I am already using Clearwire... (Score:3, Interesting)
I can't wait (Score:2, Insightful)
I have been eagerly waiting for WiMAX to come out for some time now; I think that this technology would be revolutionary to even the typical Joe RAZR.
As one poster already mentioned, wireless internet can be costly (even though some cellular companies are driving this down; last time I checked, T-Mobile has the full package for $20 a month). WiMAX would make revolutionary inroads to mobile connectivity, as well as better mobile devices in the long run. I think that if this technology flourishes, we should
I'd be willing to pay a lot for this (Score:2)
This is, honestly, bullshit.. the telecom and cable companies don't want to offer real services that compete globally.. they want to nickel and dime us for every megabit.. i can't wait for ANY type of competition.
Investment Question (Score:2)
Is this Mother Approved? (Score:1)
Mobility is not free (Score:1)
First of all is "mobile", and telco's are used to make the user pay for this "extra" feature, and, it's unstable, latency is greater than cable and latency/jitter is the real user percerption of speed when surfing with a browser or using voip.
So, really,
I use Clearwire in Brussels. (Score:2, Interesting)
or
I walked into the local Clearwire store, paid the connecti
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Free For All (Score:1)
I work on this stuff... (Score:1)
Competition. (Score:1)
PreacherTom is an Astroturfer (Score:1)
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