

GM Claims Advanced Cruise Control By 2008 425
pavelvp writes "Economist is reporting that General Motors is working on the prototype of the self-driving car. From the article, "The car uses updated technology combined with several existing innovations and, according to the manufacturer, could be in production by 2008. But, while the technology takes some of the boring bits out of driving, it falls far short of an automatic taxi service and, anyway, various legal, technical and social barriers to its introduction remain.""
Good idea (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Good idea (Score:5, Interesting)
Although your numbers are probably a joke, the actual theory merits discussion. Still, it won't happen for quite a while. People enjoy driving far too much. Movies like I, Robot and others involving "manual overrides" are actually fairly close to the truth. You think all the owners who buy sports cars, whether it's a base-model ford mustang or a top-end ferrari, are going to be satisfied "turning over all control" of their car and just reading the newspaper or watching a movie on the way to work? The only way this highway works is if every single car participates, otherwise the stupid human will be bumping into the super-fast computer-driven cars all day. Good luck getting buy-in from 100% of drivers. Not during my lifetime.
Re:Good idea (Score:2)
Re:Good idea (Score:5, Interesting)
Nice thought experiment. In reality? Good luck getting your congressmen and senators to vote for this. First the auto-lobby will scream bloody-murder because it would require extra systems in every car, which raises their costs. They sure as heck aren't going to eat into their own profits, so that means the price increases are passed along to the consumers, who want to know why their honda accords now cost $35,000 for a feature they don't want anyhow.
This doesn't even take into consideration the ACLU who will claim this is a movement to make cars inaccessible to poor people, as well as the far right who doesn't want no stinkin' computer driving when they can do it perfectly well themselves.
In summary, you have a system that is popular with about 18% of the population. Yep, I bet that one races through the legislature.
Re:Good idea (Score:5, Insightful)
If it worked, the fact that it would work would be a compelling reason. Think about cities like Seattle, Houston, etc. where the freeways are very crowded and the costs of new freeways are too high to be practical.
The ACLU is not some all powerful "spoiler" out to hold back innovation.
Plus, if your argument would hold, then people wouldn't have catalytic converters, airbags, or seatbelts. These are all features which make cars cost a lot of money and most people don't want.
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Insightful)
airbags -- cheap, saves lives, downside is possible added injury due to deployment but overall benefit is worth it
seatbelts -- very cheap, saves lives.
automated traffic system -- vastly increases costs, reduces traffic congestion, reduces traffic fatalities only if the system is perfect and the mechanical parts never fail. What if you blow a tire? The car behind you might still plow into you, only now
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Insightful)
Also, you are making assumptions about the automated traffic system without actually having used one. People made the same kinds of arguments about airbags, seatbelts, etc.
My father was the first person to get to a car accident when seatbelts were pretty new. He could not get the driver out of the car which was on f
Re:Good idea (Score:2)
My dad tried to get the lady out, the car was on fire, the fire was spreading, he tried cutting the seatbelt, squeezing her out, unlatching it. Eventually the fire started burning his arms and he had to back away and listen to the woman scream while she burned to death.
Robot Lane (Score:2, Interesting)
Some lanes for the advanced cars, the rest for older cars and people who want to drive manually.
Everyone wins.
Re:Good idea (Score:2, Insightful)
Maybe it's high time to realize that pony cars and "sport" cars (whatever that means, the driver doesn't do any sport in them), as well as SUVs, with the manlyhood people think they get out of them, are a thing from a past where gasoline was cheap and inexhaustible.
My
Re:Good idea (Score:5, Insightful)
Today's teens also think aston martins, ferraris, and lotus elises are cool as well. Granted, hybrids have taken on a "hip" status, but they haven't replaced sports cars. Many teenagers still think that '69 Charger is pretty darn cool too.
If you haven't noticed, auto manufacturers are in the midst of a huge horsepower war that hasn't been seen in decades. 400 bhp is now becoming standard on upper-end luxury vehicles, with the 500hp threshold being crossed by vehicles still south of 100k. It also so happens that this is being done with engines that aren't just "bigger" as in the mid-20th century, but rather with exciting new efficient technology.
Cars have been status symbols since they were invented a hundred years ago, and that hasn't changed at all. High gas prices don't matter. I live in California and pay $2.99/gallon these days. If I was paying $2.00/gallon, I'd save $600 a year. Whoopee. My sports car gets 23 mpg, and a "fuel-efficient" non-hybrid gets 35 mpg. Is my car worth the price delta? You bet it is.
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Insightful)
In the end, even the teens that have heard of a Prius or other hybrid only know that they get good mileage which is pretty damn important at $7 an hour. I think in my school of 1900 students, probably 50 could tell you that a hybrid uses a batte
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Interesting)
The author was talking about the fact that a hybrid needs to be driven for something like 66,000 miles per year to realize a savings of fuel costs versus price of the car.
He also went in to the eventual disposal of the giant battery/batteries in these cars. Not a pretty picture.
And perhaps most interesting was this. While the Toyota Prious (sp) is a hot seller, t
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Insightful)
But you don't buy a hybrid because they're cheaper, you buy them for that warm, green, fuzzy feeling.
Re:Good idea (Score:2, Funny)
Somehow, I don't think anyone told the teenagers who are busy turning efficient Civics into inefficient turbo'd ricers with high volume exhaust systems.
Re:Good idea (Score:2)
Re:Good idea (Score:5, Interesting)
I believe very few people enjoy the act of day to day driving, sports cars are a minute proportion of road traffic. What I and many others enjoy is the comfort and convenience of using a private car to travel. Auto-drive cars can increase these benefits by the following:
- Removing requirement for continuous, dedicated, concious control. Instead, read slashdot or watch I Robot as you travel to work.
- Removing necessity for private vehicle ownership, instead rent use of a class of vehicle - no need to find parking, drive straight to your destination, get out and the car will route/drive itself to a holding area or pickup.
- Safer my faith in computer control is greater then my faith in millions of bored, distracted humans. Provided the system is built up over time, slowly, a few features integrated to a trusted (proven) platform at each revision, as cars today are develop.
- Faster, with many vehicles coordinating with one another, it should be possible to increase thoughput and aggregate speed. As you say these will be mitigated by human and other uncooperative (incompatible) drivers. But it shouldn't be all or nothing.
Auto-drive cars won't appear overnight - enabling features will accrue over years - Sat Nav, cruise control, rangefinding sensors, lane drift alarms, drive by wire, braking assistance, ubiquitous wireless communication etc.
Thats my optimistic view, anyway.
Regards
Alex
Re:Good idea (Score:2)
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Insightful)
It doesn't require every single car to participate. In trials, they are probably going to use special lanes. Second, the cars have light sensors, for detecting cars around them that don't play along with the system. My guess is that eventually, after 0 (zero) controlled-car accidents (outside of
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Insightful)
Once you have such a system, if the car is put in manual override mode, all of the vehicles within a certain distance go into an idiot avoidance mode. The lanes become wider and vehicles pass the relatively slow-moving manual vehicle more carefully.
Bear
Re:Good idea (Score:4, Insightful)
However, this would also require more rigorous maintenence to be done on each vehicle... tires suddenly become much more important when you're taking a tight turn in the rain.
Maintenence and inspection would have to be tied into the cost of the vehicle to prevent Billy Joe Bob's automated rustbucket from causing a pile-up at 200 MPH.
Re:Good idea (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Good idea (Score:2)
What I mean to say is, either you mandate overnight that all cars have freeway autopilots to enter the freeway, and mandate that cars forcibly wrestle controls from stubborn drivers when entering the freeway, or the system will never work at all.
Re:Good idea (Score:5, Interesting)
they can have a much higher density, along with less braking idiocy, or the "look at that crash" which stops traffic for miles. the govt can make that an incentive to have auto-cars.
Re:Good idea (Score:2)
I was personally thinking about the situation where you're using autopilot, but a "bad driver" tries to change into your lane. While the autopilot can maintain your lane/speed/distance/etc., can it also react to the incursion?
Re:Good idea (Score:2)
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Insightful)
Yep, but there is only one problem (Score:2)
Yeah. Problem is, manufacturers cannot guarantee that their software is bug-free. This is the reason that automated cars are legally banned in most of Europe and other parts of the world.
Software unreliability is a huge problem, one which is preventing us from achieving the full promise of the computer age. The more complex our systems the more unreliable they are. The reason is that there is something fundamental
Bug-free humans? (Score:3, Interesting)
Maybe, but the thing I'm really interested in is not can the software be bug-free, but can it be more reliable than humans?
The article says:
The funny thing is that I feel a lot less safe because other people, people I have no control over, are in control of their vehicle. The sad fact is that so many people are so mind-numbingly stupid behind the wheel of a car that I would much rat
Re:Good idea (Score:2)
Re:Good idea (Score:3, Insightful)
Fortunately, that paper is part of the portion that are wrong.
I wonder... (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:I wonder... (Score:2)
I doubt those movies would be as exciting, fast-paced, and high-grossing if the machines were given too much control over human lives, both sides were happy about it, and everyone lived happily ever after in a beautiful paradise of boringness.
but that's just a thought as to why we see movies like that.
Re:I wonder... (Score:2)
I think in the end, I'd rather have a human making the final decision and able to over-ride the computer.
Doesn't work well in motorhomes (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Doesn't work well in motorhomes (Score:2)
Re:Doesn't work well in motorhomes (Score:2)
Re:Doesn't work well in motorhomes (Score:2)
Re:Doesn't work well in motorhomes (Score:2)
While it may be an urban legend... (Score:3, Interesting)
Good job catching up GM (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Good job catching up GM (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Good job catching up GM (Score:2)
Re:Good job catching up GM (Score:2)
Re:Good job catching up GM (Score:2, Informative)
Why don't you RTFA before posting. The cruise control designed by GM can actually steer.
Nah, it would be too much to ask.
Actually (Score:4, Informative)
Re:Actually (Score:3, Interesting)
"Chrysler is OWNED BY Mercedes."
You are, of course, correct. GM and Daimler-Chrysler are fierce competitors; perhaps even more so now that Chrysler/Dodge designers have access to the Mercedes parts bin. Today you can find Distronic in Mercedes-branded cars; perhaps in a few years it will be in Chrysler-branded minivans. All that GM can do for the time being is take diversionary tactics by talking about what they'll have several years down the road.
No use. (Score:5, Funny)
Re:No use. (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:No use. (Score:2)
Thanks.
Re:No use. (Score:3, Interesting)
USA - 2-5k, although it can be a bit less.
Depends how good you are at it, the cost of the aircraft rental, instructor rental, etc.
You need 40 hours of flight time (30 with instructor, 10 solo IIRC) in order to get the license, although you might want to take more.
Plan on spending at least $20 an hour for the instructor and $35 for the aircraft. At least.
Canada, 7-15k-ish. I think $40/$35 an hour and up and 40 hours are required.
None of the above includes ground school - you usually have to
Re:No use. (Score:3, Insightful)
there are about 5 times per flight where I have no clue where I am
If this is true, you really need to pay more attention to your charts and dead reckoning, not to mention your VORs or even your directional beacon. You should always know where you are, and should always confirm your location with multiple means.
This was particularly important where I learned to fly, just outside of Washington. If you don't know where you are for even five or ten minutes, you may accidentally fly into the controlled a
Re:No use. (Score:3, Interesting)
You're right that it's not as easy as it looks (not by any stretch), but the FAA charts are incredibly useful. Yes, when looking at highways and rivers it can be tricky to figure out just where you are relative to the highway or river, but the charts have bridges and large structures on them, as well as power lines, towers, and anything else that is identifiable from the air. I'm a guy who loves maps, and FAA sectionals are some of my favorites.
Flying by dead reckoning is not easy, but it is the fundamen
Re:No use. (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:No use. (Score:2)
So, at least half your dream is true already, but you'll have get a girlfriend...
Re:No use. (Score:2)
Priorities (Score:2, Troll)
Also, the price target of $1,830 seems a little optimistic. That's close to the cost of a nav system, but will require more components.
(* Alternate answer: deploy the tire spikes
Re:Priorities (Score:2)
What is it they say about Fool Proof? (Score:3, Insightful)
Make something Fool Proof and a better class of fool will come along and proove you wrong.
Still, we can dream of jumping into the car for a relaxing nap on a 12 hour drive, eh?
but.. (Score:4, Funny)
Will this car also drive itself to Alaska, drill for oil, refine the crude into gasoline, and then fill up?
Otherwise, I'm holding out for a Mr. Fusion.
More Important Matters? (Score:2, Insightful)
Heck, they should be worrying about trying to sell their vehicles! Cause Honda and Toyota aren't going away any time soon!
Re:More Important Matters? (Score:2)
I bought a mercedes instead.
In Soviet Russia... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:In Soviet Russia... (Score:2)
Ultimate destination? (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Ultimate destination? (Score:2)
Already lost. (Score:2)
IMHO the joy of driving took a big dive 'WAY back in the Nixon era, when the 55 MPH speed limit was imposed.
The relaxation to 65 and 70 in limited locations is a far cry from the "no limit - basic law" (i.e. pick a speed you consider safe) regime that preceeded it.
Re:Already lost. (Score:2)
Re:Ultimate destination? (Score:2)
So, even the people that immensely enjoy driving may want this feature. Also, what is the great joy driving on an interstate bumper-to-bumper?
S
Re:Ultimate destination? (Score:3, Insightful)
Just like the joy of horseback riding has been lost? There will always be venues. And if you've ever been out to remote locations, you'd know that while these systems would work great in cities, it's usually completely unfeasible in a rural context.
What you'll see is automation replacing where people would normally be stuck in bumper to bumper traffic. Less used outskirt roads would rely on manual driving.
No amount of 'joy o
Re:Ultimate destination? (Score:4, Interesting)
First, I think that the trade-off will be more than worth it. Consider these things: Cars won't need adults to drive them; you can let your kids take the car to their soccer practice while you stay home and do something more productive. Furthermore, the cars won't need *anyone* to drive them. Send your car to your kid's school to pick them up or drop them off. Send your car to the appliance-mart a half-hour away to have it loaded with the washing machine you just bought online. Go to the mall and hop out at the front door and have your car go park itself. It doesn't matter how far away it parks because it's going to come pick you up at the door anyway.
The second point is this: The type of driving that they're looking to automate and the type of driving that most people enjoy aren't the same thing. I don't enjoy driving 7 hours to my mom's mountain cabin. I *do* enjoy taking my truck out onto the beach and cruising along the surf... or driving along a curvy road in the hills. It's a lot like flying. As I pilot, when I need to cover some *distance*, I want a plane that goes fast, has autopilot, good navigation instruments, etc. However, when I want to just tool around over the dunes, I want a piddly little two-seater that goes slower than the cars on the road under me. So, in other words, the *joy* in driving doesn't come (for me, anyway) from the kind of driving that they're looking to automate.
A hundred years... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:A hundred years... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:A hundred years... (Score:2)
That must have been some party!
how about... (Score:4, Insightful)
BMW already has this in their cars. (Score:3, Funny)
The 'Fun' Factor (Score:4, Interesting)
Also, gone will be the 'sporty' designs in cars, especially the dash. There are already designs for cars with 'couplings', so they work like train carriages in built-up areas. Your car will resemble a small train compartment more than a Ferrari.
On the other hand, at least it will rid the world of this lot [barryboys.co.uk].Well here's your problem right here (Score:5, Interesting)
For example, self-steering cars are currently illegal in most European countries. Carmakers want the law changed to allow them, but they are also keen not to be held legally responsible for any accidents which result. Drafting legislation which would make it attractive for carmakers to introduce the technology, but still allow some recourse for those hurt if something goes wrong, could prove tricky.
I see, they want to build self-steering cars but take no responsibility for what they have built going wrong.
I think alerting systems are a great idea - if you think I'm shifting lanes or following too close or not noticing a braking driver in front of me, by all means help me out.
But don't take away control based on incomplete sensor input. The distance that it is safe to follow another car depends on conditions. What if you reach a sharp bend and that other car can corner a lot better than you? What if you stop paying attention to the road ahead because the car is following another, and that other car fails to notice traffic stopping too quickly ahead? That car hitting anything else probably means you're going to hit it.
The consider the whole business of automatically following lanes as the GM car does. Has no-one out there seen roads after construction is through that have remains of old lines? What happens when a car starts AUTOMATICALLY correcting your steering to follow the old lines instead of the new?
To give auto makers a free Get-Out-Of-Jail card because they have the hubris to think they can build something that really drives better than a human is madness. Let them try but they must pay for failure so they are properly diligent as to issues that may arise.
Er.. that's nifty, but... (Score:4, Insightful)
I honestly can't say I'd trust a vehicle to do my driving for me.
Overall (Score:5, Insightful)
Problem: It will crash when presented with some situations. You can watch for those situations, but since you don't normally
The few problems will be directly blamed on the car makers. They will not be able to keep this cruise control on the market.
I've often wished that my car would automatically stay between the lines. The roads are already tilted so that you can drive (with good alignment) quite a ways without touching the wheel. But if I had that option, it's only a matter of time before I fell asleep on a long freeway, and then the computer makes a mistake, and I crash.
The technology is not new. I saw a video on it quite a while ago. But you can't introduce it because some people will die as a viscerally direct result, even if it saves other lives in the process.
They mentioned that it would probably first be introduced as a "you're going off the road" warning system, and verrrry slowly work its way in from there. That's the only feasible option I see.
I really don't feel alarmist about this at all. They're gonna need to be very, very careful in introducing this, because when cars crash -- as they inevitably will at least once -- due to unexpected circumstances that arise quickly -- they will look very bad.
Now I can use my cellphone when driving... (Score:2)
PDA & Smartphone Optimized Sites [mobileoptimized.com]
Replacing my laptop with a Treo [mobileoptimized.com]
Not "Self Driving" but "Adaptive Cruise Plus" (Score:2, Informative)
This could be good news for people who can't drive (Score:2)
No officer i was not driving. (Score:3, Funny)
Should it have a "Drive it like you stole it" option for the car thiefs.
Automatic driving is coming, but not this way (Score:4, Informative)
Experience with ABS systems is instructive. ABS systems definitely improve braking, but don't reduce accidents. Drivers with ABS use their shorter stopping distance to follow more closely, cancelling out the safety benefits.
I run one of the DARPA Grand Challenge teams [overbot.com], which requires somewhat better technology. The current Grand Challenge technology is clunky (everybody has huge, mechanically scanned LIDAR devices or weak vision systems), but true solid state eye-safe outdoor 3D LIDAR imaging devices are just becoming available. With that technology, doing this right is within reach.
Electric powered? (Score:2, Insightful)
Sorry, I forgot. That's the period of maximum profit for the oil industry, isn't it? Silly me. Oh well, roll on with more of those CO2-induced hurricanes...
Vik
My definition of safety and yours must vary (Score:2, Insightful)
Whoa, Nelly.
What? I feel far safer on public transport because it's a great big bloody hunk of metal that would scarcely show a dent if that latte-chugging SUV-not-needing chain-smoking lunatic who is weaving in and out of lanes looks away for those critical thirty seconds to finish off the Filet O Fish in their lap...
The only reason I would be
legal vultures (Score:3, Insightful)
More than just cars (Score:3, Interesting)
Some of us (Score:3, Insightful)
Why waste your time controlling a vehicle in traffic or on wide open highway when you can be doing so many things that are better for you and more enjoyable.
Re:Fuel Efficiency? (Score:2)
Re:Fuel Efficiency? (Score:2)
MOD PARENT UP (Score:2)
Re:Self-Driving = High Price (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Self-Driving = High Price (Score:2)
In as much as a human has to input the destination that's true. Otherwise a modern plane is capable of taking off, flying to another airport and landing without the pilot touching the controls.
Re:In southern california cruise control is worthl (Score:3, Funny)
Someone with mod points, break this person's karma.
Mod Parent Up, Mod Grandparent Down (Score:2)
Re:The Wheels Must Roll (Score:2, Informative)
Re:The Wheels Must Roll (Score:2)
And of the falacy of assuming that being necessary to the smooth operation of some piece of critcal infrastructure makes you special and gives you overriding political power: (In a large, complicated infrastructure virtually EVERYBODY is in a position to screw SOMETHING up.)
Interestingly the scenario Heinlein postulated was playe
Re:The Wheels Must Roll (Score:3, Informative)