MGM Purchase Gives Sony An Edge In Disc Format War 254
Grump writes "The New York Times reports: 'The purchase of Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer by a group led by Sony will not only give the company an enormous film library but also considerable power in its fight to set the format for the next generation of digital video discs.' The article goes on to suggest that Sony is gearing up for another Betamax-style failure."
Bad news (Score:5, Insightful)
If they decide to prevent a movie from reaching the theaters, it begins easier and easier...
Would "Clerks" still make a success in 2004 ?
In 10 years, will Fahrenheit 911 sequels ever reach the public ?
Re:Bad news (Score:5, Insightful)
Remeber that old movie, Exit to Eden [imdb.com]? It was banned for a while here in Saskatchewan. It just made the movie more popular. It never hit the theatres, but when the ban was lifted and it came to video stores, it was impossible to keep it in stock, and it wasn't a great movie.
Re:Bad news (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Bad news (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Bad news (Score:2)
Also, the broadcast bit is another good example. Even though they don't want to give up control, they are setting things up in such a way that they can distribute things w/o physical media and _keep_ control.
Re:Bad news (Score:5, Insightful)
I wouldn't. Considering that broadband use just passed dialup use in the U.S., and IIRC the majority of homes don't have internet access at all (while virtually all have a TV/VCR), I'd be very surprised if physical media isn't still the dominant method of delivery. OTOH the people with the most disposable income to buy movies are most likely to have a broadband connection.
Re:Bad news (Score:3, Insightful)
suddenly? (Score:4, Informative)
Re:Bad news (Score:2)
Of course, multinational companies even love to release sequels to less than successful movies (Superbabies: Baby Geniuses 2). I can see the fucking dollar signs in their eyes for ones that actually made money because people wanted to go see the original!
Re: (Score:3, Funny)
Re:Bad news (Score:2)
Would "Clerks" still make a success in 2004 ?
In 10 years, will Fahrenheit 911 sequels ever reach the public ?
The internet may end up becoming a stanard for media in the same way it has affected music. Rather than relying on a standard disc format, media may end up being distributed through the net and stored on hard drives. Films like those you have suggested may end up using that form of distribution, and would be even more accessible than through current methods.
Re:Bad news (Score:2)
Re:Bad news (Score:2)
Re:Bad news (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Bad news (Score:2)
Re:Bad news (Score:5, Informative)
These happen regardless of the president in the office at the time.
more and more (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:more and more (Score:5, Insightful)
Format wars are a result of incremental progress. DVDs were so long overdue (i.e. soo much better than VHS) that the battles all occured pre-consumer (and there were many battles, just not much in the way of products produced before these things were resolved). CD audio saw a similar success (DAT doesn't count, its a pro format, which, incidentaly, Betamax has become (or stayed, really))
Then there was DVD-A vs. SACD...why the format war? Because the industry wasn't dying for an upgrade. Sometimes it makes sense for everyone to just shut up and agree on something rather than trying to get the best possible result. In the case of the next digital video format, there isn't much of a percieved need to improvment. People are buying DVDs in droves. All a studio needs to do to generate some extra cash is release a 30 year old TV show on $50 / season box sets. Early adopters are used to format wars, it comes with the teritory.
You also mention that we could end up with two standards both of which are supported by all players (a.la DVD(+|-)R[W] ). If that is the final result, who cares? If one studio releases everything on a 16 layered red-laser disc and another releases their stuff on a 2 layered blue-laser disc, but the player you got in your box of Cherios can play both happily, who really gives a crap?
I care (Score:2)
I would care. This marvelous (say, fictional?) DVD player would be very expensive, due to all the licensing "taxes" that would be included in the final retail price. Regular folks would be locked out of their own video library, unless they buy high-end equipment. Smells like extorsion.
How are regular folks going to be locked out? (Score:2)
Re:more and more (Score:3, Interesting)
Hahaha I'm hoping for Blu-Ray for one reason;
currently blue laser diodes are impossible to find. The one manufacturer that makes them has been holding all of their production capacity for guys like Sony.
They're apparently very difficult to manufacture. I don't think they're going to
Re:more and more (Score:3, Informative)
I don't care about LEDs. I care about laser diodes. Blues currently can't be bought at any price.
In fact, there are only two "cost-effective" ways to make a blue laser:
1. Argon laser. This is pretty inefficient (none of the blue lines of argon are high gain) and costly to manufacture, due to the exotic gases, vacuum equipmen
Re:more and more (Score:3, Informative)
DAT was not originally intended as a pro-audio-only format. It was supposed to replace cassette tapes. However, the recording industry forced the implementation of a serial copy prevention system on the manufacturers, which effectively killed it for home use.
A related issue was that originally DAT only supported 48KHz mode, which was done intentionally to prevent direct 44.1KHz
Re:more and more (Score:2)
no, don't do that... (Score:3, Funny)
CB$#@#$@
Sony vs Microsoft (Score:5, Interesting)
Hopefully, the consumers.
Re:Sony vs Microsoft (Score:2)
Add to this the fact that Sony has announced it will make drives which will read both types of HD DVD... (from the register [theregister.co.uk])
Re: (Score:2)
hey, Blu-ray is Sony's format!!! (Score:3, Informative)
And to clarify further, in either case scenario, MS will win because both Next-gen DVD formats will most likely use MS codec.
At this point, I think HD DVD (by NEC/Toshiba) is a history. And I wouldn't be surprised even if Sony has a second th
Re:Sony vs Microsoft (Score:2)
Re:content generally wins (Score:2)
Because if it's the second, you're not comparing apples to apples. The GBA owns because it's portable and its library caters towards "pick-up" games that can be enjoyed in short bursts. Certainly there are deeper strategy games and RPGs too.
Don't forget, Sony's owned the home console market for two generations. They might not be the best tech, but their content and exclusives seem to be
Re:content generally wins (Score:2)
Never mind that, what about The Hobbit? (Score:5, Informative)
Geeks everywhere want to know!
Your questions answered... (Score:2)
Probably nothing
Will they negotiate with TW to work something out that should be quite a lucrative venture?
Highly unlikely
Or will they dig in their heels?
Even more unlikely
Geeks everywhere want to know!
This may be the only definitely "YES" to your questions
Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Says Who? (Score:3, Insightful)
Sounds like someone talking about records when CDs were new... This is the march of progress and it's also the reason to never buy first generation anything. Let the rich techno-illiterates buy it up to pay for the R&D and once the bugs are worked out you get a better technology at a fair price.
Re:Says Who? (Score:5, Interesting)
This is also the reason I favour the Blu-Ray format; it has 25 GB where HD-DVD offers 15 (I think both numbers are per layer, could be wrong).
Going from 4.5 to 15 per layer does not seem worth the effort, from 4.5 to 25 just might be. Also, I think the HD-DVD camp is making the very common mistake of overestimating *practical* video compression technology. Theoretically 15 GB might just be enough for 3 hours HD movie at 1920x1080i. However, the current DVD market shows most studios can't tell their arse from a good mpeg encoder.
Video compression is a bit like compiler technology; when Intel launches a new pentium it's like "well it won't work faster than the old one right away, but with a smart compiler it'll really fly"... however, that new compiler never materializes, or simply isn't used by your software vendor. So your shiny new processer won't fly after all.
Therefore, in CPUs and DVD storage capacity alike, over-engineer where you can! Vote blu-ray.
Re:Says Who? (Score:2)
We have several years to develope a new format and by the time HD does become mainstream we will most likely have a new format anyway.
Me, I'm not going to worry for a long time to come. I'm certainly not going to be one of the poo
Re:Says Who? (Score:2)
That's fine for you, but I'm going to worry. Do you realize how many more trailers and boring interviews and other "extras" will fit on the new disks? Think FBI warnings 2 hours long, followed by another hour of MPAA "Don't Click" ads before they allow you to watch the movie!
Seriously, I do remember when some studio execs were interviewed and expressed their dismay that consumers expected DVD's to be chock-full of extras you don't get anywhere else -cost
Re:Says Who? (Score:2)
uh-oh, I'm not so sure about the compression encoding, but 3 hours for a disc isn;t going to be enough - where will they fit the optional endings, the deleted scenes, the director's commentary, the PC game, the actor's biographies, the
We'll see what we get in the end, not a lot we can do about it right now.
Dear Poor Eyesight (Score:4, Informative)
I would estimate DVD quality to be about 3x VHS (about 2x more pixels, and a much better color space).
HDTV has 6x as many pixels as DVD, at 2 Mega pixels.
From my experience with a 10-foot wide projection system (NEC LX135 QXGA) I have at home, anything below DVD is almost unwatchable. DVD looks glorious until you pump a true HDTV signal into the system and then what you have is in many ways better than going to the theater (at least the crappy cineplexes in this town).
Now you might carp who the hell has 10' wide projection systems to really enjoy this kind of experience. The percentage is small today, but I predict that DLP will cause hi-res projection prices to plummet in the next 2-3 years. Mostly because DLP will experience the same kind of Moore's law improvement as any other type of chip type process, while other methods rely more on bulk size improvements.
In fact while it has been long to make it out of the Labs, Hi-Res displays will probably be common and affordable in Ultra-HD resolutions in 5 to 10 years time. (over 8 mega pixels) in large sizes.
I suspect U-HD will be overkill for home, and in most ways exceeds 35mm film quality when you factor in film speed (grainer for faster) and editing and reprocessing (loosing quality at each step). Sure, theoretically 35mm film has 16 Meg pixel, but in practice it is more like 3-6 (not much more than HD). And that's only if you can find a theater that knows how to keep a critical focus, and whose machines don't jitter uncontrollably because they are trying to squeeze the last penny out the damn things before going digital, which they desperately want to avoid as long a possible because first generation equipment is expensive and will suck compared to equipment available in 2-3 years time.
Even without 10' screens, in 2 or 3 years, WUXGA screens (1920-1200) will be common and affordable in laptops with Blu-Ray and/or HD-DVD built in. The near photographic look will motivate people to upgrade their home viewing experience. One of the biggest reasons for HDTV slow acceptance has been the failure of early systems to actually display the full quality that the standard supports (most systems today advertised as HDTV still don't). That and of course the lack of actual HDTV content to be viewed.
I suspect I will be one of the ones to say HD is good enough once we really get there. My father has trouble seeing the detail of DVD. So many people don't have the visually acuity to really appreciate the difference. Beyond HD I suspect the majority of people won't really be able to see much of a difference. I'm speaking of REAL HD. 1080p at 60 frames a second is really sweet, but over the air stops just short of this with p at only 24 and 30 fps. My prediction is that eventually 1080p at 60fps will become a standard, one that holds for a couple of decades or more, but we could get stuck at 1080i or 720p, which is a shame because the difference is quite noticeable up to this. Digital photography might still motivate people to buy U-HD projection systems for displaying stills.
As for me -- GIVE ME BLU-RAY AS SOON AS POSSIBLE!!!
(while the CRTs hold out on my current system)
Once bitten, twice shy (Score:5, Funny)
I wrote you a haiku to make you feel better
lets buy MGM
why not it'll be fun, come on
hail our new disc format
ok it isn't that good but whatever.
I can imagine a new Blu-ray player with memory stick input and built in ps3!
In fact, will PS3 use the new disc format? or PS4?
I say good luck to em. As long as I can write my XVid movies to 'em
*come on that is the real need here!*
Re:Once bitten, twice shy (Score:2)
Re:Once bitten, twice shy (Score:3, Informative)
Also their Minidisc, and their SACD...
Sony PlayStation Portable (Score:5, Insightful)
I guess this merger also means we'll see more films than just Columbia Tristar Home Video's limited selection on the UMD format used in Sony's PlayStation Portable handheld system.
Re:Sony PlayStation Portable (Score:2)
Well... (Score:4, Insightful)
Betamax, minidisk, memory stick, atrac3. Arguably SACD as well.
Re:Well... (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Well... (Score:2)
Betamax, minidisk, memory stick, atrac3. Arguably SACD as well.
Yeah. We all know how much of a terrible failure Sony's Compact Disc (CD) format was.
Re:Well... (Score:3, Informative)
Nothing Compelling (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Nothing Compelling (Score:2)
Instead of 6 discs per season for tv-shows you'd only need 1. Heck you could press whole series on 1 disc.
I recently thought that it would be cool if there were dvds of all of the Olympics. Not because I want to watch 1500h+ but because I'm interested in a few sports and they always get neutered on TV. Digital TV improves that somewhat but it would be cool to have a 4 disc set with all footage of the games (250mb/hr seems realistic be
Re:Nothing Compelling (Score:3, Funny)
Oh come on... Then I wouldn't get to have a fold out DVD cover with David Hasselhoff showing his chest hair and 80's fro on my Knight Rider DVD season 1 DVD set.
Re:Nothing Compelling (Score:2)
Other than the fact that it looks like poo when compared to HD...
Sure, I doubt I'll be buying 'slave girls from beyond infinity' again on HD, but I'd upgrade my favorite movies to HD tomorrow if I could.
Re:Nothing Compelling (Score:2)
I have four HD displays in my house. I'm in the process of building my own movie theater with a 160" screen. It's absurd to me that the only way for me to get high-definition movies is to watch them on cable. I would re-buy most of my movies in high-def tomorrow if I could.
Re:Nothing Compelling (Score:2)
Re:Nothing Compelling (Score:2)
Ahhhh! A youngter!
Despite regular purchases, my CD collection is barely bigger than my LP collection, and my DVD collection has a long way to go to catch up to the size of my VHS collection.
I have to say though that I don't feel near the compulsion to get all of my favorite VHS tapes on DVD as I did to get my LP's on CD. I don't think I'd feel any compulsion to get my current DVD's again in HD.
Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Of course none of this will matter unless... (Score:2, Informative)
Re: (Score:2, Informative)
far from a failure (Score:4, Interesting)
Betamax was far from a failure. it was better than VHS, a overall better design from the beginning and is still pretty much near the standard today in broadcast (betacam is very much like betamax.)
They failed because of two tiny points.
Tape size - not fricking long enough.. they fixed that with a larger format but by that time the damage was done.
Adoption - VHS was far cheaper to license, so the porn industry latched onto it and ran, thus solidifying the VHS format as the defacto standard.
Re:far from a failure (Score:3, Interesting)
1) Content
2) Price
3) Quality
You've got to be superior beyond belief for (3) to trump (2) or (1). Say, black and white analog vs Hi Def for a 20% premium. HDTV has (3) in spades, but is missing (1) and (2). The adoption is just barely getting off the ground now, as (2) and (1) begin to come into line with NTSC. I believe that, if
The succeeding standard will be... (Score:5, Insightful)
If only Sony didn't have such a bad track record (Score:4, Insightful)
Mini Disc
Memory Stick
Blu-ray?
What bad track record? (Score:5, Informative)
PlayStation. PlayStation 2. Compact Disc itself, co-developed with Philips.
True, Betamax the format is dead, but Betacam the format and Betamax the copyright precedent live on for now.
Re:What bad track record? (Score:2)
Also, while Betamax lives on as BetcamSP and D-Beta, you should remember that they (Beta brand products) were around and accepted _before_ betamax existed. In other words betamax was supposed to be a consumer adaptation of the pro line of beta formats, and it failed.
Re:More proprietary? (Score:2)
If this is the case, Sony would be trying to create a hardware lock in using its formats. I.e., I buy a Sony digital camera (maybe because its the best digital camera, maybe because I like memory sticks). Then I'm going to buy TVs...oh look, Sony i
Re:Define "proprietary" (Score:2)
Who cares (Score:5, Insightful)
And isn't DVD already in 480p?
Re:Who cares (Score:2)
It's Sony, DUH. (Score:2, Insightful)
The ones I know about:
- betamax
- mini-disc (though it eventually opened up to other manufacturers after it was old technology)
- Playstation/Playstation 2 (ya, most video game systems aren't compatible with other manufacturers.. but this is still an example)
- Memory-stick (wtf.. we h
Re:It's Sony, DUH. (Score:2)
There is no "set standard" in the console industry, so that's not really a good example. PSX won the console war in the mid/late 90s and PS2 isn't doing half-bad, so either way the format was a success.
Not betamax (Score:3, Interesting)
Sony MGM park? (Score:3, Interesting)
I assume they are going to keep the MGM branding, but has anyone heard anything else about this?
the problem with sony.. (Score:4, Interesting)
Sony would like to set themselves up to be the microsoft of the entertainment world. They consistantly ignore market demands and instead produce devices they want people to have instead of devices that people want to have.
Honestly, how many people would want a portable music player that plays some format other than mp3? and takes a higher priced, sony only memory card?
Next Generation of DRM (Score:4, Insightful)
Remember this is sony we are talking about..
Really Betamax? (Score:3, Funny)
Sony spent the last 20 years creating redundant formats that nobody wants.
Re:Really Betamax? (Score:2)
I had one for the first three years of college, and loved it: I could toss MDs in my bag without worrying about scratching, and it was a quarter of the size of a CD player. That said, I now worship my ipod as a deity.
Re:Really Betamax? (Score:2, Interesting)
>Does it have to be a Betamax-style failure? What
>about a Minidisk-style failure? Or a
>Memory-Stick-style failure? Or an Attrac3-style
>failure?
Those are all really successful formats.
Minidisc is alive and well, as is Sony DAT with ATRAC. Memory stick is doing no worse than any other single memory format. Beta was *THE* pro vidio standard for more than a decade.
You seem to be measuring failure by what is popular in the consumer world, but you conveniently ignore the pro world when you do tha
The Format of the Future (Score:4, Insightful)
The file. We should be moving to a future where all our music and films live on media with a filesystem.
So many DVD players today read CD/DVD-ROMs with MP3 files and there are even some now that can read DivX files.
Of course it won't happen because the big companies want us to keep buying our films and music again and again in new formats. But a file created today can be with us forever. I actually think that's the main reason behind DRM. Not to prevent illegal copying but to wring revenue far into the future by licencing the decoder to hardware manufacturers.
Re:The Format of the Future (Score:2)
BTW, standard-issue video DVD's use a variant of an ISO-9660 file format to store the VOB files that make up a DVD. I'd provide linkage, but you can google as easily as I can.
Sony will win the format war (Score:5, Insightful)
Assuming the ps3 follows the popularity of the ps1 and the ps2, a high percentage of households will already have a blue-ray player. (over 50 million ps2s have been sold)
Frankly, I dont see much advantage of these disks over DVDs, and Ive _got_ an hdtv.
Re:Sony will win the format war (Score:2)
I just said I dont see much "advantage." DVDs are 'good enough' for me. I wont switch over to HD unless its just as cheap as DVD. I doubt it will be.
Betamax wasn't a failure (Score:2)
It might not have captured the home market but every edit suite and camera in every tv station everywhere almost certainly had the "Sony Betamax" and later "Sony Betamax SP" logo on it.
Nowadays it is being displaced by digital formats but for at least 15 years it was the leader in it's market.
I'm sure they would be very pleased to undergo such another failure.
Re:Betamax wasn't a failure (Score:2)
Don't forget video-on-demand (Score:3, Informative)
From an article here [itweb.co.za].
I don't know about you, but i hardly ever go to the movie store anymore (unless i want to own a DVD). I rent most of my titles from Time Warner's video-on-demand. This agreement opens up that whole distribution channel (no pun intended) for all of those classic MGM titles.
Speaking as a LA local and film geek... (Score:3, Interesting)
The fact that this means more consolidation of media in the hands of fewer and fewer companies, however, is very, very distressing. http://www.pbs.org/now/politics/mediaconsol.html [pbs.org]
Sony and MGM films. (Score:2, Insightful)
The major issue I had with a lot of this is "marketing". They are generally the problem. Marketing is entirely the reason behind the VHS vs Beta war, and to this day, are behind much of the current day issues of products. Quality of an item or service anymore means absolutely nothing. It's all in how you market, and how hard you do it. You can be selling crap-on-a-stick, and people will buy the heck out of it all day long if you market it in the right way.
The current bit with Sony buying all this
So which one is Star Wars coming out on? (Score:2)
I think Blu-Ray will win out though, because of the storage advantage.
Re:should that be... (Score:5, Informative)
From wikipedia [wikipedia.org]
"DVD" was originally an acronym for "digital versatile disc"; some members of the DVD Forum believe that it should stand for "digital video disc", due to the fact that most members of the public believe that DVD does stand for that. Toshiba, which maintains the official DVD Forum site, adheres to the interpretation of "digital versatile disc." The DVD Forum never reached a consensus on the matter, however, and so today the official name of the format is simply "DVD"; the letters do not 'officially' stand for anything.
So now we know...
Re:should that be... (Score:3, Insightful)
It officially stands for DVD. It really does stand for digital versatile disc. I'm sure the members of the DVD Forum that wanted Video were those only concerned with Video. Therefore, their opinions do not matter.
From wikipedia
Wikipedia is not authoritative.
"WIKIPEDIA MAKES NO GUARANTEE OF VALIDITY."
"Therefore, please be advised that nothing found here has necessarily been reviewed by professionals who are knowledgeable in the particular areas of expertise necessary to
Re:should that be... (Score:3, Funny)
If it was "Versital" from the start, they should have gone with the gramatically more sensible "Versital Digial Disc"...VDD. Not to be confused with the compeating "Venerial Disea
Re:should that be... (Score:3, Informative)
Re:should that be... (Score:3, Informative)
Re:should that be... (Score:2, Informative)
Both are irrelevant. The winner is: "digital versatile disk". The Google [googlefight.com] Hath Spoken.
Re:should that be... (Score:2)
http://www.googlefight.com/cgi-bin/compare.pl?q1=% 22digital+versatile+disc%22&q2=%22digital+video+di sc%22&B1=Make+a+fight!&compare=1&langue=us [googlefight.com]
Re:Good News Bad News (Score:2, Interesting)
No one ever believed it was possible untill the Apple superdrive, so maybe they don't think they can make a combined player untill some other high priced company puts one in for "simplicity."
Or maybe this is just me hoping that the nice new Progressive scan DVD player
Re:So: Blu vs HD vs DVD? (Score:2)
Re:So: Blu vs HD vs DVD? (Score:2)
Re:So: Blu vs HD vs DVD? (Score:3, Interesting)
IF Sony can get blu-ray out the door in a cost-competitive way, there will be no real fight like there was with Betamax/VHS. Sony just needs to get over themselves, and with so many parteners, they pretty much have to. There will be a marginal ($1) difference in production price at production volumes for the new laser wavelength. They're the same size disc, use the same