Time Warp Computer Pricing Revealed 350
Agg writes "OCAU has posted an article which shows just how much computer pricing has changed over the last 20 years or so. During a 24-hour period I asked OCAU readers to scan and send me an ad page from the oldest Australian computer magazine they could find. This snapshot of historical pricing is fascinating and, quite frankly, a little scary. How does $5999 for an 8.6MB hard drive strike you? For reference, 1 Australian Dollar is worth 70 to 80 US cents."
newsflash (Score:5, Funny)
Re:newsflash (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:newsflash (Score:2)
Is this what Software freedom is all about? $0 ?
Re:newsflash (Score:3, Interesting)
My Slackware hat is starting to look kind of ratty, I guess I should get one for myself too.
If I ever bump into Linus in real life, I'm going to take him out drinking.
Re:newsflash (Score:5, Insightful)
A C compiler, relational databse, and OS are such mature technology, I don't see paying much more for them than I would a screwdriver, 2x4, or plastic bag.
New stuff -- facial-expression-recognition-input-devices, 3D heads up displays, a computer that understands my mood -- that's what I'd be happy to pay for (open source or not).
Re:newsflash (Score:2)
And agreed, I'd buy Linus a drink - but more because I'd be interested to hear his thoughts than for creating a nice alternative to BSD.
I admit that the Linux kernel hackers are making significant advances beyond what OS's used to be. But these technologies - like all technologies - really are maturing and becoming more and more commodity-like as time moves forwa
Re:newsflash (Score:3, Insightful)
I think stories about our kids would be far more interesting then talking to him about something he's already told 100000 people.
Australian Dollar? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:3, Informative)
I made some payments for the bike I'm riding round the world a couple years ago when the OZ dollar was worth 52 cents American. Now it's up to 78 cents and I'm screwed. I still owe money on the bike. It would've been cheaper for me to pay the credit card interest (it's been bouncing between 0% and 3.9%).
I tried to pay but I think the guy who's building the bike thought he was doing me a favor by not getting more money. Argh
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:5, Informative)
Once the interest rates elsewhere rise, money will flow out of Australia, driving the AUD down. So, I guess all you can hope for is US interest rate rises.
The current position of the AUD at 70 cents is actually pretty close to its long-term stable position, but I have a gut feeling that when rate rises occur in the US, it will dip back down to the 60 cent mark (I could be wrong though).
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:5, Insightful)
To get a meaningful comparison, you'd either need to adjust the $5999 for inflation of the $Australian, THEN convert to dollars, OR convert the $Austrialian to $USD way back then, THEN adjust for the inflation of the $USD.
I'm not sure if you'll get the same results. I doubt that currency conversions and inflation rates are path-independent. Otherwise, arbitrage would seem to be possible.
Any economists out there?
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:4, Informative)
In a perfect world, the exchange rate will adjust perfectly to inflation. However, in our world, thanks to imperfect information, inflation and exchange rates will vary in the short run. Arbitrage does exist, as humans do not have perfect knowlege of the future. We can make ex ante predictions, but we will still end up with ex post deviations from such predictions.
SO.. if you're adventurous, try a job in currency exchange markets to make (or lose) a buck or two!
Why studying Economics is a good thing (Score:2)
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:2)
Hmmm
(Consider - adjusting as you propose for inflation will only *increase* the equivalent price above $6000. I'd imagine that the conversi
Not too mention (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:2)
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:5, Informative)
If you want your country to export more, you try and devalue your currency, if you want to reduce inflation, your currency may start rising, blah blah. Currency and economic strength are not always directly related.
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:5, Informative)
http://www.ela.co.nz/CurrencyGraph.class.php?ela_
Re: (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Australian Dollar? (Score:2)
Prior to the stock market crash of October 1987, it was about US$1.20. I was travelling at the time and found that my traveller's cheques, in AUD, were suddenly worth about half in local currency than the day before. That hurt.
A good site for tracking the AUD is here [ino.com], though it only goes back about two years.
Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:reasonable (Score:2)
I still remember 8088 was hot (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:I still remember 8088 was hot (Score:5, Insightful)
Segments.
The 68000 came out soon after and would have spared us YEARS of working around stupid ickiness that Intel foisted on us (like bank switching which should have died with the Apple
Skipping predictive branching, caching up the kazoo and that current chips are closer to RISC than CISC classic, etc:
Is your 2000MHz Athlon 400 times more useful than the XT? (adding in variables, and DDR it's several THOUSAND times more powerful).
I *know* that my 40MHz NeXT (in the office) isn't 1/20th the speed of my 867MHz (RISC) PPC.
The issue with really fast systems is really bad and bloated software is allowed.
Re:I still remember 8088 was hot (Score:4, Interesting)
Part of the problem is that users haven't kept up with their computers. A desktop computer's CPU is fairly idle, waiting either for the user to do something or for some kind of I/O. Eight-bit computers were able to do tolerable GUIs with WYSIWYG applications -- but having less responsiveness, no multitasking, limited task switching, and none of the flexibility of today's systems.
Try doing something CPU intensive -- you may find that your NeXT really is a fraction of the speed of your PPC. (Just out of curiosity, I timed my computer systems a few years ago by making an MP3 with LAME (the
Bloat can be a real problem. But one person's bloat is another person's feature. And with so many idle CPU cycles, it's a no-brainer to add more features.
RE: bad/bloated software (Score:4, Interesting)
But then I think about the tasks people do with modern computers, and I realize that statement is short-sighted.
Yes, you can argue the old favorite, that "I could type a letter just as well on my old XXX system as on today's Pentium 4 3.0Ghz PC!", or "Spreadsheets worked just fine for me using Visicalc."
The value of faster machines becomes immediately apparent when you start talking about such things as editing DV video from a camcorder, or printing out photo quality prints after downloading from from your multi megapixel digital camera and editing them, or encoding your music CDs into MP3 format. Heck - try just *listening* to MP3s in the background while you work using anything older than a Pentium class PC. The older systems tie up their entire CPU just processing the music file.
Anyone developing software can surely tell you that compiling times are drastically reduced on modern PCs, as well. No more "Running off to eat dinner while my program compiles." And how about people composing music on their computer? Sure, the old machines handled MIDI data fairly well - but virtual instruments? That was just a fantasy before modern systems made it possible.
Gaming is always debatable, because it's subjective. One person can rave about how many thousands of times better new games are with near photo-realistic graphics and 3 dimensional surround sound, while another scoffs at that, and says they preferred the "block graphics" type games of the Atari 2600 game system era. But surely, it's clear that gaming has accomplished things that just weren't possible on older hardware. Network gameplay is vastly superior, for example. (I can remember trying to play the first 2-player modem-based games. You had to wait for the game to "synch up" with the other player before you could start, and then it often lost synch in the middle of playing, due to phone line noise or whatnot.)
You wouldn't even have things like usable broadband internet access if the world was still using 4.77Mhz XT class machines. It takes more CPU power than that to handle things like PPPoE protocol for DSL!
Re:The solution is simple... (Score:3, Interesting)
Look at more recent stuff (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:Look at more recent stuff (Score:5, Interesting)
If these trends continue, we're in for a very intereseting time.
And Ray isn't just any old crackpot. He has a good track record [kurzweiltech.com] at not just forseeing the future, but executing well on it - he's responsible for the first omni-font optical character recognition, the first print-to-speech reading machine for the blind, the first CCD flat-bed scanner, the first text-to-speech synthesizer, the first music synthesizer capable of recreating the grand piano and other orchestral instruments, and the first commercially marketed large-vocabulary speech recognition....
Re:Look at more recent stuff (Score:5, Funny)
Most users can be replaced by a simple shell script [thinkgeek.com] anyways, so that wasn't hard to prove.
Same script, 10 years earlier... (Score:2)
#
# Replacement for average user
# v.1b
use Game;
while (1){
while ( period = "waking hours" && tsr = "working" ){
$input = game;
);
sleep (5 hrs);
};
Re:Look at more recent stuff (Score:2)
Hmm, not because computers became more complicated or major paradigms shifted. Just an access issue. Similar story may be written with respect to the automobile.
CC.
who are you? (Score:2)
And yet, little seems to have changed... (Score:5, Interesting)
/.'ed (Score:4, Funny)
Re:/.'ed (Score:2, Informative)
How (Score:5, Funny)
As silly. I mean, why didn't they want that one more dollar?
Re:How (Score:2)
Re:How (Score:2)
Marketing theory (based on something I read a number of years ago) is that prices that contain many 9s in them sells better.
A product for $14.99 will sell better than one for $14.95 if similiar products.
For some reason 9s sell.
Although given that australia no longer has 1c or 2c coins, most sub-dollar values are now in 5c increments.
Re:How (Score:2)
Re:How (Score:2)
Re:How (Score:3, Interesting)
I also imagine that there's an element of truth to the marketing angle, of 49.99 being advertised as "under 50!" and seeming cheaper subconsciously.
Re:How (Score:2)
Re:How (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:How (Score:2)
In other countries, there are no such tax brackets for prices. Still, there are such Price-1 values.
I also heard the story about "sounds less expensive". IRC, at one point in time, a research showed that people subcounsciously choose that way. But, I also heard that people have already adapted to it and nowadays are usually rounding up, so it is totally useless.
Re:How (Score:5, Funny)
Woo! Sign me up.
That's like a new car... (Score:3, Interesting)
Unfortunately, I can't find a good Internet link to new car prices from that era...and I don't have any of my dad's Kelley Blue Books from then either.
Considering... (Score:2)
July 1983 : Oracle (Score:2)
How silly (Score:4, Interesting)
Once you have got 2x2 you start to get 4x4, 6x6, 12x12 and take much bigger leaps at each step untill you're talking 100 tera HDs.
Re:How silly (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:How silly (Score:2)
This one isn't our fastest, it just has the largest storage. I'm sure in 10 years, it'll be nothing that I'd even want to work with, because it'll be so slow.
$ uname -a
Linux server 2.6.7 #1 SMP Tue Jun 29 03:51:47 EDT 2004 i686 unknown unknown GNU/Linux
$ df -h
Filesystem Size Used Avail Use% Mounted on
/dev/md0 19G 2.7G 15G 16%
/dev/sda
Re:How silly (Score:2, Funny)
The storage administrator I once was is screaming "Give it back! Wasting money!"
Re:How silly (Score:2)
We have a 6u Dell Quad Xeon 500 box that we're retiring in the next few weeks, that we're trying to figure out what to do with. I suggested it would make a very nice boat anchor. Aparently we're still paying the financing to Dell on it. Maybe they'll take it back.
You wouldn't really want it as a workstation, it sounds like a freakin' turboprop airplane taking off when it's running.
Re:How silly (Score:2)
check out this graph of the population of the world [guibord.com]. the sudden explosion during the Industrial Revolution is staggering, dwarfing even the exponential increases in computer power.
graph 2 [prb.org]
graph 3 [ucsd.edu]
This makes profit margins great... (Score:3, Insightful)
Hard Drives (Score:5, Interesting)
I hope my children will be able to make similar claims.
Hard Drives-The chronicles of "Dick". (Score:2, Funny)
Viagra, Viagra-II, Viagra-III, Viagra-"Is that a space elevator, or are you just happy to see me?"
Re:Hard Drives (Score:3, Interesting)
That being said I'll buy lar
Ahh.. the "good ole days". (Score:2, Interesting)
Not too long after that I paid almost $800 for four 4MB SIMMS for my new illegal installation of Win95, and thought I was a badass.
not *that* amazing (Score:5, Insightful)
Also like a lot of old-timers (in my 30's), I wax nostalgic for the days when you put in the disk, turned the computer on, and used your program. No DRM, no crashes (not as often as now, anyway), no spyware, no internet or solitaire or slashdot, no mysterious slow-down in your OS over a period of months (KDE, why do you do that????).
Then again, no powerbook, no OSX, no VMWare, no wifi or bluetooth, no Ruby (okay, well, there was Lisp and SmallTalk, that's true), no Zaurus linux workstation that fits in your pocket.
That stuff is cool but I really miss the simplicity and reliability.
Re:not *that* amazing (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re:not *that* amazing (Score:2)
Re:not *that* amazing (Score:5, Insightful)
DRM - Those 5 1/4 disks had anti-copying features. Try to copy and they made a terrible grating sound. Thats why there were programs like Copy II Plus, and Locksmith, to circumvent the copy protection (I think it was some intentionally bad sectors on the disk). Not to mention the other ghetto anti-piracy features, like code wheels, and "find the 3rd word of the second paragraph of page 6"
Crashes - There were horrible compatibility issues. Lots of games made you select from a list of components for video and sound. Alot of times my stuff wasn't on the list (darn you Tandy!). So I'd end up with junky graphics, and/or glitchy or non-working sound. Later on sound cards (like the first sound blaster) would randomly crash your system if things weren't setup just right (IRQs, memory addresses). Then when the first dedicated video cards started coming out they were the random crasher.
Internet - No, but there were BBS's which were as good, or bad as the internet. Chat, door games, message boards and 125k pr0n file... just start downloading and come back the next day.
Solitaire - Solitaire has always existed. This program [arizona.edu] references one version made in 1985.
Mysterious slow downs - No, pretty much everything was slow so didn't matter. Of course to get certain things running you'd have to mess around with the autoexec.bat and config.sys files to free up enough main memory, 640k my ass billy G!
Re:not *that* amazing (Score:4, Informative)
Hehehe... Youngsters. I believe the grandparent poster was lamenting the times before the days of irqs and hercules adapters and PC compatibles. I read his post and missed my apple
Re:not *that* amazing (Score:3, Interesting)
Tell me about it.
2nd printer port, defult address IRQ 5
sound card, prefered address IRQ 5
SCSI card, default address IRQ 5
Network adapter, default address IRQ 5
QIC02 adapter, Default address IRQ 5
8 slots, everything set to IRQ 5. Common problem. Who needs to use their modem, tapedrive, scsi card, etc...etc.. at the same time anyway.
Com1/Com2 default IRQ4/3 re
It's a cry for attention! (Score:2)
Re:not *that* amazing (Score:3, Interesting)
Damn you wipper-snappers (in my 40's), I wax nostalgic for the days when if you had a disk you were probably rich, cuz they were only available on mini, midi, or main-frames.
Cost of hard drive space over time (Score:5, Informative)
Someone else pointed out that the price of computers never really change, but that there is more power for the same price. In 1987 our family computer (mid-range) and printer cost around $1200. Today the same amount of money will also buy a mid-range computer (at least for gaming). However, this idea is getting less and less true as computers become commoditized and "powerful enough".
Here's their first mistake... (Score:2)
Unfortunately some of the images are quite large (none more than 250KB)
Re:Here's their first mistake... (Score:2, Informative)
Moore money. (Score:2, Insightful)
And yet the cost of computer magazines have gone up. $12 for a Linux magazine with a CD.
Radio Shack Model 16 (Score:4, Informative)
It had a 68000 and a Z-80. When running as a Unix box, the Z80 functioned as an I/O processor. When runing as a Radio Shack Model II, the 68000 was essentially idle
The first box to land in Edmonton ran Xenix/Unix on 256KB of ram, and an 9MB hard disk. I don't remember how much the box cost but the (14" platter) Hard Disk was about $10K.I actually managed to get Xenix, vi and nroff running off of one 1.2MB (12") floppy disk (including a swap partition) with the second floppy disk being used for user data.
Amdahl V6 (Score:2)
It could handle up to about 300 simultaneous users before it started to slow down real noticably, and it cost about $6Million Dollars.
Re:Radio Shack Model 16 (Score:2)
Wheeeee, I can make text scroll on the screen.
Oh, the good ol' days. Now if I were to write the same thing, it'd scroll by faster than you could see.
[insert obligatory "walking to school in the sn
Location of Manufacture (Score:2, Interesting)
Orders of magnitude (Score:2, Interesting)
I remember the first time I saw super good deal on a HD. 10 Meg for only $1
Cool, not scary -- Hitachi 9980 in my future! (Score:2)
I've spent a chunk of time lately playing with a Sun/Hitachi 9980 [hds.com]. Imagine a fiber channel array of hard drives the size of a nice, hefty subzero 2-door refrigerator (2m x 2m x 1m, roughly, for 1 control module and 1 array module).
It hooks up to a dozen computers, has room for over 100TB of drivespace (raid-5), has an configuration console beyond the OS that allows some slick on-the-fly tricks, is compatible with virtually ANY OS, lets you slice the a
My benchmark has moved was $5,000 (Score:2, Interesting)
First computer Z80 64k $5,000 (second hand)
Second computer IBM AT $5,000 (second hand)
Third computer 386/25 $5,000 (new)
Fourth computer Pentium $4,000
Fifth computer Pentium $3,000
Current computer $1,500
As a programmer I no longer need to be on the bleeding edge just to do my work. A cheap computer is sufficiently fast. My requirements of a computer have gone down in essence.
I've got some late 70s mags at home, somewhere (Score:2)
Technology is cheap now, but... (Score:3, Insightful)
Not to date myself, but ... (Score:4, Insightful)
More to the point, in those days a man-day of programmer's time was worth 2 or 3 bits of memory. Therefore one could justify several days of work to save a single byte. That economic was the cause of much of the often criticised spaghetti code from those days. Even when it was not true, the programmers believed that sharing a single line of code between more than one if-then-else clause was worth a month's pay.
Even today, writing for clarity as opposed to writing for performance is far from being universally accepted.
Re: (Score:2)
Has computer price really dropped? (Score:2)
But when you compare price of a typical user's system, is the difference really that much?
Today a typical office desktop machine would be around 1000 euro (or US$). That is also what I paid for my first computer in 1980. Of course it had 16K instead of 512M of RAM, a tape recorder instead of a 120GB harddisk drive, a 2 MHz Z-80 processor instead of a 3 GHz Pentium 4, but the users of that time bought it for the same pur
Not so (Score:2)
Yes, it has... (Score:2)
I think not. With this stuff, even 1986 a cpc6128 cost 2000+.
1980 a simple disk drive cost more then a whole pc now. A 9.6k modem was more expensive than a tft monitor. A 4MB EISA Gfx card 1990 was more expensive than a dual cpu DELL server today.
and thats not even considering inflation.
Tandy (Score:2)
Inflation people, inflation. (Score:2)
Plus, most things go up in price for the equivilent product.
Upgrading slowly & over vast distances (Score:2)
In 1988 I upgrade the company's 286 desktop from, I think, 5 MB to 30 MB. It was much cheaper to fly from Japan to Singapore, buy a drive and fly back, than to purchase locally.
Not long after, I built the company's first drive rack out of unexpectedly big, heavy full-height 5" drives, learning
Not surprising at all (Score:2)
With $3,000 I could buy at least 4 of my current systems, each of which would be well over 1,000 times faster.
Re:Not surprising at all (Score:4, Insightful)
What really is surprising is that it continues to happen. There is nothing about the universe that guarantees cheaper and better products will be produced over time. It is only human cleverness that sustains this progress. That applies to most products.
ZX Spectrum/Timex upgrade (Score:3, Interesting)
On that price basis, I worked out that 1GB of memory would have cost me over 1 million dollars at the time.
1984 and 1987 (Score:3, Interesting)
I moved up to the 512ke, and then paid over $4000 for the Mac II in 1987, $1200 for a 12" Sony color monitor, another $1400 for an 80M disk drive, and around another $1000 for 1M of RAM! Yes, prices are a bit better these days.
Computer Pricing? (Score:4, Insightful)
In 1983, you could get a complete Commodore 64 System (Montior and floppy drive included) for ~$730 US. Basically, everything you would need (word processing, games etc...)
20 years later, you'd be getting a very good deal to get a modern system for that price. Sure the technology is much more advanced today, but in the end you get the same amount done, for the same price.
Of course, let's not talk about modem prices
What's scary is... (Score:4, Funny)
"386-20MHz: Fast. Expensive. And worth it!" (Score:3, Funny)
The Price? It was posted on the cover in big-bold letters at a mere $10,000.
It was probably only a couple issues later where they announced that the "386 is dead".
Re:I can buy what now?! (Score:2)
Any 386 or better, my son..
Re:people expect too much for nothing (Score:3, Interesting)
Back then, though, I was receiving help from people that got paid for their computer skills during the day*. And they weren't solving my computer problems so much as teaching me to solve my computer problems.
Of course, they were trying to make me into one of them. Obviously, they succeeded.
*I think many were su