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Data Storage

The Myth Of The 100-Year CD-Rom 671

Toshito writes "Are we putting too much faith in the ubiquitous "recordable CD", or CD-R? A lot of manufacturer claims 100 years of shelf life for a CD-R. But in real life, it can be much less. Expect failure after only 5 years... Personnaly I just discovered 6 audio cassettes with the voice of my late grandfather, talking about old times. These tapes are copies of reel to reel recorded in 1971, and they are still in excellent shape. I was thinking about digitizing everything, do a little noise reduction, and burning this on CD's, for my childrens and great grand-childrens enjoyment, but it seems that old analog tech from the '70 is more reliable than digital. The full story at Rense. Other links about the subject: Practical PC, Mscience, and an excellent reasearch by the Library of Congress (warning! PDF): Study of CD longevity, html version (google):Study html."
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The Myth Of The 100-Year CD-Rom

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  • Nonsense! (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Kris Thalamus ( 555841 ) * <selectivepressure@NOSpaM.gmail.com> on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:27PM (#8940704)
    I was thinking about digitizing everything, do a little noise reduction, and burning this on CD's, for my childrens and great grand-childrens enjoyment, but it seems that old analog tech from the '70 is more reliable than digital.

    Record it to your HDD in an non-lossy format and store copies of it on various friends' and family members' computers. Back up frequently and your recordings won't suffer from the kind of decay and generation loss that analog tape does.
  • CD Rot (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Liselle ( 684663 ) * <slashdot@NoSPAm.liselle.net> on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:28PM (#8940715) Journal
    The story about the Rot of Death seems to come up every once and a while. My fun strategies for longevity:

    - If you can rub the top of a CD and have your finger come back silver, that's a bad sign. I avoid cheap CD-Rs. Sorry, CompUSA.
    - I burn at 2x, always, unless I am burning something that I don't care about. Someone showed me the difference in color, I was convinced.
    - Sticker on top = CD death.
    - Take care of your media. Had a friend who left a CD on the windowsill and forgot about it. Many months later, you could see right through it. Nice corrosion.

    I find it weird that anyone can stick a 100 year lifespan on a product that hasn't been around that long. I know that they have processes that supposedly accelerate the process and give you a rough estimate, but I am skeptical. Maybe they really are that durable, and people are just careless/cheapskates. You know what they say about malice and idiocy.
  • Doooom(esday)! (Score:5, Interesting)

    by llamaguy ( 773335 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:30PM (#8940732)
    Factor that in with the project the BBC did in the mid-1980s (A digital Domesday book, designed to be a snapshot of life at that particular moment of time) that was unreadable withing 20 years because of the fast pace of technology and no way will CDs last 100 years.
  • by wren337 ( 182018 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:31PM (#8940744) Homepage

    Blank CDs in bulk are cheap. For archival stuff I make a new copy every 5 years. I have a bunch of scanned photos I don't want to lose, so I re-copied them all onto new CDs.

    You aren't supposed to write on the CDs either but I've not had any trouble with that, probably because I'm not trying to keep them very long.

  • Re:CD Rot (Score:2, Interesting)

    by log0n ( 18224 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:32PM (#8940751)
    What do you mean by sticker on top? I've found that CD-Rs with labels (full labels, pressed on?) last MUCH longer than CD-Rs w/o labels. No flaking, top surface is much more resistant to scratches, etc.

    In fact, thinking through my CD-R library, I can't think of any labeled CD-Rs that have ever gone bad on me. I can't say the same for labelless/stickerless?
  • by DroopyStonx ( 683090 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:32PM (#8940764)
    I have CDs that were made about 7 years ago that are in relatively good shape and run just fine. They have the usually tiny scratches and dings, but... I don't get where people state that CDs will magically stop working after so many years.
  • by Pedrito ( 94783 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:35PM (#8940808)
    What's the deal? This same article with a slightly different look shows up every 6 months, it seems.

    Besides the fact that CDs DON'T have a 100 year shelf life, we've also discussed the CD eating fungus several times here, which for people in hot and humid environments (particularly, it seems, Mexico, Central, and South America) can reduce a CDs lifespan to months or a couple of years.

    And then you have the fact that rewriteables have an even shorter lifespan.

    One thing that's rarely mentioned is the fact that most CDs are defectively manufactured. I say this because the metalic layer between the plastic is supposed to be sealed. But the fact that the aforementioned CD eating fungus enters through the two layers of plastic says to me that CDs are generally defective in that they fail to properly seal this layer.

    I personally lost about 25% of my CD collection to this fungus over a 2 year period in Mexico, so I speak with some experience. These CDs were not abused. Most were in plastic cases, some were in sleeved carriers.
  • by avandesande ( 143899 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:35PM (#8940810) Journal
    Some of my first cds purchased in 86 (Are You Experienced and Electric Ladyland) are clearly losing sound quality.
  • Re:Doooom(esday)! (Score:5, Interesting)

    by EpsCylonB ( 307640 ) <eps&epscylonb,com> on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:37PM (#8940830) Homepage
    Wasn't that because the format they recorded it on was quite obscure and they couldn't find a player to read back the data ?. That is related to this I guess but the first hurdle is to ensure the integrity of the data in the first place.
  • Why 100 years ? (Score:5, Interesting)

    by da_reboot ( 683601 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:37PM (#8940832)
    I don't get this obsession with hoping to keep media for 100 years. Technically punch cards are forever. Do you still use them ? No, because their storage capacity is ridiculous by today's standard. In five years you will store your data probably on your solid-state 200 g key-chain.... move with the times..
  • FUD (Score:4, Interesting)

    by polyp2000 ( 444682 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:37PM (#8940834) Homepage Journal
    All this about CD's not lasting very long is just FUD by the RIAA. In the next few years or so they will want to bring out a new type of media so that everybody has to restock their cd collection with the new media format.

    Bottom line, buy cheap media then you will suffer the consequences. Buy decent media; buy a reputable brand and you can expect reasonable lifespan.

    Hey, and wasnt this a dupe? albeit one with a twist ?

    nick ...
  • Free Biz Idea (Score:2, Interesting)

    by bobej1977 ( 580278 ) * <rejamison@NOsPaM.yahoo.com> on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:41PM (#8940877) Homepage Journal
    Online secure data storage. Charge $1 per year (or whatever) per megabyte for guaranteed long term multi-site storage that is guaranteed to exist uncorrupted for the term of your paid subscription. Users wouldn't be able to manipulate the files, just insert an archive, pay and retrieve it, say, 100 times per month (to limit use of the archive as a distribution point). You use some slow, but bulletproof encryption on the archive files.

    Anybody want to fund me? :) Is somebody already doing this? I might be interested, I've got files I've been kicking around for almost a decade that I'd hate to loose.

  • Re:Solution! (Score:1, Interesting)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:44PM (#8940914)
    I know that was meant as a joke, but last time I checked, most of my 10-15 year old Amiga floppies still worked fine. A few months ago I also started checking all my old PC floppies to see what the hell I had on them. These were mostly just crappy, knockabout disks, but only about 1 in 15 had any kind of read errors (and I was making complete rawrite-style images of the disks to store on a backup CD). All the official floppy disks for older PC software still worked perfectly.

    Guess what I'm saying is that provided you take care of them and keep them stored in their boxes, out of the sun, away from your home-brew MRI machines and soforth, floppy disks aren't that bad. I've seen worse among CD-Rs...
  • CD RW are better ??? (Score:3, Interesting)

    by iMaple ( 769378 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:47PM (#8940957)
    The article says Not all optical media is vulnerable. The rewritable variants (RW) use metallic materials that change the phase of the light, rather than light-sensitive dyes. Commercial magneto-optical and ultra-density optical systems are different too. Do they mean to say that CD RW's are resistant to aging compared to CD-Rs ??

    I always thought that CD-R s are more reliable than the RW's and genrally back up my data to CDRs ( and of course CDRW are more expensive)
  • Commodore 64 Disks (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Bryan Ischo ( 893 ) * on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:54PM (#8941054) Homepage
    On a related note, I recently recovered all of the contents off of the lone C-64 5.25 in floppy that I saved from my junior high/high school days of the late 80's. The disk had been sitting in between the pages of a programming book for around 15 years.

    I found a very nice person who had a Commodore 1571 disk drive hooked up to his PC and was able to get the files off. I was really impressed that after sitting around for 15 years, the data was all completely readable.

    I was also amazed to learn that when I was in junior high I was using a program called "SpeedScript" which I had typed in from a Compute magazine, and it had, to some degree, EMACS KEY BINDINGS!!! Holy crap, I had no idea that the emacs seed had been planted in my brain so early on ... no wonder I'm an emacs freak!
  • by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @01:55PM (#8941062)
    When I buy a cd in the store, I expect professional, archive quality CDs. If I've got to burn off the music myself (and can only do that a limited # of times) I've got to use my cheap 'ol cds. I guess most music services would track you're licences and let you download them again (provided you're computer hasn't changed, God I hate DRM). Still, at 99 cents/song with only shaky garuantees I can access the song perpetually, it seems like a raw deal.
  • by WormholeFiend ( 674934 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:00PM (#8941129)
    I love vinyl... and believe me, the only thing that will make vinyl come back is when those vinyl turntables with a laser reader come down in price

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_turntable

    8,000$ is just not within my disposable budget.

  • Re:Nonsense! (Score:5, Interesting)

    by penguinstorm ( 575341 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:02PM (#8941153) Homepage
    This is, of course, the very thing the comment points out can be a problem.

    Who's really going to remember this schedule? /. maybe; my mother - not.

    This is my beef with digital photography: I found a negative for a photo that was taken sometime between 1891 & 1934 - prints were beautiful. This negative was not stored properly at all. No special effort to preserve.

    With digital photography & CD-R disks I'm not so sure that we're not just creating a set of transient memories which will disappear into the ephemera in 10 years time.
  • by zerosignal ( 222614 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:06PM (#8941200) Homepage Journal
    Many people seem to suggest reburning data every few years. But each time you do this, are you not risking corrupting a small number of files? I know OSs and hardware have error correction, but when you're dealing with gigabytes of data isn't there a risk that eventually an error will go through uncaught?
  • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:08PM (#8941223)
    My grandfather made some wire recordings back in the 40s, we still have a machine that plays them back. It's amazing the longevity of those things, no wonder they use them on flight recorders.

    I wonder if anything will be left of the last 50 years or so for the ape archeologists to unearth...
  • by bshroyer ( 21524 ) <bret@bre[ ]royer.org ['tsh' in gap]> on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:09PM (#8941235)
    It's actually a great archiving idea. Something along the lines of Freenet. Distributed, anonymous, redundant storage.

    Using P2P software, you supply:
    a) n bytes of data you want archived
    b) 10Xn bytes of free space to archive other people's stuff

    So you've got 1GB you want preserved forever? Supply 10GB to the network, and the software takes care of the rest. If a user drops out of the network, his "stuff" is purged after 30 days of inactivity, freeing up space for new participants.
  • 10-year-old CD-ROMs (Score:3, Interesting)

    by thewiz ( 24994 ) * on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:11PM (#8941254)
    The ONLY brand of CD-ROMs that I've found to last a long time are the Kodak ULTIMA series. Sadly, Kodak has stopped producing these CD-ROMs. I have several that I burned back in 1994-5 and they all still read with no errors.

    I wish Kodak would bring these CD-ROMs back into production; I'd even be willing to pay a premium for them. When it comes to archiving data or something precious (like your late-grandfather's voice or late-mother's audio diary), cost really isn't an object. What's important is protection and preservation of history (in a sense).
  • best bet... (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Byteme ( 6617 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:11PM (#8941258) Homepage
    ...is to cut your own vinyl [vestax.co.uk] and then play it on a laser turntable [elpj.com]. Isn't vinyl the preference for the Library of Congress [loc.gov]?

  • Re:First of all... (Score:3, Interesting)

    by mnmn ( 145599 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:16PM (#8941324) Homepage
    When I have something to send somewhere, and I have to be sure it works, I just make 3 copies of it in directories 'copy1' 'copy2' and 'copy3' on the CD. A while ago I would lose copies of Windows98 on CDs because of the messy environment and (temp + humidity), so I'd burn multiple copies on the same disk. Almost 9 years on, I found a disk containing Quake2, the first and third directory were bad, and the second directory had just one file that was bad. I found a good copy of that file in the third directory. The CD didnt look like one byte could be read from it.

    Another time I couldnt read CivNET from the CD and really wanted to play it 5 years after I got it. It was all scratched up. I rubbed glycerine on it (which has a refractive index close to plastic and sticks to it) to fill in the scratches enough for the data to be read. After several hours and many attempts of glycerine, try, wash, glycerine, I recovered the important files off the disc (movies couldnt be recovered.). Needless to say the drive died soon after.

    If a company steps forward to sandwich two clear plastics with the silver between them, and glues the sides real well for archival purposes, I think they'll make money.
  • by hankwang ( 413283 ) * on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:17PM (#8941329) Homepage
    I have found that writing very lightly with a soft, dark graphite pencil works well.

    I wouldn't be so keen on having particles of electrically conducting graphite being spun off the disc inside the drive... But you're right that it probably won't damage the disc.

    If you're very paranoid, you might consider not labelling the CD at all

    Or write in the data-less area around the center of the disc.

  • Re:CD-RW slow rot (Score:3, Interesting)

    by doc modulo ( 568776 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:21PM (#8941372)
    CD-RW disks will last longer than CD-R because of the way it stores it's bits.

    CD-R uses a dye that changes color under influence of light. CD-RW uses a phase change material that changes it's properties because of heat. The phase change material won't change color but changes the way light passes through it. Differences in the duration of the laser hitting it will change a bit from one phase to another.

    CD-RW disc information is much safer because of these differences. The only problem with CD-RW is that you can accidentally overwrite files you wanted to keep.
  • by SatanicPuppy ( 611928 ) <SatanicpuppyNO@SPAMgmail.com> on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:23PM (#8941399) Journal
    The number of things that can go wrong with old magnetic media is so long I won't even go there. If nothign else, the magnetic tape will get old and brittle. It also stretches slightly when you play it, which could leave granddad sounding like James Earl Jones in a few years. Certain types of mildew love it. AAAAAA! Make a copy! Make a copy!

    Add to that the cost of replacing r2r tech, and you've got a scary situation. I agree with the parent. CD may not be the answer, but digital sure as hell is. I'd be super paranoid having anything I cared about stuck on old tape.
  • Re:Writing speed (Score:4, Interesting)

    by unorthod0x ( 263821 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:24PM (#8941408)
    I don't claim to know much about this at all, but I know as a complete fact that the slower I burn Audio CDs on my 24x the less they'll skip when they're in my car. This has been true for me at least one hundred times over, and I drive the same route pretty much every day (same bumps).. How does this experience fit in to the above?
  • by wandazulu ( 265281 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:25PM (#8941418)
    I have, since 1984, written all my school papers, letters to friends, etc., on a computer, starting with WordStar 3.3. I thought I had a foolproof method of preserving them...every time I got a new machine, I just copied all the documents over to the new machine (first using laplink cables, later ethernet). Now, 20 years(!) later, I have my documents on my shiny new dual G5. And guess what! I can read maybe a 4th of them as no program understands the WS format, later WP4, WP5, etc. etc. Sure I have all the documents, but the all I can show off to my grandkids is a random collection of bytes that was "Why are oceans necessary?" from 1984.

    But it doesn't end there...people talk about magnetic tape as being a viable medium; I have plenty of tapes that don't play right because they were recorded with a different speed recorder than what is available today. My little piano recital sounds like a Keystone Kops tune on acid.

    And how about all those betamax tapes I've got of me playing tackle football when I was 11 years old? Still got 'em. Wish I still had a Betamax to play 'em on.

    And then, I have a bajillion slides, taken by me and my family, on Kodachrome25. Stuff lasts forever. They've faded a bit, but I can still view them if I hold them up to the light. Wish I could show 'em to my grandkids but I don't have a slide projector. I suppose I could scan them into the computer......

  • Re:First of all... (Score:4, Interesting)

    by unperson ( 223869 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:26PM (#8941425)
    But I think the problem is that CD media doesn't have what most people consider "acceptable redundancy"

    When a CD ages, and the surface scratches, and the ink degrades, the data doesn't fade to yellow and get wrinkled like a newspaper, or it doesn't sound like its being pumped over a telephone like a record would, it is just gone. At least with analog data (especially newspaper) there isn't this working/not working parity...we can see the degradation and recopy the data before its too late.

    Of course we try to get around this by adding error detection/correction schemes, but I think the original post is about how (apparently) these aren't adequate.
  • by 3terrabyte ( 693824 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:32PM (#8941493) Journal
    Good point.

    I gave an example above where I said I put all the important things on a hard drive, pull it, and put it on the shelf. This works for me, because I'm only interested in short archival period: like 5 years.

    In the poster's example of wanting to repeat another 30-year archival... I'd have to imagine that ATA33 hard drive might not hook up to my grandkid's quantum computer 30 years from now.

    So I would look into pulling a plug on a whole working computer. In other words, I would go to mini-itx.com and but a $99 motherboard, build a cheap box, slip in an above-average hard drive, get the cheapest possible LCD or monitor, install everything that is needed to make it work, load up the hard drive, and then pull the plug and store the computer. I would hope that the only thing needed to work in 30 years is a compatible power plug.

  • Re:Nonsense! (Score:2, Interesting)

    by qoiushdbfhlasdkjfyag ( 773647 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:39PM (#8941571)
    This is exactly what I do. However, when the recording I have digitized has significant value to me and my family, I retain the original source recording in the best condition I can (tape wound to one reel, stored on its end in a cool, dry place, far away from magnets) without EVER using it. If I could, I would keep the most important tapes in a climate-controlled storage unit. This way I can preserve the original in good shape, and when I want to enjoy the sound I just listen to one of my digital copies. Of course I've digitized and thrown out a large number of tapes from my old tape collection, but all of this was music or audiobooks where I didn't care too much about the replaceability or decay of either my source materials or my digital copies. In one case, I recorded my grandfather playing the piano in 2000, but I did it all-digital, with spotty results. (Unfortunately, he has died since, so we're stuck with what we have!) I've ALREADY begun to experience problems with the original CDs, and now that I've transferred them all to new copies and to hard drives, I'm considering making an analog copy of my digital recordings, just to have a sort of 'ultimate backup,' so in case disaster strikes I would still be able to resample.
  • by Rex Code ( 712912 ) <rexcode@gmail.com> on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:41PM (#8941604)
    Second, the biggest mistake most people make in CD archival is to write on the CDs with magic marker -- DO NOT DO THIS. The ink will, given several years, leach through the extremely thin plastic on the labelled side of the CD and pollute the optical layer, resulting in a ruined CD.

    Got some studies supporting that? I did my own little study after highly doubting this rumor. Here's how I think the rumor got started:

    1. Buy cheapest Taiwanese media
    2. Write on it with a Sharpie
    3. Down the road, blame the Sharpie for media failure

    My (unscientific, but the only data point I'm aware of) test:

    In 1996, I wrote all over a Japanese Taiyo-Yuden made, unbranded Sony CD-R. In 2003, I tested the data, which was fine. I then cleaned the Sharpie ink off the disc with carburator cleaner (harsh treatment, for sure). It wiped off in seconds with no trace whatsoever, so in 7 years the ink did not migrate into the disc at all. After this, the data was still good.

    Conclusion: Buy good media and quit worrying about writing on the discs. They'll take it fine, and if they die, it wasn't the pen that killed them.
  • Re:Nonsense! (Score:4, Interesting)

    by SEWilco ( 27983 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:46PM (#8941655) Journal
    What happens when the amount time it takes to transfer all the data from one medium to another is longer than the life time of the media on which it currently resides?

    Then obviously you couldn't have copied all the data to the "current" medium in the first place.

    • He might still be writing the current backup.
    • He might have such a huge amount of old data that the remaining life time is the problem.
      • Reports are that NASA has huge amounts of data on magnetic tape which is fading, and copying to new media will take longer than the remaining life time of the magnetic data. Obviously they need to start shipping out tape drives and tapes to volunteers who will have their computers copy tapes in their spare time, and let them see if they can find anything odd in the data at the same time; a Distributed Search for Earth Intelligence.
      • For years old films have been degrading faster than they have been copied to more stable media. Part of the problem is money, part is the time required for the delicate task.
  • Re:Writing speed (Score:3, Interesting)

    by bashamer ( 155771 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:51PM (#8941713) Homepage


    It would be interesting to see if the difference between readin and writing speeds causes the problem. Since if you write at the same speed as you read both processes will see the same wobles in the disk. These wobles are caused since CD's are never quite round, and uniform desity.


    This would mean that for a normal CD player you want to write at 1x, and for a Car cd player, or a portable CD player you would want to write at what ever speed they sample (more than 1x since they have skip protection). If you check the site they meantion that you should write at more than 1x but less than 12x.


    So the question is at what speed they wrote and read the CD-R's, not just the writing speed. I checked the site but I didn't find any data on that.

  • by Ungrounded Lightning ( 62228 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @02:56PM (#8941788) Journal
    So much for ELUA terms to the effect of "You may make ONE archival copy."

    If the medium fails in a couple years you need several. First, you need to make a string of them to "refresh" the data before the old disk fails. Second (since the failure is statistical) you need several copies to obtain the redundancy necessary to recover from any errors that occurred during storage. And you should also keep a previous generation, in case you need to recover from errors introduced during the copying process.

    So you need a LOT more than "a SINGLE backup copy" to have an adequate backup. IMHO (IANAL) this makes such ELUA terms ludicrous, and a violation of your first-sale rights - another strike against the reasonableness of the portion of the DMCA that says such contracts are enforcible.
  • by MikeMo ( 521697 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @03:07PM (#8941958)
    We burn about 200K CD-R's here per month. We have found, unequivocally, that you can burn data CD-R's at 40x, but the best we can do for audio is 12x. We don't really know why, but we think it has more to do with the error correction capabilities that the data format has. That's the theory, anyway. Of course, we use only the best drives and media.
  • Re:Nonsense! (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Safety Cap ( 253500 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @03:08PM (#8941981) Homepage Journal
    In effect, you have to keep running just in order to stay in the same place. (I believe there's a reference here to the Alice books of Lewis Carroll)
    That is a condition known as "The Red Queen's Race":
    Alice never could quite make out, in thinking it over afterwards, how it was that they began: all she remembers is, that they were running hand in hand, and the Queen went so fast that it was all she could do to keep up with her: and still the Queen kept crying "Faster!" but Alice felt she could not go faster, though she had no breath to say so. The most curious part of the thing was, that the trees and the other things round them never changed their places at all: however fast they went, they never seemed to pass anything. "I wonder if all the things move along with us?" thought poor puzzled Alice. And the Queen seemed to guess her thoughts, for she cried, "Faster! Don't try to talk!"

    Not that Alice had any idea of doing that. She felt as if she would never be able to talk again, she was getting so out of breath: and still the Queen cried, "Faster! Faster!" and dragged her along. "Are we nearly there?" Alice managed to pant out at last.

    "Nearly there!" the Queen repeated. "Why, we passed it ten minutes ago! Faster!" And they ran on for a time in silence, with the wind whistling in Alice's ears, and almost blowing her hair off her head, she fancied.

    "Now! Now!" cried the Queen. "Faster! Faster!" And they went so fast that at last they seemed to skim through the air, hardly touching the ground with their feet, till suddenly, just as Alice was getting quite exhausted, they stopped, and she found herself sitting on the ground, breathless and giddy. The Queen propped her against a tree, and said kindly, "You may rest a little now."

    Alice looked round her in great surprise. "Why, I do believe we've been under this tree all the time! Everything's just as it was!"

    "Of course it is," said the Queen: "what would you have it?"

    "Well, in our country," said Alice, still panting a little, "you'd generally get to somewhere else -- if you ran very fast for a long time, as we've been doing."

    "A slow sort of country!" said the Queen. "Now, here, you see, it takes all the running you can do, to keep in the same place. If you want to get somewhere else, you must run at least twice as fast as that!"

    -- Carrol, Lewis. Through the Looking-Glass and What Alice Found There. Peter Pauper Press edition, Mount Vernon, New York 1940. 45-47.
  • Uninformed (Score:1, Interesting)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 22, 2004 @03:19PM (#8942110)
    (phthalo)Cyanine cyanide. Cyanide makes you look cyanine (blue/greenish), though.

    When did people officially stop caring about listening closely enough to distinguish even barely homophonic words?
  • Re:Nonsense! (Score:2, Interesting)

    by stangbat ( 690193 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @03:35PM (#8942340)
    I'm probably repeating what others have said many times in this thread but I have preached and preached to my friends and family about this. By relying on prints from inkjet printers and keeping all the images on a single hard drive, they are setting themselves up for a big loss. Using a hard drive is like driving a car I tell them, you will eventually have a crash. They may have a single backup on a CDR, but I'm not counting on it. Negatives stored in a box is a bit more failsafe as long as the house doesn't burn down.

    I have pointed out how many of them currently have a 5.25 floppy drive around (none). Same deal in 20 years with CDs. You may have stuff backed up on them but are you going to have the equipment to read the data, that is if the discs aren't junk? Somebody will have it, but you'll pay for them converting it or doing data recovery.

    I'm not saying I'm not digital, I just make sure everything is backed up across my home network and on multipe CDRs and/or DVDs which are stored at my mom's and in-laws places. "Here's a CD of your you grandchild's pictures" = easy off site backup. What granddad is going to turn down pics of their little grandbaby?

    Alas, I'm the nerdy computer geek that worries about things too much. Well at least I'll have the pictures of my baby daughter for her to pass along long after I'm gone. I doubt I'll ever here, "You were right all along," from them, even if I am proven right. Let's hope I don't have to hear it.
  • by chadjg ( 615827 ) <chadgessele2000@yahooLION.com minus cat> on Thursday April 22, 2004 @03:36PM (#8942362) Journal

    We all know that clay, stone, and ceramic records can last for thousands of years in terrible conditions, but those records are kilo-bit order projects, and an entirely different animal than sound.

    One thing this guy may want to consider is a Rosetta [norsam.com] type of storage system. If you convert the reel-to-reel recording to a digital format, then transcode to a uuencode [datafocus.com] style format, the result could be recorded in an extremely stable human and machine readable format.

    If the guy really wanted stability and long term interpretability, he could encode a 1Khz sine wave using the same method and use that as descriptive meta-data. That way future generations could have nice, simple test file to run their automated decoders on. Even if all knowledge about how the file was encoded is lost, the repetitie pattern would probably be noticed. If the archivists in 2152, common era, have any idea that the disk is a sound recording, they'll surely figure the rest out.

    I work with a amateur historian that's quite looney, over all, but she is always making good points about meta-data. Recording information about the sound, how it was made, who made it, and anything you can think of might make the difference between a sad lost opportunity and a major discovery. Historian types really love it when they find an old picture with names and dates written on the back. Often they can use their other archives to cross reference and to infer information that would be impossible without the meta-data. For example, they could use a known good picture of a certain building, and a picture of a person with a part of said building to place that person in a certain town at a certain time. That's a small example, but anyone can see how important a small point can be when trying to figure out a puzzle with 90% of the pieces destroyed.

    Also, the guy may want to think about getting the originals into proper storage. That may mean giving them to an institution, but it beats having them destroyed because your cat peed on them.

    People are spending big bucks to recover wax cylinder recordings of opera singers. Surely they'll do it for actual historical records put down by eye witnesses! [imls.gov]

    This guys sounds interested enough to re-record every 5 years to the latest and greatest storage technology, but what about his heirs? If fate curses him with Alzheimer's disease, will his kiddies care of have enough energy to do the job? Probably not and the chain could be broken. That's the real threat, I think.

  • I always use (Score:2, Interesting)

    by Kiaparowits ( 306965 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @03:36PM (#8942363)

    Clay Tablets [wikipedia.org], they seem to have the best proven track record for data as a whole. Of course, if you have the money, you can always use a norsam disk [rosettaproject.org], they may last even longer than clay- but I doubt they're cheaper. Of course, for large amounts of data, storage is a problem.


    Seriously, there should be a digital->clay device, like a printer or something, for super-archival 4000 year proven quality at a bargain. I have thought about making one for a while- a sort of dot-matrix for clay. I think it would be fun!


    I think it depends on what information one considers important. The more different information you have, the less durable each corpuscle of it is. The more identical, permanent, memorable information you have, the more durable it will be. Of course, I think it would be difficult to put audio on a clay tablets, but not lyrics. We have the songs to Inanna by Enheduanna [about.com] even today- that's some star power.

  • Re:NIST Study (Score:2, Interesting)

    by Yewbert ( 708667 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @03:59PM (#8942739)
    Strangely enough, the two of you have exactly equal amounts of credibility based on what you typed. Somebody please provide references to real data!

    For years now, I've been seeking out water-based markers to write on CD-Rs, and they're increasingly hard to find. The first ones I bought - Dixon Ticonderoga Redi-Sharp Plus markers - were discontinued, and I'm running out of them. Anybody know of any other specific brands/makes of water based markers?

  • Re:First of all... (Score:1, Interesting)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday April 22, 2004 @04:20PM (#8943034)
    Or, alternatively, they're too adequate (erm). Imagine some scale between 0 (perfect) and 1 (not readable). When the CD is at 0.99999 people think "oh, the CD is working perfectly; there's nothing wrong with it". Then BAM! You get that extra scratch worth 0.00001 that puts you over the edge and the CD no longer works at all.

    Maybe CD players could flash something like "hey I can't read 25% of the bits that are coming in, maybe you should make a copy of this CD" instead of working perfectly.

  • Re:CD Rot (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Yewbert ( 708667 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @04:35PM (#8943252)
    I've been a consistent audio CD-R hobbyist/trader since 1997, have burned upwards of 5000 discs, and the ONLY CD-Rs I've ever had go bad on me were ones with labels stuck on 'em - and MOST of the ones I've acquired with labels HAVE gone bad. A long time ago, I thought labels would protect the more delicate top coating of a CD-R - and over the SHORT term, for discs that are handled regularly/carelessly, maybe it's so - but over the long-term, I observed this speculation to be quite wrong. Buy a brand with a good top-coating already on it (Verbatim, Mitsui), and you're far better off.

    I've successfully used BlindRead/BlindWrite (www.blindread.com) to perform raw reads of otherwise unreadable discs - and I'm talking CD-Rs that can't be ripped in a CD-ROM, played in a stereo CD player or *anything*. BlindRead instructs the reading device to ignore the error-correction encoding, which may only confuse matters when the disc is mechanically damaged/degraded. Once read in (as an "image") and burned to a second (usually RW, to conserve resources) disc, I could frequently recover the content in sufficiently flawless (for audio, at least) condition for material for which I had no other source. A few discs were just lost completely. (Taught me to NEVER erase or record over the master DAT.)

    A note on manufacturers: It's getting more difficult all the time to find blanks sourced from reputable manufacturers. a) most "brand name" blanks [Fuji, H-P, Imation, etc.] are actuallly manufactured by other companies [Ritek, CMC Magnetics, Taiyo Yuden, etc.]; b) the "name brand" companies change their sources to minimize cost at whim and with no notice to the consumer; c) there's usually little outward indication of the actual manufacturer to tell you, when looking at spindles of blanks on a store shelf, who made them, in order to decide which to buy.

    Up till sometime last year, Fuji and H-P sold re-branded Taiyo Yuden blanks. T-Y blanks have tested (in BLER tests similar to the Library of Congress studies cited in the story) as competitive with the best quality brands, FAR better than Ritek-manufactured discs and those of other mfrs. (Sorry, I don't have a ready reference for that data at hand,...) But recently, both Fuji and H-P have gone to another source - the only outward evidence of which on their packaging is a "Made in Taiwan" where there used to be a "Made in Japan" legend, and the spindles look a little different; SOMETIMES the label side of the disc is different, but not always.

    In order to determine the actual manufacturer of a blank, you need to use (on the Windows side) a utility program such as CDR-ID or Feurio (www.feurio.de), the latter of which displays the manufacturer in a pre-burn dialog box.

    As a side note, other brands whose blanks tested at the top of the curve, were those manufactured "in-house" - Verbatim, Mitsui and Kodak all make/made their own blanks, and they tended to have better quality control. Of course, they also tended to be more expensive, and Kodak has since stopped making their own blanks.

    Another thing I've noticed recently about "off-brand" CD-RW blanks (and I'd guess it's the same for CD-Rs, but I've never bought any CD-Rs branded by these low-budget outfits), is that it appears that ValuDisc (ValueDisc? Valu-Disc?) and possibly KHypermedia blanks are REJECTS from other re-branders. I snagged a spindle of Valu-Disc CD-RWs on a free-after-rebate deal at OfficeMax a couple weeks ago. On close inspection, the top coating appears to be a thick blue dye/paint layer, made from many, many skewed layers of logo-print, all in the same color, and augmented with a few solid layers, apparently in order to disguise a logo that had originally been applied to the surface of the disc. Anybody know anything about this? Are they selling blanks that were labelled for one reseller, rejected "en batch" by that seller's QC, and then painted over to cover the original branding? I've not written data to any of them yet, and so don't know how they perform,...

  • Magneto Optic (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Ask-A-Nerd ( 590961 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @05:49PM (#8944152)
    I was one of the original developers for Magneto Optic for MaxOptics and Pinnacle Micro Systems approx 20 years ago. I still have media recorded back then on truly rewritable optical media that is 100% flawless to this day. And all this is on Plastic Media. I never did understand why magneto optic didn't catch on more. The Glass Media units I'm sure would go to 100+ years and were tested in Europe for the telephone and data companys 20 years ago, and the last I heard they still hadn't seen a single cartridge with glass media go bad.
  • by superyooser ( 100462 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @06:43PM (#8944587) Homepage Journal
    I went searching for the answer. Warping. It seems that this is a recommendation carried over from the wisdom concerning vinyl records to videodiscs and now to CDs. I think the advice is more applicable to large discs and needs to be heeded for CDs only for the utmost crucial data or paranoid users. Some online guides specifically say it doesn't matter whether CDs are stored horizontally or vertically. Judging from what I found through Google, it appears to be a very minor consideration for small discs. Heat is a much bigger factor.

    For the record, here's what the Council on Library and Information Resources says [clir.org] (emphasis mine):

    Flexing (bending) the disc by any means, such as removing it from a jewel case or sitting on it, may harm the disc by causing stresses.
    The disc should be stored in its case and placed vertically, like a book, on a shelf. Long-term horizontal storage, particularly in a heated environment, can cause the disc to become permanently bowed. While the data may still be intact, the disc may not operate properly in the drive or permit the laser to follow the track. The maximum degree of flex (bend) or number of times a disc can be flexed before it incurs damage is not known. To minimize the risk of damage, it is better to avoid flexing discs.
    Is this just theory or does it really happen? Does anybody have a CD or DVD that became warped because of storing it horizontally? Almost all disc storage towers and cases hold them horizontally.
  • Ozymandias (Score:3, Interesting)

    by lostboy2 ( 194153 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @08:24PM (#8945392)
    Reminds me of that poem by Percy Bysshe Shelley:

    I met a traveller from an antique land,
    Who said -- "Two vast and trunkless legs of stone
    Stand in the desert... Near them, on the sand,
    Half sunk a shattered visage lies, whose frown,
    And wrinkled lip, and sneer of cold command,
    Tell that its sculptor well those passions read
    Which yet survive, stamped on these lifeless things
    The hand that mocked them, and the heart that fed;
    And on the pedestal, these words appear:
    My name is Ozymandias, King of Kings,
    Look on my Works, ye Mighty and despair!
    Nothing beside remains. Round the decay
    Of that colossal Wreck, boundless and bare
    The lone and level sands stretch far away."
  • by achurch ( 201270 ) on Thursday April 22, 2004 @10:19PM (#8946026) Homepage

    That's probably because CD writers use CAV (constant angular velocity) for writing speeds above 12x. CDs were originally developed to use CLV (constant linear velocity), meaning that the rotation speed slows down as the head goes toward the outer edge of the disc--if you have an older CD player that lets you see the spindle or CD while it's spinning you can verify this (it's easiest to see when the head is seeking from one edge to the other). I'm not an expert in CD technology, but I've had similar results using discs burned at 12x vs. 24x on a 24x writer--the 12x discs work better in older players and CD-ROM drives--and I suspect it's because of differences in the way the disc is written between CAV and CLV.

    If I'm talking out of my ass, I'm sure someone will correct me . . .

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