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Mercedes To Phase Out Gasoline By 2015

Posted by kdawson on Tue Jul 08, 2008 03:55 PM
from the what-no-flying-monkeys dept.
arbitraryaardvark sends in a story a couple of weeks back in Yahoo's Ecogeek blog, reporting that Mercedes will phase out petroleum-powered cars by 2015 (mirror), and notes: "Story is unconfirmed but well sourced." "In less than 7 years, Mercedes-Benz plans to ditch petroleum-powered vehicles from its lineup. Focusing on electric, fuel cell, and biofuels, the company is revving up research in alternative fuel sources and efficiency."
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  • Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

    by RabidMoose (746680) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @03:57PM (#24105849) Homepage
    Maybe this precedent (if true) will prompt the other automakers to follow?
    • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

      by digitrev (989335) <digitrev@hotmail.com> on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:04PM (#24105975) Homepage
      Only if the technologies aren't locked up and hidden away by patents. The fact is, we either need a better infrastructure (so electric cars are possible), or a reasonable and standard selection of fuels. If the average consumer has to think too hard about which fuel his car uses, he won't be getting that car. Of course, the real solution is to get urban centers off of a car based infrastructure, and go to a different system, such as good subway or bus system, coupled with a public taxi type system, as in Hominids [wikipedia.org] , by Robert J. Sawyer.
      • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

        by eln (21727) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:11PM (#24106091) Homepage

        If electric cars can be made to charge from ordinary outlets, isn't the infrastructure already there? I suppose the trick would be to get the cars to charge fast enough and/or to last long enough on one charge that you don't have to stop every 4 hours to charge the car for 12 hours at a time, but assuming we can solve that, replacing all those gas pumps at fuel stations with extra outlets shouldn't be that big of a deal.

        Basically, I think electric cars are the only real way to handle this stuff long term, but battery technology has to get better. Today's batteries are too heavy and don't last long enough.

        I think better public transit is a good step, but I don't think you can put the private vehicle genie back in the bottle at this stage. People are accustomed to private transport, and the more efficient and environmentally friendly we can make that private transport the better.

        • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Informative)

          by wattrlz (1162603) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:29PM (#24106385)

          Most electric outlets have a 15 or 20 amp breaker. That means on the best of days you're only going to be able to get 1.8 to 2.4 kw or about 2.4 to 3.2 horsepower out of it. Unless your car uses less than an average of 3hp while it's running you're going to have to charge it, or at least your spare battery pack, for a pretty long time to get any range out of it.

          • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Informative)

            by Rei (128717) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:45PM (#24107595) Homepage

            Okay, well, first let's look at some common outlets in the US. Your standard NEMA 5-15R has a 15A breaker and, while there's a nominal delivery voltage of 120V, you'll probably get 117V or so out of it. That's 1.755kW. Kitchen outlets generally have a 20A breaker, so 2.34kW. The NEMA TT-30R, the standard low-power RV outlet, is also a nominal 120V, so assuming 117V still, that's 3.51kW. Dryer outlets are split-phase, either NEMA 10-30R or 14-30R (the 14-30 ones are properly grounded; the 10-30s are grounded through the neutral). They're able to feed a nominal 240V (we'll say 234V) at 30A. That's 7.02kW The higher power equivalents, the 10-50R and 14-50R, are the standards for range outlets. The 14-50R is also the standard high-power RV socket. This is 11.7kW.

            Okay, so these are the outlets found all across the country. The RV ones are especially interesting, since RV parks can often be found in even the most remote places, and I'm sure your average RV park owner would love a new revenue stream, what with RV travel down due to high gas prices. Now, let's take an upcoming EV like the Aptera Typ-1e -- 2+1 seating, 120 miles@55mph, 70 miles@80mph, 90mph top speed, 0-60 in Oahu. They use 60kW PosiCharge fast chargers by Aerovironment. Aerovironment already makes them as big as 250kW.

            To get an idea of what sort of driving distances you can get in a given length of time and how those compare to gasoline, there's always this convenient spreadsheet [daughtersoftiresias.org]. Adjust the EV pararmeters to those of the EV of your liking. Explanations of the formulae and parameters are at the bottom.

            Oh, and as for Mercedes? Who wants to bet that they'll make one or two EV/PHEVs, one fuel cell vehicle, and do the cheap/lazy thing and simply make all of the rest of their vehicles flex-fuel capable?

        • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Interesting)

          by lgw (121541) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:30PM (#24106389) Journal

          If electric cars can be made to charge from ordinary outlets, isn't the infrastructure already there?

          Absolutely not. At least in the US, electrical power distribution networks are already are at capacity, and are not even *close* to what they'd need to be:

          * Total electrical power consumed in the US - about 12 Exajoules (for more is generated, but most power is lost in generation and distribution).

          * Total petroleum power used for transportation in the US - about 28 Exajoules.

          The way these numbers are measured, electric cars are significantly more efficient, but still we'd need to distribute *triple* the electrical power distributed in order to stop using gas for transport. That's significantly harder than replacing the tanks and pumps at every gas station.

          • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Informative)

            by Rei (128717) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:58PM (#24107761) Homepage

            Error in your logic: Electricity has already undergone Carnot losses. Gasoline hasn't. The average ICE is only about 20% efficient. The average li-ion EV is about 80% efficient when fed already-generated electricity.

            Don't take my word for it. Take the word of a peer-reviewed study from PNL conducted for the DOE [pnl.gov]. We already have enough electric infrastructure for 84% of our existing vehicle fleet to switch. Of course, not as though it's somehow *harder* to build electric infrastructure than develop new oil fields and pipelines. Just the opposite, actually -- that's largely why electricity is so much cheaper per joule.

            • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Interesting)

              by Red Flayer (890720) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:21PM (#24107225) Journal
              I've seen it proposed many times, here's the solution:

              You pull into a gas station and they swap out your battery for a completely charged one.

              You drive away and they recharge the battery.

              Problem solved.

              Of course, there are a few issues to be worked out, like standardization of batteries (or being dependent on a single chain for swaps), liability for defective/damaged batteries, etc.
                • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

                  by Red Flayer (890720) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:53PM (#24107687) Journal

                  - How would "refilling stations" store the massive number of batteries needed to support such rapid changeout procedures?

                  The same way they store liquid fuel -- in a storage container designed for the purpose.

                  How would these stations charge the batteries quickly enough for a fast turnaround?

                  That's a question of inventory on hand. See my answer to your first objection.

                  Batteries -- especially Li-Ion ones -- begin to degrade as soon as they're manufactured, usually losing 40% or more of their charge capacity in 18-24 months. How is a station going to deal with customers dropping off old battery packs and picking up new ones?

                  By factoring in the replacement cost into their pricing, either on a blanket basis, or by assessing a surcharge based upon battery age.

                  How is the station going to physically handle the battery packs? Lead-acid cells are cheap and sturdy but heavy as...well, lead. Not to mention the environmental concerns.

                  Pneumatic lifts? Hydraulic lifts? There is plenty of mechanical assistance available for lifting heavy objects. As for environmental concerns, how do garages cope with the same wrt engine coolant, petrol, motor oil, transmission fluid, etc?

                  It may, in fact, actually harm the environment if we (meaning the U.S.) turn to our most abundant power-producing resource (coal) to provide the needed power.

                  Who says we need to use coal? Maybe as a stop-gap, but nuclear and renewables are good options in the future. Especially if we reduce our wasteful need for so many vehicles. I know you mention the nuke-blockers, but most of the hard-core anti-nuke reactionaries are getting old, and I firmly believe that a massive information campaign could be successful in swaying the enough people.

                  In short, every problem has a solution, and while the economics need to be worked out, it sure seems to me that you're an obstructionist and would rather look at the problems and say, "Why bother?" than look at the problems and say "How can that be solved?".

                  I personally believe that electric cars are part of the solution in the long run, but in the short-to-medium term, we've got to work on alternative fuels that can make use of the existing infrastructure (with modifications).

      • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

        by AuMatar (183847) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:18PM (#24106217)

        Never going to happen. Nothing will ever beat the private car for convenience. Its right there, whenever you want it. Its fast, it can be used by almost anyone, regardless of physical health. No wait times to use it, no sharing it with the smelly unbathed guy, the psycho homeless person, or the screaming infant. No stops along the way. And it can be used for trips of any length, to any location, without being forced to walk a mile from a bus stop to the destination. And depending on where you're driving, it can be quite pleasant- driving in the mountains with the top down is *fun*. I've never had a fun bus ride.

        On top of that- cars, to a large portion of the population, are freedom. Freedom to go where you want, when you want. Freedom to live where you want. Freedom to just say "fuck it" one day and go on a road trip. Freedom from the clock- I don't have to leave the bar with my friends to make that last 10:30 pm bus, I can stay til closing time (assume I'm sober for this one). There is no substitute for this.

        The people will never give up their cars. Don't bother trying to make us- we won't. We'll use every last drop of gasoline first. Find a better way to power them instead, they will never go away.

        • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Interesting)

          by digitrev (989335) <digitrev@hotmail.com> on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:29PM (#24106387) Homepage
          You missed the key point of my post. I said for urban centers. I was aiming for a system like that for just intracity travel. For intercity, some suburban, and rural transportation, cars are obviously the best option. I just thought that getting people in cities to be less dependent on them (while in the city, when they want to leave, go for it) would save huge amounts of money. I've heard an apocryphal story that New York City has more cars than parking spots.

          To summarize:
          • If you live in a city, such as Ottawa, Toronto, New York, Buffalo, etc... - take a bus, take a subway, take a taxi-like system.
          • If you live near a city, such as a suburb - have park-and-rides to get into the city, make it cost money to get into the city, or have the taxi-like system come out to get you.
          • If you live in a rural area - keep your car.

          My point is not to get rid of cars, I understand that. My point is to give people better alternatives for urban transportation.

          • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

            by lymond01 (314120) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:38PM (#24106523)

            Wish I had some mod points. The car offers too much freedom to be done away with entirely. But we can design better cities and public transportation to make it so you don't need or want to use it as much.

            The town I live in is made up almost entirely of 4 lane roads (or it feels like it) -- I'd never bike there for fear of getting squish (just like grape), everything is 2 miles away from anything else, etc. I'd trade my two car garage and 1000 sq foot back yard for a decent apartment with a view if I could walk to the local wine, cheese, and bread stores, to the large park with rowboats and bike trails...heck, even throw in a movie theatre in the apartment building.

            The American Dream, last I checked, isn't suburban hell...it's raising a family in a secure, healthy environment. Planned right, even smaller towns can avoid the sprawl. But it takes planning, and buy-in from developers of corporations as well as condos.

            • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Informative)

              by painandgreed (692585) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:01PM (#24106917)
              Somehow, I don't think you've actually be in a city that has decent subways or trains before. When you can get a pass that means just hopping on a subway that will go within a few blocks of just about anywhere you'd want to go, they become much more convenient than cars or busses. Especially when considering the parking situation that we have here in Seattle. No more waiting at stop lights or for pedestrians. No looking (or paying) for the parking that you had to circle the block for fifteen minutes just to get. I won't even talk about the cost of my Capitol Hill parking space.
              • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

                by HockeyPuck (141947) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:54PM (#24107703)

                why do you assume that we all want to live in high rise apartment buildings in large cities? Can a city of 100k people support a subway system? Doubt. Maybe the county of surrounding towns can support the bus system, but surely the bus system won't be going into every neighborhood.

                Also, I and many other people on this planet live in the suburbs. I like having a lawn, not hearing heavy-footed neighbors upstairs walking around. I like grilling out in the backyard on a warm summer night. Going up to a 'rooftop garden' isn't even close to it, as how many apartments can invite their X closest friends up there?

                Sure, I guess I could load up a couple of carts with a bbq, charcoal and coolers of food/beer and walk a few blocks, get on the subway with this stuff and take that to a park, whereby if I forgot something, I'm truly f-cked, b/c I can't run back into the house and get the g-ddamn ice.

                I don't want to have to go to special cordoned off area of the city just to see grass, trees, birds and squirrels. I actually like putting up a bird feeder and seeing what shows up. Or planting a small tree when my son was born, or putting up a basketball hoop in the driveway, instead of having him walk down to the same park that 5000 other kids are trying to use.

                You may love living in the city, but I'll give up my lawnmower when you take it from my cold dead hands.

                • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Interesting)

                  by WMD_88 (843388) <kjwolff8891@yahoo.com> on Tuesday July 08 2008, @06:32PM (#24108237) Homepage Journal
                  You seem to have a skewed view of big cities. In the US, the only city that is like you describe is New York (and really only Manhattan at that). That does suck, I agree. But take another city, like Chicago, for example (I have family there so I know what it's like). I'd say a good 75% of the housing is free-standing, single-family homes, possibly more. They're a bit smaller than in the suburbs, of course, but you could do everything you describe. I hear about squirrel and raccoon problems all the time. :) And the population there is just under 3 million. My point is that there isn't that much to sacrifice in moving to a city, unless you're silly enough to live in NYC.
                • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

                  by benhattman (1258918) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @06:00PM (#24107799)
                  OH? Like how I can always park within 1 block of my destination, regardless of how popular it is?

                  Get real. In any dense city, you're parking and walking anyways.
              • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Insightful)

                by AuMatar (183847) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:09PM (#24107027)

                Automated toll roads won't happen either. Any city council who tried to push that stuff through would quickly find himself out of a job. You'd end up pissing off

                *All the business owners downtown
                *All the people who live downtown
                *All the people who work downtown
                *All the people who go downtown semi-regularly

                The only people you'd make happy are
                *The people who go downtown once in a long while. And maybe not even them.

                Despite what some ultra left Sierra Club people want, that kind of tolling isn't going to fly anywhere in the US. It works in Europe only because downtown infrastructures predate the car and they have to restrict the number of cars going into the area. There's no such excuse for any American city.

        • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Interesting)

          by xaxa (988988) <<ue.etoibmys> <ta> <todhsals>> on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:29PM (#24107343) Homepage

          Never going to happen. Nothing will ever beat the private car for convenience.

          No? How about walking out of your house and to the nearest subway station (for me, 4 minutes), waiting for the next train (3-8 minutes, depending on the time of day) and being taken to your destination, or within a five-minute walk of it. There's no need to buy fuel, no need to have a car serviced, freedom to do what I want while I travel (read, use a phone, sleep, be drunk), much greater safety.

          The car is only convenient if the place you live has been shaped around its use.

          Its right there, whenever you want it.

          So is a good transportation network. Your car isn't available if you've drunk alcohol, or if you're really tired.

          Its fast, it can be used by almost anyone, regardless of physical health. No wait times to use it,

          Traffic lights, junctions, traffic jams, filling with petrol, servicing, cleaning it.

          no sharing it with the smelly unbathed guy, the psycho homeless person, or the screaming infant.

          Hardly ever a problem round here.

          No stops along the way.

          Do you have traffic lights?

          And it can be used for trips of any length, to any location, without being forced to walk a mile from a bus stop to the destination.

          Unless the place you want to go to is on a road which forbids cars (quite common in Europe in the centre of towns and cities). And in any case, that just means there aren't enough bus routes.

          And depending on where you're driving, it can be quite pleasant- driving in the mountains with the top down is *fun*. I've never had a fun bus ride.

          Bus rides are usually commutes to work, done out of need rather than for pleasure. Driving in the mountains with the top down is different, that's for pleasure. I've never had a fun commute to work in a car (though I used to like my commute by train, the scenery was nice).

          On top of that- cars, to a large portion of the population, are freedom. Freedom to go where you want, when you want. Freedom to live where you want. Freedom to just say "fuck it" one day and go on a road trip. Freedom from the clock- I don't have to leave the bar with my friends to make that last 10:30 pm bus, I can stay til closing time (assume I'm sober for this one). There is no substitute for this.

          A decent transportation system is an excellent substitute. If the buses run all night you can stay as late as you like (and drink as much as you like).

          The people will never give up their cars. Don't bother trying to make us- we won't. We'll use every last drop of gasoline first. Find a better way to power them instead, they will never go away.

          The distance driven in Britain is falling, the distance travelled by rail is increasing. I read that the yearly distance driven by Americans didn't increase for the first time for years too.

            • Re:Thank god! (Score:5, Interesting)

              by Red Flayer (890720) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @06:06PM (#24107879) Journal

              Really pulled from your ass. Even in an inner city, assuming you have to pay for parking at one end and work pays at the other, a car won't cost more than 250 a month in maintenance, parking, and fuel. Less if you own the parking spot. Busing will still cost about 100 a month. And that may be overestimating- it really depends on fuel costs, I get to and from on 1 gallon/day and own my spot, so the difference is about 50 bucks. Yup, I have no problem paying that- it'd be worth it at 10 times that.

              You're kidding right? Have you done the numbers yourself, or are you also pulling figures from the same place I did? (Well, not the _same_ place, since I'll assume you pulled them from your ass, and I pulled from mine :) )

              If you live in the inner city, look at:
              $100/mo for insurance (+/-)
              $100-200/mo for parking (more if you're in Manhattan).
              Inner city is a bad example for fuel, but a good guestimate would be $25/mo for a very short commute. Average commute probably ranges from 10-30 miles each way, so 200-600 miles per month @ (very generously) 30 mi/gal == 6-20 gal or roughly $25-$80/mo. Actual figures are probably more like $50-$200.mo.
              Car payment (lease) say $300/mo. Car payment (purchased) say $150/mo factoring in life of vehicle. Maintenance say $50/mo over life of car (again, on the low side).

              So, realistically, you're looking at $600 per month.

              Now look at mass transit. I was paying $320/mo for railpass and subway card. Add in $150/mo for car rental for weekend trips, and it's still better than owning a car. Never mind the fact that parking would have cost me $500 for both sides, plus tolls.

              OK, so NY is an extreme. But you are severely underestimating the cost of owning and operating a car.

  • by RichMan (8097) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @03:58PM (#24105865)

    GM failed to appreciate the coming change.

    Good for Mercedes to be acting ahead of the curve. That is how you build technology and establish markets and presence.

    Nobody killed the electric car. They killed their own opportunity. [wikipedia.org]

    • by John Hasler (414242) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:08PM (#24106031)

      Don't get too excited. It will be difficult to make a "biofuel" engine that won't run just fine on petroleum. And they won't try. As soon as they have biofuel capability across their product lines they will declare themselves "green" regardless of what the customers are actually putting in the tanks.

    • by reidconti (219106) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:40PM (#24106557)

      That's right, all of the "buy American" dolts destroyed the American auto industry. That is, the American-based carmakers, I'm not talking about foreign companies that build cars in the US like Honda and Toyota and BMW and Mercedes and.. well, probably just about everyone. For what it's worth, my BMW was built in South Carolina, and the quality is identical to the previous one built at the Motorsport factory in Germany, which is to say pretty damn good.

      My car's in the (body) shop and I ended up with a Ford Taurus rental. 2 miles down the road and I concluded that every person involved in the Taurus should be immediately fired. The car sucked so much that I took it back the next day and ended up with a Mazda 6 instead (which I know from previous rentals to be a decent car).

      The Taurus is a wholly incompetent car. I shudder to think that it was built in 2007. It droves like a 1984 Lincoln. Wallows all over the place, can't turn, can't brake, slow as hell, doesn't track straight, hard to see out of, big enough to require its own zip code, and ugly as sin, inside and out.

      So, thanks for continuing to "buy American", thereby allowing our auto industry to maintain sales despite utterly worthless products.

      Though I admit the Focus is a pretty decent car, that's actually what I had hoped to get in exchange for the Taurus.

  • I'll wait (Score:5, Insightful)

    As this isn't an official announcement, I'm not holding my breath. Sure Mercedes have been at the forefront of vehicle technology for quite some time, but do you really see their entire truck line going non-petroleum in 7 years? Maybe the passenger cars, but not the trucks.
  • unconfirmed (Score:5, Funny)

    by Lord Ender (156273) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @03:59PM (#24105901) Homepage

    Well if a blog says it's "well sourced," that's good enough for me!

  • by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:00PM (#24105911)

    are still left in the 70's building 5 litre v8 guzzlers with solid rear axles

    though looking at GM and Fords financial statements they wont be building much of anything if they dont change, fast.

  • Gasoline (Score:5, Informative)

    by QuoteMstr (55051) <dan.colascione@gmail.com> on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:11PM (#24106089)

    No matter how we choose to generate power in the future, we have very few options for switching to anything other than gasoline for transporting that power.

    Gasoline has a fantastic energy density. A 14 gallon tank of the stuff contains 491.2 kilowatt-hours of energy ($68 in electricity at New York rates [michaelbluejay.com]), and the gasoline itself only weighs 81 pounds. If you fill up the tank in five minutes, you're transferring power at 7.368 megawatts. Can you imagine what kind of electrical infrastructure you would need to transfer the same power over mere wires?

    About the only alternative I can imagine that would be comparable would be to hot-swap whole huge batteries at gas stations.

    No, I think we'll be using gasoline, or at least a similar liquid fuel, for quite a while.

    • Incorrect Conversion (Score:5, Informative)

      by sampson7 (536545) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:52PM (#24106765)

      Wrong on several levels.

      First, the math:

      491 kilowatt-hours = 0.491 megawatt-hours.

      0.491 MWh over 5 minutes = 5.892 MWs of energy.

      Second, you are ignoring efficiency:

      5.8 MWs of energy is far more than it takes to move a car. Gasoline engines are remarkably ineffecient at converting all that energy into actual power.

      Third, and most importantly:

      "If it were possible for human beings to digest gasoline, a gallon would contain about 31,000 food calories -- the energy in a gallon of gasoline is equivalent to the energy in about 110 McDonalds hamburgers!"

      Soure: http://science.howstuffworks.com/gasoline1.htm [howstuffworks.com]

      (Okay, so maybe not most importantly, but it's the coolest.)

    • Re:Gasoline (Score:5, Informative)

      by Anonymous Coward on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:09PM (#24107035)

      You're forgetting the relative efficiency of the motors.

      Gasoline engines are only about 25% efficient once drivetrain loss is taken into consideration. A 250hp electric motor is close to 95% efficient. With no drivetrain loss if you use lightweight electric motors inside each wheel. So you don't need to store as much energy on the vehicle in the first place.

      ie: Of the 491.2kW/h energy you fuel up with, you only make use of 122.8kW/h in a gasoline car.

      That lower number should be the storage target for an electric vehicle with comparable performance (and cost $17 using your rates). And you get other efficiency boosters almost for free: regenerative braking; freedom to change the shape of the car for efficiency because you don't have to worry about placing the engine above the wheels.

      So you're overestimating the magnitude of the problem - and of the design freedoms that come with a switch to electric operation. It is a problem that will be solved within our lifetimes.

  • EV1 revisited (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Nonillion (266505) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:32PM (#24106427)

    You know, GM really stepped on it's dick when it decided to crush the EV1. Here they had the chance to become the biggest auto manufacture on the planet, design a fully electric car, nearly maintenance free. Nickel metal hydride batteries that would outlast the life of the car, a motor good for a 1,000,000+ miles, regenerative breaking, would go 130+ miles between charges (NiMH), 300+ with L-ion.

    If I had the chance I would buy a fully electric car, my commute is 60 miles round trip. However, not using gas would get me labeled as a thief by the state and federal governments since I wouldn't be paying the gas tax that never seems to go towards it's intended purpose (and never goes down when said road project is finished).

  • by Budenny (888916) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:35PM (#24106487)

    As usual, people assume that the problem is the fuel. Its not. Its the lifestyle. People are right to say that nothing can replace gasoline for the lifestyle we currently live. That is why the lifestyle is going to change, because there is not going to be affordable gasoline enough to live like that, and there are going to be no substitutes.

    Folks, the 20th century is over. It was great while it lasted, suburbs, drive ins, shopping malls, long distance commutes. But its over. What is going to replace it will not be different fuels, electric cars, whatever. What will replace it is commuting by mass transit, living closer to where you work, moving into high density cities, walking to shops. Biking to work in some places. It will be a lot like Europe in the fifties. The suburbs will vanish.

    And you won't like it.

  • by Burning1 (204959) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @06:13PM (#24107991) Homepage

    As an interesting note, an engine designed with ethanol in mind will actually produce more power than a gasoline vehicle of similar displacement. This is because, while ethanol has a lower energy density per volume of fuel, it has a much higher octane rating and a higher synchromatic reatio (you can burn more fuel for a particular volume of air.) So, you can design an engine to run at a much higher compression for better efficiency (more power from the same amount of fuel,) or you can design a turbo engine to run with more boost (useful in a flex fuel design.)

    A great example of this is the Koenigsegg CCXR [wikipedia.org]

    There are other issues with Ethanol, however. Some countries with a primarily agricultural economy are converting much of their production to produce bio-fuel. This is exasperating some of the world starvation issues.

    • Re:In other news (Score:5, Insightful)

      by AuMatar (183847) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @03:58PM (#24105877)

      Why? Nobody really gives a damn what fuels their cars, they care about cost and acceptable performance (can I make 70-80 on the freeway, or will I have a top speed of 40). If they can solve the problem of refueling infrastructure and sufficient mileage per refuel, there's no reason why not to go with a non-gas car.

      • by RichMan (8097) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:02PM (#24105943)

        Nobody really gives a damn what fuels their cars, they care about cost and acceptable performance (can I make 70-80 on the freeway, or will I have a top speed of 40). If they can solve the problem of refueling infrastructure and sufficient mileage per refuel, there's no reason why not to go with a non-gas car.

        you want this [teslamotors.com]

        • by eln (21727) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:06PM (#24106007) Homepage

          How does a car that costs $109,000 address the "cost" concern? Sure, Mercedes vehicles aren't exactly the cheapest, but few of their models go for over 6 figures.

          • by frosty_tsm (933163) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:44PM (#24106613)
            This raises one issue as to why Mercedes might actually be the best car company to make this jump. Their cars are luxury ones, not aimed at the Everyman. Their customers would be able to afford the fancy technologies and pay for the investment in infrastructure. Once one company does it and succeeds, others will follow.
              • by Smeagel (682550) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:34PM (#24107415)
                Because electric motors get nearly 100% efficiency from the electricity put into them, and power plants get CONSIDERABLY more energy out of fuel than gasoline car engines do (and usually use higher energy fuels than gasoline as well). Compared to $4 a gallon for really inefficient burning, it does cost close to zero dollars.

                On TOP of this, Tesla is looking into distributing solar panels for your roof with the car that would be able to generate about 50 miles a day in energy. So if you travel less than 50 miles a day you would be driving completely for free.

                Also maintenance of an electric motor is significantly cheaper than that of a traditional gas engine in a car, due to significantly less moving parts and not constantly trying to harness mini-explosions for power.

          • by Bryansix (761547) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:35PM (#24106479) Homepage
            This is the most uninformed post on an electric car ever. You do realize that the Tesla is faster then the Elise? Plus it was designed with the help of Lotus. But the main flaw in your argument is the assumption that the Tesla NEEDS any gears at all. It has two gears but it could survive with one because there is almost no curve to the torque output so there is no need to shift.
        • Re:In other news (Score:5, Insightful)

          by LandDolphin (1202876) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:30PM (#24106405)
          "lot of us do care"

          With 300 million people in America and 6 billion in the world, "a lot" of people do a lot of things. But the Majority does not care.
        • Re:In other news (Score:5, Insightful)

          by NoodleSlayer (603762) <ryan AT severeboredom DOT com> on Tuesday July 08 2008, @05:21PM (#24107215) Homepage

          Mass Transit? California? Hah. California performs an epic fail when it comes to public transit.

          In the Bay Area no one single public transit system will get you around the whole bay. Getting from say Oakland to San Jose requires a number of rather inconvenient transfers. Actually trying to get around San Jose at all on public transit is a mess. BART was supposed to go to San Jose, but never did and trying to get funding to finish it has become a bureaucratic nightmare.

          Down south, supposedly there's a subway system in LA but I've never met anyone that's actually used it. I think it exists purely so east coast writers can use it in their movie plots. Wikipedia lists its ridership as being 258,710 in a county with 9 million people. (NYC's subway system by comparison has 5mil daily riders). Southern California (and the whole state really) is very car centric, which is partly why the traffic around LA is so messed up.

          As for trying to get between the major population centers in California (let's say, The Bay Area, LA, San Diego and Sacramento), your only options pretty much are Amtrak and Greyhound, both of which generally cost more then the cost in gas to just drive to whatever your destination is---assuming you have a car which most Californians do. If you start taking into account multiple passengers then the cost difference really becomes noticeable.

          There is one potentially bright spot though. If high speed rail actually could somehow materialize into a reality it could offer a compelling alternative to driving or flying, in reasonable time. A major bond measure is on the November ballot to support funding for building the high speed train network in California. (Not to mention could actually solve the SJ to SF issue--- now if they'd only add a line along the Central Coast.)

            • Re:In other news (Score:5, Insightful)

              by gnick (1211984) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:32PM (#24106433) Homepage

              There are a lot of great reasons to bike, but $$ isn't one of them.

              It is in this city -- and, I imagine, many others -- but that's due to how expensive it is to park rather than gas.

              Good call - I've never had to work anywhere where I had to pay for my own parking. I only factored in price-per-mile (and left out all kinds of random overhead - If you can actually eliminate a car from your life, it makes a big difference). Sometimes I forget that not everyone shares my life-style - Shallow, I know.

              Cheers.

      • Re:In other news (Score:5, Interesting)

        by bsDaemon (87307) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:14PM (#24106159) Homepage

        the USA only seems to import the luxury cars from Europe. In Spain and Italy, I have seen Mercedes-Benz garbage trucks, which shocked the hell out of my the first time when I was 15. Trips since then, barely noticed.

        But the thing about a lot of Mercedes and BMWs and stuff -- especially the older ones: turbo diesel engines. Can't any diesel engine run biodisel unmodified? That was my understanding.

        • by Joce640k (829181) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:21PM (#24106267) Homepage

          Mercedes truck division is way bigger than its car division.

          And plenty of Italian farmers drive a Lambo [lamborghini-tractors.com] to work.

          • Re:In other news (Score:5, Interesting)

            by LWATCDR (28044) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:31PM (#24106415) Homepage Journal

            You only have to swap out fuel lines on pretty old diesels. The injectors should be no problem.
            The only real problem with bio diesel is that it tends to "clean" old diesel engines. You get a bunch of old crude floating around and hopefully clogging your filters.
            Any modern diesel can run bio right now. Now straight vegetable oil takes some mods.
            So to meet the goals all MB has to do is drop there gasoline power plants.
            Of course what people tend to forget is that you can make gasoline from a lot of non petroleum sources including water and air. The only thing that prevents it is cost.

          • Re:In other news (Score:5, Informative)

            by 0100010001010011 (652467) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:43PM (#24106597)

            Which is a perfectly good way to ruin a new diesel engine.

            WVO/SVO is great in theory, but once you add modern high pressure common rail or unit injector fuel systems WVO causes nothing but havoc. There are numerous reports of failures on WVO/SVO. Injectors sticking open and burning holes in pistons, etc.

            Keep your WVO/SVO for your 80's Benz. The future will be GTL and designer BioD.

    • by realmolo (574068) on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:15PM (#24106167)
      "Until we convert to completely non-combustive and non-fissile energy production..."

      Why would we phase out fissile energy? We should be using that for everything. Nuclear power is the best thing we have.

      "Besides, the vehicles will still probably depend on petroleum-based products for lubricants."

      Not so much, actually. If you have a 100% electrically-powered car, you simply put an electric motor on every wheel. Electric motors don't need much lubrication.
      • Re:biofuels (Score:5, Informative)

        by hansraj (458504) * on Tuesday July 08 2008, @04:29PM (#24106381)

        Perhaps what the OP meant was that as producing corn becomes more profitable, farmers will switch to producing corn instead of other crops, thus creating a scarcity of *those* grains and raising the price of food in general. A big chunk of world already finds it hard to afford food and hence the conclusion of people starving if prices rose further.