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Seagate Plans 37.5TB HDD Within Matter of Years

Posted by Zonk on Fri Jan 05, 2007 09:29 AM
from the lot-of-pr0n dept.
Ralph_19 writes "Wired visited Seagate's R&D labs and learned we can expect 3.5-inch 300-terabit hard drives within a matter of years. Currently Seagate is using perpendicular recording but in the next decade we can expect heat-assisted magnetic recording (HARM), which will boost storage densities to as much as 50 terabits per square inch. The technology allows a smaller number of grains to be used for each bit of data, taking advantage of high-stability magnetic compounds such as iron platinum." In the meantime, Hitachi is shipping a 1 TB HDD sometime this year. It is expected to retail for $399.
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  • Terabits??? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 05 2007, @09:34AM (#17472926)
    It's bad enough that hard drive manufacturers are dead set on confusing people with 1,000,000,000-byte GBs. Do they really need to start throwing around figures in Terabits? Seriously, enough is enough...
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      The kilo/mega/tera/etc comes from metric, not the computing industry. A kilometer is 1000 meters, not 1024 meters.

      I do agree on the "bit vs byte" part, though.
        • Re:Terabits??? (Score:4, Informative)

          by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 05 2007, @10:15AM (#17473558)
          actually they are. according to IEC 60027-2 [wikipedia.org]
          1 kilobyte (kB) = 1000 bytes
          1 kibibyte (kiB) = 1024 bytes

          come on, the original specs date back from 1999.
          • Re:Terabits??? (Score:4, Insightful)

            by TheRaven64 (641858) on Friday January 05 2007, @12:48PM (#17476208) Homepage Journal
            1KB was used to describe 1024 Bytes earlier than 1980. Standards that come along and re-define terms in common usage decades after their first use should be ignored, and are by everyone except those marketing hard drives.
            • Standards that come along and re-define terms in common usage decades after their first use should be ignored, and are by everyone except those marketing hard drives.

              ...and Slashdot pedants.
            • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

              Man, you really need to check out some more standards. Very many transmission standards use 1kB = 1000B. Video codecs and other streaming stuff too. In short, it's a mess that people get caught up in all the time, not just when buying HDDs. Besides by your very own argument, it never should have been 1kB = 1024B in the first place. The prefixes are univeral across all sciences and in daily speech (e.g. kilometer, kilogram), and it was computer scientists who "came along and re-defined terms in common usage
        • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

          It's the OS manufacturers that need to get up to speed. The definition of GB is 1,000,000,000 bytes. You're thinking of GiB. See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binary_prefix [wikipedia.org]
            • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

              Yes, Giga is latin for billion (10^9).

              So get off you high horse and admit that it is the computer scientists fault for trying to change the definitions of an already existing prefix system to fit their own domain.

          • Nothing, because they're elitist idiots. As a civil engineer and computer scientist, I'll tell you this: there is no such thing as "software engineering!" If there were, the liability settlements alone would have killed off the entire industry years ago.

    • It's not that any of them are dead set on it. It's a cold war. For example, if Seagate decided that it needed to get right with its consumers and started labeling its disks accurately, then Maxtor, WD, etc would have the competitive advantage because their drives of identical capacity would be labeled as having more space. Ultimately, it's the consumer's fault for not reading the fine print on the boxes he buys. If Seagate (or any other manufacturer) could trust its consumers to be informed enough not to bu
  • by LibertineR (591918) on Friday January 05 2007, @09:34AM (#17472940)
    I want to see the tape drive for that thing, Bitches.
    • Easy. Delegate the backups to your worst enemy.

      At $399, you could buy a bunch of them and use them in a rotating backup, periodically sending one offsite. Or use it as the destination for nearline backups of everything else on your network.
      • by LibertineR (591918) on Friday January 05 2007, @09:59AM (#17473304)
        I swear to God this is true. I had a client ask me to create two partitions on a 500G drive, which was loaded with 200G of medical insurance claims. When I asked why, he said that although he didnt want to buy another drive, he understood the importance of having a backup for his data.

        I sprained a rib, choking back a laugh.

        • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

          It depends on what the "backup" is for. If it's for disaster recovery, then you are right. But if it was a on-line backup in case of an "Oh shit I didn't mean to delete that" type of thing, then dual partitions can make sense.

        • When I asked why, he said that although he didnt want to buy another drive, he understood the importance of having a backup for his data.

          Well, obviously he's not going to be protected from a failure of the drive mechanism. But his strategy isn't totally useless. By copying to a seperate partition he's protected himself from accidental erasure, and corruption of the data (though software that either corrupts it, or from a power failure).

          It's really a poor mans archival mechanism. I'd argue that data corru
      • Re:Backup Solution? (Score:4, Interesting)

        by segfaultcoredump (226031) on Friday January 05 2007, @11:27AM (#17474796)
        Ok, so you are spending $399 for a 1TB drive. Compare this to a 400G (uncompressed) LTO-3 tape @ $50 per tape (price is good as of yesterday when I ordered another 100 LTO-3 tapes). Your drive is about 3x as expensive.

        The tape is still cheaper. It also takes up less space on my shelf and I can drop it and not worry about loosing anything.

        I am looking at these drives for the front end disk array that I use in my d2d2t setup (disk -> disk -> tape). Given about 40 of them I can keep 2-3 weeks of backups online in the disk and then destage to tape for the offsite vault and archive backups. This way restores of recent data is almost instant (no need to mount and seek to the spot in the tape), but the old archives cost me less and I save on power and cooling (the tape library expansion modules take no additional power. its just a shelf with tape slots).

        Its not an either/or choice. Most folks with any real amount of data to backup use both.
    • by Penguinisto (415985) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:16AM (#17473572) Journal
      ...the tape will be in a cartridge that holds a spool 65cm in diameter, holds approximately 600TB (1200TB w/ compression) and will require an autoloader that eats at least one rack for the entry-level 8-tape kit. /dev/nst0 will weigh in at 38kg, and cleaning will require a tape w/ 6000-grit sandpaper in place of media.

      All BS aside: you do bring up an excellent point. I'm a guy who has to do backup/recovery, and I've found that even a fully compressed LTO-3 will barely --just barely-- hold up to 1.2TB if you rig it right (by combining hardware/software compression, and the love that Bacula gives it (though admittedly sparse file handling most likely has inflated the reported amount of stuff).

      Anyrate, that boils down to --maybe-- two full HDD's if the two are 500GB SATAs.

      The good news is, after you pare down the crap you really don't need to backup, it usually isn't all that much for most companies. You can safely exclude out most of the OS itself for starters... w/ kickstart on RHEL and a .ks file that replicates what you've got on a given server (partitions, packages, etc), you can cut a LOT out.

      Even more good news - if you get up a monster RAID array of similar drives (full SAN kitting or just attached to a big ol' server, no biggie), you can use it instead of tapes for most of your day-to-day backup. Then latch your tape drive or autoloader onto it and only commit to tape the reallly vital stuff that requires a long retention period. Most backup software suites (even Bacula) support writing to file as well as tape, so this shouldn't be too big of a problem for a sysadmin if s/he knows what s/he's doing.

      Adaptation and all that.

      But then, most of the servers in my care consist of a pile of RAID5'ed SCSI drives that range 36-140GB in size... and I doubt that most of them will get much bigger before it's time to replace the servers themselves. Just because you can get monster capacity on a single drive, doesn't mean that you need to or even want to.

      Now if I already had a monster robotic multi-drive tape library running 24/7 now, and the boss wants to up the HDD capacity on a given pile of servers because he pretty much has to? Yeah. That would require a lot more thought and planning, and at that stage of the game a disk backup solution similar to what's been outlined above would be big and ugly, but would pretty much be what you're stuck with having to do.

      ...at least until they come out with the LTO-48 ;)

    • by Lethyos (408045) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:21AM (#17473664) Journal

      The cost, longevity, performance, and capacity is completely inferior to making backups of disks onto other disks, and has been for quite some time. I have no idea why people ever stick with tape at all these days other than for nostalgia. Does it feel good to have a cartridge using a remarkably old fashion approach to data storage or are people just ill-informed?

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        "I have no idea why people ever stick with tape at all these days other than for nostalgia."

        ...because it's easier (and far less nerve-wracking) to hand over a case full of tapes to the offsite storage courier, knowing full well that he's prolly going to just (literally) throw the thing into the back of his truck and hurry off to the next client?

        True disaster recovery planning involves offsite storage of data IMHO, and tape is hella easier to transport than HDDs. Also, you don't have to worry about what

      • by clydemaxwell (935315) on Friday January 05 2007, @11:33AM (#17474874) Homepage
        Who the hell modded you up? You have obviously never been involved in a large-scale backup solution.
        Disks DIE. Tapes rarely do (comparatively). Tapes, although slow and linear, are incredibly durable.

        HDDs aren't exactly volatile, but they are a heck of a lot more susceptible to corruption and failure due to the fact that you have both a magnetic storage medium AND the circuitry to power and control it on one device. And if one dies, you're pretty much fucked. A tape is only one of these, and is simpler and more reliable.

        So why do we do things the old-fashioned way? Because it FSCKING WORKS!!
      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        There is one big reason: Sysadmins won't have a heart attack if a tape clatters to the floor.

        Tape has been engineered for decades for reliability. A tape cartridge doesn't have much in the way of moving parts compared to a hard disk that can go out of whack, and modern tapes like DLTs, it will take more than a clatter to the floor to make the tape unreadable.

        Hard disks are great, but way too fragile for serious backups. However, I wish tape drives and tapes would come down in price like hard drives... th
  • That's great. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Aladrin (926209) on Friday January 05 2007, @09:39AM (#17472998)
    That's a great amount of storage and a great price, but what about some REAL information: Speed, heat, power consumption. If for the same price I can run 4 250gb drives and save on heat and increase speed, this doesn't make sense to do. If I can run 6 and RAID them, and gain security, it really doesn't make sense.

    The largest drive in the world isn't any use to me if it's slower than a 3.5" floppy or I can use it to replace my space heater.
    • Re:That's great. (Score:5, Informative)

      by ImdatS (958642) on Friday January 05 2007, @09:45AM (#17473106) Homepage
      Just quickly, the specs I found for the Hitachi Drive:

      - 5 discs, two heads each, rotating at 7200 RPM
      - 1070Mbps transfer rate
      - 8,7ms avg seek time
      - 4,17ms avg latency
      - around 9 watts power consumption while in "inactive-mode" (NOT reading or writing)

      Hope this helps

      • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

        As for noise: does anyone have an idea of how loud is 2.9-3.2 bels (typical) ?
        1 Bel = 10 dB. 30 dB is about the same as a quiet whisper, leaves rustling, or a typical library.
  • Well, I like my pasta primevera on heated plates but I am not so sure I would put 37 TB of my data on platters that get heated repeatedly, till some independant testing shows the durability of the data.
  • by cliffski (65094) on Friday January 05 2007, @09:56AM (#17473272) Homepage
    Ok, so on the more general point of high capacity 3.5 inch drives, Does anyone really need these? In my experience, PC hard disks are already way too big. A friend of mine uses his 100 gig drive for some emailing, websurfing, playing a few games, and music playback. Last time I checked his PC it was over 85% empty. And most of the space that was consumed was the O/S.
    All a bigger drive gives joe average is a longer defrag time, and longer search time. I'd hazard a guess that 80% of current domestic end-user drive space is currently empty.
    Sure, many slashdotters will have filled their disks with all manner of stuff. I'm a developer, and the obj files alone for games stretching back 10 years certainly take a up a huge chunk of my disk, but we aren't average joes.
    I'll get a new PC next year for vista (I need it for checking games compatibility) and no doubt it will come with a 500-1000GB drive as standard. I'd rather it didn't, I've got by for years with my 80gig friend here. If theyt *really* want to innovate on disks innovate here:

    Power consumption (esp with electricity prices going menatl as they ahve in the UK)
    Seek Time
    Cost

    Why innovate on capacity? it's the one major metric that most people have stopped caring about. I'm not being a luddite, for a long time disk capacity *was* a major issue, and we regularly ran out of space. I think that time is over.
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      I've got two 300GB hard drives on one of my computers. There's "only" 85 Gigs left on one drive and 5 Gigs remaining on the other. And I regularly clean out games I don't play anymore, and have a separate computer for testing out MSDN stuff. So, yeah we're always going to need more.
    • by Prof.Phreak (584152) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:02AM (#17473356) Homepage
      Data centers spend millions (literally) on storage. Try pricing a few hundred terabyte solutions, and you'll see.

      Besides, if you could store all of music/movies/images that where -ever- created on your home drive (not just those copies of libraries of congress), why not? I'd certainly wouldn't mind having all that storage---cheaply.
      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        Datacenters don't necessarily want larger disks. Frequently, they are performance oriented and are more interested in spreading their dataset across a larger number of spindles for increased performance. They end up using terabytes of capacity for gigabytes of data. Seagate in particular has shifted their roadmap from capacity to performance in their enterprise and business class products. High capacity is reserved mostly for end users.
    • by William_Lee (834197) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:04AM (#17473396)
      Two words... p0rn and piracy...
    • by Zenaku (821866) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:15AM (#17473546)
      It's still a major issue for me. You're right, I'm not an average joe when it comes to storage needs, but does that mean that nobody should produce a product that fills my need? My 1.2 Terabyte RAID array is full, and I am currently wondering how the hell to add more storage and migrate the data without simply building a whole new machine.

      The innovation in capacity and density is driven by the needs of enterprise users, and atypical users like me. The advances that come of it are then incorporated into lower-end drives as well. The reason that you start to see 100GB drives being the lowest capacity you can find is not because nobody could get by on less, it is because it would cost more to keep producing drives using the older technology -- each leap forward in drive technology has to be accompanied by retooling of manufacturing equipment and process, and it doesn't make a lot of fiscal sense to keep producing lower capacity drives if they cost as much or more to make as a newer one with higher capacity.

    • I think the market is right around the corner: high-definition TV.

      The PVR market has been crippled in recent years because of market confusion, and compatibility problems (will my TiVO work with my cable box, etc.), plus competition for consumers' money by HDTVs themselves.

      Once people get done buying their HDTV and paying off their credit cards, they're going to start looking at PVRs. I think that's a market that's probably going to explode in the next 5-10 years, even more than it has already. I also think you're going to see PVR functionality being built into the 'standard' cableco boxes, rather than as an upgrade. (Not that it will be free, they'll just charge everyone for it.)

      High-def TV takes up a lot of space. That means if you want to have significant PVR functionality, you need to have a lot of local storage. 37.5TB, or 300Tb (aka 300,000,000Mb, if we use the 'marketing department' definitions) would be about 4,340 hours (180 days) of 19.2Mb/s HDTV. While that seems impossibly huge, I could imagine a future PVR using it as local cache: constantly downloading and storing programming based on your preferences. Add in a big HD movie library (say the contents of your local Blockbuster) and you can give the customer the impression of many simultaneous channels, even if they only have a relatively narrow pipe. (Narrow being 1 HD channel at a time, or a 20Mb pipe -- fat by today's standards, granted.)

      Content always expands out to fill the available capacity. I remember when I first heard about the development of DVDs, back in the early 1990s. They seemed pretty ridiculously big then, too. Now I have stuff that I can't back up to DVDs, because it would be impractical to split it among so many discs as would be required. (Apple's Aperture doesn't even try to have a backup-to-DVD option, it's designed strictly to work with removable hard discs as backup 'Vaults.')

      There was a time when people thought 20MB removable media was more than a single person would ever need, though we might look back and laugh. There's going to be a time in the future when 40TB looks the same way.
  • ANOTHER LIE (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 05 2007, @10:16AM (#17473562)
    This drive will not be 1TB. It's another scam. Rather than actually be a 1GB drive, as in 1,099,511,627,776 bytes it's a 931.32~ GB drive as in 1,000,000,000,000 bytes. Yep, 69GB short of a Terabyte. It's just falsely advertised as a 1TB drive.

    Hard drive makers:
    Kilobyte = 1024 bytes
    Megabyte = 1024 kilobytes
    Gigabyte = 1024 megabytes
    Terabyte = 1024 gigabytes

    Label your fscking drives accurately.

    • Re:ANOTHER LIE (Score:5, Informative)

      by Soul-Burn666 (574119) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:48AM (#17474170) Journal
      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binary_prefix [wikipedia.org]

      Kilobyte = 1000 bytes
      Megabyte = 1000 kilobytes
      Gigabyte = 1000 megabytes
      Terabyte = 1000 gigabytes
      Kibibyte = 1024 bytes
      Mebibyte = 1024 kibibytes
      Gibibyte = 1024 mebibytes
      Tebibyte = 1024 gibibytes

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        While the names may have been officially changed in 1999 and many of us having been working on computers for far longer than that, that's just old habits dying hard - the real problem is one of a perception.

        Windows (and I assume Mac OS?) continues to display file size in terms of base 2, and HD manufacturers have bought into this base 10 thing (to make their hard drives sound larger).

        I don't care either way which one they use, as long as both groups agree on the same thing. This discrepancy between what is
    • Re:ANOTHER LIE (Score:4, Informative)

      by benzapp (464105) on Friday January 05 2007, @10:50AM (#17474204)
      Is a kilometer 1024 meters?
      Is a kilogram 1024 grams?

      It is the software makers who do not understand these historic terms. Fight the redefining of words!
  • HAMR not HARM (Score:5, Informative)

    by cheese-cube (910830) <cheese.cube@gmail.com> on Friday January 05 2007, @11:00AM (#17474346) Homepage
    It's HAMR not HARM. Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording. Here's the relevant Wikipedia article: HAMR [wikipedia.org].
    • Re:HARM (Score:4, Interesting)

      by aardvarkjoe (156801) on Friday January 05 2007, @09:42AM (#17473062)
      Although amusing, HARM is not an acronym for "Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording." Looks like Zonk didn't even read the summary again, much less the article...
      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        We had a batch come in for some IBM e-servers, and a third of them died within 6 months. Absolutely disgraceful. The ones we have running Hitachi hard drives are all still going.

        Your anecdotal experience runs contrary to most of the anecdotes I've read, most of which say that Seagate has good reliability (I've always found it to be so, at least, in the post-ST-506 era) and that hitachi drives are all big pieces of crap.

        Proof, of course, that anecdotal information is worth every penny spent on the stu

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      How does the capacity of a drive have anything to do with its seek time? Seek time is a function of how quickly the read arm can cross the radius of the platter, and to a smaller degree how fast the platter spins. The article claims they will be increasing storage density using this HARM thing so that more bits can be stored on the same amount of surface area. Seek time should not change significantly unless they make the platters larger, or spin the drive at lower RPM.
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      For "ms" read "milliseconds" not "minutes".
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      The 7200.8 does appear to have issues. The Storagereview reliability database has it ranked in the 31st percentile reliability-wise, although the limited number of entries (only 220) might be skewing the results a bit. The 7200.7 on the other hand is in the 89th percentile with nearly 800 entries. The majority of Segate products listed in the database with a statistically significant number of entries are ranked in the 90+ percentile for reliability. Personally I have installed about 300 Segate HDD's in ser
      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        As others have pointed out, the hard drive manufacturers are following the proper convention, and in fact (if you look into the history), HD manufacturers have been using the "factor of 1000" convention since the very beginning (since the first magnetic platters, really).

        I still have a 20MB hard drive that holds 20,9xx,xxx bytes on it. The switchover happened back in the 80's, and was a deliberate move by the harddrive manufacturers to deceive people. You can rattle on about standards all you want, but it