Stories
Slash Boxes
Comments

News for nerds, stuff that matters

Slashdot Log In

Log In

Create Account  |  Retrieve Password

On Electricity (Generation)

Journal written by Engineer-Poet (795260) and posted by Hemos on Mon Jan 29, 2007 10:54 AM
from the looking-at-tomorrow dept.
Engineer-Poet wrote a piece a few months back that focuses on electricity production; or rather how or what we will need to do to keep pace with people's demands while balancing that with environmental and economic impact. Lengthy but well-reasoned and good reading.
+ -
story
This discussion has been archived. No new comments can be posted.
The Fine Print: The following comments are owned by whoever posted them. We are not responsible for them in any way.
 Full
 Abbreviated
 Hidden
More
Loading... please wait.
  • They will not post what they disagree with. Try telling any green environmental lefty that Ethanol is a bad thing and show them why, and they turn their nose saying, "But, but, but, but its GREEN!"

    Good find man. I think I'll post it in a few of my discussion nodes.
    • They will not post what they disagree with. Try telling any green environmental lefty that Ethanol is a bad thing and show them why, and they turn their nose saying, "But, but, but, but its GREEN!"
      There's nothing wrong with Ethanol, save for studies 30 year out of date that are perpetuating the idea that it's energy negative. And it's not a "green" problem. It's a problem of finding an alternative fuel source before the rising prices of petrol cause too many economic problems.

      As it so happens, Ethanol is being used as an ocatane-booster additive in the majority of gasoline today. In part, it's because it's safer than cleaner than most of the chemicals previously used to improve octane ratings. Another part of it, however, is that up to 10% Ethanol mixtures are helping to lower the cost of gasoline as the prices for gas surpass that of Ethanol.
      • Wrong (Score:2, Insightful)

        Wrong wrong wrong.

        Ethanol is being used to reduce emissions on that small fraction of badly running automobiles out there. It does not have any effect on modern engines except to lower their mileage. Modern engines don't even require the "higher" octane rating, as they can compensate as required for slightly lower octane ratings.

        Ethanol actually reduces the specific energy of gasoline.

        Lastly, ethanol's true cost is in growing and producing ethanol - namely, water use and the agricultural pollution.

        Ethanol i
        • I can't wait for the luddite arguments against tide power. "But it will slow the moon down! EEEK!"

          -jcr

        • Re:Wrong (Score:4, Informative)

          by AKAImBatman (238306) * <(akaimbatman) (at) (gmail.com)> on Monday January 29 2007, @11:51AM (#17801150) Homepage Journal

          Ethanol is being used to reduce emissions on that small fraction of badly running automobiles out there. It does not have any effect on modern engines except to lower their mileage. Modern engines don't even require the "higher" octane rating, as they can compensate as required for slightly lower octane ratings.
          This is an incredibly naive take on Ethanol consumption. The higher octane does have an effect. That effect is to burn the gasoline hotter and more completely, thus extracting energy than would have otherwise been extracted from a lower octane fuel.

          It's true that in a pure-ethanol vehicle, you'll need more fuel to make up for lower energy density. However, the faster and hotter burn cycle can be compensated for, allowing engine designers to extract a fairly competitive amount of energy from the fuel.

          The lower energy density just isn't that big of a deal when the choice is between needing 20% more Ethanol fuel at $2.50/gal vs. purchasing petroleum fuel at $3.75/gal.

          Nuclear is still using "stored" power, thus can still have a net add to planetary heat.
          This must be the oddest argument I've ever heard against nuclear power. First and foremost, any escaped heat is wasted energy that could have been used for electricity. So plants try to loose as little as possible. However, they do lose some, but nowhere near enough to have an impact on global conditions. "Global Warming" models are not based around how much heat that power plants release, but around concentrations of greenhouse gases that hold heat in. The theory is that if the concentrations were lowered, the Earth would be better able to radiate away the excess heat.
          • by jfuredy (967953) on Monday January 29 2007, @01:30PM (#17802730)

            This is an incredibly naive take on Ethanol consumption. The higher octane does have an effect. That effect is to burn the gasoline hotter and more completely, thus extracting energy than would have otherwise been extracted from a lower octane fuel.
            Higher octane fuels actually decrease the temperature and speed of the fuel burn, thereby reducing knock, or preignition. There is virtually no difference in the total energy between a high octane and a low octane fuel. The difference is just in how readily the fuels are ignited.
              • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

                You're right about higher octane fuel being more resistant to knock and pre-ignition. As far as tuning for fuel octane, the only things that the engine computer can adjust are spark timing, fuel mixture and the maximum boost in a supercharged engine. The most important parameter, compression ratio, is fixed in the physical structure of the engine.

                A high compression engine can take advantage of higher octane fuel, but it doesn't care if the octane boost comes from ethanol or some or ingredient. The important
            • by Engineer-Poet (795260) on Monday January 29 2007, @01:07PM (#17802394) Homepage Journal
              World annual human energy consumption (about 400 quads from all sources, including nuclear heat input to electric production) is equivalent to about 40 minutes of global solar input. The direct effect is utterly trivial save on a very local basis; the warming we're seeing is from greenhouse gases which trap more of the 5.2 million quads of sun striking the atmosphere every year.
              • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

                Quad quad quad - what is this quad of which you speak?

                Oh 1E15 BTU, about 1E18 Joules, or 230 megatons if you prefer it in one go.
      • by paladinwannabe2 (889776) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:24AM (#17800750)
        Not that anyone reads those pesky things... but your concerns are mentioned.

        It's not that it's energy negative- we still come out ahead- it's that it's not energy positive enough. There's a lot of other things we could be doing with that corn instead of turning it into ethanol. We are paying tax money through subsidies for something that's not going to be a long term solution. It's a waste of money and resources that could be spent elsewhere.
        • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

          We are paying tax money through subsidies for something that's not going to be a long term solution. It's a waste of money and resources that could be spent elsewhere.

          There is no such thing as a long term solution. Only transitional solutions.

          Even all our sources of uranium will be depleted so day in the next few hundred years.

          (Of course to be even more fair we will have to leave the planet to find more sources of hydrogen for fusion in tens of thousand of years, but perhaps it will be a moot point)

          That sai
          • by Engineer-Poet (795260) on Monday January 29 2007, @01:32PM (#17802750) Homepage Journal
            The US has a huge farm lobby and agribusiness giants like ADM which make huge amounts of money on corn. Actually, the farmers have mostly made their money from subsidies, as production has glutted the market since the end of the acreage set-asides under Agr. Sec'y Earl Butz. ADM made massive amounts of money turning subsidized corn into fructose and selling it into a sweetener market driven by protectionist sugar tariffs, so it was natural for it to go to fermenting subsidized corn and selling it for the 51 cent/gallon fuel subsidy.

            Unfortunately, just because it's money-positive doesn't do spit for energy. The energy balance of corn ethanol may be as low as breakeven, according to a recent MIT analysis; even the USDA's numbers only come out to 1.09:1 after you correct their math [blogspot.com]. Should you manage bring that up to 2:1, you can still generate barely 16 billion gallons-net of ethanol (energy equivalent to 10-11 billion gallons of gasoline) out of the entire US corn crop.

            As for why we don't look at cellulose.... it's because cellulose is a tough polymer evolved to be hard for bugs to eat, and we are better off using pyrolysis (charring or burning it) instead of hydrolysis (breakdown into sugars) to get energy out of it.

            Sustainability [blogspot.com] actually does propose converting cellulose to ethanol, but via a rather indirect path:
            1. Pyrolyze cellulose to charcoal and fuel gas.
            2. Burn fuel gas in a molten-carbonate or solid-oxide fuel cell, producing carbon dioxide, electricity and waste heat.
            3. Feed carbon dioxide to a closed bioreactor with algae.
            4. Extract algal fats, sugars and starches.
            5. Ferment sugars and starches (easily handled with common yeasts) to ethanol.
            6. Distill ethanol using fuel-cell waste heat.

            It goes by a roundabout route, but it doesn't require any funny business and it tries to get useful energy at every step.
    • by Sunburnt (890890) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:13AM (#17800590)
      "Try telling any green environmental lefty that Ethanol is a bad thing and show them why, and they turn their nose saying, "But, but, but, but its GREEN!"

      Wow, what an uninformed stereotype. Plenty of us green environmental lefties have serious issues with increasing society's reliance on industrial agriculture, and see the potential usurpation of the oil lobby by the corn lobby as a meaningless substitution. Our leaders keep trying to find new and exciting ways to supply our energy demand without examining the nature or utility of this demand. Sustainable energy will come from changing cultural attitudes regarding the worthy expenditures of energy, not a shuffling of environmental issues.

    • Do YOU think we need a change in our energy policy because of global warming?
    • by div_2n (525075) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:33AM (#17800896)
      I've been around quite a few what I would consider hard core environmentalists and I've never gotten that impression. In fact, some of them seemed to be apprehensive about ethanol because of how they view the impact some of the corn production in the US has on the Mississippi delta--i.e. the dead zone.

      Maybe I've been around some of the more logical and open minded environmentalists, but my recollection is that they seemed to think solar and wind hold the biggest promises with ethanol being good if the major issues can be worked out.
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      Nothing wrong with ethanol.... that figuring out all the problems it has might solve ;)

      Like the fact that transporting it more than a few miles to where it is produced removes most of the benefits

      Corn is definitely a bad idea for this - the useful output is just far too small - about 5-10% of the biomass. Some interesting research has been done with certain kinds of bateria and soy plants (the whole plants stalk, roots leaves and all) managing to use 90-95% of the biomass as usable energy.

      Your point is righ
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      I'm a green environmental lefty and I think ethanol, at least so long as it's made out of corn, is a bad thing.

      Maybe I'm not typical.

    • Silicon Jesus baited the flames thusly:

      Try telling any green environmental lefty that Ethanol is a bad thing and show them why, and they turn their nose saying, "But, but, but, but its GREEN!"

      This directly contradicts my own thirty years of experience with environmentally aware and politically active people. I strongly suspect you avoid such people, since you seem to have no idea how they behave or react in meatspace. News flash, glass saviour - ethanol and fool cells are what the right-wing browns are p

      • I'm no longer a member of Technocrat, and I barely know what Hugg is. But I know Michael Milliken reads my blog, so I expect things to be noted at both Worldchanging and Windsofchange in the next week or two.

  • by nadamsieee (708934) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:00AM (#17800386)
    Wait for the baby-boomers to die off. Suddenly energy, housing, and jobs will become plentiful. ;)
  • The article is banned by the filter here at work but the answer is obvious - build more nuclear power plants.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      Agreed. Nuke plants won't fix everything--there will still be the issue of the waste--but it's certainly better than what we have now.

      As for the nuclear waste: if we switched to 100% nuclear and renewable sources, it should follow that a significant amount of time and money be devoted to a permanent solution for nuclear waste. But I'd prefer we have 1,000 years to solve that problem than have 100 years or so to solve the current one. Especially as the current problem is alreay doing harm, whereas a well-run
      • The other thing about nuclear waste is that you know where it is, you don't just go pumping it out into the atmosphere and hope for the best.
        • The other thing about nuclear waste is that you know where it is, you don't just go pumping it out into the atmosphere and hope for the best.
          Unless that nuclear "waste" is coming from coal burning [ornl.gov] plants, of course. Then you are literally pumping it into the atmosphere and hoping for the best.
      • by bill_mcgonigle (4333) * on Monday January 29 2007, @12:55PM (#17802184) Homepage Journal
        But I'd prefer we have 1,000 years to solve that problem than have 100 years or so to solve the current one.

        Very well put. There's only one known solution to the problem at hand, and we need to start lighting up one of these plants every two months to get the carbon problem solved - nothing else has a chance of doing it (without 'killing off the human race' as an item on the table),

        Besides, we only need enough time on fission to get fusion perfected. That should take less than a hundred years. Then we only need to wait until we, as a race, consider that we have lift into space as a reliable technology. Then we just take all that old fission waste and send it into the Sun for the next generation of solar system to enjoy. And that's assuming we don't have a better solution for it by then.

        But, the current course is for nothing to get done and the problem to get worse. The "environmentalist" groups seem to think that's the best course of action (scare-quotes intended) and that implementing wishful thinking is a sufficient plan.
        • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

          Tangentially (literally):

          Orbital mechanics dictate that it's far easier to fling mass out of the system than in towards the sun (this having primarily to do with an existing angular velocity around the sun of ~30,000 m/s, borrowed from Earth's solar orbit).

          Practically speaking, of course, there's no difference between throwing the waste out of the system and into the sun. The percentage of people who would honestly raise a "polluting the universe" concern has got to be vanishingly small. If it isn't, we're
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      Hopefully commercial fusion becomes viable soon, removing a lot of the present objections to nuclear power. Hard to see how this will have much of an impact on transport fuels, though, without major advances in battery tech.
    • Not that I disagree with nuclear (from a pragmatic point-of-view), but I'd like to see more self-generating forms of electricity. Things like exercise gyms that double as power generators. That way I could convert my eco-guilt into a strong exercise regimen.
  • Related Reading (Score:5, Interesting)

    by CheeseburgerBrown (553703) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:05AM (#17800452) Homepage Journal
    For a science-fiction cant on some of the issues raised in TFA, take a look at The Bikes of New York [cheeseburgerbrown.com] which explores a post-energy crisis near-future in which impoverished people have the option of riding stationary bicycles to spin massive underground flywheels that top up the energy needs of commercial enterprises.

    I think creative solutions to electricity problems are in all our futures. Personally, I live about 75% off the grid and am looking forward to be able to afford to get all the way off -- but I need to get my roof re-done before I can even think about solar panels or mounting a wind turbine up there.

    At any rate, fiction for thought.

    • Not a bad idea, the idle poor ( known as Chavs in the UK ) use far more than fair share of power sitting around all day, as they do, in centrally heated saunas with Trisha on full blast on the Sky box.

      If we limited the amount of energy available to them they would be forced to get off their collective arses and get jobs.
      • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

        paint roofs dark colors in colder areas.

        I'm not sure if you're hoping for the sunlight that hits the roof to heat the living space inside the house or what. The area between the top of the living space and the roof (commonly called 'the attic') is not supposed to hold heat. Fresh air comes in through soffit vents and hot air is exhausted through vents at the roof's ridgeline. In the winter, I don't want my attic to be warm. I want it to be as cold as the air outside the roof. Warm air in the attic en
  • ..Hybrid Sweaters!
  • What!? (Score:5, Funny)

    by antifoidulus (807088) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:09AM (#17800532) Homepage Journal
    Lengthy but well-reasoned and good reading.

    Dude, what the hell is something like that doing on slashdot? I need more psuedo intellectual rants about how the RIAA is going to eat my first born!
    • ...the RIAA is going to eat my first born!
      It's about time they started doing something useful.
  • Similar Ideas (Score:5, Interesting)

    by rohar (253766) * <bob.rohatensky@sasktel.net> on Monday January 29 2007, @11:19AM (#17800682) Homepage Journal
    The article has some similar ideas to our project [energytower.org]. A few comments on the article:
    • The existing agricultural system is orientated towards edible food production. Growing, handling and storing crops for energy products is an entirely different industry that currently doesn't exist in North America. Using food production numbers for energy product potential isn't very accurate.
    • If agricultural production of energy products had access to affordable and renewable energy, there is a lot more potential for increased production while improving the land as well as better use of by-products than is feasible with the current fossil fuel powered agricultural sector.
  • by P3NIS_CLEAVER (860022) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:22AM (#17800730) Journal
    The real pay off for ethanol will be when a good process for making ethanol from cellulose is developed. Cellulose is just long chains of sugars, and it is just a matter of time before the chemistry becomes a reality.

    In the meantime, ethanol for corn will help get the infrastructure in place.
  • because for all the work we do it won't amount to a hill of beans if China doesn't play along. Go look at many of their cities, they look even worse than the US did at its height for pollution.

    Hell, their only fix for good air during the Olympics will be to ban cars and shutdown nearby industries.

    Still got to love this comment on his blog :)

    "There is sufficient biomass energy to replace motor fuel and then some... if the energy is not wasted. "

    Well duh. Thats the problem with his whole page, its all stuck on a BIG bunch of IFs.

    but the biggest problem is turing grain crops into fuel, there are just so many uses for grain crops in everyday products that a slight increase in their pricing because of competition with fuels could force consumer prices up, masking the true cost of these new forms of power creation.

  • by mdsolar (1045926) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:28AM (#17800810) Homepage Journal
    This is a really nice piece of work. A couple of technologies that were missed are marketing mechanisms related to solar http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/solar-power-am way-way.html [blogspot.com] and fly wheels http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/saving-not-bor rowing.html [blogspot.com], described on the Real Energy blog.
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      Ah. Solar. I couldn't help but notice a few years back that the city of los angeles had covered a parking lot by the Staple's Center with photovoltaics, and I often read about how it takes 20 years to recoup the cost of solar panels (less now with heavy government supports). The irony of this is that manufacturing solar cells consumes a good deal of electricity--and it turns out (I'm in the semiconductor industry) that this manufacturing cost is the bulk of the price. Meaning that not only does a solar
  • by RyanFenton (230700) on Monday January 29 2007, @11:30AM (#17800834)
    Sure - the proposal to produce charcoal will allow for some soil renewal, but to allow this process to become sustainable, we'd also have to manage our soil resources much more carefully than we have been. Oh well, one problem at a time, I guess - global warming-related climate change would likely destroy even more viable soil than this proposal (it dries quicker in some spots, erodes others much quicker), so it's certainly an improvement.

    Ryan Fenton
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      True, although moving to easy, more natural crops like Switchgrass will alleviate some of our problems.

      Much of our soil erosion and depletion is due to the way we grow crops: in strict rows, with chemicals to kill weeds and grass. While killing weeds makes picking corn easier by keeping the rows clean, there is a lot of exposed soil under the plants.

      Grasses don't have this problem and actually help to maintain or even expand soil over time, and most have the added benefit of being perennial and self-propaga
  • by Spazmania (174582) on Monday January 29 2007, @12:14PM (#17801490) Homepage
    How to end US carbon emissions in 30 years without damaging the US economy:

    Step 1: Build nuclear power plants. Update the designs with modern technology and give tax incentives for every new nuke plant built.

    Reason: 50's and 60's technology nuke plants currently generate electricity for less money than any other technology, even coal. They cost less than a third of what oil and natural gas plants cost. With modern technology its likely we could improve safety while lowering the cost further. Speaking of safety: the worst US accident in 50 years of opererating nuclear energey plants was three mile island, in which no radiation leaked and no one got hurt.

    Yes, worse accidents are possible. That means that over a long enough period of time they will happen. But weigh the rare environmental damage from a meltdown against the continuous destruction of the atmosphere by hyrdocarbon burning plants.

    Step 2: With the cost of electricty driven cheap enough by nuke plants, shift to hydrogen-based internal combustion engines. With electrolysis done at off-peak hours to generate hydrogen from electricity, every home can be its own fueling station. Hydrogen burns with oxygen to make water, so go drive a steamer.

    Reason: Imagine a city, maybe the city you live in, where the only air pollution is the occasional methane from peoples' farts! Nuclear makes its possible and these technologies are economical now, not just in some hypothetical future after more research.
      • by QuantumPion (805098) on Monday January 29 2007, @02:03PM (#17803162)

        Hum, you've forgotten the incredible subsidy nuclear power gets: It's been promised not to have to deal with the waste. That promise is not at all realistic since Yucca Mountian can't go forward. So, we're in a postion where we'll have to pay back all the energy we've ever gotten from nuclear power and then some. How much more expensive can you get? See: http://mdsolar.blogspot.com/2007/01/saving-not-bor [blogspot.com] rowing.html
        That article is a load of crap. Basically, what he is saying is that in order to clean up all of the waste we've generated, we need to use high energy particle accelerators to split apart every last atom of radioactive waste, and since the particle accelerator would require more energy to run then what we obtained from the nuclear power to begin with, it's therefore not worth the trouble. This is equivalent to saying that fossil fuels can't be economically used, because the energy required to rebind the molecules after they are combusted is greater then the energy used to burn them to begin with. It's a ridiculous argument and is wrong on so many levels I'm not going to go into it here unless you really want me to.

        And your original point is wrong. You are backwards, power reactors don't receive subsidies to dispose of their waste. They've been paying into a DOE waste fund since 1982. The cost of waste disposal has already been factored into the economics of their operation.
          • by QuantumPion (805098) on Monday January 29 2007, @02:37PM (#17803640)
            It's true that Yucca mountain will most likely not be used as a commercial power reactor waste repository site. But it is not as if the billions of dollars in the nuclear waste fund will go to waste. The money will be used towards another storage solution or, more likely, waste reprocessing.

            As for the insurance costs, it most certainly is not free. Power plants spend huge amounts of money for their liability insurance. What you are probably thinking of is the price-anderson act, which states that power companies are only liable for the first $10 billion in damages due to a nuclear accident, where the federal government picks up the rest. While the act makes it so that people cannot sue the power companies for _punitive_ damages in a nuclear accident, it also states that the power companies cannot defend any action for damages. It's a fair two-way street that makes nuclear power commercially possible.

            According to the wikipedia article on the price-anderson act, the actual subsidy comes out to around $2 million per reactor per year. That seems fairly modest to me, considering the financial risk power companies invest in the plants and their benefit to the country via clean, reliable power.
  • by jlcooke (50413) on Monday January 29 2007, @01:31PM (#17802738) Homepage
    But it's not a Ethenol hybrid.

    It's a 2001 VW Jetta TDI. Diesel. Installed a GreaseCar [greasecar.com] system. Works well, but not in this weather (-20C..-30C).

    Pretty much every other time of the year, I start on DinoDiesel and once things get hot enough I switch to Waste Veggie Oil I get and filter to 10 microns [filterbag.com] from a local pub.

    The article puts things together in a clear way. Points out what's wrong with the nut-jobs who think the world can be run off of butterflies and rainbows.

    To those back-and-forthing on Ethenol - think about how much energy there is in a litre of ethenol. It's very very small. Production is expensive ($$$ & energy).

    I don't 100% agree with the article's view on charcol fuel sources. But I like the analysis, not many gems like that.

    My thoughts on how to solve this? Okokokok I'll tell you anyways. Grow alge, crush it into oil and use that. Alge grows 100x faster than canola/soy/rapeseed, is 50% oil, and only requires sunlight, (non-)salted water, heat, dirt and shit. No expentive farming equipment guzzling diesel to harvest. Just settling ponds like at the local water treatment plant to skim off the alge.

    Anyways. Alge == good. Alge has had about 3-4 Billion years head start on Solar-power. Don't believe me? Take a deep breath.
  • by Smoke2Joints (915787) on Monday January 29 2007, @03:11PM (#17804118) Homepage
    Energy generation needs to be localised. Everyone needs to be aware of their usage, control it, and take on the responsibility of generating it themselves, be it photovoltaic, wind turbine, or micro hydro.
    • Ummm, try doing a search for "Other Issues" on that page and you'll find what he is talking about. It's clearly there.